FORM 6-K
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Report of Foreign Private Issuer
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the month of February, 2015
Commission File Number: 001-09531
Telefónica, S.A.
(Translation of registrants name into English)
Distrito Telefónica, Ronda de la Comunicación s/n,
28050 Madrid, Spain
3491-482 87 00
(Address of principal executive offices)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F:
Form 20-F x Form 40-F ¨
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):
Yes ¨ No x
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):
Yes ¨ No x
Indicate by check mark whether by furnishing the information contained in this Form, the registrant is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934:
Yes ¨ No x
If Yes is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): N/A
Telefónica, S.A.
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Telefónica Group: Presentation on quarterly results January-December 2014 | 3 |
Results 2014 & Outlook 2015-2016
Back to profitable growth
Telefónica, S.A.
Investor Relations
Disclaimer
THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT AN OFFER FOR SALE OF SECURITIES IN THE UNITED STATES, AND ANY SECURITIES REFERENCED HEREIN MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD IN THE UNITED STATES ABSENT REGISTRATION OR AN EXEMPTION FROM REGISTRATION UNDER THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT OF 1933, AS AMENDED (_THE SECURITIES ACT_). ANY PUBLIC OFFERING OF THE SECURITIES REFERENCED HEREIN IN THE UNITED STATES WILL BE MADE BY MEANS OF A PROSPECTUS CONTAINING DETAILED INFORMATION REGARDING TELEFÓNICA, S.A. AND ITS MANAGEMENT, INCLUDING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS.
This document contains statements that constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 about Telefónica Group (going forward, _the Company_ or Telefónica). The forward-looking statements in this document can be identified, in some instances, by the use of words such as _will, shall, target, expect, aim, hope, anticipate, should, may,
might, assume, estimate, plan, intend, believe_ and similar language or other formulations of a similar meaning or, in each case, the negative formulations thereof. Other forward-looking statements can be identified in the context in which the statements are made or by the forward-looking nature of discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. These statements include statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with respect to, among other things: the effect on our results of operations of competition in telecommunications markets; trends affecting our business financial condition, results of operations or cash flows; acquisitions, investments or divestments which we may make in the future; our capital expenditures plan; our estimated availability of funds; our ability to repay debt with estimated future cash flows; our shareholder remuneration policies; supervision and regulation of the telecommunications sectors where we have significant operations; our strategic partnerships; and the potential for growth and competition in current and anticipated areas of our business.
Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve numerous risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The risks and uncertainties involved in our businesses that could affect the matters referred to in such forward-looking statements include but are not limited to: changes in general economic, business or political conditions in the domestic or international markets in which we operate or have material investments that may affect demand for our services; exposure to currency exchange rates, interest rates or credit risk related to our treasury investments or in some of our financial transactions; existing or worsening conditions in the international financial markets; the impact of current, pending or future legislation and regulation in countries where we operate, as well as any failure to renew or obtain the necessary licenses, authorizations and concessions to carry out our operations and the impact of limitations in spectrum capacity; compliance with anti-corruption laws and regulations and economic sanctions programs; customers_ perceptions of services offered by us; the actions of existing and potential competitors in each of our markets as well as the potential effects of technological changes; failure of suppliers to provide necessary equipment and services on a timely basis; the impact of unanticipated network interruptions including due to cyber-security actions; the effect of reports suggesting that electromagnetic fields may cause health problems; the impact of impairment charges on our goodwill and assets as a result of changes in the regulatory, business or political environment; potential liability resulting from our internet access and hosting services arising from illegal or illicit use of the internet, including the inappropriate dissemination or modification of consumer data; and the outcome of pending or future litigation or other legal proceedings.
Analysts and investors, and any other person or entity that may need to take decisions, or prepare or release opinions about the securities issued by the Company, are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
Except as required by applicable law, Telefónica undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telefónica_s business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
This document may contain summarized information or information that has not been audited. In this sense, this information is subject to, and must be read in conjunction with, all other publicly available information, including if it is necessary, any fuller disclosure document published by Telefónica.
Finally, it is stated that neither this presentation nor any of the information contained herein constitutes an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities, or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities.
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 1
Our journey
2012-14 2015-16E
TRANSFORMING THE BUSINESS IN ORDER TO& &RETURN TO SUSTAINABLE PROFITABLE GROWTH
Investing to set the foundation for growth
Monetising data opportunity
Growing digital revenues
Simplifying the business
Extracting value from scale
Proactively managing regulation
Focusing portfolio
Recovering financial flexibility
De-risking the balance sheet
Displaying clear proof points
FY 14 GUIDANCE ACHIEVED
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A.
ü
2
Accelerate growth
Monetise booming data reality
Invest further to grow (2017 to revert)
Continue to simplify & transform
Deliver synergies from consolidation (Germany, Brazil)
Maintain leading profitability
Continue to strengthen portfolio
Maintain financial flexibility to support sustainable growth
Grow cash dividend (Post proposed O2 UK sale closing)
UPGRADING AMBITION FOR 2015-16E
Clear proof points already evident in 2014
1
Laying the foundations to monetise data & digital services
2
Technological transformation
3
Lean operating model
4
Stabilising Spain
5
Strengthening
Balance Sheet
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A.
