UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
______________________________
FORM 10-K
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015 |
Commission file number 1-8787 |
American International Group, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) |
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Delaware (State
or other jurisdiction of |
13-2592361 |
175 Water Street, New York, New York |
10038 |
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (212) 770-7000
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Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: See Exhibit 99.02
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None
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Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes☑ No ☐
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ☐ No ☑
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☑ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes ☑ No ☐
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer ☑ |
Accelerated filer ☐ |
Non-accelerated filer ☐ |
Smaller reporting company ☐ |
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(Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes ☐ No ☑
The aggregate market value of the voting and nonvoting common equity held by nonaffiliates of the registrant (based on the closing price of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter) was approximately $80,826,000,000.
As of February 11, 2016, there were outstanding 1,149,448,256 shares of Common Stock, $2.50 par value per share, of the registrant.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Document of the Registrant |
Form 10-K Reference Locations |
Portions of the registrant’s definitive proxy statement for the 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders |
Part II, Item 5 and Part III, Items 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14
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Form 10-K
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American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a leading global insurance organization. Founded in 1919, today we provide a wide range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services to customers in more than 100 countries and jurisdictions. Our diverse offerings include products and services that help businesses and individuals protect their assets, manage risks and provide for retirement security. AIG common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the Tokyo Stock Exchange. |
AIG’s key strengths include: |
World class insurance franchises that are among the leaders in their categories and are focused on improving their operating performance; |
A diverse mix of businesses with a presence in most international markets; |
Effective capital management of the largest shareholders’ equity of any insurance company in the world*, supported by enhanced risk management; |
Breadth of customers, serving over 89 percent of companies included in the Fortune Global 500; and |
Balance sheet quality and strength, as demonstrated by over $89 billion in shareholders’ equity and AIG Parent liquidity of $13.7 billion. |
* At June 30, 2015, the latest date for which information was available for certain foreign insurance companies.
In this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless otherwise mentioned or unless the context indicates otherwise, we use the terms “AIG,” the “Company,” “we,” “us” and “our” to refer to American International Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries. We use the term “AIG Parent” to refer solely to American International Group, Inc., and not to any of its consolidated subsidiaries.
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We report our results of operations through two reportable segments: Commercial Insurance and Consumer Insurance, as well as a Corporate and Other category. Commercial Insurance has three operating segments: Property Casualty, Mortgage Guaranty and Institutional Markets. Consumer Insurance also has three operating segments: Retirement, Life and Personal Insurance. The Corporate and Other category consists of businesses and items not allocated to our reportable segments. Certain of our management activities, such as investment management, enterprise risk management, liquidity management and capital management, and our balance sheet reporting, are conducted on a legal entity basis. We group our insurance-related legal entities into two categories: Non-Life Insurance Companies, and Life Insurance Companies. Non-Life Insurance Companies include the following major property casualty and mortgage guaranty companies: National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, Pa. (National Union); American Home Assurance Company (American Home); Lexington Insurance Company (Lexington); Fuji Fire and Marine Insurance Company Limited (Fuji Fire); American Home Assurance Company, Ltd. (American Home Japan); AIG Asia Pacific Insurance, Pte, Ltd.; AIG Europe Limited; United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company (UGRIC) Life Insurance Companies include the following major operating companies: American General Life Insurance Company (American General Life); The Variable Annuity Life Insurance Company (VALIC); The United States Life Insurance Company in the City of New York (U.S. Life); AIG Fuji Life Insurance Company Limited (Fuji Life). On January 26, 2016, we announced several actions designed to create a leaner, more profitable and focused insurer. These actions included a plan to reorganize our operating model into “modular”, more self-contained business units to enhance transparency and accountability. Additionally, we are introducing a new Legacy Portfolio that aims to maximize value and release capital of certain run-off non-strategic assets and highlight progress on improving the return on equity (ROE) of our Operating Portfolio. When the new operating structure is finalized, the presentation of our segment results may be modified and prior periods’ presentation may be revised to conform to the new structure. Based on this strategy, we have updated our priorities for 2016. |
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AIG Priorities for 2016 |
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AIG is focused on the following priorities for 2016: · Improving our ROE · Creating a leaner, more profitable and focused insurer by reorganizing our operating model into “modular”, more self-contained business units to enhance transparency and accountability, including the introduction of a new Legacy Portfolio that aims to maximize value and release capital from run-off of non-strategic assets · Reducing general operating expenses · Improving the Commercial Insurance Property Casualty accident year loss ratio · Returning excess capital to shareholders · Growing book value per common share |
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(a) Total consideration of approximately $7.6 billion, includes net cash proceeds of $2.4 billion and 97.6 million newly issued AerCap common shares. Based in part on AerCap's closing price per share of $47.01 on May 13, 2014, the date the sale of ILFC to AerCap was completed.
(b) Book value per common share excluding AOCI is a non-GAAP measure. See Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) —Use of Non-GAAP Measures for additional information.
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How we Generate Revenues and Profitability
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We earn revenues primarily from insurance premiums, policy fees from universal life insurance and investment products, and income from investments and advisory fees.
Our expenses consist of policyholder benefits and losses incurred, interest credited to policyholders, commissions and other costs of selling and servicing our products, and general operating expenses.
Our profitability is dependent on our ability to properly price and manage risk on insurance and annuity products, to manage our portfolio of investments effectively, and to control costs through expense discipline.
INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES OF Our Insurance OPERATIONS
Our Non-Life Insurance Companies and Life Insurance Companies generally receive premiums and deposits well in advance of paying covered claims or benefits. In the intervening periods, we invest these premiums and deposits to generate net investment income that, along with the invested funds, is available to pay claims or benefits. As a result, we generate significant revenues from insurance investment activities. |
We generate significant revenues in our insurance operations from investment activities. |
Our worldwide insurance investment policy places primary emphasis on investments in corporate bonds, municipal bonds and government bonds in all of our portfolios, and, to a lesser extent, investments in high yield bonds, common stock, real estate, hedge funds and other alternative investments. |
The majority of assets backing our insurance liabilities consist of intermediate and long duration fixed maturity securities.
Non-Life Insurance Companies — Fixed maturity securities held by the insurance companies included in the Non-Life Insurance Companies’ domestic operations have historically consisted primarily of corporate bonds, municipal bonds and government bonds. These investments provided attractive returns and limited credit risk. To meet our domestic operations’ current risk return and business objectives, our domestic Non-Life Insurance Companies have been shifting investment allocations to a broader array of investments, including structured securities, mortgage loans, equity related opportunities and other investments that offer attractive risk-adjusted returns. Our fixed maturity securities must meet our liquidity, duration and quality objectives as well as current capital, risk return and business objectives. Fixed maturity securities held by the Non-Life Insurance Companies’ international operations consist primarily of intermediate duration high-grade securities, primarily in the markets being served. In addition, the Non-Life Insurance Companies have redeployed cash in excess of operating needs into investments consistent with the asset classes described above.
Life Insurance Companies — The investment strategy for the portfolios of the Life Insurance Companies is largely to match our liabilities with assets of comparable duration, to the extent practicable. The Life Insurance Companies primarily invest in a diversified portfolio of fixed maturity securities, which include corporate bonds and structured securities. To further diversify the portfolio, investments are selectively made in alternative investments, including private equity funds, hedge funds and affordable housing partnerships. See Item 7. MD&A — Investments for additional discussion of investment strategies.
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Commercial Insurance |
Consumer Insurance |
Commercial Insurance is a leading provider of insurance products and services for commercial and institutional customers. It includes one of the world’s most far-reaching property casualty networks, a leading mortgage guaranty insurer and an institutional retirement and savings business. Commercial Insurance offers a broad range of products to customers through a diversified, multichannel distribution network. Customers value Commercial Insurance’s strong capital position, extensive risk management and claims experience, and its ability to be a market leader in critical lines of insurance business. |
Consumer Insurance is a unique franchise that brings together a broad portfolio of retirement, life insurance and personal insurance products offered through multiple distribution networks. It holds long-standing, leading market positions in many of its U.S. product lines, and its global footprint provides the opportunity to leverage its multinational servicing capabilities and pursue select opportunities in attractive markets. With its strong capital position, customer-focused service, innovative product development capabilities and strong distribution relationships across multiple channels, Consumer Insurance is well positioned to provide clients with the products and services they desire, delivered through the channels they prefer. |
Corporate and Other |
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Corporate and Other includes AIG Parent as well as certain legacy assets and run-off insurance businesses. |
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Global Footprint Our Non-Life Insurance Companies net premiums written (NPW) of $33.1 billion in 2015 reflected our expansive global footprint. Based on NPW in 2014, we are the largest commercial insurer in the U.S., the largest U.S. based property casualty insurer in Europe, and the largest foreign property casualty insurer in Asia and the Far East. In addition, AIG was first to market in many emerging markets and is well positioned to enhance its businesses in countries such as Brazil, China through strategic relationships with People’s Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited (PICC Group), and India with the Tata Group. Our Life Insurance Companies premiums and deposits (P&D) of $32.0 billion in 2015 demonstrate a substantial presence in the U.S. and a meaningful share of the Japan market. P&D is a non-GAAP financial measure that includes direct and assumed amounts received on traditional life insurance policies, group benefit policies and deposits on life‑contingent payout annuities, as well as deposits received on universal life, investment‑type annuity contracts and mutual funds. See Item 7. MD&A — Results of Operations for Institutional Markets, Retirement and Life for a reconciliation of P&D to premiums. |
We have a significant international presence in both developed markets and growth economy nations, specifically in Asia Pacific, Central Europe, the Middle East, Africa and South America. We distribute our products through three major geographic regions:
• Americas: Includes the United States, Canada, Mexico, South America, the Caribbean and Bermuda.
• Asia Pacific: Includes Japan, China, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Australia, Indonesia and other Asia Pacific nations.
• EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa): Includes the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, the Russian Federation, India, the Middle East and Africa.
In 2015, 6.3 percent and 5.1 percent of our property casualty direct premiums were written in the states of California and New York, respectively, and 14.3 percent and 7.2 percent were written in Japan and the United Kingdom, respectively. No other state or foreign jurisdiction accounted for more than five percent of such premiums.
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Diversified Mix of Businesses*
(dollars in millions)
* Represents revenues from insurance operations. Revenues for Property Casualty, Mortgage Guaranty, and Personal Insurance include net premiums earned and net investment income. Revenues for Institutional Markets, Retirement and Life include premiums, policy fees, net investment income and advisory fees.
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Commercial Insurance |
Business Strategy Customer: Strive to be our clients’ most valued insurer by offering innovative products, superior service and access to an extensive global network. |
Sharpen Commercial Focus: Achieve ROE in excess of target across our businesses primarily through improvements in our loss ratio. Improve our business portfolio through risk selection by using enhanced data, analytics and the application of science to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns. Exit or remediate targeted sub-segments of underperforming portfolios that do not meet our risk acceptance or profitability objectives. |
Drive Efficiency: Reorganize our operating model into “modular”, more self-contained business units to enhance decision making, transparency and accountability, driving performance improvement and strategic flexibility over time; increase capital fungibility and diversification, streamline our legal entity structure, optimize reinsurance, improve tax efficiency and reduce expenses. |
Invest to Grow: Grow our higher-value businesses while investing in transformative opportunities, continuing initiatives to modernize our technology and infrastructure, advancing our engineering capabilities, innovating new products and client risk services and delivering a better client experience. |
10 |
Commercial Insurance Competitive Strengths and Challenges |
Commercial Insurance is a global franchise committed to delivering value to our clients through innovative solutions, market-leading expertise and superior service. Our competitive strengths include: Global franchise – long global history, extensive multinational network and leading positions and infrastructures in North America, Europe and Asia Underwriting and claims expertise – industry-leading professionals with deep expertise handling large, complex and emerging risks Innovation – a culture of innovation driven by risk management expertise and a focus on customer needs Information and science capabilities – decades of unique proprietary data on wide range of client risks, underwriting results and analytical capabilities to generate valuable client insights Service – extensive client risk service teams to partner with clients to mitigate their most critical risks Financial strength and market leadership – a well-capitalized, strong balance sheet highly valued by customers that allows us to be a market leader in many lines of business Scale – size and scope of business facilitates risk diversification to optimize returns on capital Diversification – breadth of customers served, products underwritten and distribution channels Our challenges include: Information technology infrastructure requires modernization, which puts pressure on our efforts to reduce operating expenses Long-tail exposures create an added challenge to pricing and risk management Over capacity in certain lines of business creates downward pressure on market pricing Tort environment volatility in certain jurisdictions and lines of business Volatility from natural and man-made catastrophes from a property casualty perspective |
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A Look at Commercial Insurance
Property Casualty conducts its business primarily through our Non-Life Insurance Companies.
Mortgage Guaranty conducts its business primarily through United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company.
Institutional Markets conducts its business primarily through our Life Insurance Companies.
Commercial Insurance Operating Segments
Commercial Insurance’s current operating segments consist of Property Casualty, Mortgage Guaranty and Institutional Markets.
Property Casualty Product Lines |
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Casualty: Products include general liability, commercial automobile liability, workers’ compensation, excess casualty and crisis management insurance products. Casualty also includes risk-sharing and other customized structured programs for large corporate and multinational customers. Property: Products include commercial, industrial and energy-related property insurance products and services that cover exposures to man-made and natural disasters, including business interruption. Specialty: Products include aerospace, environmental, political risk, trade credit, surety and marine insurance, and various small and medium sized enterprises insurance lines. Financial: Products include professional liability insurance for a range of businesses and risks, including directors and officers liability (D&O), fidelity, employment practices, fiduciary liability, cybersecurity risk, kidnap and ransom, and errors and omissions insurance (E&O). Property Casualty products are primarily distributed through a network of independent retail and wholesale brokers, and through a newly acquired leading U.S. managing general agent and insurance program administrator. |
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Mortgage Guaranty Product Lines |
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Mortgage insurance (MI) protects mortgage lenders and investors against the increased risk of borrower default related to high loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages. Mortgage Guaranty products and services are directly distributed to a comprehensive range of mortgage originators including national mortgage, community and money center banks, as well as through builder-owned, regional mortgage and internet-sourced lender and credit unions. |
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Institutional Markets Product Lines |
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Products primarily include stable value wrap products, structured settlement and terminal funding annuities, high net worth products, corporate- and bank-owned life insurance and guaranteed investment contracts (GICs). Institutional Markets products are primarily distributed through specialized marketing and consulting firms and structured settlement brokers. |
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Commercial Insurance Competition
Operating in a highly competitive industry, Property Casualty competes against several hundred stock companies, specialty insurance organizations, mutual companies and other underwriting organizations in the U.S. In international markets, Property Casualty competes for business with the foreign insurance operations of large global insurance groups and local companies in specific market areas and product types. Mortgage Guaranty competes with several private providers of mortgage insurance, both well-established and new entrants to the industry, and the Federal Housing Administration, which is the largest provider of mortgage insurance in the United States. Institutional Markets competes with large domestic (both stock and mutual) life companies, as well as international life companies.
Insurance companies compete through a combination of risk acceptance criteria, product pricing, service and terms and conditions. Commercial Insurance distinguishes itself in the insurance industry primarily based on its well-established brand, global franchise, financial and capital strength, innovative products, expertise in providing specialized coverages and customer service.
