FORM 10-K
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K
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(Mark One)
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þ
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2006 |
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or |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the transition period
from to |
Commission file number 1-8787
American International Group, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Delaware
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13-2592361 |
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization) |
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(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
70 Pine Street, New York, New York
(Address of principal executive offices) |
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10270
(Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code
(212) 770-7000
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Act:
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Name of each exchange |
Title of each class |
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on which registered |
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Common Stock, Par Value $2.50 Per Share
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New York Stock Exchange, Inc. |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the
Act:
Indicate by check mark if the
registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in
Rule 405 of the Securities
Act. Yes o No þ
Indicate by check mark if the
registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to
Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the
Act. Yes o No þ
Indicate by check mark whether the
registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed
by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 during the preceding 12 months (or such shorter period
that the registrant was required to file such reports), and
(2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the
past
90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure
of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of
Regulation S-K is
not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of
registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information
statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this
Form 10-K or any
amendment to this
Form 10-K.
o
Indicate by check mark whether the
registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer,
or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of accelerated
filer and large accelerated filer in
Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large Accelerated
Filer þ Accelerated
Filer o Non-Accelerated
Filer o
Indicate by check mark whether the
registrant is a shell company (as defined in
Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act).
Yes o No þ
The aggregate market value of the
voting and nonvoting common equity held by nonaffiliates of the
registrant computed by reference to the price at which the
common equity was last sold as of June 30, 2006 (the last
business day of the registrants most recently completed
second fiscal quarter), was approximately $130,207,300,000.
As of January 31, 2007, there
were outstanding 2,601,583,676 shares of Common Stock,
$2.50 par value per share, of the registrant.
Documents Incorporated by Reference:
Portions
of the registrants definitive proxy statement filed or to
be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to
Regulation 14A involving the election of directors at the
Annual Meeting of Shareholders of the registrant scheduled to be
held on May 16, 2007 are incorporated by reference in
Part III of this Form 10-K.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 1
American International Group,
Inc. and Subsidiaries
Table of Contents
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Index |
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Part I |
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Item 1.
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Business |
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3 |
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Item 1A.
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Risk Factors |
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15 |
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Item 1B.
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Unresolved Staff Comments |
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18 |
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Item 2.
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Properties |
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18 |
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Item 3.
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Legal Proceedings |
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18 |
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Item 4.
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Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders |
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21 |
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Part II |
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Item 5.
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Market for the Registrants Common Equity, Related
Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities |
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22 |
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Item 6.
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Selected Financial Data |
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24 |
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Item 7.
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Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations |
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25 |
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Item 7A.
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Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk |
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99 |
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Item 8.
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Financial Statements and Supplementary Data |
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99 |
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Item 9.
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Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and
Financial Disclosure |
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177 |
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Item 9A.
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Controls and Procedures |
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177 |
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Item 9B.
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Other Information |
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179 |
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Part III* |
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Item 10.
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Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance |
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180 |
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Item 11.
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Executive Compensation |
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180 |
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Item 12.
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Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management
and Related Stockholder Matters |
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180 |
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Item 13.
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Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director
Independence |
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180 |
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Item 14.
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Principal Accountant Fees and Services |
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180 |
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Part IV |
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Item 15.
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Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules |
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180 |
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Signatures
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181 |
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* |
Except for the information provided in Part I under the
heading Directors and Executive Officers of AIG,
Part III Items 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14 are included in
AIGs Definitive Proxy Statement to be used in connection
with AIGs Annual Meeting of Shareholders scheduled to be
held on May 16, 2007. |
2 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Part I
Item 1.
Business
American International Group, Inc. (AIG), a Delaware
corporation, is a holding company which, through its
subsidiaries, is engaged in a broad range of insurance and
insurance-related activities in the United States and abroad.
AIGs primary activities include both General Insurance and
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations. Other
significant activities include Financial Services and Asset
Management. The principal business units in each of AIGs
segments are as follows*:
General Insurance
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American Home Assurance Company (American Home) |
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National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, Pa.
(National Union) |
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New Hampshire Insurance Company (New Hampshire) |
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Lexington Insurance Company (Lexington) |
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The Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Company (HSB) |
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Transatlantic Reinsurance Company |
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United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company |
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American International Underwriters Overseas, Ltd. (AIUO) |
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
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Domestic: |
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American General Life Insurance Company (AIG
American General) |
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American General Life and Accident Insurance
Company (AGLA) |
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The United States Life Insurance Company in the City of
New York (USLIFE) |
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The Variable Annuity Life Insurance Company (VALIC) |
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AIG Annuity Insurance Company (AIG Annuity) |
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SunAmerica Life Insurance Company (SunAmerica Life) |
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AIG SunAmerica Life Assurance Company |
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Foreign: |
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American Life Insurance Company (ALICO) |
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AIG Star Life Insurance Co., Ltd. (AIG Star Life) |
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AIG Edison Life Insurance Company (AIG Edison Life) |
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American International Assurance Company, Limited,
together with American International Assurance
Company (Bermuda) Limited (AIA) |
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American International Reinsurance Company Limited (AIRCO) |
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Nan Shan Life Insurance Company, Ltd. (Nan Shan) |
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The Philippine American Life and General Insurance
Company (Philamlife) |
Financial Services
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International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC) |
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AIG Financial Products Corp. and AIG Trading Group Inc.
and their respective subsidiaries (collectively,
AIGFP) |
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American General Finance, Inc. (AGF) |
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AIG Consumer Finance Group, Inc. (AIGCFG) |
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Imperial A.I. Credit Companies |
Asset Management
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AIG SunAmerica Asset Management Corp. (SAAMCo) |
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AIG Global Asset Management Holdings Corp. and its |
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subsidiaries and affiliated companies (collectively,
AIGGIG) |
At December 31, 2006, AIG and its
subsidiaries had approximately 106,000 employees.
AIGs Internet address for its
corporate website is www.aigcorporate.com. AIG makes
available free of charge, through the Investor Information
section of AIGs corporate website, Annual Reports on
Form 10-K,
Quarterly Reports on
Form 10-Q, Current
Reports on
Form 8-K and Proxy
Statements on Schedule 14A and amendments to those reports
or statements filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a),
14(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the
Exchange Act) as soon as reasonably practicable after such
materials are electronically filed with, or furnished to, the
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). AIG also makes
available on its corporate website copies of the charters for
its Audit, Nominating and Corporate Governance and Compensation
Committees, as well as its Corporate Governance Guidelines
(which include Director Independence Standards), Director,
Executive Officer and Senior Financial Officer Code of Business
Conduct and Ethics, Employee Code of Conduct and Related-Party
Transactions Approval Policy. Except for the documents
specifically incorporated by reference into this Annual Report
on Form 10-K, information contained on AIGs website
or that can be accessed through its website is not incorporated
by reference into this Annual Report on
Form 10-K.
