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3 Reasons to Avoid DRVN and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

DRVN Cover Image

Over the last six months, Driven Brands shares have sunk to $12.32, producing a disappointing 19.6% loss - worse than the S&P 500’s 2.3% drop. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is now the time to buy Driven Brands, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Is Driven Brands Not Exciting?

Even though the stock has become cheaper, we don't have much confidence in Driven Brands. Here are three reasons why DRVN doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Same-Store Sales Falling Behind Peers

Investors interested in Industrial & Environmental Services companies should track same-store sales in addition to reported revenue. This metric measures the change in sales at brick-and-mortar locations that have existed for at least a year, giving visibility into Driven Brands’s underlying demand characteristics.

Over the last two years, Driven Brands’s same-store sales averaged 2% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it might have to change its strategy or pricing, which can disrupt operations. Driven Brands Same-Store Sales Growth

2. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

While Driven Brands posted positive free cash flow this quarter, the broader story hasn’t been so clean. Driven Brands’s demanding reinvestments have drained its resources over the last five years, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 5.7%, meaning it lit $5.74 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue. This is a stark contrast from its adjusted operating margin, and its investments in working capital/capital expenditures are the primary culprit.

Driven Brands Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Driven Brands’s five-year average ROIC was negative 3.1%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business. Its returns were among the worst in the business services sector.

Driven Brands Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Driven Brands’s business quality ultimately falls short of our standards. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 9.9× forward P/E (or $12.32 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is big given its shaky fundamentals. We're fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.

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