Avg. Revenue / Access
(y-o-y organic)
Digital services revenues
(y-o-y organic)
FTTH (Premises passed)
LTE (sites)
OpEx + CapEx savings from new operating model
Revenue (y-o-y)
Net financial debt (€bn)
3
FY 13 FY 14
(1.5%) +0.3%
+16.2% +28.9%
7.6m 14.7m
10.5k >20k
€300m
Q4 13 Q4 14
Growth 2015E
(11.9%) (4.9%) y-o-y
Dec-13 Dec-14
€31.7bn post VZ adjustment
45.4 45.1 and proposed O2 UK sale
Consistent improvement in our fundamentals: top line
acceleration, with a strong performance in Q4 14&
Revenue (y-o-y organic)
2.6% 5.0%
0.7% 2.8% 1.5% 1.3%
(0.8%)
FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
Access
+3.0% +2.5% +2.0%
Growth
(y-o-y organic)
Avg. Back to growth
(6.4%) (1.5%) +0.3% revenue/access
(y-o-y organic)
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 4
&while improving OIBDA & EPS trends
OIBDA (y-o-y organic) Underlying EPS (€/share)
0.27
0.25 0.22 0.2% 0.18 0.0%
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
0.93 (3.9%)
FY 12 FY 13 FY 14
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 5
2014 guidance met on strong execution
Guidance 2014 (organic and excluding Venezuela) FY 14
ü
Positive revenue growth +0.7%
ü
OIBDA margin towards stabilisation (erosion around 1
-0.8 p.p. p.p. y-o-y)
ü
CapEx/Sales: 15.5% -16% 15.9%
€43.9bn pre-VZ
Reported Net Financial Debt < €43bn adjustment
€45.1bn post-VZ adjustment post-VZ ü
2.15x
Mid-term commitment Net Debt/OIBDA 2.35x adjustment & proposed
02 UK sale
€/sh.
0.75 €0.35 voluntary scrip Nov-14 (84% take-up)
€0.40 cash Q2 15
DPS Cash/Scrip
Cash dividend outflow
€0.45/share
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 6
€/sh.
0.93 0.83
FCFS Underlying EPS
55% cash dividend payout
2015 and beyond: positioned for growth acceleration
1
Returning to growth in Spain
2
Fuelling data monetisation
3
Continued network & IT transformation
4
Delivering synergies from acquisitions
5
Sustainable efficiency gains
Strong macroeconomic outlook
Positive market trends: appetite for higher value services and market rationalisation
Key differentiation assets /infrastructure (fiber, Pay TV, LTE)
Higher data adoption (LTE across markets; prepaid smartphone penetration in BZ & Hispam)
Monetising beyond the allowances and connecting everything
Capturing digital opportunities: video, cloud, M2M & security
Steady roll-out of a differential future-proof network
Accelerating the transformation of the business leveraging Full Stacks
Continue to optimise legacy
Germany: >€5bn NPV
Brazil: >€4.7bn NPV
Additional revenue streams from upselling / cross-selling
Delivering >€1.8bn savings in 2017E from simplification across markets and synergies from acquisitions
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 7
External factors: from headwinds to tailwinds
Improved Regulatory Environment
[Graphic Appears Here]
ü
Digital agenda requires a different
Investments approach to promote investments
Telecoms reforms in progress; new ü regulatory framework in place (Aug-14)
Mexico
Asymmetry of MTRs already effective
Consolidation into 3 mobile players
LatAm
Glide path of asymmetric MTRs reduction ü Colombia and on-net / off-net tariffs limits on dominant operator
Consolidation into 3 integrated players
(1) Internal calculations & Consensus Forecast
Improved Macro Environment
Real GDP(1) growth in 2015-16E improving:
At least 4.5 p.p. in Spain vs. 2012-13
Around 2 p.p. in Germany vs. 2012-14
Based in both cases in stronger consumption fundamentals
Risk perception & financial markets:
From strong risk aversion & expensive / illiquid markets
To normalised risk levels & low rates
FX support:
Competitive $/€
Sustainable BRL/€
Venezuela adjusted to de-risk Balance Sheet
Improved Market structure
Consolidation in Spain, Germany, Brazil, Mexico & Colombia:
From a price deflationary competitive model (no differentiation)
To a quality of service model based on infrastructure
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 8
Driving a fair policy framework in the digital ecosystem
Recognition of investment risk
OPEN INTERNET AND
PORTABLE DIGITAL LIFE
LEVEL PLAYING FIELD
Transparency
Security COMPETITION AND
Privacy DIGITAL CONFIDENCE USER_S CHOICE IN ALL
LAYERS
eSIMS
Internet Encryption
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 9
Capital discipline: financial priorities 2015-16E
Robust Balance Sheet
Financial Flexibility recovered
Ratings stabilisation
Capital increase in connection to the acquisition of GVT: rights issue up to
€3bn
Balance sheet de-risked (Venezuela FX adjusted)
Growing cash dividend(1)
ND/OIBDA <2.35x
Support sustainable operating growth
Organic growth fuelled by temporary increase in CapEx intensity
Inorganic opportunities: Portfolio strengthening strategy remains in place
(1) Post proposed O2 UK divestment execution
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 10
Attractive shareholder remuneration
Sustainable Dividend
Tactical buybacks & share cancellations to mitigate scrip dividend dilution
2015 guidance & 2016 ambition
Base 2014
2015 Guidance & 2016 Ambition Ambition (Ex-UK; Ex-VZ; Guidance 2015E
(Constant FX 2014; ex-UK; ex-VZ; incl. 12M E-Plus and 6M incl. 3M E-Plus 2016E
GVT in 2015 and 12M in 2016 and 6M Ireland)
>5% 42,853 Revenues >7%
CAGR 2014-16E
Limited margin erosion around 1 p.p.