Throughout this Annual Report on
Form 10-K, AIG
presents its operations in the way it believes will be most
meaningful, as well as most transparent. Certain of the
measurements used by AIG management are non-GAAP financial
measures under SEC rules and regulations. Statutory
underwriting profit (loss) and combined ratios are determined in
accordance with accounting principles prescribed by insurance
regulatory authorities. For an explanation of why AIG management
considers these non-GAAP measures useful to
investors, see Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
*For information on AIGs business segments, see
Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 3
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
The following table presents the
general development of the business of AIG on a consolidated
basis, the contributions made to AIGs consolidated
revenues and operating income and the assets held, in the
periods indicated, by its General Insurance, Life
Insurance & Retirement Services, Financial Services and
Asset Management operations and other realized capital gains
(losses). For additional information, see Item 6. Selected
Financial Data, Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Notes 1 and 2
of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
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Years Ended December 31, |
(in millions) |
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2006 | |
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2005 | |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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2002 | |
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General Insurance operations:
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Gross premiums written
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$ |
56,280 |
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$ |
52,725 |
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$ |
52,046 |
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$ |
46,938 |
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$ |
36,678 |
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Net premiums written
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44,866 |
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41,872 |
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40,623 |
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35,031 |
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26,718 |
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Net premiums earned
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43,451 |
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40,809 |
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38,537 |
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31,306 |
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23,595 |
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Net investment
income(a)
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5,696 |
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4,031 |
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3,196 |
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2,566 |
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2,350 |
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Realized capital gains (losses)
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59 |
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334 |
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228 |
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(39 |
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(345 |
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Operating
income(a)(b)(c)(d)
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10,412 |
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2,315 |
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3,177 |
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4,502 |
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923 |
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Identifiable assets
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167,004 |
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150,667 |
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131,658 |
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117,511 |
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105,891 |
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Statutory
measures(e):
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Statutory underwriting profit
(loss)(b)(c)(d)
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4,408 |
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(2,165 |
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(564 |
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1,559 |
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(1,843 |
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Loss ratio
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64.6 |
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81.1 |
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78.8 |
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73.1 |
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83.1 |
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Expense ratio
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24.5 |
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23.6 |
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21.5 |
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19.6 |
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21.8 |
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Combined
ratio(d)
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89.1 |
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104.7 |
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100.3 |
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92.7 |
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104.9 |
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Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations:
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GAAP premiums
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30,636 |
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29,400 |
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28,088 |
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23,496 |
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20,694 |
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Net investment
income(a)
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19,439 |
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18,134 |
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15,269 |
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12,942 |
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11,243 |
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Realized capital gains (losses)
(f)
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88 |
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(158 |
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45 |
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362 |
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(295 |
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Operating
income(a)
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10,032 |
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8,904 |
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7,925 |
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6,929 |
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5,258 |
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Identifiable assets
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534,977 |
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480,622 |
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447,841 |
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372,126 |
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289,914 |
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Insurance in-force at end of
year(g)
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2,070,600 |
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1,852,833 |
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1,858,094 |
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1,583,031 |
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1,298,592 |
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Financial Services operations:
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Interest, lease and finance
charges(h)
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8,010 |
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10,525 |
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7,495 |
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6,242 |
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6,822 |
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Operating
income(h)
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524 |
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4,276 |
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2,180 |
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1,182 |
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2,125 |
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Identifiable assets
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206,845 |
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166,488 |
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165,995 |
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141,667 |
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128,104 |
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Asset Management operations:
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Net investment income from spread-based products and advisory
and management fees
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5,814 |
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5,325 |
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4,714 |
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3,651 |
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3,467 |
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Operating income
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2,346 |
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2,253 |
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2,125 |
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1,316 |
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1,125 |
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Identifiable assets
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97,913 |
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81,080 |
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80,075 |
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64,047 |
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53,732 |
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Other operations:
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Realized capital gains (losses)
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(41 |
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165 |
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(229 |
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(765 |
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(1,013 |
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All
other(i)
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(1,586 |
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(2,700 |
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(333 |
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(1,257 |
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(610 |
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Revenues(j)(k)
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113,194 |
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108,905 |
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97,666 |
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79,421 |
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66,171 |
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Total operating
income(a)(j)(l)
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21,687 |
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15,213 |
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14,845 |
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11,907 |
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7,808 |
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Total assets
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979,414 |
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853,051 |
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801,007 |
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675,602 |
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561,131 |
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(a) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts
and other mutual funds (unit investment trusts). For 2006, the
effect was an increase of $490 million in both revenues and
operating income for General Insurance and an increase of
$240 million and $169 million in revenues and
operating income, respectively, for Life Insurance &
Retirement Services. |
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(b) |
Includes current year catastrophe-related losses of
$2.89 billion and $1.05 billion in 2005 and 2004,
respectively. There were no significant catastrophe-related
losses in 2006. |
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(c) |
Includes additional losses incurred and net reinstatement
premiums related to prior year catastrophes of $199 million
and $277 million in 2006 and 2005, respectively. |
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(d) |
Operating income was reduced by fourth quarter charges of
$1.8 billion, $850 million and $2.1 billion for
2005, 2004 and 2002, respectively, resulting from the annual
review of General Insurance loss and loss adjustment reserves.
In 2006, 2005 and 2004, changes in estimates for asbestos and
environmental reserves were $198 million, $873 million and
$850 million, respectively. |
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(e) |
Calculated on the basis under which the U.S.-domiciled
insurance companies are required to report such measurements to
regulatory authorities. |
4 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
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(f) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, Accounting
for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities
(FAS 133) and the application of Statement of Financial
Accounting Standards No. 52, Foreign Currency
Translation (FAS 52). For 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 and
2002, respectively, the amounts included are $355 million,
$(495) million, $(140) million, $78 million and
$(91) million. |
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(g) |
2005 includes the effect of the non-renewal of a single large
group life case of $36 billion. Also, the foreign in-force
is translated to U.S. dollars at the appropriate balance sheet
exchange rate in each period. |
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(h) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133,
including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For
2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively, the effect was
$(1.82) billion, $2.01 billion, $(122) million,
$(1.01) billion and $220 million in both revenues and operating
income for Capital Markets. These amounts result primarily from
interest rate and foreign currency derivatives that are
economically hedging available for sale securities and
borrowings. For 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively, the effect
was $(27) million, $49 million and $20 million in
operating income for Aircraft Leasing. In 2006 and 2005,
Aircraft Leasing derivative gains and losses were reported as
part of AIGs Other category, and were not reported in
Aircraft Leasing operating income. |
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(i) |
Includes $1.6 billion of regulatory settlement costs in
2005 as described under Item 3. Legal Proceedings. |
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(j) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133,
including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For
2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively, the effect was
$(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion, $385 million,
$(1.50) billion and $(216) million in revenues and
$(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion, $671 million,
$(1.22) billion and $(58) million in operating income.
These amounts result primarily from interest rate and foreign
currency derivatives that are hedging available for sale
securities and borrowings. |
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(k) |
Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned,
Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums, net
investment income, Financial Services interest, lease and
finance charges, Asset Management net investment income from
spread-based products and advisory and management fees, and
realized capital gains (losses). |
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(l) |
Represents income before income taxes, minority interest and
cumulative effect of accounting changes. |
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 5
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
General Insurance Operations
AIGs General Insurance subsidiaries are multiple line
companies writing substantially all lines of commercial property
and casualty insurance and various personal lines both
domestically and abroad. Domestic General Insurance operations
are comprised of the Domestic Brokerage Group (DBG),
Reinsurance, Personal Lines, and Mortgage Guaranty.
AIG is diversified both in terms of classes of business and
geographic locations. In General Insurance, workers compensation
business is the largest class of business written and
represented approximately 15 percent of net premiums
written for the year ended December 31, 2006. During 2006,
8 percent and 7 percent of the direct General
Insurance premiums written (gross premiums less return premiums
and cancellations, excluding reinsurance assumed and before
deducting reinsurance ceded) were written in California and New
York, respectively. No other state accounted for more than
five percent of such premiums.
The majority of AIGs General Insurance business is in the
casualty classes, which tend to involve longer periods of time
for the reporting and settling of claims. This may increase the
risk and uncertainty with respect to AIGs loss reserve
development.
DBG
AIGs primary Domestic General Insurance division is DBG.