We serve our business and individual customers on a global basis — from the largest multinational corporations to local businesses and individuals. Our clients benefit from our substantial underwriting expertise and long-term commitment to the markets we serve.
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Consumer Insurance is focused on achieving improved returns by investing in markets where we can grow profitably and sustainably. Our strategic plan is aligned with our vision to be our clients’ most valued insurer. We intend to enhance our operational effectiveness and use of analytics to reduce expenses, increase profitability, and facilitate delivery of our target customer experience. Business Strategy Customer: Through our unique franchise, which brings together a broad portfolio of retirement, life insurance and personal insurance products offered through multiple distribution networks, Consumer Insurance aims to provide customers with the products and services they desire, delivered through the channels they prefer. |
Information-Driven Strategy: Utilize customer insight, analytics and the application of science to optimize customer acquisition, product profitability, product mix, channel performance and risk management capabilities. |
Sharpen Consumer Focus: Invest in areas where Consumer Insurance can grow profitably and sustainably. Target growth in select markets according to market size, growth potential, market maturity and customer demographics, and narrow our footprint in less profitable markets with insufficient scale. |
Operational Effectiveness: Simplify processes and enhance operating environments to increase competitiveness, improve service and product capabilities and facilitate delivery of our target customer experience. |
Investment Strategy: Maintain a diversified, high quality portfolio of fixed maturity securities that largely matches the duration characteristics of related insurance liabilities with assets of comparable duration, and pursue selective yield-enhancement opportunities that meet liquidity, risk and return objectives. |
Profitability and Capital Management: Deliver solid earnings through disciplined pricing, sustainable underwriting improvements, expense reductions and diversification of risk, and increase capital efficiency within insurance entities to enhance ROE. |
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Consumer Insurance Competitive Strengths and Challenges |
Our competitive strengths include: Unique franchise – broad portfolio of retirement, life insurance and personal insurance products offered through multiple distribution networks Market leader – long-standing, leading positions in many of our product lines and key distribution channels Global business – ability to leverage multinational servicing capabilities Strong distribution relationships across multiple channels – opportunity to expand on distribution relationships to effectively market diverse product offerings Information and science capabilities – used to build decision tools, transform processes and optimize performance Customer-focused service – investments in technology and operating platforms provide the foundation to deliver our target customer experience Risk diversification and scale – breadth of product offerings and scale advantage in key product lines Capital strength – capacity to drive growth in attractive markets and product lines Our challenges include: Highly competitive environment where products are differentiated by pricing, terms, customer service and ease of doing business Regulatory requirements in recent years have created an increasingly complex environment that is affecting industry growth and profitability Low interest rate environment makes it more difficult to profitably price many of our products and puts margin pressure on existing products due to the challenge of investing in a low rate environment |
A Look at Consumer Insurance
The Retirement and Life operating segments conduct their business primarily through our Life Insurance Companies.
The Personal Insurance operating segment conducts its business primarily through our Non-Life Insurance Companies.
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Consumer Insurance Operating Segments
Consumer Insurance’s current operating segments consist of Retirement, Life, and Personal Insurance.
Retirement Product Lines |
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Fixed Annuities: Products include single and flexible premium fixed annuities and single premium immediate and deferred income annuities. The Fixed Annuities product line maintains its industry-leading position in the U.S. bank distribution channel by designing products collaboratively with banks and offering an efficient and flexible administration platform. Retirement Income Solutions: Primary products include variable and fixed index annuities that provide both asset accumulation and lifetime income benefits, as well as investment-focused variable annuities. Variable annuities are distributed primarily through banks, wirehouses, and regional and independent broker‑dealers. Fixed index annuities are distributed primarily through banks, broker dealers, independent marketing organizations and independent insurance agents. Group Retirement: Products are marketed under the VALIC brand and include fixed and variable annuities, mutual funds, and plan administrative and compliance services. VALIC career financial advisors and independent financial advisors provide retirement plan participants with enrollment support and comprehensive financial planning services. Retail Mutual Funds: Includes our mutual fund sales and related administration and servicing operations. |
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Life Product Lines |
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Life products in the U.S. primarily include term life and universal life insurance. International products include term and whole life insurance, supplemental health, cancer and critical illness insurance. Life products are primarily distributed through independent marketing organizations, independent insurance agents, financial advisors and direct marketing. The Life operating segment also offers group products distributed through employers (both employer-paid and voluntary) and sponsored organizations, with the key products being basic and supplemental term life, universal life and disability insurance. |
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Personal Insurance Product Lines |
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Accident and Health: Products include voluntary and sponsor-paid personal accident and supplemental health products for individuals, employees, associations and other organizations as well as a broad range of travel insurance products and services for leisure and business travelers. Accident and Health (A&H) products are distributed through various channels, including agents, brokers, affinity partners, airlines and travel agents. Personal Lines: Products include automobile and homeowners insurance, extended warranty, and consumer specialty products, such as identity theft and credit card protection. Products are distributed through various channels, including agents, brokers and direct marketing. Personal Insurance also provides insurance for high net worth individuals offered through AIG Private Client Group, including auto, homeowners, umbrella, yacht, fine art and collections insurance. |
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Consumer Insurance Competition
Consumer Insurance operates in the highly competitive insurance and financial services industry in the U.S. and select international markets and competes against various financial services companies, including mutual funds, banks and other life and property casualty insurance companies. Competition is primarily based on product pricing and design, distribution, financial strength, customer service and ease of doing business.
Consumer Insurance competes based on its long‑standing market leading positions, innovative products, distribution relationships across multiple channels, customer-focused service and strong financial ratings.
Corporate and Other consists of assets and income from assets held by AIG Parent and other corporate subsidiaries, general operating expenses not attributable to specific reportable segments and interest expense. It also includes run-off lines of insurance business, including excess workers’ compensation, asbestos and environmental (1986 and prior), certain environmental liability businesses, certain healthcare coverage, certain casualty and specialty coverages reported in Eaglestone Reinsurance Company, and certain long-duration business, primarily in Japan and the U.S.
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OUR EMPLOYEES
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At December 31, 2015, we had approximately 66,400 employees. We believe that our relations with our employees are satisfactory.
* Includes employees in Finance; Enterprise Risk Management; Legal, Regulatory and Compliance; Human Resources and Administration; and Internal Audit.
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A Review of Liability for Unpaid LOSSES and loss Adjustment Expenses
The liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (also referred to as loss reserves) represents the accumulation of estimates for unpaid reported losses (case reserves) and losses that have been incurred but not reported (IBNR) for the Non-Life Insurance Companies and Eaglestone Reinsurance Company, including the related expenses of settling those losses.
We recognize as assets the portion of this liability that is expected to be recovered from reinsurers. Loss reserves are discounted, where permitted, in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
The Loss Reserve Development Process
The process of establishing the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is complex and imprecise because it must take into consideration many variables that are subject to the outcome of future events. As a result, informed subjective estimates and judgments about our ultimate exposure to losses are an integral component of our loss reserving process.
We use a number of techniques to analyze the adequacy of the established net liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (net loss reserves). Using these analytical techniques, we monitor the adequacy of our established reserves and determine appropriate assumptions for inflation and other factors influencing loss costs. Our analyses also take into account emerging specific development patterns, such as case reserve redundancies or deficiencies and IBNR emergence. We also consider specific factors that may impact losses, such as changing trends in medical costs, unemployment levels and other economic indicators, as well as changes in legislation and social attitudes that may affect decisions to file claims or the magnitude of court awards. See Item 7. MD&A — Critical Accounting Estimates for a description of our loss reserving process. |
Because reserve estimates are subject to the outcome of future events, changes in prior year estimates are unavoidable in the insurance industry. These changes in estimates are sometimes referred to as “prior year loss development” or “reserve development.” |
A significant portion of the Non-Life Insurance Companies’ reserves are for the U.S. commercial casualty class, including excess casualty, asbestos and environmental, which tends to involve longer periods of time for the reporting and settlement of claims than other types of insurance and therefore may increase the inherent risk and uncertainty with respect to our loss reserve development.
Analysis of Consolidated Loss Reserve Development
The “Analysis of Consolidated Loss Reserve Development” table presents the development of prior year net loss reserves for calendar years 2005 through 2015 for each balance sheet in that period. The information in the table is presented in accordance with reporting requirements of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This table should be interpreted with care by those not familiar with its format or those who are familiar with other loss development analyses arranged in an accident year or underwriting year basis rather than the balance sheet, as shown below. See Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The top row of the table shows Net Reserves Held (the net liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses) at each balance sheet date, net of discount. This liability represents the estimated amount of losses and loss adjustment expenses for claims arising in all years prior to the balance sheet date that were unpaid as of that balance sheet date, including estimates for IBNR claims, net of estimated reinsurance recoverable and loss reserve discount. The estimated reinsurance recoverable is shown near the bottom of the table. The amount of loss reserve discount included in the net reserves at each date is shown immediately below the net reserves held. The undiscounted reserve at each date is equal to the sum of the discount and the net reserves held. For example, Net Reserves Held (Undiscounted) was $59.6 billion at December 31, 2005.
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The next section of the table shows the original Net Undiscounted Reserves re-estimated over 10 years. This re-estimation takes into consideration a number of factors, including changes in the estimated frequency of reported claims, effects of significant judgments, the emergence of latent exposures, and changes in medical cost trends. For example, the original undiscounted reserve of $59.6 billion at December 31, 2005, was re-estimated to $71.7 billion at December 31, 2015. The amount of the development related to losses settled or re-estimated in 2015, but incurred in 2012, is included in the cumulative development amount for years 2012, 2013 and 2014. Any increase or decrease in the estimate is reflected in operating results in the period in which the estimate is changed.
The middle of the table shows Net Deficiency. This is the aggregate change in estimates over the period of years covered by the table. For example, the net loss reserve deficiency of $12.1 billion for 2005 is the difference between the original undiscounted reserve of $59.6 billion at December 31, 2005 and the $71.7 billion of re-estimated reserves at December 31, 2015. The net deficiency amounts are cumulative; in other words, the amount shown in the 2014 column includes the amount shown in the 2013 column, and so on. Conditions and trends that have affected development of the liability in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it generally is not appropriate to extrapolate future development based on this table.
The bottom portion of the table shows the Paid (Cumulative) amounts during successive years related to the undiscounted loss reserves. For example, as of December 31, 2015, AIG had paid a total of $58.7 billion of the $71.7 billion in re-estimated reserves for 2005, resulting in Remaining Reserves (Undiscounted) of $13.0 billion for 2005. Also included in this section are the Remaining Reserves (Undiscounted) and the Remaining Discount for each year.
As discussed in footnotes (a) and (b) below, the calendar year distribution of these Paid (Cumulative) amounts are estimates that are affected by certain transactions, such as deconsolidations resulting from dispositions. These payment amounts may differ from the actual losses paid for a given accident year.
The following table presents loss reserves and the related loss development for 2005 through 2015 and consolidated gross liability (before discount), reinsurance recoverable and net liability recorded for each calendar year, and the re‑estimation of these amounts as of December 31, 2015.(a)
(in millions) |
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2005 |
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2006 |
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2007 |
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2008 |
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2009 |
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2010 |
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2011 |
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2012 |
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2013 |
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2014 |
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2015 |
Net Reserves Held(b) |
$ |
57,476 |
$ |
62,630 |
$ |
69,288 |
$ |
72,455 |
$ |
67,899 |
$ |
71,507 |
$ |
70,825 |
$ |
68,782 |
$ |
64,316 |
$ |
61,612 |
$ |
60,603 |
Discount (in Reserves Held) |
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2,110 |
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2,264 |
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2,429 |
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2,574 |
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2,655 |
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3,217 |
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3,183 |
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3,246 |
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3,555 |
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3,077 |
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3,148 |
Net Reserves Held (Undiscounted) |
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59,586 |
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64,894 |
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71,717 |
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75,029 |
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70,554 |
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74,724 |
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74,008 |
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72,028 |
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67,871 |
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64,689 |
$ |
63,751 |
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Net undiscounted Reserve |
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re-estimated as of: |
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One year later |
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59,533 |
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64,238 |
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71,836 |
|
77,800 |
|
74,736 |
|
74,919 |
|
74,429 |
|
72,585 |
|
68,574 |
|
68,808 |
|
|
Two years later |
|
60,126 |
|
64,764 |
|
74,318 |
|
82,043 |
|
74,529 |
|
75,502 |
|
75,167 |
|
73,571 |
|
72,296 |
|
|
|
|
Three years later |
|
61,242 |
|
67,303 |
|
78,275 |
|
81,719 |
|
75,187 |
|
76,023 |
|
76,212 |
|
76,897 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later |
|
63,872 |
|
70,733 |
|
78,245 |
|
82,422 |
|
76,058 |
|
77,031 |
|
79,050 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later |
|
67,102 |
|
70,876 |
|
79,098 |
|
83,135 |
|
77,054 |
|
79,573 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later |
|
67,518 |
|
71,572 |
|
79,813 |
|
84,100 |
|
79,319 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later |
|
68,233 |
|
72,286 |
|
80,770 |
|
86,177 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eight years later |
|
69,023 |
|
73,356 |
|
82,616 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later |
|
70,029 |
|
75,154 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later |
|
71,724 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Deficiency on net reserves held |
|
(12,138) |
|
(10,260) |
|
(10,899) |
|
(11,148) |
|
(8,765) |
|
(4,849) |
|
(5,042) |
|
(4,869) |
|
(4,425) |
|
(4,119) |
|
|
Net Deficiency related to asbestos |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
and environmental (A&E) |
|
(2,798) |
|
(2,296) |
|
(2,278) |
|
(2,229) |
|
(2,076) |
|
(575) |
|
(545) |
|
(469) |
|
(401) |
|
(278) |
|
|
Net Deficiency excluding A&E |
|
(9,340) |
|
(7,964) |
|
(8,621) |
|
(8,919) |
|
(6,689) |
|
(4,274) |
|
(4,497) |
|
(4,400) |
|
(4,024) |
|
(3,841) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paid (Cumulative) as of: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year later |
|
15,326 |
|
14,862 |
|
16,531 |
|
24,267 |
|
15,919 |
|
17,661 |
|
19,235 |
|
18,758 |
|
17,745 |
|
18,205 |
|
|
Two years later |
|
25,152 |
|
24,388 |
|
31,791 |
|
36,164 |
|
28,428 |
|
30,620 |
|
31,766 |
|
31,265 |
|
30,658 |
|
|
|
|
Three years later |
|
32,295 |
|
34,647 |
|
40,401 |
|
46,856 |
|
38,183 |
|
40,091 |
|
41,464 |
|
41,368 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later |
|
40,380 |
|
40,447 |
|
48,520 |
|
53,616 |
|
45,382 |
|
47,379 |
|
49,197 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later |
|
44,473 |
|
46,474 |
|
53,593 |
|
58,513 |
|
51,104 |
|
53,449 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later |
|
49,552 |
|
50,391 |
|
57,686 |
|
62,734 |
|
56,030 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later |
|
52,243 |
|
53,545 |
|
61,221 |
|
66,558 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
Eight years later |
|
54,332 |
|
56,424 |
|
64,517 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later |
|
56,516 |
|
59,208 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later |
|
58,703 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Reserves (Undiscounted) |
|
13,021 |
|
15,946 |
|
18,099 |
|
19,619 |
|
23,289 |
|
26,124 |
|
29,853 |
|
35,529 |
|
41,638 |
|
50,603 |
|
|
Remaining Discount |
|
1,454 |
|
1,610 |
|
1,776 |
|
1,942 |
|
2,091 |
|
2,257 |
|
2,429 |
|
2,594 |
|
2,778 |
|
2,966 |
|
|
Remaining Reserves |
$ |
11,567 |
$ |
14,336 |
$ |
16,323 |
$ |
17,677 |
$ |
21,198 |
$ |
23,867 |
$ |
27,424 |
$ |
32,935 |
$ |
38,860 |
$ |
47,637 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Liability, End of Year |
$ |
59,586 |
$ |
64,894 |
$ |
71,717 |
$ |
75,029 |
$ |
70,554 |
$ |
74,724 |
$ |
74,008 |
$ |
72,028 |
$ |
67,871 |
$ |
64,689 |
$ |
63,751 |
Reinsurance Recoverable, End of Year |
|
19,693 |
|
17,369 |
|
16,212 |
|
16,803 |
|
17,487 |
|
19,644 |
|
20,320 |
|
19,209 |
|
17,231 |
|
15,648 |
|
14,339 |
Gross Liability, End of Year |
|
79,279 |
|
82,263 |
|
87,929 |
|
91,832 |
|
88,041 |
|
94,368 |
|
94,328 |
|
91,237 |
|
85,102 |
|
80,337 |
$ |
78,090 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re-estimated Net Liability |
|
71,724 |
|
75,154 |
|
82,616 |
|
86,177 |
|
79,319 |
|
79,573 |
|
79,050 |
|
76,897 |
|
72,296 |
|
68,808 |
|
|
Re-estimated Reinsurance Recoverable |
|
24,800 |
|
20,981 |
|
19,392 |
|
18,850 |
|
18,633 |
|
16,758 |
|
18,403 |
|
18,894 |
|
17,183 |
|
14,289 |
|
|
Re-estimated Gross Liability |
|
96,524 |
|
96,135 |
|
102,008 |
|
105,027 |
|
97,952 |
|
96,331 |
|
97,453 |
|
95,791 |
|
89,479 |
|
83,097 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumulative Gross |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Redundancy (Deficiency) |
$ |
(17,245) |
$ |
(13,872) |
$ |
(14,079) |
$ |
(13,195) |
$ |
(9,911) |
$ |
(1,963) |
$ |
(3,125) |
$ |
(4,554) |
$ |
(4,377) |
$ |
(2,760) |
|
|
(a) During 2009, we deconsolidated Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and sold 21st Century Insurance Group and HSB Group, Inc. The sales and deconsolidation are reflected in the table above as a reduction in December 31, 2009 net reserves of $9.7 billion and as an $8.6 billion increase in paid losses for the years 2000 through 2008 to remove the reserves for these divested entities from the ending balance.