32.6% OIBDA margin Stabilising in 2016
(to allow for commercial flexibility if needed)
Revert in 2017E:
16.7% CapEx/Sales Around 17% Around 17%
-2 p.p.
vs 2016E
Net Debt/OIBDA (adjusted for proposed O2 UK sale) <2.35x <2.35x
€0.75/sh. €0.75/sh. Post proposed O2
UK sale Closing:
€0.35/sh. volunt. Dividend €0.35/sh. voluntary scrip
scrip Q4 15 €0.75/sh. cash
€0.40/sh. Cash €0.40/sh. Cash Q2 16
Share buyback: % share capital cancelled
1.5% 1.5%
(treasury)
Rights issue in connection to the acquisition of
Up to €3bn
GVT
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 11
1. 2014 Results
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 12
2014: Highlights
1 Built a solid platform; already clear proof points
Inflection point to organic growth
Recovered robust Revenue growth (+2.6% y-o-y in FY); further improving trends in Q4 to +5.0% (+1.7% ex-VZ; but +8.0% ex-Spain which is turning to positive) Picked-up commercial momentum on high-quality services Increasing customer value (Avg. Revenue/Access +2.6% vs Q4 13)
Monetising booming mobile data
Integrated tariff bundles; tiered pricing
Simplify the operations through a new operating model & synergies
Robust profitability; Return to FY organic OIBDA growth y-o-y and margin decline contained at 0.8 p.p. Run-rate synergies from simplification: €0.3Bn in FY 14
CapEx intensity; speed-up network modernisation & differentiation
Consistent investments in growth & transformation activities (15m FTTH premises passed; >20k LTE sites; TV accesses x1.5)
2 Enhanced Balance sheet strength
Solid FCF generation (FY 14: €3.8bn)
Net Debt /OIBDA 2.15x incl. proposed O2 UK sale; financial flexibility recovered
3 Superior asset portfolio with a focused footprint
Active in-market consolidation with value enhancing deals
Inorganic movements to strengthen position in key markets (Brazil, Germany, Spain)
4 Delivered 2014 operating guidance; confirmed 2014 DPS
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 13
[Graphic Appears Here]
Financial summary
2014 Q4 14
Reported Organic Reported Organic
€ in millions Reported Reported y-o-y y-o-y y-o-y y-o-y
Revenue 50,377 (11.7%) 2.6% 12,399 (14.1%) 5.0% OIBDA 15,515 (18.7%) 0.2% 3,190 (35.9%) 0.0% OIBDA Margin 30.8% (2.6 p.p.) (0.8 p.p.) 25.7% (8.7 p.p.) (1.6 p.p.) OpCF (ex-spectrum) 7,361 (32.5%) (12.7%) 582 (68.2%) (3.9%) Net Income 3,001 (34.7%) - 152 (89.5%) -
EPS 0.61 (38.1%) - 0.02 (93.1%) -
Underlying EPS 0.93 (21.2%) - 0.25 (32.0%) -
FCF 3,817 (29.2%) - 978 (50.9%) -Net financial debt 45,087 (0.6%) - 45,087 (0.6%) -
Q4 results strongly impacted by non-recurrent/non-cash effects
Adjustment in Venezuela from SICAD I 12 VZ/$ to SICAD II 50VZ/$ (-€915m in OIBDA; -€399m in net income)
Venezuela contribution reduced to 1% of revenues & €390m net cash position. Minimising the impact of any further potential adjustment Venezuela adjusted from 6.3VZ/ $ to 50VZ/$ in 2014
Restructuring costs to further enhance efficiency (-€644m in OIBDA; -€405m in net income)
Telco value adjustment (-€257m in net income)
Asset sales (+€179m in OIBDA)
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 14
Q4 results impacted by non-recurrent, non-cash effects
FX movements: VZ adjustment in Q4 14
Forex impact OIBDA (y-o-y)
VEF, ARS, BRL depreciation
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
VEF: (2.3 p.p. )
(6.0 p.p) (11.7 p.p) (10.0 p.p)
VEF: (21.3 p.p. ) Mainly SICAD I
(23.9 p.p) to SICAD II
FX effect mitigated at FCF level
Q4 non-recurrent impacts in OIBDA (€1.4bn)
(179)
644 4,570 915 3,190
OIBDA Reported VEF devaluation Provision for Asset Sales OIBDA adjusted SICAD I to SICAD Restructuring II Costs
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 15
Perimeter: E-Plus in Q4 14
Perimeter impact revenue (y-o-y)
C. RepublicIreland
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
1.6 p.p.
E-Plus (3.1 p.p.) (3.0 p.p.) (3.9 p.p.)
Perimeter impact OIBDA (y-o-y)
(3.7p. p. ) (3.7 p.p.) (4.5 p.p.) (2.3 p.p.)