DBGs business in the United States and Canada is conducted
through American Home, National Union, Lexington, HSB and
certain other General Insurance company subsidiaries of AIG.
During 2006, DBG accounted for 54 percent of AIGs
General Insurance net premiums written.
DBG writes substantially all classes of business insurance,
accepting such business mainly from insurance brokers. This
provides DBG the opportunity to select specialized markets and
retain underwriting control. Any licensed broker is able to
submit business to DBG without the traditional agent-company
contractual relationship, but such broker usually has no
authority to commit DBG to accept a risk.
In addition to writing substantially all classes of business
insurance, including large commercial or industrial property
insurance, excess liability, inland marine, environmental,
workers compensation and excess and umbrella coverages, DBG
offers many specialized forms of insurance such as aviation,
accident and health, equipment breakdown, directors and officers
liability (D&O), difference-in-conditions, kidnap-ransom,
export credit and political risk, and various types of
professional errors and omissions coverages. The AIG Risk
Management operation provides insurance and risk management
programs for large corporate customers. The AIG Risk Finance
operation is a leading provider of customized structured
insurance products. Also included in DBG are the operations of
AIG Environmental, which focuses specifically on providing
specialty products to clients with environmental exposures.
Lexington writes surplus lines for risks which conventional
insurance companies do not readily provide insurance coverage,
either because of complexity or because the coverage does not
lend itself to conventional contracts. The AIG Worldsource
Division introduces and coordinates AIGs products and
services to U.S.-based
multinational clients and foreign corporations doing business in
the U.S.
Certain of the products of the DBG companies include funding
components or have been structured so that little or no
insurance risk is actually transferred. Funds received in
connection with these products are recorded as deposits and
included in other liabilities, rather than premiums and incurred
losses.
Reinsurance
The subsidiaries of Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. (Transatlantic)
offer reinsurance on both a treaty and facultative basis to
insurers in the U.S. and abroad. Transatlantic structures
programs for a full range of property and casualty products with
an emphasis on specialty risk. Transatlantic is a public company
owned 59.2 percent by AIG and therefore is included in
AIGs consolidated financial statements.
Personal Lines
AIGs Personal Lines operations provide automobile
insurance through AIG Direct, a mass marketing operation, the
Agency Auto Division and 21st Century Insurance Group (21st
Century), as well as a broad range of coverages for high
net-worth individuals through the AIG Private Client Group. 21st
Century is a public company owned 61.9 percent by AIG and
therefore is included in AIGs consolidated financial
statements. During the first quarter of 2007, AIG offered to
acquire the outstanding shares of 21st Century not already owned
by AIG and its subsidiaries.
Mortgage Guaranty
The main business of the subsidiaries of United Guaranty
Corporation (UGC) is the issuance of residential mortgage
guaranty insurance, both domestically and internationally, on
conventional first lien mortgages for the purchase or refinance
of one to four family residences. UGC subsidiaries also
write second lien and private student loan guaranty insurance.
Foreign General Insurance
AIGs Foreign General Insurance group accepts risks
primarily underwritten through American International
Underwriters (AIU), a marketing unit consisting of wholly owned
agencies and insurance companies. The Foreign General Insurance
group also includes business written by AIGs foreign-based
insurance subsidiaries. The Foreign General Insurance group uses
various marketing methods and multiple distribution channels to
write both commercial and consumer lines insurance with certain
refinements for local laws, customs and needs. AIU operates in
Asia, the Pacific Rim, Europe, including the U.K., Africa, the
Middle East and Latin America. During 2006, the Foreign General
Insurance group accounted for 25 percent of AIGs
General Insurance net premiums written.
Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated
Net Losses and Loss Expense Reserve Development
The reserve for net losses and loss expenses represents the
accumulation of estimates for reported losses (case basis
reserves) and provisions for losses incurred but not reported
6 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
(IBNR), both reduced by applicable reinsurance recoverable and
the discount for future investment income, where permitted.
Losses and loss expenses are charged to income as incurred.
Loss reserves established with respect to foreign business are
set and monitored in terms of the respective local or functional
currency. Therefore, no assumption is included for changes in
currency rates. See also Note 1(b) of Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements.
Management reviews the adequacy of established loss reserves
through the utilization of a number of analytical reserve
development techniques. Through the use of these techniques,
management is able to monitor the adequacy of AIGs
established reserves and determine appropriate assumptions for
inflation. Also, analysis of emerging specific development
patterns, such as case reserve redundancies or deficiencies and
IBNR emergence, allows management to determine any required
adjustments.
The Analysis of Consolidated Losses and Loss Expense
Reserve Development table presents the development of net
losses and loss expense reserves for calendar years 1996 through
2006. Immediately following this table is a second table that
presents all data on a basis that excludes asbestos and
environmental net losses and loss expense reserve development.
The opening reserves held are shown at the top of the table for
each year end date. The amount of loss reserve discount included
in the opening reserve at each date is shown immediately below
the reserves held for each year. The undiscounted reserve at
each date is thus the sum of the discount and the reserve held.
The upper half of the table presents the cumulative amounts paid
during successive years related to the undiscounted opening loss
reserves. For example, in the table that excludes asbestos and
environmental losses, with respect to the net losses and loss
expense reserve of $24.75 billion as of December 31,
1999, by the end of 2006 (seven years later) $29.16 billion
had actually been paid in settlement of these net loss reserves.
In addition, as reflected in the lower section of the table, the
original undiscounted reserve of $25.82 billion was
reestimated to be $36.28 billion at December 31, 2006.
This increase from the original estimate would generally result
from a combination of a number of factors, including reserves
being settled for larger amounts than originally estimated. The
original estimates will also be increased or decreased as more
information becomes known about the individual claims and
overall claim frequency and severity patterns. The redundancy
(deficiency) depicted in the table, for any particular calendar
year, presents the aggregate change in estimates over the period
of years subsequent to the calendar year reflected at the top of
the respective column heading. For example, the redundancy of
$259 million at December 31, 2006 related to
December 31, 2005 net losses and loss expense reserves of
$57.34 billion represents the cumulative amount by which
reserves for 2005 and prior years have developed favorably
during 2006.
The bottom of each table below presents the remaining
undiscounted and discounted net loss reserve for each year. For
example, in the table that excludes asbestos and environmental
losses, for the 2001 year end, the remaining undiscounted
reserves held as of December 31, 2006 are
$12.25 billion, with a corresponding discounted net reserve
of $11.35 billion.
The reserves for net losses and loss expenses with respect to
Transatlantic and 21st Century are included only in consolidated
net losses and loss expenses commencing with the year ended
December 31, 1998, the year they were first consolidated in
AIGs financial statements. Reserve development for these
operations is included only for 1998 and subsequent periods.