(b) The increase in Net Reserves Held from 2009 to 2010 is partially due to the $1.7 billion in Net Reserves Held by Fuji Fire, which was acquired in 2010. The decrease in 2011 is due to the cession of asbestos reserves described in Item 7. MD&A — Insurance Reserves – Non-Life Insurance Companies— Asbestos and Environmental (1986 and prior).
The Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses as reported in our Consolidated Balance Sheet at December 31, 2015 differs from the total reserves reported in the annual statements filed with state insurance departments and, when applicable, with foreign regulatory authorities primarily for the following reasons:
• Reserves for certain foreign operations are not required or permitted to be reported in the United States for statutory reporting purposes, including contingency reserves for catastrophic events;
• Statutory practices in the United States require reserves to be shown net of applicable reinsurance recoverable; and
• Unlike statutory financial statements, our consolidated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses excludes the effect of intercompany transactions.
Gross loss reserves are calculated without reduction for reinsurance recoverable and represent the accumulation of estimates for reported losses and IBNR, net of estimated salvage and subrogation. We review the adequacy of established gross loss reserves in the manner previously described for net loss reserves. A reconciliation of activity in the Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is included in Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
For further discussion of asbestos and environmental reserves, see Item 7. MD&A — Insurance Reserves – Non-Life Insurance Companies— Asbestos and Environmental (1986 and prior).
Reinsurance Activities
|
Reinsurance is used primarily to manage overall capital adequacy and mitigate the insurance loss exposure related to certain events such as natural and man-made catastrophes.
Our subsidiaries operate worldwide primarily by underwriting and accepting risks for their direct account on a gross basis and reinsuring a portion of the exposure on either an individual risk or an aggregate basis to the extent those risks exceed the desired retention level. In addition, as a condition of certain direct underwriting transactions, we are required by clients, agents or regulation to cede all or a portion of risks to specified reinsurance entities, such as captives, other insurers, local reinsurers and compulsory pools.
21 |
Over the last several years, the Non-Life Insurance Companies revised the ceded reinsurance framework and strategy to improve capital management and support our global product line risk and profitability objectives. As a result of adopting the revised framework and strategy, many individual reinsurance contracts were consolidated into more efficient global programs and therefore, reinsurance ceded to third parties in support of risk and capital management objectives has remained stable in 2015 compared to 2014. We continually evaluate the relative attractiveness of different forms of reinsurance contracts and different markets that may be used to achieve our risk and profitability objectives.
Reinsurance markets include:
• Traditional local and global reinsurance markets including those in the United States, Bermuda, London and Europe, accessed directly and through reinsurance intermediaries;
• Capital markets through insurance-linked securities and collateralized reinsurance transactions, such as catastrophe bonds, sidecars and similar vehicles; and
• Other insurers that engage in both direct and assumed reinsurance.
The form of reinsurance that we may choose from time to time will generally depend on whether we are seeking:
• proportional reinsurance, whereby we cede a specified percentage of premiums and losses to reinsurers;
• non-proportional or excess of loss reinsurance, whereby we cede all or a specified portion of losses in excess of a specified amount on a per risk, per occurrence (including catastrophe reinsurance) or aggregate basis; or
• facultative contracts that reinsure individual policies.
Reinsurance contracts do not relieve our subsidiaries from their direct obligations to insureds. However, an effective reinsurance program substantially mitigates our exposure to potentially significant losses.
In certain markets, we are required to participate on a proportional basis in reinsurance pools based on our relative share of direct writings in those markets. Such mandatory reinsurance generally covers higher-risk consumer exposures such as assigned-risk automobile and earthquake, as well as certain commercial exposures such as workers’ compensation.
See Item 7. MD&A – Enterprise Risk Management – Insurance Operations Risks – Non-Life Insurance Companies Key Insurance Risks – Reinsurance Recoverable for a summary of significant reinsurers.
|
Our operations around the world are subject to regulation by many different types of regulatory authorities, including insurance, securities, derivatives, investment advisory and thrift regulators in the United States and abroad.
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulation and supervision by the states and jurisdictions in which they do business. The insurance and financial services industries generally have been subject to heightened regulatory scrutiny and supervision in recent years.
22 |
The following summary provides a general overview of our primary regulators and related bodies and a brief description of their oversight with respect to us and our subsidiaries, including key regulations or initiatives that we are currently, or may in the future be, subject to. Such regulations and initiatives, both in the United States and abroad, are discussed in more detail following the summary.
U.S. Federal Regulation |
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FRB): Oversees and regulates financial institutions, including nonbank systemically important financial institutions (nonbank SIFIs). We are currently subject to the FRB’s examination, supervision and enforcement authority, and certain reporting requirements, as a nonbank SIFI. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC): Charters, regulates and supervises all national banks and federal savings associations. The OCC supervises and regulates AIG Federal Savings Bank, our trust-only federal thrift subsidiary. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC): Oversees and regulates the U.S. securities and security-based swap markets, U.S. mutual funds, U.S. broker-dealers and U.S. investment advisors. Principal regulator of the mutual funds offered by our broker-dealer subsidiaries. The SEC is in the process of implementing rules and regulations governing reporting, clearing, execution and margin requirements for security-based swaps entered into within the U.S or by U.S. persons. Our security-based swap activities are likely to be subject to certain of these rules and regulations. Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): Oversees and regulates the U.S. swap, commodities and futures markets. The CFTC has begun implementing and is continuing to implement rules and regulations governing reporting, clearing, execution, margin and other requirements for swaps entered into within the U.S. or involving U.S. persons. Our swap activities are subject to certain of these rules and regulations. Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank): Dodd-Frank has effected comprehensive changes to financial services regulation and subjects us, or may subject us, as applicable, to additional federal regulation, including: • enhanced prudential standards for nonbank SIFIs (including minimum leverage and risk-based capital requirements, capital planning, stress tests, liquidity requirements, corporate governance requirements, contingent capital requirements, counterparty credit limits, an early remediation regime process and resolution planning); • limitations on proprietary trading or covered fund activities, if the FRB decides to impose certain elements of Section 619 of Dodd-Frank (referred to as the “Volcker Rule”) on nonbank SIFIs; • financial sector concentration limits; and • increased regulation and restrictions on derivatives markets and transactions. |
U.S. State Regulation |
State Insurance Regulators: Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulation and supervision by the states and other jurisdictions in which they do business. Regulation is generally derived from statutes that delegate supervisory and regulatory powers to a state insurance regulator, and primarily relates to the insurer’s financial condition, corporate conduct and market conduct activities. NAIC Standards: The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) is a standard-setting and regulatory support organization created and governed by the chief insurance regulators from the 50 states, the District of Columbia and five U.S. territories. The NAIC itself is not a regulator, but through the NAIC, state insurance regulators establish standards and best practices, conduct peer review and coordinate regulatory oversight. |
23 |
Foreign Regulation |
Financial Stability Board (FSB): Consists of representatives of national financial authorities of the G20 nations. The FSB itself is not a regulator, but is focused primarily on promoting international financial stability. It does so by coordinating the work of national financial authorities and international standard-setting bodies as well as developing and promoting the implementation of regulatory, supervisory and other financial policies. International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS): Represents insurance regulators and supervisors of more than 200 jurisdictions in nearly 140 countries and seeks to promote globally consistent insurance industry supervision. The IAIS itself is not a regulator, but one of its activities is to develop insurance regulatory standards for use by local authorities across the globe, such as the IAIS’ Insurance Core Principles (ICPs). The FSB has directed the IAIS to develop additional standards in areas such as financial group supervision, capital and solvency standards, systemic financial risk and corporate governance in order to reinforce international financial stability. The FSB also charged the IAIS with developing a framework for measuring systemic risks posed by insurance groups. Based on the IAIS’ assessment methodology for identifying global systemically important insurers (G-SIIs), the FSB has identified nine G-SIIs, including AIG, which may subject us to a policy framework for G-SIIs that includes recovery and resolution planning, enhanced group-wide supervision, enhanced liquidity and systemic risk management planning, and group-wide capital standards, including higher loss absorbency (HLA) capital. The IAIS is also developing ComFrame, a Common Framework for the Supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs). ComFrame sets out qualitative and quantitative standards in order to assist supervisors in collectively addressing an IAIG’s activities and risks, identifying and avoiding regulatory gaps and coordinating supervisory activities. In connection with ComFrame, the IAIS is in the process of developing a risk-based global insurance capital standard (ICS) applicable to IAIGs. AIG currently meets the parameters set forth to define an IAIG. Standards issued by the FSB and/or IAIS are not binding on the United States or other jurisdictions around the world unless and until the appropriate local governmental bodies or regulators adopt appropriate laws and regulations. European Union (EU): Financial companies that operate in the EU are subject to regulation by the national regulator of each member state in which that firm operates. Groups that are categorized as financial conglomerates are also subject to supplementary supervision. This seeks to enable supervisors to perform consolidated insurance group supervision at the level of the ultimate parent entity. The objective of supplementary supervision is to detect, monitor, manage and control group risks and ensure that capital is not accounted for twice or more within the conglomerate. The Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA), the United Kingdom’s prudential regulator, is AIG’s EU lead supervisor. The Financial Conduct Authority has oversight of AIG’s European operations for consumer protection and competition matters within the UK. The EU has also established a set of regulatory requirements under the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR) that include, among other things, risk mitigation, risk management, regulatory reporting and clearing requirements. |
24 |
The European Parliament issues Directives which member states have to implement into legislation. Once implemented into country legislation, financial companies operating in Europe must adhere to these. Examples include: 1. The Insurance Distribution Directive (IDD), which updates the Insurance Mediation Directive, extending its scope to all sellers of insurance products, including direct selling to customers, any person involved in administrating policies and ancillary insurance intermediaries. The main provisions include remuneration disclosure, cross-selling limitations and professional training requirements. The IDD is expected to be finalized in February 2016 and require implementation by 2018. 2. The Solvency II Directive (2009/138/EEC) (Solvency II), which became effective on January 1, 2016, includes minimum capital and solvency requirements, governance requirements, risk management and public reporting standards. Regulation of Foreign Insurance Company Subsidiaries: Generally, our subsidiaries operating in foreign jurisdictions must satisfy local regulatory requirements. Our foreign operations are also regulated in various jurisdictions with respect to currency, policy language and terms, advertising, amount and type of security deposits, amount and type of reserves, amount and type of capital to be held, amount and type of local investment and the share of profits to be returned to policyholders on participating policies. Some foreign countries also regulate rates on various types of policies. |
|
Due to the determination of the Financial Stability Oversight Council (Council) that we should be regulated by the FRB as a nonbank SIFI pursuant to Section 113 of Dodd-Frank, we have been since July 2013 subject to the FRB’s examination, supervision and enforcement authority, and certain reporting requirements as a nonbank SIFI. Dodd-Frank requires that the Council reevaluate its determination annually; however, the Council’s 2014 and 2015 annual reevaluations did not result in a change to our nonbank SIFI status, and we remain regulated by the FRB.
Dodd-Frank has effected comprehensive changes to the regulation of financial services in the United States and subjects us to substantial additional federal regulation. Dodd-Frank directs existing and newly created government agencies and oversight bodies to promulgate regulations implementing the law, an ongoing process that is under way and is anticipated to continue over the next few years.
As required by Dodd-Frank, the FRB has adopted enhanced prudential standards (including minimum leverage and risk-based capital requirements, requirements to submit annual capital plans to the FRB demonstrating the ability to satisfy the required capital ratios under baseline and stressed conditions, and stress-testing requirements) for bank holding companies with $50 billion (and in some cases, $10 billion) or more in total consolidated assets and certain foreign banking organizations. The FRB has also adopted liquidity coverage ratio and supplemental leverage ratio requirements for a subset of large banking organizations. These requirements do not apply to nonbank SIFIs that are predominantly insurers, such as AIG. Dodd-Frank authorizes the FRB to tailor its application of enhanced prudential standards to different companies on an individual basis or by category, and the FRB has indicated that it intends to assess the business model, capital structure and risk profile of nonbank SIFIs to determine how enhanced prudential standards should apply to them, and, if appropriate, to tailor the application of these standards for nonbank SIFIs by order or regulation. We cannot predict what enhanced prudential standards the FRB will promulgate for nonbank SIFIs, either generally or as applicable to insurance businesses. The FRB has exercised general examination, supervision and enforcement authority over us as a nonbank SIFI since July 2013. We cannot predict how the FRB’s continuing exercise of its general supervisory authority over us as a nonbank SIFI will develop, although the FRB could, as a prudential matter, for example, limit our ability to pay dividends, repurchase shares of AIG Common Stock or acquire or enter into other businesses. We cannot predict with certainty the requirements of the regulations ultimately adopted or how or whether Dodd-Frank and such regulations will affect the financial markets generally, impact our businesses, results of operations, cash flows or financial condition, or require us to raise additional capital or result in a downgrade of our credit ratings. Congress also clarified that the FRB has the flexibility to tailor capital rules specifically for certain insurance activities
25 |
and is not bound to impose capital standards and quantitative requirements generally applicable to insured depository institutions and bank holding companies. We cannot predict with certainty, however, what capital rules the FRB may impose on insurers designated as nonbank SIFIs.