Q4 non-recurrent impacts in Net Income (€1.1Bn)
26 1,239 257 405
399
152
Net Income VEF Provision for Telco Value PPA + Asset Net Income Reported devaluation Restructuring adjustment sales Underlying SICAD I to Costs SICAD II
Consistent improvement in growth profile
Revenues (organic y-o-y)
5.0% 2.8% 1.5% 1.3%
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
OIBDA (organic y-o-y)
0.5% 0.8%
0.0%
-0.7%
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
Organic OIBDA margin (y-o-y)
FY 13 FY 14
Higher commercial
(0.2 p.p.) (0.8 p.p.) investments & network costs weighed on margin momentum
Strong top line acceleration in Q4 (+220 bps vs Q3 y-o-y)
Focused commercial activity on value
Mobile Contract customers (+11% y-o-y); Smartphones +39% Fiber connected customers 2.1x y-o-y; record net adds in Q4 14 Pay TV customers surpass the 5m mark (x1.5 y-o-y organic) FY Churn stable y-o-y
High-class diversification; better revenue mix
Robust mobile data in Q4 (+10.6% y-o-y)
Progressive improvement of T. España in Q4 (+1.7 p.p. q-o-q); +7p.p. in last 4 quarters T. Hispam key driver of growth
Towards sustainable OIBDA growth
Positive OIBDA growth in FY
Revenue flow, efficiency gains and organisational simplification leading to a contained margin erosion
FY OpEx up 3.8% y-o-y
Gaining differentiation on higher content and commercial costs (+5.5% y-o-y): Foster competitiveness (i.e. Brazil), regain leadership (i.e. Spain) Network and IT costs (+9.3% y-o-y): More data Co + data traffic expansion
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 16
[Graphic Appears Here]
Strong and clear progress on mobile data
Smartphone penetration Avg. smartphone usage
Mobile Data traffic (y-o-y quarterly) Q4 14 (Mbytes /month)
O2 brand customers
65%
1,040 55% 52% 48% 314 35% 35% 30% 32% 3G LTE
891 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 332
LTE traffic x15 y-o-y in Q4 3G LTE
(10% of mobile data traffic)
Mobile data revenue
FY 13 FY 14
73% 65%
Non-SMS Revenue
38% 41%
+23.9% y-o-y organic FY 14
Mobile Data/MSR Non-SMS/Mobile Data
(1) LTE devices with data plan attached, except Brazil (devices)
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 17
Booming data traffic
The sweet spot: increased penetration + increased usage
Traffic growth accelerating in all regions
Huge opportunities in Hispam: 18% prepay smartphone penetration in Dec-14
LTE as the main trigger to foster growth
13m LTE customers(1) in Dec-14; 5% penetration
Strong Q4 y-o-y growth in average smartphone consumption (Mbytes/month)
Spain: +43%; Germany: +48%; UK: +79%; Brazil: +21%; Hispam: +44%
Monetising the opportunity
Breaking the decoupling between traffic and revenues
Monetising beyond the allowance:
_Bundle breakage_ in ~1/3 of customers, using more data than they initially subscribed to in their data plan >1/3 of them enjoying best experience by subscribing to additional _data snacks_
Plenty room to upsell
~1/3 of customers >1Gb plans
Capital intensity to structurally change the Company
CapEx ex-spectrum 2014 (€ in millions)
Organic growth y-o-y Increased investments to grow
1,294 9,448 Technological transformation and modernization
8,154
Stimulate revenue opportunity & differentiation
Addressing data traffic boom
+16.9%
Built differential spectrum (Brazil, Hispam)
Ex-spectrum Spectrum Total
Deep network transformation; Increasing differentiation
CapEx 2014 (organic y-o-y)
Developing high-speed networks (LTE & FTTH)
81%
79% Better quality and customer experience
Global platforms accelerating time to market
30% 19%
15% 15%
Benefits on investments from efficiencies
Fiber TV 3G 4G Transmission IT Lower maintenance CapEx vs. 2013
Savings & operational efficiency coming from simplification, 75% of 2014 CapEx homogenisation and standartisation ex-spectrum to Growth &
Transformation:
+6 p.p. y-o-y organic
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 18
24% of Group
Spain: Rebuilt a superior franchise revenue
Net adds (_000)
2013 2014
Pay TV FTTH Mobile Contract
Ex-disconnection of inactive M2M
1.2 m
723
57 77 282 305 248 (129)
63 100
(689) (38) Q4 FY Q4 FY Q4 FY
_Fusión_ penetration (%) High value in _Fusión_
Consumer segment Penetration of services in _Fusión_
Dec-14 y-o-y Dec-14 y-o-y
73% 45% 57% 21% +31 p.p.
+12 p.p. +14 p.p.
+8 p.p. o/Mobile Contract o/FBB Fiber 100 Mb IPTV
FTTH New premises passed (m)
Total Premises Passed
10.3
5.2 5.1 2.0
FY 13 FY 14
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 19
Gaining scale in high value; base growing
Becoming market leader in Pay TV
1.9m customers (x3 y-o-y); 36%E market share
FTTH base: 1.3 m (>x2 y-o-y); 22% of FBB base
1m Fiber 100 Mb (10€ premium; churn 0.5x lower vs. DSL)
Mobile contract growth (+0.5% y-o-y), first time since 2011
Portability loss significantly improved (-30% y-o-y in FY)
Churn declining across services
Enhanced convergent offer fostering loyalty and upselling
Differential assets: Competitive TV and Fiber
Improved content, MBB data volumes, VAS
3.7m _Fusión_ customers (+27% y-o-y); 1.4m mobile add-ons
Highly satisfied customers: Q4 _Fusión_ churn 1.1%
Longer lifetime vs. stand-alone: 2.2x FBB & 2.5x mobile contract
Q4 _Fusion_ ARPU virtually stable q-o-q at 69.3 euros
Seasonal extra consumption out of bundle in Q3 (summer)
Leading network coverage
FTTH 2014 target met; ~10m premises passed
LTE coverage: 58% pop. in Dec-14
800 MHz availability in Q2 15
1.8m LTE customers, driving usage and ARPU up
Spain: Improved revenue trend on solid fundamentals 24% revenue of Group
Revenue y-o-y (%)
Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
(4.9%)
(6.6%) FY 14 y-o-y
(8.2%) (7.2%) (9.1%)
(11.9%) FY 13 y-o-y
(13.6%)
_ last 4Qs +7 p.p.
OIBDA Margin (%)
y-o-y organic
Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 FY 13 FY 14
50.2% 46.9% 44.7% 46.0% 51.0% 48.9% 47.2%
Ex-tower sales Ex-tower sales Ex-tower sales 48.0% 46.5% 48.4% 45.6%
(1.4 p.p.) (2.8 p.p.)