Thus, the presentation for 1997 and prior year ends is not fully
comparable to that for 1998 and subsequent years in the tables
below.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 7
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Analysis of Consolidated Losses and
Loss Expense Reserve Development
The following table presents for each
calendar year the losses and loss expense reserves and the
development thereof including those with respect to asbestos and
environmental claims. See also Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Net Reserves Held
|
|
$ |
20,496 |
|
|
$ |
20,901 |
|
|
$ |
25,418 |
|
|
$ |
25,636 |
|
|
$ |
25,684 |
|
|
$ |
26,005 |
|
|
$ |
29,347 |
|
|
$ |
36,228 |
|
|
$ |
47,254 |
|
|
$ |
57,476 |
|
|
$ |
62,630 |
|
Discount (in Reserves Held)
|
|
|
393 |
|
|
|
619 |
|
|
|
897 |
|
|
|
1,075 |
|
|
|
1,287 |
|
|
|
1,423 |
|
|
|
1,499 |
|
|
|
1,516 |
|
|
|
1,553 |
|
|
|
2,110 |
|
|
|
2,264 |
|
Net Reserves Held (Undiscounted)
|
|
|
20,889 |
|
|
|
21,520 |
|
|
|
26,315 |
|
|
|
26,711 |
|
|
|
26,971 |
|
|
|
27,428 |
|
|
|
30,846 |
|
|
|
37,744 |
|
|
|
48,807 |
|
|
|
59,586 |
|
|
|
64,894 |
|
Paid (Cumulative) as of:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year later
|
|
|
5,712 |
|
|
|
5,607 |
|
|
|
7,205 |
|
|
|
8,266 |
|
|
|
9,709 |
|
|
|
11,007 |
|
|
|
10,775 |
|
|
|
12,163 |
|
|
|
14,910 |
|
|
|
15,326 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two years later
|
|
|
9,244 |
|
|
|
9,754 |
|
|
|
12,382 |
|
|
|
14,640 |
|
|
|
17,149 |
|
|
|
18,091 |
|
|
|
18,589 |
|
|
|
21,773 |
|
|
|
24,377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three years later
|
|
|
11,943 |
|
|
|
12,939 |
|
|
|
16,599 |
|
|
|
19,901 |
|
|
|
21,930 |
|
|
|
23,881 |
|
|
|
25,513 |
|
|
|
28,763 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later
|
|
|
14,152 |
|
|
|
15,484 |
|
|
|
20,263 |
|
|
|
23,074 |
|
|
|
26,090 |
|
|
|
28,717 |
|
|
|
30,757 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later
|
|
|
16,077 |
|
|
|
17,637 |
|
|
|
22,303 |
|
|
|
25,829 |
|
|
|
29,473 |
|
|
|
32,685 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later
|
|
|
17,551 |
|
|
|
18,806 |
|
|
|
24,114 |
|
|
|
28,165 |
|
|
|
32,421 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later
|
|
|
18,415 |
|
|
|
19,919 |
|
|
|
25,770 |
|
|
|
30,336 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eight years later
|
|
|
19,200 |
|
|
|
21,089 |
|
|
|
27,309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later
|
|
|
20,105 |
|
|
|
22,177 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later
|
|
|
20,972 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Net Reserves Held (undiscounted)
|
|
$ |
20,889 |
|
|
$ |
21,520 |
|
|
$ |
26,315 |
|
|
$ |
26,711 |
|
|
$ |
26,971 |
|
|
$ |
27,428 |
|
|
$ |
30,846 |
|
|
$ |
37,744 |
|
|
$ |
48,807 |
|
|
$ |
59,586 |
|
|
$ |
64,894 |
|
Undiscounted Liability as of:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year later
|
|
|
20,795 |
|
|
|
21,563 |
|
|
|
25,897 |
|
|
|
26,358 |
|
|
|
26,979 |
|
|
|
31,112 |
|
|
|
32,913 |
|
|
|
40,931 |
|
|
|
53,486 |
|
|
|
59,533 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two years later
|
|
|
20,877 |
|
|
|
21,500 |
|
|
|
25,638 |
|
|
|
27,023 |
|
|
|
30,696 |
|
|
|
33,363 |
|
|
|
37,583 |
|
|
|
49,463 |
|
|
|
55,009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three years later
|
|
|
20,994 |
|
|
|
21,264 |
|
|
|
26,169 |
|
|
|
29,994 |
|
|
|
32,732 |
|
|
|
37,964 |
|
|
|
46,179 |
|
|
|
51,497 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later
|
|
|
20,776 |
|
|
|
21,485 |
|
|
|
28,021 |
|
|
|
31,192 |
|
|
|
36,210 |
|
|
|
45,203 |
|
|
|
48,427 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later
|
|
|
20,917 |
|
|
|
22,405 |
|
|
|
28,607 |
|
|
|
33,910 |
|
|
|
41,699 |
|
|
|
47,078 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later
|
|
|
21,469 |
|
|
|
22,720 |
|
|
|
30,632 |
|
|
|
38,087 |
|
|
|
43,543 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later
|
|
|
21,671 |
|
|
|
24,209 |
|
|
|
33,861 |
|
|
|
39,597 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eight years later
|
|
|
22,986 |
|
|
|
26,747 |
|
|
|
34,986 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later
|
|
|
25,264 |
|
|
|
27,765 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later
|
|
|
26,091 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Redundancy/(Deficiency)
|
|
|
(5,202 |
) |
|
|
(6,245 |
) |
|
|
(8,671 |
) |
|
|
(12,886 |
) |
|
|
(16,572 |
) |
|
|
(19,650 |
) |
|
|
(17,581 |
) |
|
|
(13,753 |
) |
|
|
(6,202 |
) |
|
|
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Reserves (Undiscounted)
|
|
|
5,119 |
|
|
|
5,588 |
|
|
|
7,677 |
|
|
|
9,261 |
|
|
|
11,122 |
|
|
|
14,393 |
|
|
|
17,670 |
|
|
|
22,734 |
|
|
|
30,632 |
|
|
|
44,207 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Discount
|
|
|
360 |
|
|
|
427 |
|
|
|
517 |
|
|
|
623 |
|
|
|
748 |
|
|
|
894 |
|
|
|
1,079 |
|
|
|
1,265 |
|
|
|
1,484 |
|
|
|
1,809 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Reserves
|
|
|
4,759 |
|
|
|
5,161 |
|
|
|
7,160 |
|
|
|
8,638 |
|
|
|
10,374 |
|
|
|
13,499 |
|
|
|
16,591 |
|
|
|
21,469 |
|
|
|
29,148 |
|
|
|
42,398 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table presents the gross
liability (before discount), reinsurance recoverable and net
liability recorded at each year end and the reestimation of
these amounts as of December 31, 2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Gross Liability, End of Year
|
|
$ |
32,605 |
|
|
$ |
32,049 |
|
|
$ |
36,973 |
|
|
$ |
37,278 |
|
|
$ |
39,222 |
|
|
$ |
42,629 |
|
|
$ |
48,173 |
|
|
$ |
53,387 |
|
|
$ |
63,431 |
|
|
$ |
79,279 |
|
|
$ |
82,263 |
|
Reinsurance Recoverable,
End of Year
|
|
|
11,716 |
|
|
|
10,529 |
|
|
|
10,658 |
|
|
|
10,567 |
|
|
|
12,251 |
|
|
|
15,201 |
|
|
|
17,327 |
|
|
|
15,643 |
|
|
|
14,624 |
|
|
|
19,693 |
|
|
|
17,369 |
|
Net Liability, End of Year
|
|
|
20,889 |
|
|
|
21,520 |
|
|
|
26,315 |
|
|
|
26,711 |
|
|
|
26,971 |
|
|
|
27,428 |
|
|
|
30,846 |
|
|
|
37,744 |
|
|
|
48,807 |
|
|
|
59,586 |
|
|
|
64,894 |
|
Reestimated Gross Liability
|
|
|
41,685 |
|
|
|
43,993 |
|
|
|
53,004 |
|
|
|
58,320 |
|
|
|
63,768 |
|
|
|
67,554 |
|
|
|
68,657 |
|
|
|
69,007 |
|
|
|
70,895 |
|
|
|
78,946 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reestimated Reinsurance Recoverable
|
|
|
15,594 |
|
|
|
16,227 |
|
|
|
18,018 |
|
|
|
18,723 |
|
|
|
20,224 |
|
|
|
20,476 |
|
|
|
20,229 |
|
|
|
17,511 |
|
|
|
15,886 |
|
|
|
19,413 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reestimated Net Liability
|
|
|
26,091 |
|
|
|
27,766 |
|
|
|
34,986 |
|
|
|
39,597 |
|
|
|
43,544 |
|
|
|
47,078 |
|
|
|
48,428 |
|
|
|
51,496 |
|
|
|
55,009 |