As a nonbank SIFI, we anticipate we will be subject to:
• stress tests to determine whether, on a consolidated basis, we have the capital necessary to absorb losses due to adverse economic conditions;
• enhanced prudential standards, including new group-wide requirements relating to risk-based capital, leverage, liquidity and credit exposure, as well as overall risk management requirements;
• management interlock prohibitions and a requirement to maintain a plan for rapid and orderly resolution in the event of severe financial distress (requirements that we are already subject to); and
• an early remediation regime process to be administered by the FRB.
Furthermore, if the Council were to make an additional separate determination that AIG poses a “grave threat” to U.S. financial stability, we would be required to maintain a debt-to-equity ratio of no more than 15:1 and the FRB may impose additional restrictions.
As part of its general prudential supervisory powers, the FRB has the authority to limit our ability to conduct activities that would otherwise be permissible for us to engage in if we do not satisfy certain requirements. In addition, if we were to seek to acquire a stake in certain financial companies, Dodd-Frank would require us to obtain the prior authorization of the FRB.
|
In addition, Dodd-Frank may also have the following effects on us:
• As a nonbank SIFI, we are currently required to provide on an annual basis (or more frequently, if required) to the FRB and FDIC a plan for our rapid and orderly resolution in the event of material financial distress or failure, which must, among other things, provide a detailed resolution strategy and analyses of our material entities, organizational structure, interconnections and interdependencies, and management information systems. Our original resolution plan was submitted to regulators on July 1, 2014, and our second resolution plan on December 31, 2015. We continue to refine and update our resolution plan, which is next required to be submitted to regulators on December 31, 2016. If the FRB and FDIC jointly determine, based on their review of the plan, that it is not credible or would not facilitate our orderly resolution under Title 11 of the United States Code (the Bankruptcy Code), they may require us to re-submit an amended plan. If the re-submitted plan also fails to meet regulatory expectations, the FRB and FDIC may exercise their authority under Dodd-Frank to impose more stringent capital, leverage, or liquidity requirements, restrict our growth, activities, or operations, require us to divest assets and operations, or otherwise increase their level of supervision of us.
• The Council may recommend that state insurance regulators or other regulators apply new or heightened standards and safeguards for activities or practices that we and other insurers or other financial services companies engage in.
• Title II of Dodd-Frank provides that a financial company whose largest United States subsidiary is an insurer (such as us) may be subject to a special resolution process outside the Bankruptcy Code. That process is to be administered by the FDIC upon a determination of the Secretary of the Treasury (the Secretary), in consultation with the President, and upon the written recommendation of the director of the Federal Insurance Office and the FRB, that, among other things, it is in default or in danger of default, that the insurer is not likely to attract private sector alternatives to default, and is not suitable for resolution under the Bankruptcy Code.
• Title VII of Dodd-Frank provides for significantly increased regulation of and restrictions on derivatives markets and transactions that could affect various activities of AIG and its insurance and financial services subsidiaries, including (i) regulatory reporting for swaps (which are regulated by the CFTC) and security-based swaps (which are regulated by the SEC), (ii) mandated clearing through central counterparties and execution through regulated swap execution facilities for certain swaps and security-based swaps and (iii) margin and collateral requirements. The CFTC has finalized many of its
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requirements, including swap reporting, the mandatory clearing of certain interest rate swaps and credit default swaps, margin requirements for uncleared swaps, and the mandatory trading of certain swaps on swap execution facilities. The SEC has proposed certain rules with respect to certain of the regulations and restrictions noted above governing security-based swaps but has yet to finalize the majority of rules comprising its security-based swap regulatory regime. These regulations have affected and may further affect various activities of AIG and its insurance and financial services subsidiaries as further rules are finalized to implement additional elements of the regulatory regime.
Similar regulations have been proposed or adopted outside the United States. For instance, the EU has also established a set of new regulatory requirements for EU derivatives activities under EMIR. These requirements include, among other things, various risk mitigation, risk management and regulatory reporting requirements that have already become effective and clearing requirements that were outlined in EU delegated legislation at the end of 2015, and are phased in over three years. These requirements could result in increased administrative costs with respect to our EU derivatives activities and overlapping or inconsistent regulation depending on the ultimate application of cross-border regulatory requirements between and among U.S. and non-U.S. jurisdictions.
• Dodd-Frank mandated a study to determine whether stable value contracts should be included in the definition of "swap." If that study concludes that stable value contracts are swaps, Dodd-Frank authorizes certain federal regulators to determine whether an exemption from the definition of a swap for stable value contracts is appropriate and in the public interest. Certain of our affiliates participate in the stable value contract business. We cannot predict what regulations might emanate from the aforementioned study or be promulgated applicable to this business in the future.
• Dodd-Frank established a Federal Insurance Office (FIO) within the United States Department of the Treasury (Department of the Treasury) headed by a director appointed by the Secretary of the Treasury. While not having a general supervisory or regulatory authority over the business of insurance, the director of this office performs various functions with respect to insurance (other than health insurance), including serving as a non-voting member of the Council. On December 12, 2013, the FIO released a Dodd-Frank mandated study on how to modernize and improve the system of insurance regulation in the United States. The report listed several actions that states could take to improve the uniformity and efficiency of the current state based regulatory system and highlighted certain areas in which Federal involvement is recommended. The FIO recommended that the states undertake reforms regarding capital adequacy, reform of insurer resolution practices, and marketplace regulation. On November 20, 2015, the Department of Treasury and the United States Trade Representative announced their intention to negotiate an agreement between the U.S. and the EU regarding prudential measures with respect to insurance and reinsurance.
• Dodd-Frank established the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) as an independent bureau within the FRB to regulate consumer financial products and services offered primarily for personal, family or household purposes. Insurance products and services are not within the CFPB's general jurisdiction, although the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development has since transferred authority to the CFPB to investigate mortgage insurance practices. Broker-dealers and investment advisers are not subject to the CFPB's jurisdiction when acting in their registered capacity.
• Title XIV of Dodd-Frank also restricts certain terms for mortgage loans, such as loan fees, prepayment fees and other charges, and imposes certain duties on a lender to ensure that a borrower can afford to repay the loan.
Dodd-Frank imposes various assessments on financial companies, including, as applicable to us, fees for our supervision by the FRB and assessments to cover the costs of any special resolution of a financial company conducted under Title II (although the regulatory authority would have to take account of the amounts paid by us into state guaranty funds).
We cannot predict whether these actions will become effective or the effect they may have on the financial markets or on our business, results of operations, cash flows, financial condition and credit ratings. However, it is possible that such effect could be materially adverse. See Item 1A. Risk Factors — Regulation for additional information.
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As described below, AIG has been designated as a Global Systemically Important Insurer (G-SII).
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In addition to the adoption of Dodd-Frank in the United States, regulators and lawmakers around the world are continuing to review the causes of the financial crisis and taking steps to avoid similar problems in the future. The FSB, consisting of representatives of national financial authorities of the G20 nations, has issued a series of frameworks and recommendations intended to produce significant changes in how financial companies, particularly global systemically important financial institutions, should be regulated. These frameworks and recommendations address such issues as financial group supervision, capital and solvency standards, systemic financial risk, corporate governance including compensation, and a number of related issues associated with responses to the financial crisis. The FSB has directed the IAIS to create standards relative to many of these areas. These new measures go beyond IAIS’ existing set of insurance core principles (ICPs). The ICPs form the baseline threshold against which countries’ financial services regulatory regimes specific to the insurance sector are measured. That measurement is made by periodic Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) reviews conducted by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank and the reports thereon spur the development of country-specific additional or amended regulatory changes. Lawmakers and regulatory authorities in a number of jurisdictions in which our subsidiaries conduct business have, in the past few years, implemented legislative and regulatory changes consistent with these recommendations, including, for example, updated Insurance Company Ordinances in Hong Kong and consolidated regulation of insurance holding companies by the Financial Services Agency in Japan.
The FSB has charged the IAIS with developing a framework for measuring systemic risks posed by insurer groups. The IAIS has requested data from selected insurers around the world to determine which elements of the insurance sector, if any, could materially and adversely impact other parts of the global financial services sector (e.g., commercial and investment banking, securities trading, etc.). Based on the IAIS’s assessment methodology for identifying G-SIIs, on July 18, 2013, the FSB, in consultation with the IAIS and national authorities, identified an initial list of nine G-SIIs, which included AIG. G-SIIs are designated on an annual basis, and AIG was re-designated as a G-SII by the FSB on November 6, 2014, and again on November 3, 2015. The IAIS released a public consultation document in November 2015, outlining proposed revisions to the 2013 methodology for identifying G-SIIs. The IAIS intends G-SIIs to be subject to a policy framework that includes recovery and resolution planning, enhanced group-wide supervision, enhanced liquidity and systemic risk management planning; and group-wide capital standards, including HLA capital. The IAIS’ basic capital requirement (BCR), which it finalized in October 2014, was endorsed by the FSB in October 2014 and by the G20 nations in November 2014. The BCR covers all group activities, with AIG reporting its BCR ratios to national authorities on a confidential basis beginning in 2015. The BCR serves as the initial foundation for the application of HLA. In October 2015, the IAIS announced that it had concluded initial development of the HLA requirements for G-SIIs, which will be reported on a confidential basis to group-wide supervisors beginning in 2016. HLA was endorsed by the FSB in September 2015 and by the G20 nations in November 2015. Both the BCR and HLA are calculated for insurance and non-insurance activities. In particular, the IAIS released another public consultation in November 2015 on “Non-traditional Non-insurance Activities and Products.” The notion of non-traditional non-insurance activities and products plays a significant role in the assessment methodology for designating G-SIIs and in the determination of the BCR and the HLA. Ultimately, the G-SII policy framework is expected to be fully implemented by the IAIS by 2019.
The IAIS is also developing ComFrame, a Common Framework for the Supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs), which sets out qualitative and quantitative standards designed to assist supervisors in collectively addressing an IAIG’s activities and risks, identifying and avoiding regulatory gaps and coordinating supervisory activities. In connection with ComFrame, the IAIS is in the process of developing a risk-based global ICS applicable to IAIGs. As currently defined under ComFrame, AIG meets the parameters set forth to define an IAIG. ComFrame standards are expected to be finalized in 2019, and the IAIS is conducting field testing of ComFrame, including the ICS, ahead of that deadline. It is expected that implementation of ComFrame and the ICS would begin in 2020.
The standards discussed above, issued by the FSB and/or the IAIS, are not binding on the United States or other jurisdictions around the world unless and until the appropriate local governmental bodies or regulators adopt appropriate laws and regulations. At this time it is not known how the IAIS’s frameworks and/or standards might be implemented in the United States and other jurisdictions around the world, or how they might apply to AIG.
Legislation in the European Union could also affect our international insurance operations. Solvency II, which became effective on January 1, 2016, reforms the insurance industry’s solvency framework, including minimum capital and solvency requirements, governance requirements, risk management and public reporting standards. In accordance with Solvency II, in the absence of decision by the European Commission on whether a supervisory regime outside of the EU is equivalent,
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Member States may decide either to apply relevant Solvency II requirements to a worldwide insurance group operating in the EU as if it were based in the European Economic Area, or to use “other methods”. Firms have to apply for a waiver to the appropriate EU regulator in order for the regulator to use “other methods.” AIG’s UK subsidiary, AIG Europe Limited, has applied to the PRA and been granted a waiver to allow the PRA to use “other methods.” Over the long-term, the impact on us will depend on whether the U.S. insurance regulatory regime is deemed “equivalent” to Solvency II; if the U.S. insurance regulatory regime is not equivalent and no other agreement addressing these differences is reached with the EU, we, along with other U.S.-based insurance companies, could be required to be supervised under Solvency II standards. On November 20, 2015, the Department of the Treasury and the United States Trade Representative announced their intention to negotiate an agreement between the U.S. and the EU, and that in these negotiations they would seek to obtain, among other things, treatment of the U.S. insurance regulatory system as “equivalent” for purposes of Solvency II. The European Commission has granted “provisional equivalence” with respect to the “solvency calculation” area of Solvency II to the insurance regulation regime of several countries, including the United States. The provisional equivalence, granted for a period of 10 years, will allow EU insurers with subsidiaries operating in these countries to use local rules, rather than Solvency II rules, to carry out their EU prudential reporting for these subsidiaries, and as such is not applicable to U.S. insurers such as AIG. This decision will take effect following the review by the European Parliament and the European Council. Whether the U.S. insurance regulatory regime will be deemed “equivalent” as relating to U.S. insurers such as AIG is still under consideration by European authorities and remains uncertain, so we are not currently able to predict the impact of Solvency II.
ERISA Considerations
We provide products and services to certain employee benefit plans that are subject to the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974, as amended (ERISA) or the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the Internal Revenue Code). Plans subject to ERISA include pension and profit sharing plans and welfare plans, including health, life and disability plans. As a result, our activities are subject to the restrictions imposed by ERISA and the Internal Revenue Code, including the requirement under ERISA that fiduciaries must perform their duties solely in the interests of ERISA plan participants and beneficiaries, and that fiduciaries may not cause a covered plan to engage in certain prohibited transactions. The prohibited transaction rules of ERISA and the Internal Revenue Code generally restrict the provision of investment advice to ERISA plans and participants and Individual Retirement Account (IRA) holders if the investment recommendation results in fees paid to the individual advisor, his or her firm or their affiliates that vary according to the investment recommendation chosen. ERISA also provides for civil and criminal penalties and enforcement.
The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) proposed a new regulation in April 2015 that would, if enacted, substantially expand the definition of "investment advice," which would substantially expand the range of activities considered to be fiduciary investment advice under ERISA and the Internal Revenue Code. In connection with the proposed regulation, the DOL also proposed amendments to its prohibited transaction exemption under ERISA that would, among other things, apply more extensive disclosure and contract requirements, and increased fiduciary requirements, for transactions involving ERISA plans, plan participants and IRA holders. On January 28, 2016, the DOL submitted its final version of the proposed regulation to the Office of Management and Budget for review. The proposed regulation is subject to potential modification before the final rule, if any, is issued. It is unknown at this time whether or how any final regulation may be different from that proposed, and what the timing for implementation of compliance requirements would be, if adopted. For additional information, see Item 7. MD&A — Executive Overview - Consumer Insurance Strategic Initiatives and Outlook.
We expect that the regulations applicable to us and our regulated entities will continue to evolve for the foreseeable future.
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Certain states and other jurisdictions require registration and periodic reporting by insurance companies that are licensed in such jurisdictions and are controlled by other entities. Applicable legislation typically requires periodic disclosure concerning the entity that controls the registered insurer and the other companies in the holding company system and prior approval of intercompany services and transfers of assets, including in some instances payment of dividends by the insurance subsidiary, within the holding company system. Our subsidiaries are registered under such legislation in those jurisdictions that have such requirements.