Positioned for the upcoming revenue growth
Consistent revenue improvement along the year
Revenue y-o-y drop halved in 2014
Quarterly revenue stabilised: ~€3bn in the last 4Qs
Structural changes supporting performance
Commercial turnaround on restored competiveness Backbook reducing impact (high convergent base) Price deflation stabilised / consolidation to drive more sustainable dynamics Higher demand for quality (macro recovery)
Top line improvement flowing to OIBDA
Cost control (OpEx -1.1% y-o-y in FY; -0.1% in Q4)
Efficiencies offsetting higher commercial costs Content and handsets costs up Insourcing, retail stores optimisation
Q4 OIBDA improvement q-o-q (-7.8% y-o-y organic)
Q4 14: tower sales (€136m); real state sale (€41m) FY 14: tower sales €191m
14.0% CapEx/Sales (+2.7 p.p. organic vs FY 13) to support structural transformation/differentiation
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 20
Germany: a solid start from a new leading position 11% of Group
revenue
Contract net adds (_000)
Ex 428k customer adjustment in E-Plus in Q4
318
18.8m 152 143 Contract base
(1.8x y-o-y)
78
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
New
Q4 14 Revenue TEF DE
MSR Handset Fixed
14%
€8Bn Revenue
(E-Plus proforma since 17% 1st Jan)
69%
OIBDA margin
Ex-restructuring costs
19.4% OIBDA margin
18.0%
(E-Plus proforma since 1st Jan)
Q4 14
Trading momentum maintained after a successful start
Total mobile base of 42.1m (>2x y-o-y); Contract at 45%
Balanced mobile structure: ~30% MSR market share (Sep-14)
LTE and attractive bundles driving favorable adoption mix
Smartphone penetration at 29% LTE outdoor coverage: 62% at Dec o Open to all O2 contracts from Feb-15 o New data automatic top-up from Feb-15 to drive upselling
Stabilised revenue
MSR trend maintained in Q4
Strong performance from premium brands Data revenue: 52% of MSR in Q4
Better fixed revenue (Q4: -7.7% y-o-y ; +1.3 p.p. q-o-q)
Commercial momentum and initial integration driving Q4 OIBDA
Q4 OIBDA performance
Strong commercial activity to capture market growth
Restructuring costs due to the integration with E-Plus (€401m) including leaver program
Integration: quick wins
Cross & Upsell; Align procurement; Network grid defined; FTE restructuring agreed
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 21
14% of Group
UK: Strong customer growth & improving trends revenue
Mobile contract net adds (_000)
291 209 199 135
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
ARPU Refresh ex- y _O2 -o-y (5.3%) (2.6%) (1.4%) (0.6%)
Mobile Service Revenues (y-o-y)
MSR MSR ex-_O2 Refresh
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 FY 14 1.1% 2.9% (y-o-y) +0.3% (2.7%) (0.1%) (5.5%) (4.5%) (6.2%) (7.9%) (6.7%)
OIBDA margin
24.5% 24.7%
FY 13 FY 14
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
Solid trading performance continued
Mobile base growth at 4% y-o-y (24.5m)
Strongest net adds in 6 years: (394 k in Q4)
Sustained expansion of contract (+6% y-o-y); 56% of total o Sustained leadership in contract loyalty in Q4 (1.0%; -0.1 p.p. y-o-y) o LTE penetration at 19% over total base Continued LTE roll-out (58% outdoor coverage at Dec-14)
Improved ARPU trends
Successful commercial proposition leading to price stabilisation Data monetisation (LTE usage 3x vs 3G; high single digit ARPU uplift)
Robust set of financials
Revenue growth (ex-_O2 Refresh_) accelerated in Q4 to +5.4% y-o-y (+0.6% y-o-y in FY)
Ongoing MSR improvement on solid operating performance
Handset revenues up on high-end strong trading devices (FY: +28.4%)
FY OIBDA grew 1.1% y-o-y on efficiencies execution (OpEx:-0.9% y-o-y)
_O2 Refresh_ adds 3.7 p.p. to OIBDA margin in FY 14 Broadly flat impact of _O2 Refresh_ to y-o-y growth
22
22% of Group
Brazil: Capturing the best customers revenue
Mobile accesses penetration
Dec-13 Dec-14 Access y-o-y
41%
35% 31% 24%
+77% +20%
Smartphones Contract
FTTH New premises passed (m)
Total premises passed
4.1
2.2 1.9
1.0
FY 13 FY 14
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
% Contract net adds share
56%
50%
Q4 14
FY 14
Increasing value contract ~11x vs prepaid
(higher ARPU & lower
churn)
FTTH net adds (000)
y-o-y 171
+86%
53 +58%
Q4 14 FY 14
IPTV net adds (000)
y-o-y
49
+50%
17 +49%
Q4 14 FY 14
23
Strengthening mobile leadership
New contract portfolio offer launched in December, reaching new monthly gross adds record
Contract market share increased to 41.8% (+2.0 p.p. y-o-y) on best network (quality and coverage) and brand perception
Strong outgoing ARPU y-o-y (Q4: +5.9%; FY: +5.3%)
LTE leadership (140 cities covered; accesses market share: 38.9%)
Transformation into a fiber Co.