|
|
|
59,533 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cumulative Gross Redundancy/ (Deficiency)
|
|
|
(9,080 |
) |
|
|
(11,944 |
) |
|
|
(16,031 |
) |
|
|
(21,042 |
) |
|
|
(24,546 |
) |
|
|
(24,925 |
) |
|
|
(20,484 |
) |
|
|
(15,620 |
) |
|
|
(7,464 |
) |
|
|
333 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Analysis of Consolidated Losses and
Loss Expense Reserve Development Excluding Asbestos and
Environmental Losses and Loss Expense Reserve
Development
The following table presents for each
calendar year the losses and loss expense reserves and the
development thereof excluding those with respect to asbestos and
environmental claims. See also Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Net Reserves Held
|
|
$ |
19,753 |
|
|
$ |
20,113 |
|
|
$ |
24,554 |
|
|
$ |
24,745 |
|
|
$ |
24,829 |
|
|
$ |
25,286 |
|
|
$ |
28,650 |
|
|
$ |
35,559 |
|
|
$ |
45,742 |
|
|
$ |
55,227 |
|
|
$ |
60,451 |
|
Discount (in Reserves Held)
|
|
|
393 |
|
|
|
619 |
|
|
|
897 |
|
|
|
1,075 |
|
|
|
1,287 |
|
|
|
1,423 |
|
|
|
1,499 |
|
|
|
1,516 |
|
|
|
1,553 |
|
|
|
2,110 |
|
|
|
2,264 |
|
Net Reserves Held (Undiscounted)
|
|
|
20,146 |
|
|
|
20,732 |
|
|
|
25,451 |
|
|
|
25,820 |
|
|
|
26,116 |
|
|
|
26,709 |
|
|
|
30,149 |
|
|
|
37,075 |
|
|
|
47,295 |
|
|
|
57,336 |
|
|
|
62,715 |
|
Paid (Cumulative) as of:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year later
|
|
|
5,603 |
|
|
|
5,467 |
|
|
|
7,084 |
|
|
|
8,195 |
|
|
|
9,515 |
|
|
|
10,861 |
|
|
|
10,632 |
|
|
|
11,999 |
|
|
|
14,718 |
|
|
|
15,047 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two years later
|
|
|
8,996 |
|
|
|
9,500 |
|
|
|
12,190 |
|
|
|
14,376 |
|
|
|
16,808 |
|
|
|
17,801 |
|
|
|
18,283 |
|
|
|
21,419 |
|
|
|
23,906 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three years later
|
|
|
11,582 |
|
|
|
12,618 |
|
|
|
16,214 |
|
|
|
19,490 |
|
|
|
21,447 |
|
|
|
23,430 |
|
|
|
25,021 |
|
|
|
28,129 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later
|
|
|
13,724 |
|
|
|
14,972 |
|
|
|
19,732 |
|
|
|
22,521 |
|
|
|
25,445 |
|
|
|
28,080 |
|
|
|
29,987 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later
|
|
|
15,460 |
|
|
|
16,983 |
|
|
|
21,630 |
|
|
|
25,116 |
|
|
|
28,643 |
|
|
|
31,771 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later
|
|
|
16,792 |
|
|
|
18,014 |
|
|
|
23,282 |
|
|
|
27,266 |
|
|
|
31,315 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later
|
|
|
17,519 |
|
|
|
18,972 |
|
|
|
24,753 |
|
|
|
29,162 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eight years later
|
|
|
18,149 |
|
|
|
19,960 |
|
|
|
26,017 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later
|
|
|
18,873 |
|
|
|
20,779 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later
|
|
|
19,471 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Net Reserves Held (undiscounted)
|
|
$ |
20,146 |
|
|
$ |
20,732 |
|
|
$ |
25,451 |
|
|
$ |
25,820 |
|
|
$ |
26,116 |
|
|
$ |
26,709 |
|
|
$ |
30,149 |
|
|
$ |
37,075 |
|
|
$ |
47,295 |
|
|
$ |
57,336 |
|
|
$ |
62,715 |
|
Undiscounted Liability as of:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year later
|
|
|
19,904 |
|
|
|
20,576 |
|
|
|
24,890 |
|
|
|
25,437 |
|
|
|
26,071 |
|
|
|
30,274 |
|
|
|
32,129 |
|
|
|
39,261 |
|
|
|
51,048 |
|
|
|
57,077 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two years later
|
|
|
19,788 |
|
|
|
20,385 |
|
|
|
24,602 |
|
|
|
26,053 |
|
|
|
29,670 |
|
|
|
32,438 |
|
|
|
35,803 |
|
|
|
46,865 |
|
|
|
52,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three years later
|
|
|
19,777 |
|
|
|
20,120 |
|
|
|
25,084 |
|
|
|
28,902 |
|
|
|
31,619 |
|
|
|
36,043 |
|
|
|
43,467 |
|
|
|
48,691 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Four years later
|
|
|
19,530 |
|
|
|
20,301 |
|
|
|
26,813 |
|
|
|
30,014 |
|
|
|
34,102 |
|
|
|
42,348 |
|
|
|
45,510 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Five years later
|
|
|
19,633 |
|
|
|
21,104 |
|
|
|
27,314 |
|
|
|
31,738 |
|
|
|
38,655 |
|
|
|
44,018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six years later
|
|
|
20,070 |
|
|
|
21,336 |
|
|
|
28,345 |
|
|
|
34,978 |
|
|
|
40,294 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seven years later
|
|
|
20,188 |
|
|
|
21,836 |
|
|
|
30,636 |
|
|
|
36,283 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eight years later
|
|
|
20,515 |
|
|
|
23,441 |
|
|
|
31,556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine years later
|
|
|
21,858 |
|
|
|
24,261 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ten years later
|
|
|
22,486 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Redundancy/(Deficiency)
|
|
|
(2,340 |
) |
|
|
(3,529 |
) |
|
|
(6,105 |
) |
|
|
(10,463 |
) |
|
|
(14,178 |
) |
|
|
(17,309 |
) |
|
|
(15,361 |
) |
|
|
(11,616 |
) |
|
|
(5,069 |
) |
|
|
259 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Reserves (undiscounted)
|
|
|
3,015 |
|
|
|
3,482 |
|
|
|
5,539 |
|
|
|
7,121 |
|
|
|
8,979 |
|
|
|
12,247 |
|
|
|
15,523 |
|
|
|
20,562 |
|
|
|
28,458 |
|
|
|
42,030 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Discount
|
|
|
360 |
|
|
|
427 |
|
|
|
517 |
|
|
|
623 |
|
|
|
748 |
|
|
|
894 |
|
|
|
1,079 |
|
|
|
1,265 |
|
|
|
1,484 |
|
|
|
1,809 |
|
|
|
|
|
Remaining Reserves
|
|
|
2,655 |
|
|
|
3,055 |
|
|
|
5,022 |
|
|
|
6,498 |
|
|
|
8,231 |
|
|
|
11,353 |
|
|
|
14,444 |
|
|
|
19,297 |
|
|
|
26,974 |
|
|
|
40,221 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table presents the gross
liability (before discount), reinsurance recoverable and net
liability recorded at each year end and the reestimation of
these amounts as of December 31, 2006.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
1996 | |
|
1997 | |
|
1998 | |
|
1999 | |
|
2000 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
| |
Gross Liability, End of Year
|
|
$ |
30,302 |
|
|
$ |
29,740 |
|
|
$ |
34,474 |
|
|
$ |
34,666 |
|
|
$ |
36,777 |
|
|
$ |
40,400 |
|
|
$ |
46,036 |
|
|
$ |
51,363 |
|
|
$ |
59,897 |
|
|
$ |
73,912 |
|
|
$ |
77,211 |
|
Reinsurance Recoverable,
End of Year
|
|
|
10,156 |
|
|
|
9,008 |
|
|
|
9,023 |
|
|
|
8,846 |
|
|
|
10,661 |
|
|
|
13,691 |
|
|
|
15,887 |
|
|
|
14,288 |
|
|
|
12,602 |
|
|
|
16,576 |
|
|
|
14,495 |
|
Net Liability, End of Year
|
|
|
20,146 |
|
|
|
20,732 |
|
|
|
25,451 |
|
|
|
25,820 |
|
|
|
26,116 |
|
|
|
26,709 |
|
|
|
30,149 |
|
|
|
37,075 |
|
|
|
47,295 |
|
|
|
57,336 |
|
|
|
62,715 |
|
Reestimated Gross Liability
|
|
|
32,186 |
|
|
|
34,940 |
|
|
|
44,281 |
|
|
|
50,004 |
|
|
|
55,974 |
|
|
|
60,289 |
|
|
|
61,735 |
|
|
|
62,488 |
|
|
|
64,772 |
|
|
|
73,241 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reestimated Reinsurance Recoverable
|
|
|
9,699 |
|
|
|
10,679 |
|
|
|
12,725 |
|
|
|