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Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulation and supervision by the states and by other jurisdictions in which they do business. Within the United States, the method of such regulation varies but generally has its source in statutes that delegate regulatory and supervisory powers to an insurance official. The regulation and supervision relate primarily to the financial condition of the insurers and their corporate conduct and market conduct activities. This includes approval of policy forms and rates, the standards of solvency that must be met and maintained, including with respect to risk-based capital, the standards on transactions between insurance company subsidiaries and their affiliates, including restrictions and limitations on the amount of dividends or other distributions payable by insurance company subsidiaries to their parent companies, the licensing of insurers and their agents, the nature of and limitations on investments, restrictions on the size of risks that may be insured under a single policy, deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders, requirements for acceptability of reinsurers, periodic examinations of the affairs of insurance companies, the form and content of reports of financial condition required to be filed, reserves for unearned premiums, losses and other purposes and enterprise risk management and corporate governance requirements. In general, such regulation is for the protection of policyholders rather than the equity owners of these companies.
In the U.S., the Risk-Based Capital (RBC) formula is designed to measure the adequacy of an insurer's statutory surplus in relation to the risks inherent in its business. Virtually every state has adopted, in substantial part, the RBC Model Law promulgated by the NAIC, which allows states to act upon the results of RBC calculations, and provides for four incremental levels of regulatory action regarding insurers whose RBC calculations fall below specific thresholds. Those levels of action range from the requirement to submit a plan describing how an insurer would regain a specified RBC ratio to a mandatory regulatory takeover of the company. The RBC formula computes a risk-adjusted surplus level by applying discrete factors to various asset, premium and reserve items. These factors are developed to be risk-sensitive so that higher factors are applied to items exposed to greater risk. The statutory surplus of each of our U.S. based insurance companies exceeded RBC minimum required levels as of December 31, 2015.
If any of our insurance entities fell below prescribed levels of statutory surplus, it would be our intention to provide appropriate capital or other types of support to that entity. For additional information, see Item 7. MD&A — Liquidity and Capital Resources — Liquidity and Capital Resources of AIG Parent and Subsidiaries — Non-Life Insurance Companies and — Life Insurance Companies.
The NAIC’s Model Regulation “Valuation of Life Insurance Policies” (Regulation XXX) requires insurers to establish additional statutory reserves for term life insurance policies with long-term premium guarantees and universal life policies with secondary guarantees (ULSGs). NAIC Actuarial Guideline 38 (Guideline AXXX) clarifies the application of Regulation XXX as to these guarantees, including certain ULSGs. See Item 1A – Risk Factors and Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for risks and additional information related to these statutory reserving requirements. Additionally, the NAIC has adopted a Principle-Based Reserving (PBR) approach for life insurance products, which will become operational once adopted in 42 U.S. jurisdictions accounting for at least 75 percent of U.S. insurance premiums combined. Once it becomes operational, PBR would replace Regulation XXX and Guidelines AXXX with respect to new life insurance business issued. Two of our domiciliary states (Missouri and Texas) have adopted regulations necessary to implement PBR once the required number of jurisdictions and insurance premiums threshold have been satisfied.
The NAIC has undertaken the Solvency Modernization Initiative (SMI) which focuses on a review of insurance solvency regulations throughout the U.S. financial regulatory system and is expected to lead to a set of long-term solvency modernization goals. SMI is broad in scope, but the NAIC has stated that its focus will include the U.S. solvency framework, group solvency issues, capital requirements, international accounting and regulatory standards, reinsurance and corporate governance.
The NAIC has adopted revisions to the NAIC Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act (the Model Holding Company Act) and the Insurance Holding Company System Model Regulation. The revised models include provisions authorizing NAIC commissioners to act as global group-wide supervisors for internationally active insurance groups, and the requirement that the ultimate controlling person of a U.S. insurer file an annual enterprise risk report with the lead state of the insurer identifying risks likely to have a material adverse effect upon the financial condition or liquidity of the insurer or its insurance holding company system as a whole. To date, a majority of the states where AIG has domestic insurers have enacted a version of the revised Model Holding Company Act, including the enterprise risk reporting requirement.
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A substantial portion of our business is conducted in foreign countries. The degree of regulation and supervision in foreign jurisdictions varies. Generally, our subsidiaries operating in foreign jurisdictions must satisfy local regulatory requirements, licenses issued by foreign authorities to our subsidiaries are subject to modification or revocation by such authorities, and therefore these subsidiaries could be prevented from conducting business in certain of the jurisdictions where they currently operate.
In addition to licensing requirements, our foreign operations are also regulated in various jurisdictions with respect to currency, policy language and terms, advertising, amount and type of security deposits, amount and type of reserves, amount and type of capital to be held, amount and type of local investment and the share of profits to be returned to policyholders on participating policies. Some foreign countries regulate rates on various types of policies. Certain countries have established reinsurance institutions, wholly or partially owned by the local government, to which admitted insurers are obligated to cede a portion of their business on terms that may not always allow foreign insurers, including our subsidiaries, full compensation. In some countries, regulations governing constitution of technical reserves and remittance balances may hinder remittance of profits and repatriation of assets.
See Item 7. MD&A — Liquidity and Capital Resources — Regulation and Supervision and Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
AVAILABLE INFORMATION ABOUT AIG
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Our corporate website is www.aig.com. We make available free of charge, through the Investor Information section of our corporate website, the following reports (and related amendments as filed with the SEC) as soon as reasonably practicable after such materials are electronically filed with, or furnished to, the SEC:
• Annual Reports on Form 10-K
• Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q
• Current Reports on Form 8-K
• Proxy Statements on Schedule 14A, as well as other filings with the SEC
Also available on our corporate website:
• Charters for Board Committees: Audit, Nominating and Corporate Governance, Compensation and Management Resources, Risk and Capital, Regulatory, Compliance and Public Policy, and Technology Committees
• Corporate Governance Guidelines (which include Director Independence Standards)
• Director, Executive Officer and Senior Financial Officer Code of Business Conduct and Ethics (we will post on our website any amendment or waiver to this Code within the time period required by the SEC)
• Employee Code of Conduct
• Related‑Party Transactions Approval Policy
Except for the documents specifically incorporated by reference into this Annual Report on Form 10-K, information contained on our website or that can be accessed through our website is not incorporated by reference into this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Reference to our website is made as an inactive textual reference.
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ITEM 1A / RISK FACTORs
Investing in AIG involves risk. In deciding whether to invest in AIG, you should carefully consider the following risk factors. Any of these risk factors could have a significant or material adverse effect on our businesses, results of operations, financial condition or liquidity. They could also cause significant fluctuations and volatility in the trading price of our securities. Readers should not consider any descriptions of these factors to be a complete set of all potential risks that could affect AIG. These factors should be considered carefully together with the other information contained in this report and the other reports and materials filed by us with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Further, many of these risks are interrelated and could occur under similar business and economic conditions, and the occurrence of certain of them may in turn cause the emergence or exacerbate the effect of others. Such a combination could materially increase the severity of the impact of these risks on our businesses, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
MARKET CONDITIONS
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Difficult conditions in the global capital markets and the economy may materially and adversely affect our businesses, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. Our businesses are highly dependent on the economic environment, both in the U.S. and around the world. Extreme market events, such as the global financial crisis during 2008 and 2009, have at times led, and could in the future lead, to a lack of liquidity, highly volatile markets, a steep depreciation in asset values across all classes, an erosion of investor and public confidence, and a widening of credit spreads. Concerns and events beyond our control, such as U.S. fiscal and monetary policy, the U.S. housing market, oil prices, slowing growth in China and the Euro-Zone economies, concerns about European sovereign debt risk and the European banking industry and declines in prices in the high yield market and the resultant impact on certain funds have in the past, and may in the future, adversely affect liquidity, increase volatility, decrease asset prices, erode confidence and lead to wider credit spreads. Difficult economic conditions could also result in increased unemployment and a severe decline in business across a wide range of industries and regions. These market and economic factors could have a material adverse effect on our businesses, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
Under difficult economic or market conditions, we could experience reduced demand for our products and an elevated incidence of claims, increased policy cancellations and lapses or surrenders of policies. Contract holders may choose to defer or cease paying insurance premiums. Other ways in which we could be negatively affected by economic conditions include, but are not limited to:
• declines in the valuation and performance of our investment portfolio, including declines attributable to rapid increases in interest rates;
• increased credit losses;
• declines in the value of other assets;
• impairments of goodwill and other long-lived assets;
• additional statutory capital requirements;
• limitations on our ability to recover deferred tax assets;
• a decline in new business levels and renewals;
• a decline in insured values caused by a decrease in activity at client organizations;
• an increase in liability for future policy benefits due to loss recognition on certain long-duration insurance contracts;
• higher borrowing costs and more limited availability of credit;
• an increase in policy surrenders and cancellations; and
• a write-off of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC).
Sustained low interest rates may materially and adversely affect our profitability. Recent periods have been characterized by low interest rates relative to historical levels. Sustained low interest rates can negatively affect the
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performance of our investment securities and reduce the level of investment income earned on our investment portfolios. If a low interest rate environment persists, we may experience lower investment income growth. Due to practical and capital markets limitations, we may not be able to fully mitigate our interest rate risk by matching exposure of our assets relative to our liabilities. Continued low interest rates could also impair our ability to earn the returns assumed in the pricing and the reserving for our products at the time they were sold and issued. Changes in interest rates may be correlated with inflation trends, which would impact our loss trends.
Investment Portfolio, Concentration of Investments, Insurance and other Exposures
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The performance and value of our investment portfolio are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including changes in interest rates. Our investment securities are subject to market risks and uncertainties. In particular, interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including monetary policy, domestic and international economic and political issues and other factors beyond our control. Changes in monetary policy or other factors may cause interest rates to rise, which would adversely affect the value of the fixed income securities that we hold and could adversely affect our ability to sell these securities. In addition, the evaluation of available-for-sale securities for other-than-temporary impairments, which may occur if interest rates rise, is a quantitative and qualitative process that is subject to significant management judgment. For a sensitivity analysis of our exposure to certain market risk factors, see Item 7. MD&A – Enterprise Risk Management – Market Risk Management. Furthermore, our alternative investment portfolio includes investments for which changes in fair value are reported through operating income and are therefore subject to significant volatility. In an economic downturn or declining market, the reduction in our investment income due to decreases in the fair value of alternative investments could have a material adverse effect on operating income.
Our investment portfolio is concentrated in certain segments of the economy. Our results of operations and financial condition have in the past been, and may in the future be, adversely affected by the degree of concentration in our investment portfolio. We have concentrations in real estate and real estate-related securities, including residential mortgage-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities and commercial mortgage loans. We also have significant exposures to financial institutions and, in particular, to money center and global banks; certain industries, such as energy and utilities; U.S. state and local government issuers and authorities; PICC Group and PICC P&C, as a result of our strategic investments; and Euro Zone financial institutions, governments and corporations. Events or developments that have a negative effect on any particular industry, asset class, group of related industries or geographic region may adversely affect our investments to the extent they are concentrated in such segments. Our ability to sell assets concentrated in such areas may be limited.
Concentration of our insurance and other risk exposures may have adverse effects. We may be exposed to risks as a result of concentrations in our insurance policies, derivatives and other obligations that we undertake for customers and counterparties. We manage these concentration risks by monitoring the accumulation of our exposures to factors such as exposure type, industry, geographic region, counterparty and other factors. We also seek to use reinsurance, hedging and other arrangements to limit or offset exposures that exceed the limits we wish to retain. In certain circumstances, however, these risk management arrangements may not be available on acceptable terms or may prove to be ineffective for certain exposures. Also, our exposure for certain single risk coverages and other coverages may be so large that adverse experience compared to our expectations may have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or result in additional statutory capital requirements for our subsidiaries. Also see Item 7. MD&A – Executive Overview – Commercial Insurance Outlook and Strategic Initiatives.
Our valuation of investment securities may include methodologies, estimations and assumptions that are subject to differing interpretations and could result in changes to investment valuations that may materially adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. During periods of market disruption, it may be difficult to value certain of our investment securities if trading becomes less frequent and/or market data becomes less observable. There may be cases where certain assets in normally active markets with significant observable data become inactive with insufficient observable data due to the financial environment or market conditions in effect at that time. As a result, valuations may include inputs and assumptions that are less observable or require greater estimation and judgment as well as valuation methods that are more complex. These values may not be realized in a market transaction, may not reflect the value of the asset and may
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change very rapidly as market conditions change and valuation assumptions are modified. Decreases in value and/or an inability to realize that value in a market transaction or secured lending transaction may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
Reserves and Exposures
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Insurance liabilities are difficult to predict and may exceed the related reserves for losses and loss expenses. We regularly review the adequacy of the established liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and conduct extensive analyses of our reserves during the year. Our loss reserves, however, may develop adversely. Estimation of ultimate net losses, loss expenses and loss reserves is a complex process, particularly for long-tail casualty lines of business. These lines include, but are not limited to, general liability, commercial automobile liability, environmental, workers' compensation, excess casualty and crisis management coverages, insurance and risk management programs for large corporate customers and other customized structured insurance products, as well as excess and umbrella liability, Directors and Officers and products liability.
While we use a number of analytical reserve development techniques to project future loss development, reserves may be significantly affected by changes in loss cost trends or loss development factors that were relied upon in setting the reserves. For example, in the fourth quarter of 2015, we recorded a net charge of $3.6 billion to strengthen our Non-Life Insurance Companies' loss reserves, reflecting adverse development in classes of business with long reporting tails, primarily in U.S. & Canada casualty, U.S. & Canada financial lines and run-off lines. These changes in loss cost trends or loss development factors could be due to difficulties in predicting changes, such as changes in inflation, unemployment duration, or other social or economic factors affecting claims, including the judicial environment. Any deviation in loss cost trends or in loss development factors might not be identified for an extended period of time after we record the initial loss reserve estimates for any accident year or number of years. For a further discussion of our loss reserves, see Item 7. MD&A — Insurance Reserves —Non-Life Insurance Companies and Critical Accounting Estimates — Insurance Liabilities — Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (Non-Life Insurance Companies).
Our consolidated results of operations, liquidity, financial condition and ratings are subject to the effects of natural and man-made catastrophic events. Events such as hurricanes, windstorms, flooding, earthquakes, acts of terrorism, explosions and fires, cyber-crimes, product defects, pandemic and other highly contagious diseases, mass torts and other catastrophes have adversely affected our business in the past and could do so in the future. In addition, we recognize the scientific consensus that climate change is a reality of increasing concern, indicated by higher concentrations of greenhouse gases, a warming atmosphere and ocean, diminished snow and ice, and sea level rise. We understand that climate change potentially poses a serious financial threat to society as a whole, with implications for the insurance industry in areas such as catastrophe risk perception, pricing and modeling assumptions. Because there is significant variability associated with the impacts of climate change, we cannot predict how physical, legal, regulatory and social responses may impact our business.
Such catastrophic events, and any relevant regulations, could expose us to:
• widespread claim costs associated with property, workers’ compensation, A&H, business interruption and mortality and morbidity claims;
• loss resulting from a decline in the value of our invested assets;
• limitations on our ability to recover deferred tax assets;
• loss resulting from actual policy experience that is adverse compared to the assumptions made in product pricing;
• declines in value and/or losses with respect to companies and other entities whose securities we hold and counterparties we transact business with and have credit exposure to, including reinsurers, and declines in the value of investments; and
• significant interruptions to our systems and operations.