375k fiber accesses at Dec-14 (+84% y-o-y): ~3x customer value vs. average FBB
Strong Pay TV performance (Q4: 43k net adds, FY:131k)
Growing IPTV net adds delivering higher ARPU
Reshaped commercial proposal fostering DTH gross adds volume
[Graphic Appears Here]
22% of Group
Brazil: OIBDA returning to growth in 2014 revenue
Revenue (organic y-o-y) +8.9%
Fixed Mobile Total
Ex €58m one-off in Q4 13 MSR ex- regulation
4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6%
0.2%
(3.1%) (3.0%)
(6.1%) (4.8%) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
OIBDA (organic y-o-y)
Ex €58m one-off in Q4 13 and ex-restructuring costs in Q4 14 and Q4 13
5.3% 4.0%
1.6%
(3.6%)
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
Consistent organic revenue y-o-y growth trends
Outperforming the market: 68% of incremental MSR market share captured in the last 12 months
MSR accelerating to 5.7% y-o-y in Q4 excluding one-offs
(ICMS tax reversal in Q4 13)
Data revenues: 34% of MSR in FY 14
Steady non-SMS mobile data revenue performance (+35.5% in Q4: +38.5% y-o-y in FY)
Fixed revenue improved its trend in 2014 (-4.2% y-o-y vs. -6.8% FY 13)
Negative impact of regulation (-3.2 p.p. in Q4 and -3.4 p.p. in FY)
Increased profitability on better OpEx evolution
Strong efficiency efforts (i.e. restructuring costs in Q4: €68m) despite intense commercial activity, network costs and inflationary pressure
Strong CapEx effort (FY: +15.0% y-o-y; 26% CapEx/Revenues) to enlarge quality gap vs peers
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 24
Hispam: Increased FY profitability amid strong trading 26% revenue of Group
Mobile gross adds (m) Smartphone penetration
y-o-y Smartphones y-o-y %
13.4 +32% 11.1 26% 10.9 11.0 +10% 12% 20% Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14
Revenue (organic y-o-y)
Hispam Hispam ex-Venezuela
18.2% 14.8% 14.1% 11.3%
10.8% 10.0% 9.7%
8.9%
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
OIBDA (organic y-o-y)
Hispam Hispam ex-Venezuela
20.1%
15.0% 17.8% 16.8% 15.6% 11.8% 15.1% 10.9%
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
OIBDA margin +0.1 p.p. +2.4 p.p. +0.3 p.p. (0.8 p.p.)
(organic y-o-y)
Ex-Venezuela Flat +0.5 p.p. +2.2 p.p. +2.3 p.p.
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
25
Commercial traction underpinning double-digit revenue growth
Accesses growing by 3% y-o-y:
Mobile contract (+4%); FBB (+6%); Pay TV (+14%)
Higher traffic volumes driving mobile ARPU y-o-y growth
(+10.6% FY; +14.3% Q4)
Voice traffic up +16% y-o-y in FY
Data traffic +65% y-o-y in FY 14 on increased smartphone penetration & average usage (+44% y-o-y in Q4)
Data revenues main growth driver; 32% MSR (+2 p.p. y-o-y)
Non-SMS data growing by 43.4% y-o-y in FY (+41.1% in Q4)
Improved profitability in most markets
FY organic margin (+0.5 p.p. y-o-y) returning to 2012 levels despite stronger commercial activity
Increased profitability in all countries but Venezuela and Uruguay in FY (y-o-y organic) Main contributors to margin y-o-y: Mexico (FY: +4.3 p.p.; Q4: +11.7 p.p.); Colombia (+2.7 p.p.; +4.4 p.p.) and Chile (+1.5 p.p.; +2.5 p.p.) Restructuring costs (€99m in Hispam in Q4) negatively impacting reported margin in Q4 by 4.4 p.p.
Mexico: Increasing momentum; accelerating growth 3%revenue of Group
Mobile gross adds
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
+65%
+37%
3.2 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6
2012 2013 2014
Revenue (organic y-o-y)
9.5% 10.6%
Commercial repositioning driving business turnaround
Mobile accesses up 7% y-o-y; Smartphones +82% y-o-y
Record-high gross adds in Q4 14
Commercial offers adapting to new competitive environment New LTE offer launched (Oct-14)
New Federal Telecommunications Law continued advancing
0.3%
Q4 13 Q3 14 Q4 14
OIBDA (organic y-o-y)
96.8% 50.6%
(34.8%)
Q4 13 Q3 14 Q4 14
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
Q4 OIBDA doubling y-o-y
Steady top-line growth acceleration
Highest MSR y-o-y growth in 5 years (+12.9% in Q4) 3rd consecutive quarter of ARPU increase (+3.5% y-o-y) on voice & data traffic booming (+42% and 91% respectively y-o-y)
Increased y-o-y profitability (FY: +4.3 p.p.; Q4: +11.7 p.p.)
Full effect of MTRs asymmetry in Q4 (effective from mid-August) Top quality assets on strong CapEx efforts Economies of scale starting to flow
26
Rest of Hispam: Solid top line growth boosting OIBDA
Revenue (organic y-o-y)
Q3 14 Q4 14
46.6%
23.9% 22.2%
27.4% 7.6% 7.2% 5.8% 6.4% 5.5% 6.0%
Colombia Peru Argentina Chile ex-reg VZ & CA
OIBDA (organic y-o-y)
Q3 14 Q4 14
25.3% 25.3% 24.3% 18.9% 17.4%
10.5% 7.6% 8.4% 3.3%
(0.6%)
Colombia Peru Argentina Chile ex-reg VZ & CA
OIBDA margin (organic y-o-y)
Q4 14 +4.4 p.p. (2.4 p.p.) Flat +0.5 p.p. (10.9 p.p.)