13,722 |
|
|
|
15,680 |
|
|
|
16,270 |
|
|
|
16,225 |
|
|
|
13,797 |
|
|
|
12,409 |
|
|
|
16,164 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reestimated Net Liability
|
|
|
22,487 |
|
|
|
24,261 |
|
|
|
31,556 |
|
|
|
36,282 |
|
|
|
40,294 |
|
|
|
44,019 |
|
|
|
45,510 |
|
|
|
48,691 |
|
|
|
52,363 |
|
|
|
57,077 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cumulative Gross Redundancy/(Deficiency)
|
|
|
(1,884 |
) |
|
|
(5,200 |
) |
|
|
(9,807 |
) |
|
|
(15,338 |
) |
|
|
(19,197 |
) |
|
|
(19,889 |
) |
|
|
(15,699 |
) |
|
|
(11,125 |
) |
|
|
(4,875 |
) |
|
|
671 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 9
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
The reserve for losses and loss expenses as reported in
AIGs consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2006
differs from the total reserve reported in the Annual Statements
filed with state insurance departments and, where appropriate,
with foreign regulatory authorities. The differences at
December 31, 2006 relate primarily to reserves for certain
foreign operations not required to be reported in the United
States for statutory reporting purposes. Further, statutory
practices in the United States require reserves to be shown net
of applicable reinsurance recoverable.
The reserve for gross losses and loss expenses is prior to
reinsurance and represents the accumulation for reported losses
and IBNR. Management reviews the adequacy of established gross
loss reserves in the manner previously described for net loss
reserves.
For further discussion regarding net reserves for losses and
loss expenses, see Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Operating Review General Insurance
Operations Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses.
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services Operations
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services subsidiaries
offer a wide range of insurance and retirement savings products
both domestically and abroad. Insurance-oriented products
consist of individual and group life, payout annuities
(including structured settlements), endowment and accident and
health policies. Retirement savings products consist generally
of fixed and variable annuities.
There was no significant adverse effect on AIGs Life
Insurance & Retirement Services results of operations
from economic conditions in any one state, country or geographic
region for the year ended December 31, 2006.
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
In its Life Insurance & Retirement Services businesses,
AIG operates overseas principally through ALICO, AIG Star Life,
AIG Edison Life, AIA, AIRCO, Nan Shan and Philamlife. ALICO is
incorporated in Delaware and all of its business is written
outside of the United States. ALICO has operations either
directly or through subsidiaries in Europe, including the U.K.,
Latin America, the Caribbean, the Middle East, South Asia and
the Far East, with Japan being the largest territory. AIA
operates primarily in China (including Hong Kong), Singapore,
Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Vietnam,
Indonesia, and India. The operations in India are conducted
through a joint venture, Tata AIG Life Insurance Company
Limited. Nan Shan operates in Taiwan. Philamlife is the largest
life insurer in the Philippines. AIG Star Life and AIG Edison
Life operate in Japan. Operations in foreign countries comprised
78 percent of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP
premiums and 68 percent of Life Insurance & Retirement
Services operating income in 2006.
The Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services
companies have over 270,000 full and part-time agents, as well
as independent producers, and sell their products largely to
indigenous persons in local and foreign currencies. In addition
to the agency outlets, these companies also distribute their
products through direct marketing channels, such as mass
marketing, and through brokers and other distribution outlets,
such as financial institutions.
Life insurance products such as whole life and endowment
continue to be significant in the overseas companies, especially
in Southeast Asia, while a mixture of life insurance, accident
and health and retirement services products are sold in Japan.
AIG also has subsidiary operations in Canada, Egypt, Mexico,
Poland, Switzerland, Russia and Puerto Rico, and conducts life
insurance business through a joint venture in Brazil and in
certain countries in Central and South America.
Domestic Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
AIGs principal domestic Life Insurance &
Retirement Services operations include AGLA, AIG American
General, AIG Annuity, USLIFE, VALIC and SunAmerica Life. These
companies utilize multiple distribution channels including
independent producers, brokerage, career agents and banks to
offer life insurance, annuity and accident and health products
and services, as well as financial and other investment
products. The domestic Life Insurance & Retirement
Services operations comprised 22 percent of total Life
Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums and
32 percent of Life Insurance & Retirement Services
operating income in 2006.
Reinsurance
AIGs General Insurance subsidiaries worldwide operate
primarily by underwriting and accepting risks for their direct
account and securing reinsurance on that portion of the risk in
excess of the limit which they wish to retain. This operating
policy differs from that of many insurance companies that will
underwrite only up to their net retention limit, thereby
requiring the broker or agent to secure commitments from other
underwriters for the remainder of the gross risk amount.
Various AIG profit centers, including DBG, AIU, AIG Reinsurance
Advisors, Inc. and AIG Risk Finance, as well as certain Foreign
Life subsidiaries, use AIRCO as a reinsurer for certain of their
businesses, and AIRCO also receives premiums from offshore
captives of AIG clients. In accordance with permitted accounting
practices in Bermuda, AIRCO discounts reserves attributable to
certain classes of business assumed from other AIG subsidiaries.
For a further discussion of reinsurance, see Item 1A. Risk
Factors Reinsurance, Managements Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Risk Management Reinsurance
and Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Insurance Investment
Operations
A significant portion of AIGs General Insurance and Life
Insurance & Retirement Services revenues are derived
from AIGs
10 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
insurance investment operations, which are summarized in the
following table.