Catastrophic events are generally unpredictable. Our exposure to catastrophes depends on various factors, including the frequency and severity of the catastrophes, the rate of inflation and the value and geographic concentration of insured property
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and people. Vendor models and proprietary assumptions and processes that we use to manage catastrophe exposure may prove to be ineffective due to incorrect assumptions or estimates.
In addition, legislative and regulatory initiatives and court decisions following major catastrophes could require us to pay the insured beyond the provisions of the original insurance policy and may prohibit the application of a deductible, resulting in inflated catastrophe claims.
For further details on potential catastrophic events, including a sensitivity analysis of our exposure to certain catastrophes, see Item 7. MD&A — Enterprise Risk Management —Insurance Operations Risks.
Reinsurance may not be available or affordable and may not be adequate to protect us against losses. Our subsidiaries are major purchasers of reinsurance and we use reinsurance as part of our overall risk management strategy. While reinsurance does not discharge our subsidiaries from their obligation to pay claims for losses insured under our policies, it does make the reinsurer liable to them for the reinsured portion of the risk. For this reason, reinsurance is an important tool to manage transaction and insurance line risk retention and to mitigate losses from catastrophes. Market conditions beyond our control determine the availability and cost of reinsurance. For example, reinsurance may be more difficult or costly to obtain after a year with a large number of major catastrophes. As a result, we may, at certain times, be forced to incur additional expenses for reinsurance or may be unable to obtain sufficient reinsurance on acceptable terms. In that case, we would have to accept an increase in exposure risk, reduce the amount of business written by our subsidiaries or seek alternatives in line with our risk limits. Additionally, we are exposed to credit risk with respect to our subsidiaries’ reinsurers to the extent the reinsurance receivable is not secured by collateral or does not benefit from other credit enhancements. We also bear the risk that a reinsurer may be unwilling to pay amounts we have recorded as reinsurance recoverable for any reason, including that (i) the terms of the reinsurance contract do not reflect the intent of the parties of the contract or there is a disagreement between the parties as to their intent, (ii) the terms of the contract cannot be legally enforced, (iii) the terms of the contract are interpreted by a court or arbitration panel differently than intended, (iv) the reinsurance transaction performs differently than we anticipated due to a flawed design of the reinsurance structure, terms or conditions, or (v) a change in laws and regulations, or in the interpretation of the laws and regulations, materially impacts a reinsurance transaction. The insolvency of one or more of our reinsurers, or inability or unwillingness to make timely payments under the terms of our contracts, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and liquidity. Additionally, the use of reinsurance placed in the capital markets, such as through catastrophe bonds, may not provide the same levels of protection as traditional reinsurance transactions and any disruption, volatility and uncertainty in the catastrophe bond market, such as following a major catastrophe event, may limit our ability to access such market on terms favorable to us or at all. Also, to the extent that we intend to utilize catastrophe bond transactions based on an industry loss index or other non-indemnity trigger rather than on actual losses incurred by us, we could be subject to residual risk. Our inability to obtain adequate reinsurance or other protection could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
We currently have limited reinsurance coverage for terrorist attacks. Further, the availability of private sector reinsurance for terrorism is limited. As a result, we rely heavily on the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA), which provides U.S. government risk assistance to the insurance industry to manage the exposure to terrorism incidents in the United States. TRIPRA was reauthorized in January 2015 and is scheduled to expire on December 31, 2020. Under TRIPRA, once our losses for certain acts of terrorism exceed a deductible equal to 20 percent of our commercial property and casualty insurance premiums for covered lines for the prior calendar year, the federal government will reimburse us for losses in excess of our deductible, starting at 85 percent of losses in 2015, and reducing by one percentage point each year, ending at 80 percent in 2020, up to a total industry program limit of $100 billion. TRIPRA does not cover losses in certain lines of business such as consumer property and consumer casualty.
For additional information on our reinsurance recoverable, see Item 7. MD&A — Enterprise Risk Management — Insurance Operations Risks — Reinsurance Recoverable.
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LIQUIDITY, CAPITAL AND CREDIT
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AIG Parent’s ability to access funds from our subsidiaries is limited. As a holding company, AIG Parent depends on dividends, distributions and other payments from its subsidiaries to fund dividends on AIG Common Stock and to make payments due on its obligations, including its outstanding debt. The majority of our investments are held by our regulated subsidiaries. Our subsidiaries may be limited in their ability to make dividend payments or advance funds to AIG Parent in the future because of the need to support their own capital levels or because of regulatory limits or rating agency requirements. The inability of our subsidiaries to make payments, dividends or distributions in an amount sufficient to enable AIG Parent to meet its cash requirements could have an adverse effect on our operations, our ability to pay dividends or our ability to meet our debt service obligations.
Our internal sources of liquidity may be insufficient to meet our needs. We need liquidity to pay our operating expenses, interest on our debt, maturing debt obligations and to meet any statutory capital requirements of our subsidiaries. If our liquidity is insufficient to meet our needs, we may at the time need to have recourse to third-party financing, external capital markets or other sources of liquidity, which may not be available or could be prohibitively expensive. The availability and cost of any additional financing at any given time depends on a variety of factors, including general market conditions, the volume of trading activities, the overall availability of credit, regulatory actions and our credit ratings and credit capacity. It is also possible that, as a result of such recourse to external financing, customers, lenders or investors could develop a negative perception of our long- or short-term financial prospects. Disruptions, volatility and uncertainty in the financial markets, and downgrades in our credit ratings, may limit our ability to access external capital markets at times and on terms favorable to us to meet our capital and liquidity needs or prevent our accessing the external capital markets or other financing sources. For a further discussion of our liquidity, see Item 7. MD&A — Liquidity and Capital Resources.
AIG Parent’s ability to support our subsidiaries is limited. AIG Parent has in the past and expects to continue to provide capital to our subsidiaries as necessary to maintain regulatory capital ratios, comply with rating agency requirements and meet unexpected cash flow obligations. If AIG Parent is unable to satisfy a capital need of a subsidiary, the credit rating agencies could downgrade the subsidiary insurer’s financial strength ratings or the subsidiary could become insolvent or, in certain cases, could be seized by its regulator.
Our subsidiaries may not be able to generate cash to meet their needs due to the illiquidity of some of their investments. Our subsidiaries have investments in certain securities that may be illiquid, including certain fixed income securities and certain structured securities, private company securities, investments in private equity funds and hedge funds, mortgage loans, finance receivables and real estate. Collectively, investments in these assets had a fair value of $59 billion at December 31, 2015. Adverse real estate and capital markets, and wider credit spreads, have in the past, and may in the future, materially adversely affect the liquidity of our other securities portfolios, including our residential and commercial mortgage‑related securities portfolios. In the event additional liquidity is required by one or more of our subsidiaries and AIG Parent is unable to provide it, it may be difficult for these subsidiaries to generate additional liquidity by selling, pledging or otherwise monetizing these less liquid investments.
A downgrade in the Insurer Financial Strength ratings of our insurance companies could limit their ability to write or prevent them from writing new business and retaining customers and business. Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. IFS ratings measure an insurance company’s ability to meet its obligations to contract holders and policyholders. High ratings help maintain public confidence in a company’s products, facilitate marketing of products and enhance its competitive position. Downgrades of the IFS ratings of our insurance companies could prevent these companies from selling, or make it more difficult for them to succeed in selling, products and services, or result in increased policy cancellations, lapses and surrenders, termination of assumed reinsurance contracts, or return of premiums. Under credit rating agency policies concerning the relationship between parent and subsidiary ratings, a downgrade in AIG Parent’s credit ratings could result in a downgrade of the IFS ratings of our insurance subsidiaries. Certain rating agencies recently revised our IFS ratings and ratings outlooks, primarily as a result of our reserve strengthening in the fourth quarter of 2015 and related concerns regarding our profitability outlook. We cannot predict what actions rating agencies may take, or what actions we may take in response to the actions of rating agencies, which could adversely affect our business.
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A downgrade in our credit ratings could require us to post additional collateral and result in the termination of derivative transactions. Credit ratings estimate a company’s ability to meet its obligations and may directly affect the cost and availability of financing. A downgrade of our long-term debt ratings by the major rating agencies would require us to post additional collateral payments related to derivative transactions to which we are a party, and could permit the termination of these derivative transactions. This could adversely affect our business, our consolidated results of operations in a reporting period or our liquidity. In the event of further downgrades of two notches to our long-term senior debt ratings, AIG would be required to post additional collateral of $95 million, and certain of our counterparties would be permitted to elect early termination of contracts. Certain rating agencies recently revised the outlook for our credit ratings, primarily as a result of our reserve strengthening in the fourth quarter of 2015 and related concerns regarding our profitability outlook. We cannot predict what actions rating agencies may take, or what actions we may take in response to the actions of rating agencies, which could adversely affect our business.
Business and operations
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Interest rate fluctuations, increased lapses and surrenders, declining investment returns and other events may require our subsidiaries to accelerate the amortization of DAC and record additional liabilities for future policy benefits. We incur significant costs in connection with acquiring new and renewal insurance business. DAC represents deferred costs that are incremental and directly related to the successful acquisition of new business or renewal of existing business. The recovery of DAC is generally dependent upon the future profitability of the related business, but DAC amortization varies based on the type of contract. For long-duration traditional business, DAC is generally amortized in proportion to premium revenue and varies with lapse experience. Actual lapses in excess of expectations can result in an acceleration of DAC amortization.
DAC for investment-oriented products is generally amortized in proportion to estimated gross profits. Estimated gross profits are affected by a number of assumptions, including current and expected interest rates, net investment income and spreads, net realized gains and losses, fees, surrender rates, mortality experience and equity market returns and volatility. If actual and/or future estimated gross profits are less than originally expected, then the amortization of DAC would be accelerated in the period the actual experience is known and would result in a charge to income. For example, if interest rates rise rapidly and significantly, customers with policies that have interest crediting rates below the current market may seek competing products with higher returns and we may experience an increase in surrenders and withdrawals of life and annuity contracts, resulting in a decrease in future profitability and an acceleration of the amortization of DAC.
We also periodically review products for potential loss recognition events, principally insurance-oriented products. This review involves estimating the future profitability of in-force business and requires significant management judgment about assumptions including mortality, morbidity, persistency, maintenance expenses, and investment returns, including net realized capital gains (losses). If actual experience or estimates result in projected future losses, we may be required to amortize any remaining DAC and record additional liabilities through a charge to policyholder benefit expense, which could negatively affect our results of operations. For further discussion of DAC and future policy benefits, see Item 7. MD&A — Critical Accounting Estimates and Notes 8 and 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Our restructuring initiatives may not yield our expected reductions in expenses and improvements in operational and organizational efficiency. We may not be able to fully realize the anticipated expense reductions and operational and organizational efficiency improvements we expect to result from our restructuring initiatives. Actual costs to implement these initiatives may exceed our estimates or we may be unable to fully implement these initiatives, and the implementation of these initiatives may harm our relationships with customers or employees or our competitive position. The successful implementation of these initiatives has required us and will continue to require us to effect workforce reductions, business rationalizations, systems enhancements, business process outsourcing, business and asset dispositions and other actions, which depend on a number of factors, some of which are beyond our control. If we are unable to realize these anticipated expense reductions and efficiency improvements or if implementing these initiatives harms our relationships with customers or employees or our competitive position, our businesses and results of operations may be adversely affected.
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Certain of our products have guarantees that may increase the volatility of our results. We offer variable annuity and life insurance products with features that guarantee a certain level of benefits, including guaranteed minimum death benefits (GMDB), guaranteed minimum income benefits (GMIB), guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB), guaranteed minimum accumulation benefits (GMAB), and products with guaranteed interest crediting rates tied to an index. In addition to risk-mitigating features in our variable annuity product design, we have an economic hedging program designed to manage market risk from GMWB and GMAB, including exposures to changes in equity prices, interest rates, credit spreads and volatilities. The hedging program utilizes derivative instruments, including but not limited to equity options, futures contracts, interest rate swap and swaption contracts, as well as fixed maturity securities with a fair value election. See Enterprise Risk Management – Life Insurance Companies Key Insurance Risks – Variable Annuity Risk Management and Hedging Program for additional discussion of market risk management related to these product features. Nevertheless, differences between the change in fair value of GMWB and GMAB embedded derivatives and the related hedging portfolio can be caused by extreme and unanticipated movements in the equity markets, interest rates and market volatility, policyholder behavior and our inability to purchase hedging instruments at prices consistent with the desired risk and return trade-off. While we believe that our actions have reduced the risks related to guaranteed benefits and guaranteed interest crediting, our exposure may not be fully hedged, and we may be liable if counterparties are unable or unwilling to pay, although the majority of our hedging derivative instruments are exchange-traded, exchange-cleared and/or highly collateralized. We also remain exposed to the risk that policyholder behavior and mortality may differ from our assumptions. Finally, while we believe the impact of downturns in equity markets, increased equity volatility or reduced interest rates would be mitigated by our economic hedging program, the occurrence of one or more of these events could result in an increase in the liabilities associated with the guaranteed benefits that is not fully offset by the hedging program, reducing our net income and shareholders’ equity. See Notes 4 and 13 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, Item 1 – Business – Regulation, and Item 7. MD&A – Critical Accounting Estimates for more information regarding these products.
Indemnity claims could be made against us in connection with divested businesses. We have provided financial guarantees and indemnities in connection with the businesses we have sold, as described in greater detail in Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. While we do not currently believe the claims under these indemnities will be material, it is possible that significant indemnity claims could be made against us. If such a claim or claims were successful, it could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, cash flows and liquidity. See Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on these financial guarantees and indemnities.
Our foreign operations expose us to risks that may affect our operations. We provide insurance, investment and other financial products and services to both businesses and individuals in more than 100 countries and jurisdictions. A substantial portion of our business is conducted outside the United States, and we intend to continue to grow this business. Operations outside the United States may be affected by regional economic downturns, changes in foreign currency exchange rates, political upheaval, nationalization and other restrictive government actions, which could also affect our other operations.
The degree of regulation and supervision in foreign jurisdictions varies. AIG subsidiaries operating in foreign jurisdictions must satisfy local regulatory requirements and it is possible that local licenses may require AIG Parent to meet certain conditions. Licenses issued by foreign authorities to our subsidiaries are subject to modification and revocation. Consequently, our insurance subsidiaries could be prevented from conducting future business in some of the jurisdictions where they currently operate. Adverse actions from any single country could adversely affect our results of operations, depending on the magnitude of the event and our financial exposure at that time in that country.
We may experience difficulty in marketing and distributing products through our current and future distribution channels. Although we distribute our products through a wide variety of distribution channels, we maintain relationships with certain key distributors. Distributors have in the past, and may in the future, elect to renegotiate the terms of existing relationships, or reduce or terminate their distribution relationships with us, including for such reasons as industry consolidation of distributors or other industry changes that increase the competition for access to distributors, developments in legislation or regulation that affect our business, adverse developments in our business, adverse rating agency actions or concerns about market-related risks. An interruption in certain key relationships could materially affect our ability to market our products and could have a material adverse effect on our businesses, operating results and financial condition.
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In addition, when our products are distributed through unaffiliated firms, we may not be able to monitor or control the manner of their distribution, despite our training and compliance programs. If our products are distributed to customers for whom they are unsuitable or distributed in any other inappropriate manner, we may suffer reputational and other harm to our business.