Increased profitability across the board (except VZ+CA)
Colombia:
Mobile data (FY: +15.0% y-o-y), FBB and Pay TV (+9.1% y-o-y) driving revenue increase Q4 OIBDA: +18.9% organic y-o-y on revenue acceleration and increased efficiency. FY Margin: 36.5% (39.0% in Q4)
Peru:
Revenue performance led by high-value accesses growth: mobile contract (+14% y-o-y); Pay TV (+6%) and FBB (+6%) Strong commercial activity in Q4
Argentina:
Commercial trading ramped-up in Q4 (mobile gross adds +16% y-o-y) on successful campaigns Q4 OIBDA margin stable organic y-o-y despite inflation and FX pressures
Chile:
Focus on high-value customers underpinned enhanced revenue & OIBDA performance Accelerated network deployment: LTE (64% pop coverage) & fiber (288k premises passed)
Venezuela & Central America:
Strong traffic growth: voice (FY: +16%) on higher MOU (+8%); data (+58%) on smartphone penetration & higher usage per access CapEx increase (+64.8% y-o-y organic) to foster network quality differentiation. 60 MHz LTE spectrum acquired in Q4
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 27
Strong FCF and net debt reduced ahead of O2 UK sale
Net Financial Debt
€ in millions
Net Financial Net Financial
Debt/OIBDA Net Financial Net Financial Debt/OIBDA Debt/OIBDA Debt/OIBDA
2.36x 2.74x
2.52x 2.15x
45,381 (3,817) 995
2,176 (3,493) 1,825 789 1,231 45,087 (13,382) 43,856
31,705
Dividends & Net financial Treasury FX Pre-retirements Net Fin. VZ from Net Fin. Proposed Net Fin. Net Fin. FCF (including Debt Debt Debt Debt Hybrid coupon investments shares & commitments 12$ to 50$ O2 UK
Hybrid & VZ from 6.3 Dec-14 Dec-14 sale Dec-14 Dec-13 Mandatory to 12$), post VZ at proposed Convertible MTM& 50$ O2 UK sale Others
2,107 9,468 (2,530) 8,053 (692) 7,361
(1,187)
(641)
5,110
(1,294)
3,817
OpCF post Dividend to FCF
OpCF pre Restructuring OpCF Working Net Interest Tax ex-spectrum Spectrum FCF Restructuring charge ex-spectrum capital Working minorities & accrued post-spectrum Capital others accrued charge
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 28
Robust liquidity and ample diversified financing
Long-term financing
€ in billions
Hybrids: 2.6
Mandatory convertible (TEF): 1.5
Mandatory Exchangeable (TI): 0.8
TEF D Rights issue minorities: 0.8
€14.7Bn long-term financing FY 14
Liquidity position
€ in billions
19.4 Syndicated facility: 3.0 11.5
Undrawn credit LatAm & Other loans:2.6 lines & 92% LT syndicated RCF
excluding Cash position 7.9 Venezuela
Dec-14
Euro Bond: 2.1
T. Deutchland bond: 0.5
Private placements: 0.9
Net debt maturities (Dec-14) Effective interest cost (12 month rolling)
Guidance
€ in billions
6%
9.1 +0.47% 5.40% 5.34% 5.1 5% -0.41%
2015 to 2016 2017 Dec-13 Debt Lower Dec-14 composition rates
Average debt life of 6.2 years
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 29
2. 2015-16 Back to profitable growth
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 30
Continue transforming the business
Transforming the business mix
2014
26% 10% 52% 28% 10%
Growing Average Revenue / Access
33% 10% 43% 33% 14%
2016 From selling minutes to selling Gigabytes
Equipment & other Broadband From variable voice & fixed data consumption
Access & voice Services Over Connectivity To voice bundled & variable data
Transforming the portfolio: Diversified growth profile with bigger local scale
Improving position Maintaining Global in Key Markets: FY 14 57% of Revenue Scale & Increasing #6 worldwide by accesses in 2012
Spain, Brazil and FY 16E ~2/3 of Revenue Focus in Key #6 in 2014 but with fewer
Germany Markets operations
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 31
Monetising the new mobile data & video wave
1
Higher LTE & Smartphone penetration
2
Continued improvement in capturing value beyond the allowance
3
Leverage higher usage to upsell
4
Connecting everything
5
Video at the Core
Connecting more devices with faster LTE >14% LTE
Lower entry price points >45% Smartphone
Penetration 2016E
Increase prepaid penetration mainly in Hispam
Extra data revenues captured as customers will continue to exceed allowance and upsell to complementary bundles
Integrated tariffs: Voice+Data, reducing arbitrage risks and improving loyalty
Optimise data pricing structures: Tiered pricing and bundle sizing adapted to each market to increase customer lifetime value
Larger screen devices; Real time contextual marketing; VAS smart bundling
Shared data plans evolving towards multi-user / multidevice
Customer care / account management mobile app
FTTH & LTE provides better customer experience and facilitate new services adoption
Increased current penetration levels and usage
Accelerate convergent proposition Video traffic ~+60%
Multi-device, new HD technologies, larger device screens
CAGR 14-16E
Increased coverage (fiber and LTE deployment & cable digitalisation)
Non-SMS Mobile Data Revenues ~+20% CAGR 2014-16E Video revenues >+30% CAGR 2014-16E
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 32
TGR: Differential future-proof network & IT ready by 2016
Major network transformation to be in place by 2016
UBB Developments + Simple and All-IP
All markets with 4G by 2015
4G Coverage (%PoP) 4G Data Traffic /Total Mobile (%)
2016E: 2016E:
>25%
>85% >55% (+18 p.p. vs 2014)
2014: 60%
2016E
LTE sites Premises passed with fiber (m)
Fixed VoIP Accesses
2016E: 2016E: up to ~70% ~50k 22m(1)
2014: >20k 2014: 14.7m 2014 2016E
+ Business Transformation through IT
% Customer migrations to Full Stack
2016E:
>35%
2014: 5%
(1) Subject to adequate regulation
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A.
Executing our brilliant IT strategy
+ Simplification
Applications
Physical Servers
Data Centers
Virtualisation
4k -700
(-430 y-o-y)
17k -10%
(-13% y-o-y)
55 -10
(-5 y-o-y)
46% +10 p.p.