The following table summarizes the
investment results of the insurance operations.
|
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|
|
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| |
|
|
Annual Average Cash and Invested Assets |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
Cash | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(including | |
|
|
|
Return on | |
|
Return on | |
Years Ended December 31, |
|
short-term | |
|
Invested | |
|
|
|
Average Cash | |
|
Average | |
(in millions) |
|
investments) | |
|
Assets(a)(b) | |
|
Total | |
|
and Assets(c) | |
|
Assets(d) | |
| |
General Insurance:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006
|
|
$ |
3,201 |
|
|
$ |
102,231 |
|
|
$ |
105,432 |
|
|
|
5.4 |
% |
|
|
5.6 |
% |
2005
|
|
|
2,450 |
|
|
|
86,211 |
|
|
|
88,661 |
|
|
|
4.5 |
|
|
|
4.7 |
|
2004
|
|
|
2,012 |
|
|
|
73,338 |
|
|
|
75,350 |
|
|
|
4.2 |
|
|
|
4.4 |
|
2003
|
|
|
1,818 |
|
|
|
59,855 |
|
|
|
61,673 |
|
|
|
4.2 |
|
|
|
4.3 |
|
2002
|
|
|
1,537 |
|
|
|
47,477 |
|
|
|
49,014 |
|
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006
|
|
$ |
7,205 |
|
|
$ |
384,724 |
|
|
$ |
391,929 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
% |
|
|
5.1 |
% |
2005
|
|
|
6,180 |
|
|
|
352,250 |
|
|
|
358,430 |
|
|
|
5.1 |
|
|
|
5.1 |
|
2004
|
|
|
5,089 |
|
|
|
307,659 |
|
|
|
312,748 |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
|
2003
|
|
|
4,680 |
|
|
|
247,608 |
|
|
|
252,288 |
|
|
|
5.1 |
|
|
|
5.2 |
|
2002
|
|
|
3,919 |
|
|
|
199,750 |
|
|
|
203,669 |
|
|
|
5.5 |
|
|
|
5.6 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Including investment income due and accrued and real
estate. |
|
(b) |
Includes collateral assets invested under the securities
lending program. |
|
(c) |
Net investment income divided by the annual average sum of
cash and invested assets. |
|
(d) |
Net investment income divided by the annual average invested
assets. |
AIGs worldwide insurance investment policy places primary
emphasis on investments in government and other high quality,
fixed income securities in all of its portfolios and, to a
lesser extent, investments in high yield bonds, common stocks,
real estate, hedge funds and partnerships, in order to enhance
returns on policyholders funds and generate net investment
income. The ability to implement this policy is somewhat limited
in certain territories as there may be a lack of adequate
long-term investments or investment restrictions may be imposed
by the local regulatory authorities.
Financial Services Operations
AIGs Financial Services subsidiaries engage in diversified
activities including aircraft and equipment leasing, capital
markets, consumer finance and insurance premium finance.
Together, the Aircraft Leasing, Capital Markets and Consumer
Finance operations generate the majority of the revenues
produced by the Financial Services operations. Imperial A.I.
Credit Companies also contribute to Financial Services income.
This operation engages principally in insurance premium
financing for both AIGs customers and those of other
insurers.
Aircraft Leasing
AIGs Aircraft Leasing operations represent the operations
of ILFC, which generates its revenues primarily from leasing new
and used commercial jet aircraft to foreign and domestic
airlines. Revenues also result from the remarketing of
commercial jets for its own account, and remarketing and fleet
management services for airlines and for financial institutions.
See also Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
Capital Markets
The Capital Markets operations of AIG are conducted primarily
through AIGFP, which engages as principal in standard and
customized interest rate, currency, equity, commodity, energy
and credit products with top-tier corporations, financial
institutions, governments, agencies, institutional investors,
and high-net-worth individuals throughout the world. AIGFP also
invests in a diversified portfolio of securities and principal
investments and engages in borrowing activities that include
issuing standard and structured notes and other securities and
entering into guaranteed investment agreements (GIAs). See also
Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Consumer Finance
Consumer Finance operations include AGF as well as AIGCFG. AGF
provides a wide variety of consumer finance products, including
real estate and non-real estate loans, retail sales finance and
credit-related insurance to customers in the United States,
Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. AIGCFG, through its
subsidiaries, is engaged in developing a multi-product consumer
finance business with an emphasis on emerging markets.
Asset Management Operations
AIGs Asset Management operations comprise a wide variety
of investment-related services and investment products,
including institutional and retail asset management,
broker-dealer services and institutional spread-based investment
business. Such services and products are offered to individuals
and institutions both domestically and overseas. Asset
Managements spread-based
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 11
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
investment business includes the results of AIGs
proprietary institutional spread-based investment operation, the
Matched Investment Program (MIP), which was launched in
September of 2005 and replaced the GIC program.
AIGs principal Asset Management operations are conducted
through certain subsidiaries of AIG Retirement Services, Inc.,
including SAAMCo and the AIG Advisor Group broker dealers (AIG
SunAmerica); and through AIGGIG, including AIG Global Investment
Corp., AIG Global Real Estate and AIG Private Bank. AIG
SunAmerica sells and manages mutual funds and provides financial
advisory services through independent-contractor registered
representatives. AIGGIG manages invested assets on a global
basis for AIG subsidiaries and affiliates, as well as
third-party institutional, retail, and private banking clients.
AIGGIG offers equity, fixed income and alternative investment
funds and provides securities lending and custodial services and
numerous forms of structured investment products across all
asset classes. Each of these subsidiary operations receives fees
for investment products and services provided.
Other Operations
Certain other AIG subsidiaries provide insurance-related
services such as adjusting claims and marketing specialized
products. Several wholly owned foreign subsidiaries of AIG
operating in countries or jurisdictions such as Ireland,
Bermuda, Barbados and Gibraltar provide insurance and related
administrative and back office services to a variety of
affiliated and unaffiliated insurance and reinsurance companies,
including captive insurance companies unaffiliated with AIG.
AIG also has several other subsidiaries which engage in various
businesses. Mt. Mansfield Company, Inc. owns and operates the
ski slopes, lifts, school and an inn located at Stowe, Vermont.
Also included in AIGs Other operations are unallocated
corporate expenses, including interest expense and the
settlement costs more fully described in Item 3. Legal
Proceedings and Note 12(a) of Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements.
Additional Investments
AIGs significant investments in partially owned companies
(which are accounted for under the equity method) include a
19.4 percent interest in Allied World Assurance Holdings,
Ltd. (AWAC), a property-casualty insurance holding company, a
24.5 percent interest in The Fuji Fire and Marine Insurance
Co., Ltd., a general insurance company, a 26 percent
interest in Tata AIG Life Insurance Company, Ltd. and a
26 percent interest in Tata AIG General Insurance Company,
Ltd. For a discussion of AIGs investments in partially
owned companies, see Note 1(u) of Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements.
Locations of Certain Assets
As of December 31, 2006, approximately 37 percent of
the consolidated assets of AIG were located in foreign countries
(other than Canada), including $6.5 billion of cash and
securities on deposit with foreign regulatory authorities.
Foreign operations and assets held abroad may be adversely
affected by political developments in foreign countries,
including such possibilities as tax changes, nationalization,
and changes in regulatory policy, as well as by consequence of
hostilities and unrest. The risks of such occurrences and their
overall effect upon AIG vary from country to country and cannot
easily be predicted. If expropriation or nationalization does
occur, AIGs policy is to take all appropriate measures to
seek recovery of such assets. Certain of the countries in which
AIGs business is conducted have currency restrictions
which generally cause a delay in a companys ability to
repatriate assets and profits. See also Notes 1 and 2 of
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and
Item 1A. Risk Factors Foreign Operations.
Regulation
AIGs operations around the world are subject to regulation
by many different types of regulatory authorities, including
insurance, securities, investment advisory, banking and thrift
regulators in the United States and abroad. The regulatory
environment can have a significant effect on AIG and its
business. AIGs operations have become more diverse and
consumer-oriented, increasing the scope of regulatory
supervision and the possibility of intervention. In addition,
the investigations into financial accounting practices that led
to two restatements of AIGs consolidated financial
statements have heightened regulatory scrutiny of AIG worldwide.