Significant legal proceedings may adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition. We are party to numerous legal proceedings, including class actions and regulatory and governmental investigations. Due to the nature of these proceedings, the lack of precise damage claims and the type of claims we are subject to, we cannot currently quantify our ultimate or maximum liability for these actions. Developments in these unresolved matters could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition or consolidated results of operations for an individual reporting period. Starr International Company, Inc. (SICO) has brought suit against the United States challenging the government’s assistance of AIG, pursuant to which (i) AIG entered into a credit facility with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and (ii) the United States received an approximately 80 percent ownership interest in AIG. The United States has alleged that AIG is obligated to indemnify the United States for any recoveries in these lawsuits. A determination that the United States is liable for damages in such suits, together with a determination that AIG is obligated to indemnify the United States for any such damages, could have a material adverse effect on our business, consolidated financial condition and results of operations. For a discussion of the SICO litigation and other unresolved matters, see Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
If we are unable to maintain the availability of our electronic data systems and safeguard the security of our data, our ability to conduct business may be compromised, which could adversely affect our consolidated financial condition or results of operations. We use computer systems to store, retrieve, evaluate and utilize customer, employee, and company data and information. Some of these systems in turn, rely upon third-party systems. Our business is highly dependent on our ability to access these systems to perform necessary business functions, including providing insurance quotes, processing premium payments, making changes to existing policies, filing and paying claims, administering variable annuity products and mutual funds, providing customer support and managing our investment portfolios. Systems failures or outages could compromise our ability to perform these functions in a timely manner, which could harm our ability to conduct business and hurt our relationships with our business partners and customers. In the event of a natural disaster, a computer virus, unauthorized access, a terrorist attack or other disruption inside or outside the U.S., our systems may be inaccessible to our employees, customers or business partners for an extended period of time, and our employees may be unable to perform their duties for an extended period of time if our data or systems are disabled or destroyed. Our systems have in the past been, and may in the future be, subject to unauthorized access, such as physical or electronic break-ins or unauthorized tampering. Like other global companies, we have, from time to time, experienced threats to our data and systems, including malware and computer virus attacks, unauthorized access, systems failures and disruptions. There is no assurance that our security measures will provide fully effective protection from such events. AIG maintains cyber risk insurance, but this insurance may not cover all costs associated with the consequences of personal, confidential or proprietary information being compromised. In some cases, such unauthorized access may not be immediately detected. This may impede or interrupt our business operations and could adversely affect our consolidated financial condition or results of operations.
In addition, we routinely transmit, receive and store personal, confidential and proprietary information by email and other electronic means. Although we attempt to keep such information confidential, we may be unable to do so in all events, especially with clients, vendors, service providers, counterparties and other third parties who may not have or use appropriate controls to protect personal, confidential or proprietary information. Furthermore, certain of our businesses are subject to compliance with laws and regulations enacted by U.S. federal and state governments, the European Union or other jurisdictions or enacted by various regulatory organizations or exchanges relating to the privacy and security of the information of clients, employees or others. The compromise of personal, confidential or proprietary information could result in remediation costs, legal liability, regulatory action and reputational harm.
The integration of companies we acquire from time to time may not be as successful as we anticipate. Acquisitions involve a number of risks, including operational, strategic, financial, accounting, legal and tax risks. Difficulties in integrating an acquired company may result in the acquired company performing differently than we expected or in our failure to realize anticipated expense-related efficiencies. Our existing businesses could also be negatively impacted by acquisitions. Risks resulting from future acquisitions may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
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REGULATION
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Our businesses are heavily regulated and changes in regulation may affect our operations, increase our insurance subsidiary capital requirements or reduce our profitability. Our operations generally, and our insurance subsidiaries, in particular, are subject to extensive and potentially conflicting supervision and regulation by national authorities and by the various jurisdictions in which we do business. Supervision and regulation relate to numerous aspects of our business and financial condition. State and foreign regulators also periodically review and investigate our insurance businesses, including AIG-specific and industry-wide practices. The primary purpose of insurance regulation is the protection of our insurance contract holders, and not our investors. The extent of domestic regulation varies, but generally is governed by state statutes. These statutes delegate regulatory, supervisory and administrative authority to state insurance departments.
We strive to maintain all required licenses and approvals. However, our businesses may not fully comply with the wide variety of applicable laws and regulations. The relevant authority’s interpretation of the laws and regulations also may change from time to time. Regulatory authorities have relatively broad discretion to grant, renew or revoke licenses and approvals. If we do not have the required licenses and approvals or do not comply with applicable regulatory requirements, these authorities could preclude or temporarily suspend us from carrying on some or all of our activities or impose substantial fines. Further, insurance regulatory authorities have relatively broad discretion to issue orders of supervision, which permit them to supervise the business and operations of an insurance company.
In the U.S., the RBC formula is designed to measure the adequacy of an insurer’s statutory surplus in relation to the risks inherent in its business. Virtually every state has adopted, in substantial part, the RBC Model Law promulgated by the NAIC, which specifies the regulatory actions the insurance regulator may take if an insurer’s RBC calculations fall below specific thresholds. Those actions range from requiring an insurer to submit a plan describing how it would regain a specified RBC ratio to a mandatory regulatory takeover of the company. Regulators at the federal and international levels are also considering the imposition of additional group-wide capital requirements on certain insurance companies designated as systemically important, that may augment state-law RBC standards that apply at the legal entity level, and such capital calculations may be made on bases other than the statutory statements of our insurance subsidiaries. See “Our status as a nonbank systemically important financial institution, as well as the enactment of Dodd-Frank, will subject us to substantial additional federal regulation, which may materially and adversely affect our businesses, results of operations and cash flows” and “Actions by foreign governments and regulators could subject us to substantial additional regulation” below for additional information on increased capital requirements that may be imposed on us. We cannot predict the effect these initiatives may have on our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial condition.
We provide products and services to certain employee benefit plans that are subject to restrictions imposed by ERISA and the Internal Revenue Code, including the requirement under ERISA that fiduciaries must perform their duties solely in the interests of ERISA plan participants and beneficiaries, and that fiduciaries may not cause a covered plan to engage in certain prohibited transactions. The DOL has proposed a new regulation that could, if enacted as originally proposed, materially affect our ability to sell and service certain types of annuities and other investment products. If the new DOL proposals are finalized as originally proposed, the investment-related information and support that our advisors and employees could provide to ERISA-covered plan sponsors, participants and IRA holders on a non-fiduciary basis could be substantially limited compared to what is allowed under current law, and these changes could have a material impact on the types and levels of and compensation structures associated with the investment products and services we provide. For additional information, see Item 1 – Business – Regulation and Item 7 – MD&A – Executive Overview – Consumer Insurance Strategic Initiatives and Outlook.
The degree of regulation and supervision in foreign jurisdictions varies. AIG subsidiaries operating in foreign jurisdictions must satisfy local regulatory requirements and it is possible that local licenses may require AIG Parent to meet certain conditions. Licenses issued by foreign authorities to our subsidiaries are subject to modification and revocation. Accordingly, our insurance subsidiaries could be prevented from conducting future business in certain of the jurisdictions where they currently operate. Adverse actions from any single country could adversely affect our results of operations, liquidity and financial condition, depending on the magnitude of the event and our financial exposure at that time in that country.
See Item 1. Business – Regulation for further discussion of our regulatory environment.
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Our status as a nonbank systemically important financial institution, as well as the enactment of Dodd-Frank, will subject us to substantial additional federal regulation, which may materially and adversely affect our businesses, results of operations and cash flows. On July 21, 2010, Dodd-Frank, which effects comprehensive changes to the regulation of financial services in the United States, was signed into law. Dodd-Frank directs existing and newly created government agencies and bodies to promulgate regulations implementing the law, an ongoing process anticipated to continue over the next few years.
We cannot predict the requirements of the regulations ultimately adopted, the level and magnitude of supervision we may become subject to, or how Dodd-Frank and such regulations will affect the financial markets generally or our businesses, results of operations or cash flows. It is possible that the regulations adopted under Dodd-Frank and our regulation by the FRB as a nonbank SIFI could significantly alter our business practices, limit our ability to engage in capital or liability management, require us to raise additional capital, and impose burdensome and costly requirements and additional costs. Some of the regulations may also affect the perceptions of regulators, customers, counterparties, creditors or investors about our financial strength and could potentially affect our financing costs.
See Item 1. Business – Regulation for further discussion of the details of the aforementioned regulations to which AIG and its businesses are subject.
Actions by foreign governments and regulators could subject us to substantial additional regulation. We cannot predict the impact laws and regulations adopted in foreign jurisdictions may have on the financial markets generally or our businesses, results of operations or cash flows. It is possible such laws and regulations, the impact of our designation as a global systemically important insurer (G-SII), our status as an Internationally Active Insurance Group (IAIG) and certain initiatives by the FSB and the IAIS, including, but not limited to, the application of HLA capital and the ongoing development of an ICS, and implementation of Solvency II in the European Union, may significantly alter our business practices, limit our ability to engage in capital or liability management, require us to raise additional capital, and impose burdensome requirements and additional costs. It is possible that the laws and regulations adopted in foreign jurisdictions will differ from one another, and that they could be inconsistent with the laws and regulations of other jurisdictions including the United States.
For further details on these international regulations and their potential impact on AIG and its businesses, see Item 1. Business – Regulation—Other Regulatory Developments.
The USA PATRIOT Act, the Office of Foreign Assets Control and similar laws that apply to us may expose us to significant penalties. The operations of our subsidiaries are subject to laws and regulations, including, in some cases, the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001, which require companies to know certain information about their clients and to monitor their transactions for suspicious activities. Also, the Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control administers regulations requiring U.S. persons to refrain from doing business, or allowing their clients to do business through them, with certain organizations or individuals on a prohibited list maintained by the U.S. government or with certain countries. The United Kingdom, the European Union and other jurisdictions maintain similar laws and regulations. Although we have instituted compliance programs to address these requirements, there are inherent risks in global transactions.
Attempts to efficiently manage the impact of Regulation XXX and Actuarial Guideline AXXX may fail in whole or in part resulting in an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. The NAIC Model Regulation “Valuation of Life Insurance Policies” (Regulation XXX) requires insurers to establish additional statutory reserves for term life insurance policies with long-term premium guarantees and universal life policies with secondary guarantees. In addition, NAIC Actuarial Guideline 38 (AG 38, also referred to as Guideline AXXX) clarifies the application of Regulation XXX as to certain universal life insurance policies with secondary guarantees.
Our domestic Life Insurance Companies manage the capital impact of statutory reserve requirements under Regulation XXX and Guideline AXXX through affiliated reinsurance transactions, to maintain their ability to offer competitive pricing and successfully market such products. See Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on statutory reserving requirements under Regulation XXX and Guideline AXXX and our use of affiliated reinsurance. The NAIC and other state and federal regulators continue to focus on life insurers’ affiliated reinsurance transactions used to satisfy certain reserve requirements or to manage the capital impact of certain statutory reserve requirements, particularly transactions using captive insurance companies or special purpose vehicles. While our domestic Life Insurance Companies do
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not use captive or special purpose vehicle structures for this purpose, we cannot predict whether any applicable insurance laws or regulations will be changed in a way that prohibits or adversely impacts the use of affiliated reinsurance. If regulations change, our statutory reserve requirements could increase, and we could be required to increase prices on our products or incur higher expenses to obtain reinsurance, which could adversely affect our competitive position, financial condition or results of operations. If our actions to efficiently manage the impact of Regulation XXX or Guideline AXXX on future sales of term and universal life insurance products are not successful, we may incur higher operating costs or our sales of these products may be affected.
New regulations promulgated from time to time may affect our businesses, results of operations, financial condition and ability to compete effectively. Legislators and regulators may periodically consider various proposals that may affect the profitability of certain of our businesses. New regulations may even affect our ability to conduct certain businesses at all, including proposals relating to restrictions on the type of activities in which financial institutions are permitted to engage and the size of financial institutions. These proposals could also impose additional taxes on a limited subset of financial institutions and insurance companies (either based on size, activities, geography, government support or other criteria). It is uncertain whether and how these and other such proposals would apply to us or our competitors or how they could impact our consolidated results of operations, financial condition and ability to compete effectively.
An “ownership change” could limit our ability to utilize tax loss and credit carryforwards to offset future taxable income. As of December 31, 2015, we had a U.S. federal net operating loss carryforward of approximately $34.9 billion and $6.9 billion in foreign tax credits (tax loss and credit carryforwards). Our ability to use such tax attributes to offset future taxable income may be significantly limited if we experience an “ownership change” as defined in Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the Code). In general, an ownership change will occur when the percentage of AIG Parent's ownership (by value) of one or more “5-percent shareholders” (as defined in the Code) has increased by more than 50 percent over the lowest percentage owned by such shareholders at any time during the prior three years (calculated on a rolling basis). An entity that experiences an ownership change generally will be subject to an annual limitation on its pre-ownership change tax loss and credit carryforwards equal to the equity value of the corporation immediately before the ownership change, multiplied by the long-term, tax-exempt rate posted monthly by the IRS (subject to certain adjustments). The annual limitation would be increased each year to the extent that there is an unused limitation in a prior year. The limitation on our ability to utilize tax loss and credit carryforwards arising from an ownership change under Section 382 would depend on the value of our equity at the time of any ownership change. If we were to experience an “ownership change”, it is possible that a significant portion of our tax loss and credit carryforwards could expire before we would be able to use them to offset future taxable income.
On March 9, 2011, our Board adopted our Tax Asset Protection Plan (the Plan) to help protect these tax loss and credit carryforwards, and on January 8, 2014, the Board adopted an amendment to the Plan, extending its expiration date to January 8, 2017. The amendment of the Plan was ratified by our shareholders at our 2014 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. At our 2011 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, shareholders adopted a protective amendment to our Restated Certificate of Incorporation (Protective Amendment), which is designed to prevent certain transfers of AIG Common Stock that could result in an “ownership change.” At our 2014 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, our shareholders approved an amendment to our Restated Certificate of Incorporation to adopt a successor to the Protective Amendment that contains substantially the same terms as the Protective Amendment and that expires on May 12, 2017, the third anniversary of the date of our 2014 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.
The Plan is designed to reduce the likelihood of an “ownership change” by (i) discouraging any person or group from becoming a 4.99 percent shareholder and (ii) discouraging any existing 4.99 percent shareholder from acquiring additional shares of AIG Common Stock. The Protective Amendment generally restricts any transfer of AIG Common Stock that would (i) increase the ownership by any person to 4.99 percent or more of AIG stock then outstanding or (ii) increase the percentage of AIG stock owned by a Five Percent Stockholder (as defined in the Plan). Despite the intentions of the Plan and the Protective Amendment to deter and prevent an “ownership change”, such an event may still occur. In addition, the Plan and the Protective Amendment may make it more difficult and more expensive to acquire us, and may discourage open market purchases of AIG Common Stock or a non-negotiated tender or exchange offer for AIG Common Stock. Accordingly, the Plan and the Protective Amendment may limit a shareholder’s ability to realize a premium over the market price of AIG Common Stock in connection with any stock transaction.