(+11% y-o-y)
2014 2016E vs 2014
33
Total data traffic
CAGR 14-16E
>+40%
Fixed Mobile
>+35% +~60%
Fiber customers/FBB (%)
~45%
(+30 p.p.
vs 2014)
2016E
+ Business capabilities enabled by IT
Online & Multi-channel
360º customer view
Big Data and Real Time Decision
Application convergence
Automated processes
Leaner Co: Simplification program enabling growth &
transformation
2014 gross savings €0.3 bn run rate
Structure simplification to adapt to the new operating model
(from regional to global model and lower local layers)
SG&A global policies driving further cost reductions
Outsourcing of support functions (i.e. Brazil: 1k FTEs)
Provision for restructuring costs & others (Germany, Brazil, Hispam and Other companies)
Q4 14 impact (-€644m) on Group OIBDA
Restructuring plan affecting ~ 4.5k FTEs
Gross savings (OpEx+CapEx) 2015-17E
Personnel cost savings related to restructuring
Offer simplification & channel optimisation
Customer driven simplification initiatives (i.e.: increase selfcare, e-billing&)
Efficiencies through support functions (full transformation and further outsourcing)
Demand based deployment leveraged on Analytics
Network automation and global processes
Germany & Brazil synergies related to fixed costs
Simplification Scope: ~55% of OpEx & CapEx (ex-spectrum)
Additional run-rate vs 2014 (€bn FX 14)
Run-rate achieved in 2014 (€bn)
0.7
0.3
0.3 0.3
[Graphic Appears Here]
Run-rate savings include part of the
synergies from Brazil & Germany:
€0.6Bn in 2017E
2014
2015E
2016E
2017E
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 34
Spain: Strengthening differentiation
Up to ~75% homes passed with FTTH by 2016(1)
A more supportive
Spain, a reference in Europe in FTTH coverage environment to fuel
unparalleled CapEx Outpace in premises passed: x4 vs France, x8 vs Germany, x6 vs Sweden effort (subject to Future-proof FTTH technology to support high-speed demand adequate regulation) Expanded indoor mobile coverage and quality fiber backhaul
European Digital Agenda 2020 targets fulfilled 4 years in advance just with Telefónica_s networks Up to €3.5Bn CapEx
(1) 100% population with >30 Mb; 50% connected users >100 Mb in 2015-16E
_Fusión_, key vehicle to evolve differential value proposition
_Fusión TV_ will drive ARPU growth and increase loyalty
A profitable growing Increased TV penetration, closing the gap with Europe
Co. focused on
value 26% penetration in Spain vs. 53% in Europe
Recovering revenue growth y-o-y from FY 2015
Digital Services to enhance _Fusión_ and Corporate portfolio CapEx(1) 2017E to return Mobile data monetisation momentum to 2013 level Scope to increase efficiency (distribution & IT simplification)
(1) Subject to adequate regulation
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 35
FTTH premises passed (m)
13-18(1) 10.3 5.2
Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-16E
LTE Coverage (% pop.)
>85% 58% 40%
Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-16E
_Fusión_ customers (m)
Mid-single digit
ARPU _Fusión_
CAGR 14-16E
CAGR 14-16E >15% +27% y-o-y >5 3.7 2.9
Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-16
Every business unit contributing to accelerate growth
Digital Services: Capturing Digital growth opportunity
Germany: keep momentum, integrate quickly and transform the Co.
Brazil: Strengthening market leadership
HispAm: Consolidating revenue growth & further efficiency
Investor Relations Telefónica, S.A.
Accelerating on digital services capabilities
(Cloud, Security, M2M, eHealth)
Strong focus on SMEs with refreshed portfolio
Driving emerging Digital Services
Financial Services: Consolidate insurance & microcredits and deploy new services Accelerating advertising revenues
Service Revenue drivers
Confirmed >€5Bn NPV synergies
Setting market trends
Leading monetisation on LTE Up to 90% Integration completed by 2019:
LTE coverage o €800m run-rate of OpCF synergies Smart upselling path 2016E ~30% o of run-rate synergies by 2015
Leading Digital Telco ~80% of run-rate synergies by o 2018 Best high-speed access experience
Commercial focus on mobile data boosted by superior
Strong synergies extracted from GVT network quality (Smartphone penetration in prepaid >55% at acquisition: >€4.7Bn with net savings
2016E) from 2015
Fiber leadership in Sao Paulo; nationwide exposure post GVT
Annual run-rate of operating and revenue synergies of at least €450m; c70% of run-rate >60% ~5.5m synergies by year 2017
LTE Coverage FTTH premises passed 2016E 2016E
Strong growth potential across prepay & contract mobile Efficiency improvement IT, network
Optimal to large structural opportunities and shared services market structure leading
LTE available in all markets from 2015
Further smartphone penetration opportunity
Differential spectrum holdings
Mobile data main growth opportunity >55%
Bundling fixed services at the core of our strategy
LTE Coverage 2016E
36
Closing remarks
REINFORCED INVESTMENT CASE; CHANGING GROWTH PROFILE WITH THE RIGHT FINANCIALS
1 Solid platform built; Ground to support new multi-annual outlook
2 Exciting digital revolution ahead of us; Transform for Growth
3 Focused operations following portfolio strengthening
4 Committed to financial discipline
5 Focus on improving shareholders_ returns
Investor Relations
Telefónica, S.A. 37
For further information:
Investor Relations
Tel. +34 91 482 87 00
ir@telefonica.com
www.telefonica.com/investors
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Telefónica, S.A | ||||||
Date: February 25th , 2015 | By: |
/s/ Miguel Escrig Meliá | ||||
Name: Miguel Escrig Meliá | ||||||
Title: Chief Financial Officer |