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Changes in tax laws could increase our corporate taxes, reduce our deferred tax assets or make some of our products less attractive to consumers. Changes in tax laws or their interpretation could negatively impact our business or results. Some proposed changes could have the effect of increasing our effective tax rate by reducing deductions or increasing income inclusions, such as by limiting rules allowing deferral of tax on certain foreign insurance income. Conversely, other changes, such as lowering the U.S. federal corporate tax rate discussed recently in the context of tax reform, could reduce the value of our deferred tax assets. In addition, changes in the way foreign taxes can be credited against U.S. taxes, methods for allocating interest expense, the ways insurance companies calculate and deduct reserves for tax purposes, and impositions of new or changed premium, value added and other indirect taxes could increase our tax expense, thereby reducing earnings.
In addition to proposing to change the taxation of corporations in general and insurance companies in particular, the Executive Branch of the U.S. Government and Congress have considered proposals that could increase taxes on owners of insurance products. For example, there have been proposals that would have limited the deferral of tax on income from life and annuity contracts relative to other investment products. These changes could reduce demand in the U.S. for life insurance and annuity contracts, or cause consumers to shift from these contracts to other investments, which would reduce our income due to lower sales of these products or potential increased surrenders of in-force business.
The need for governments to seek additional revenue makes it likely that there will be continued proposals to change tax rules in ways that would reduce our earnings. However, it remains difficult to predict whether or when there will be any tax law changes having a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
COMPETITION and employees
|
We face intense competition in each of our businesses. Our businesses operate in highly competitive environments, both domestically and overseas. Our principal competitors are other large multinational insurance organizations, as well as banks, investment banks and other nonbank financial institutions. The insurance industry in particular is highly competitive. Within the U.S., our Non-Life Insurance Companies compete with other stock companies, specialty insurance organizations, mutual insurance companies and other underwriting organizations. Our Life Insurance Companies compete in the U.S. with life insurance companies and other participants in related financial services fields. Overseas, our subsidiaries compete for business with the foreign insurance operations of large U.S. insurers and with global insurance groups and local companies.
The past reduction of our credit ratings and past negative publicity have made, and may continue to make, it more difficult to compete to retain existing customers and to maintain our historical levels of business with existing customers and counterparties. General insurance and life insurance companies compete through a combination of risk acceptance criteria, product pricing, and terms and conditions. Retirement services companies compete through crediting rates and the issuance of guaranteed benefits. A decline in our position as to any one or more of these factors could adversely affect our profitability.
Competition for employees in our industry is intense, and we may not be able to attract and retain the highly skilled people we need to support our business. Our success depends, in large part, on our ability to attract and retain key people. Due to the intense competition in our industry for key employees with demonstrated ability, we may be unable to hire or retain such employees. In addition, we may experience higher than expected employee turnover and difficulty attracting new employees as a result of uncertainty from strategic actions and organizational and operational changes. Losing any of our key people also could have a material adverse effect on our operations given their skills, knowledge of our business, years of industry experience and the potential difficulty of promptly finding qualified replacement employees. Our results of operations and financial condition could be materially adversely affected if we are unsuccessful in attracting and retaining key employees.
Managing key employee succession and retention is critical to our success. We would be adversely affected if we fail to adequately plan for the succession of our senior management and other key employees. While we have succession plans and long-term compensation plans designed to retain our employees, our succession plans may not operate effectively and our compensation plans cannot guarantee that the services of these employees will continue to be available to us.
43 |
Employee error and misconduct may be difficult to detect and prevent and may result in significant losses. There have been a number of cases involving fraud or other misconduct by employees in the financial services industry in recent years and we run the risk that employee misconduct could occur. Instances of fraud, illegal acts, errors, failure to document transactions properly or to obtain proper internal authorization, misuse of customer or proprietary information, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements or our internal policies may result in losses and/or reputational damage. It is not always possible to deter or prevent employee misconduct, and the controls that we have in place to prevent and detect this activity may not be effective in all cases.
ESTIMATES AND ASSUMPTIONS
|
Estimates used in the preparation of financial statements and modeled results used in various areas of our business may differ materially from actual experience. Our financial statements are prepared in conformity with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (U.S. GAAP), which requires the application of accounting policies that often involve a significant degree of judgment. The accounting policies that we consider most dependent on the application of estimates and assumptions, and therefore may be viewed as critical accounting estimates, are described in Item 7. MD&A — Critical Accounting Estimates. These accounting estimates require the use of assumptions, some of which are highly uncertain at the time of estimation. These estimates are based on judgment, current facts and circumstances, and, when applicable, internally developed models. Therefore, actual results could differ from these estimates, possibly in the near term, and could have a material effect on our consolidated financial statements.
In addition, we employ models to price products, calculate reserves and value assets, as well as evaluate risk and determine capital requirements, among other uses. These models rely on estimates and projections that are inherently uncertain, may use incomplete, outdated or incorrect data or assumptions and may not operate properly. As our businesses continue to expand and evolve, the number and complexity of models we employ has grown, increasing our exposure to error in the design, implementation or use of models, including the associated input data, controls and assumptions and the controls we have in place to mitigate their risk may not be effective in all cases.
Changes in accounting principles and financial reporting requirements could impact our reported results of operations and our reported financial position. Our financial statements are subject to the application of U.S. GAAP, which is periodically revised. Accordingly, from time to time, we are required to adopt new or revised accounting standards issued by recognized authoritative bodies, including the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). The impact of accounting pronouncements that have been issued but are not yet required to be implemented is disclosed in Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The FASB and International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) have ongoing projects to revise accounting standards for insurance contracts. The FASB has focused on disclosures for short-duration insurance contracts, which primarily relate to our property casualty products, and on targeted improvements to accounting measurements and disclosures for long-duration insurance contracts, which primarily relate to our life and annuity products. The IASB continues to contemplate significant changes to accounting measurements for both short and long-duration insurance contracts. While the final resolution of changes to U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards pursuant to these projects remains unclear, changes to the manner in which we account for insurance products could have a significant impact on our future financial reports, operations, capital management and business. Further, the adoption of a new insurance contracts standard as well as other future accounting standards could have a material effect on our reported results of operations and reported financial condition.
Changes in our assumptions regarding the discount rate, expected rate of return, and expected compensation for our pension and other postretirement benefit plans may result in increased expenses and reduce our profitability. We determine our pension and other postretirement benefit plan costs based on assumed discount rates, expected rates of return on plan assets, expected increases in compensation levels and trends in health care costs. Changes in these assumptions, including from the impact of a sustained low interest rate environment, may result in increased expenses and reduce our profitability. See Note 20 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further details on our pension and postretirement benefit plans.
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ITEM 1B / UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
There are no material unresolved written comments that were received from the SEC staff 180 days or more before the end of our fiscal year relating to periodic or current reports under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
ITEM 2 / PROPERTIES
|
We operate from approximately 350 offices in the United States and approximately 500 offices in over 75 foreign countries. The following offices are located in buildings in the United States owned by us:
Non-Life Insurance Companies: • Wilmington, Delaware • Stevens Point, Wisconsin • Greensboro and Winston-Salem, North Carolina |
Life Insurance Companies: • Amarillo and Houston, Texas
|
Corporate and Other: • 175 Water Street in New York, New York • Livingston, New Jersey • Stowe, Vermont • Ft. Worth, Texas |
|
In addition, Non-Life Insurance Companies own offices in approximately 20 foreign countries and jurisdictions including Argentina, Bermuda, Colombia, Ecuador, Japan, Mexico, the U.K., Taiwan, and Venezuela. The remainder of the office space we utilize is leased. We believe that our leases and properties are sufficient for our current purposes.
LOCATIONS OF CERTAIN ASSETS
|
As of December 31, 2015, approximately 10 percent of our consolidated assets were located outside the U.S. and Canada, including $659 million of cash and securities on deposit with regulatory authorities in those locations. See Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional geographic information. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for total carrying amounts of cash and securities deposited by our insurance subsidiaries under requirements of regulatory authorities.
Operations outside the U.S. and Canada and assets held abroad may be adversely affected by political developments in foreign countries, including tax changes, nationalization and changes in regulatory policy, as well as by consequence of hostilities and unrest. The risks of such occurrences and their overall effect upon us vary from country to country and cannot be predicted. If expropriation or nationalization does occur, our policy is to take all appropriate measures to seek recovery of any affected assets. Certain of the countries in which our business is conducted have currency restrictions that generally cause a delay in a company’s ability to repatriate assets and profits. See also Item 1A. Risk Factors — Business and Operations for additional information.
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ITEM 3 / LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
For a discussion of legal proceedings, see Note 15 — Contingencies, Commitments and Guarantees to the Consolidated Financial Statements, which is incorporated herein by reference.
ITEM 4 / MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
|
Not applicable.
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Item 5 / market for registrant’s common equity, related stockholder matters and issuer purchases of equity securities
|
Part II
|
ITEM 5 / MARKET FOR REGISTRANT’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
AIG’s common stock, par value $2.50 per share (AIG Common Stock), is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: AIG), as well as on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. There were approximately 29,245 stockholders of record of AIG Common Stock as of February 11, 2016.
The following table presents high and low closing sale prices of AIG Common Stock on the New York Stock Exchange Composite Tape for each quarter of 2015 and 2014, and the dividends declared per share during those periods:
|
2015 |
|
2014 |
||||||||||
|
|
High |
|
Low |
|
Dividends |
|
High |
|
|
Low |
|
Dividends |
First quarter |
$ |
56.42 |
$ |
48.87 |
$ |
0.125 |
$ |
52.22 |
|
$ |
46.88 |
$ |
0.125 |
Second quarter |
|
63.32 |
|
54.81 |
|
0.125 |
|
55.72 |
|
|
49.40 |
|
0.125 |
Third quarter |
|
64.54 |
|
55.66 |
|
0.280 |
|
56.33 |
|
|
51.98 |
|
0.125 |
Fourth quarter |
|
64.12 |
|
56.92 |
|
0.280 |
|
56.51 |
|
|
49.40 |
|
0.125 |
Dividends
|
On February 11, 2016, our Board of Directors declared a cash dividend on AIG Common Stock of $0.32 per share, payable on March 28, 2016 to shareholders of record on March 14, 2016.
Any payment of dividends must be approved by AIG’s Board of Directors. In determining whether to pay any dividend, our Board of Directors may consider AIG’s financial position, the performance of our businesses, our consolidated financial condition, results of operations and liquidity, available capital, the existence of investment opportunities, and other factors. AIG may become subject to restrictions on the payment of dividends and purchases of AIG Common Stock as a nonbank SIFI and a G-SII. See Item 1. Business — Regulation and Item 1A. Risk Factors — Regulation for further discussion.
For a discussion of certain restrictions on the payment of dividends to AIG by some of its insurance subsidiaries, see Item 1A. Risk Factors — Liquidity, Capital and Credit — AIG Parent’s ability to access funds from our subsidiaries is limited, and Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
EQUITY COMPENSATION PLANS
|
Our table of equity compensation plans will be included in the definitive proxy statement for AIG’s 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. The definitive proxy statement will be filed with the SEC no later than 120 days after the end of AIG’s fiscal year pursuant to Regulation 14A.
47 |
Item 5 / market for registrant’s common equity, related stockholder matters and issuer purchases of equity securities
|
PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
|
The following table provides the information with respect to purchases made by or on behalf of AIG or any “affiliated purchaser” (as defined in Rule 10b-18(a)(3) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the Exchange Act)) of AIG Common Stock during the three months ended December 31, 2015:
|
Total Number |
|
Average |
Total Number of Shares |
|
Approximate Dollar Value of Shares |
|
of Shares |
|
Price Paid |
Purchased as Part of Publicly |
|
that May Yet Be Purchased Under the |
Period |
Repurchased |
|
per Share |
Announced Plans or Programs |
|
Plans or Programs (in millions) |
October 1 - 31 |
10,363,200 |
$ |
58.06 |
10,363,200 |
$ |
2,926 |
November 1 - 30 |
10,964,737 |
|
61.45 |
10,964,737 |
|
2,252 |
December 1 - 31 |
31,566,100 |
|
61.53 |
31,566,100 |
|
3,310 |
Total |
52,894,037 |
$ |
60.83 |
52,894,037 |
$ |
3,310 |
Our Board of Directors has authorized the repurchase of shares of AIG Common Stock through a series of actions. On December 16, 2015, our Board of Directors authorized an additional increase to its previous repurchase authorization of AIG Common Stock of $3.0 billion.
During the three-month period ended December 31, 2015, we repurchased approximately 53 million shares of AIG Common Stock under this authorization for an aggregate purchase price of approximately $3.2 billion. Pursuant to an Exchange Act Rule 10b5-1 plan, from January 1 to February 11, 2016, we have repurchased approximately 44 million shares of AIG Common Stock for an approximate purchase price of $2.5 billion.
On February 11, 2016, our Board of Directors authorized an additional increase to the repurchase authorization of AIG Common Stock of $5.0 billion, resulting in a remaining authorization on such date of approximately $5.8 billion. Shares may be repurchased from time to time in the open market, private purchases, through forward, derivative, accelerated repurchase or automatic repurchase transactions or otherwise (including through the purchase of warrants). Certain of our share repurchases have been and may from time to time be effected through Exchange Act Rule 10b5-1 repurchase plans. The timing of any future share repurchases will depend on market conditions, our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity and other factors.
See Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our share purchases.
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Item 5 / market for registrant’s common equity, related stockholder matters and issuer purchases of equity securities
|
common Stock PERFORMANCE GRAPH
|
The following Performance Graph compares the cumulative total shareholder return on AIG Common Stock for a five-year period (December 31, 2010 to December 31, 2015) with the cumulative total return of the S&P’s 500 stock index (which includes AIG) and a peer group of companies consisting of 15 insurance companies to which we compare our business and operations:
• ACE Limited* |
• Lincoln National Corporation |
• AEGON, N.V. |
• MetLife, Inc. |
• Aflac Incorporated |
• Principal Financial Group, Inc. |
• Allianz Group |
• Prudential Financial, Inc. |
• AXA Group |
• The Travelers Companies, Inc. |
• The Chubb Corporation* |
• XL Capital Ltd. |
• CNA Financial Corporation |
• Zurich Insurance Group |
• The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. |
* In January 2016, ACE Limited acquired The Chubb Corporation. The combined organization now operates as Chubb Limited.
49 |
Item 5 / market for registrant’s common equity, related stockholder matters and issuer purchases of equity securities
|
Five-Year Cumulative Total Shareholder Returns
Value of $100 Invested on December 31, 2010
Dividend reinvestment has been assumed and returns have been weighted to reflect relative stock market capitalization.
|
As of December 31, |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
2010 |
|
|
2011 |
|
|
2012 |
|
|
2013 |
|
|
2014 |
|
|
2015 |
AIG |
$ |
100.00 |
|
$ |
49.05 |
|
$ |
74.64 |
|
$ |
108.38 |
|
$ |
120.02 |
|
$ |
134.63 |
S&P 500 |
|
100.00 |
|
|
102.11 |
|
|
118.45 |
|
|
156.82 |
|
|
178.29 |
|
|
180.75 |
Peer Group |
|
100.00 |
|
|
86.72 |
|
|
111.36 |
|
|
165.52 |
|
|
167.48 |
|
|
175.50 |
50 |
ITEM 6 / SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
|
The Selected Consolidated Financial Data should be read in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying notes included elsewhere herein.
|
Years Ended December 31, |
||||||||||||||
(in millions, except per share data) |
|
2015 |
|
|
2014 |
|
|
2013 |