In 1999, AIG became a unitary thrift holding company within the
meaning of the Home Owners Loan Act (HOLA) when the
Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) granted AIG approval to
organize AIG Federal Savings Bank. AIG is subject to OTS
regulation, examination, supervision and reporting requirements.
In addition, the OTS has enforcement authority over AIG and its
subsidiaries. Among other things, this permits the OTS to
restrict or prohibit activities that are determined to be a
serious risk to the financial safety, soundness or stability of
AIGs subsidiary savings association, AIG Federal Savings
Bank.
Under prior law, a unitary savings and loan holding company,
such as AIG, was not restricted as to the types of business in
which it could engage, provided that its savings association
subsidiary continued to be a qualified thrift lender. The
Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 (GLBA) provides that no
company may acquire control of an OTS regulated institution
after May 4, 1999 unless it engages only in the financial
activities permitted for financial holding companies under the
law or for multiple savings and loan holding companies. The
GLBA, however, grandfathered the unrestricted authority for
activities with respect to a unitary savings and loan holding
company existing prior to May 4, 1999, so long as its
savings association subsidiary continues to be a qualified
thrift lender under the HOLA. As a unitary savings and loan
holding company whose application was pending as of May 4,
1999, AIG is grandfathered under the GLBA and generally is not
restricted under existing laws as to the types of business
activities in which it may engage, provided that AIG Federal
Savings Bank continues to be a qualified thrift lender under the
HOLA.
Certain states require registration and periodic reporting by
insurance companies that are licensed in such states and are
controlled by other corporations. Applicable legislation
typically
12 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
requires periodic disclosure concerning the corporation that
controls the registered insurer and the other companies in the
holding company system and prior approval of intercorporate
services and transfers of assets (including in some instances
payment of dividends by the insurance subsidiary) within the
holding company system. AIGs subsidiaries are registered
under such legislation in those states that have such
requirements.
AIGs insurance subsidiaries, in common with other
insurers, are subject to regulation and supervision by the
states and by other jurisdictions in which they do business.
Within the United States, the method of such regulation varies
but generally has its source in statutes that delegate
regulatory and supervisory powers to an insurance official. The
regulation and supervision relate primarily to approval of
policy forms and rates, the standards of solvency that must be
met and maintained, including risk-based capital measurements,
the licensing of insurers and their agents, the nature of and
limitations on investments, restrictions on the size of risks
that may be insured under a single policy, deposits of
securities for the benefit of policyholders, requirements for
acceptability of reinsurers, periodic examinations of the
affairs of insurance companies, the form and content of reports
of financial condition required to be filed, and reserves for
unearned premiums, losses and other purposes. In general, such
regulation is for the protection of policyholders rather than
the equity owners of these companies.
In preparing both its 2004 and 2005 audited statutory financial
statements for its Domestic General Insurance companies, AIG
agreed with the relevant regulatory agencies on the statutory
accounting treatment of the various items requiring adjustment
or restatement. These adjustments and restatements reduced
previously reported General Insurance statutory surplus at
December 31, 2004 by approximately $3.5 billion to
approximately $20.6 billion.
With respect to the 2005 audited statutory financial statements,
the state regulators permitted the Domestic General Insurance
companies to record a $724 million reduction to opening
statutory surplus as of January 1, 2005.
AIG has taken various steps to enhance the capital positions of
the Domestic General Insurance companies. AIG entered into
capital maintenance agreements with the Domestic General
Insurance companies that set forth procedures through which AIG
will provide ongoing capital support. Dividends from the
Domestic General Insurance companies were suspended from fourth
quarter 2005 through 2006, but AIG expects that dividend
payments will resume in the first quarter of 2007. AIG
contributed an additional $750 million of capital into
American Home effective September 30, 2005, and contributed
a further $2.25 billion of capital in February 2006 for a
total of approximately $3 billion of capital into Domestic
General Insurance subsidiaries effective December 31, 2005.
Furthermore, in order to allow the Domestic General Insurance
companies to record as an admitted asset at December 31,
2006 certain reinsurance ceded to non-U.S. reinsurers (which has
the effect of increasing the statutory surplus of such Domestic
General Insurance companies), AIG obtained and entered into
reimbursement agreements for approximately $2 billion of
letters of credit issued by several commercial banks in favor of
certain Domestic General Insurance companies.
Risk-Based Capital (RBC) is designed to measure the adequacy of
an insurers statutory surplus in relation to the risks
inherent in its business. Thus, inadequately capitalized general
and life insurance companies may be identified.
The RBC formula develops a risk-adjusted target level of
statutory surplus by applying certain factors to various asset,
premium and reserve items. Higher factors are applied to more
risky items and lower factors are applied to less risky items.
Thus, the target level of statutory surplus varies not only as a
result of the insurers size, but also based on the risk
profile of the insurers operations.
The RBC Model Law provides for four incremental levels of
regulatory attention for insurers whose surplus is below the
calculated RBC target. These levels of attention range in
severity from requiring the insurer to submit a plan for
corrective action to placing the insurer under regulatory
control.
The statutory surplus of each of AIGs Domestic General and
Life Insurance subsidiaries exceeded their RBC target levels as
of December 31, 2006.
To the extent that any of AIGs insurance entities would
fall below prescribed levels of statutory surplus, it would be
AIGs intention to infuse necessary capital to support that
entity.
A substantial portion of AIGs General Insurance business
and a majority of its Life Insurance business is carried on in
foreign countries. The degree of regulation and supervision in
foreign jurisdictions varies. Generally, AIG, as well as the
underwriting companies operating in such jurisdictions, must
satisfy local regulatory requirements. Licenses issued by
foreign authorities to AIG subsidiaries are subject to
modification or revocation by such authorities, and AIU or other
AIG subsidiaries could be prevented from conducting business in
certain of the jurisdictions where they currently operate. In
the past, AIU has been allowed to modify its operations to
conform with new licensing requirements in most jurisdictions.
In addition to licensing requirements, AIGs foreign
operations are also regulated in various jurisdictions with
respect to currency, policy language and terms, amount and type
of security deposits, amount and type of reserves, amount and
type of local investment and the share of profits to be returned
to policyholders on participating policies. Some foreign
countries regulate rates on various types of policies. Certain
countries have established reinsurance institutions, wholly or
partially owned by the local government, to which admitted
insurers are obligated to cede a portion of their business on
terms that may not always allow foreign insurers, including AIG
subsidiaries, full compensation. In some countries, regulations
governing constitution of technical reserves and remittance
balances may hinder remittance of profits and repatriation of
assets.
See also Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations Capital
Resources and Liquidity Regulation and Supervision
and Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 13
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Competition
AIGs Insurance, Financial Services and Asset Management
businesses operate in highly competitive environments, both
domestically and overseas. Principal sources of competition are
insurance companies, banks, investment banks and other non-bank
financial institutions.
The insurance industry in particular is highly competitive.
Within the United States, AIGs General Insurance
subsidiaries compete with approximately 3,100 other stock
companies, specialty insurance organizations, mutual companies
and other underwriting organizations. AIGs subsidiaries
offering Life Insurance & Retirement Services compete
in the United States with approximately 2,000 life insurance
companies and other participants in related financial services
fields. Overseas, AIG subsidiaries compete for business with
foreign insurance operations of the larger U.S. insurers,
global insurance groups, and local companies in particular areas
in which they are active.
AIGs strong ratings have historically provided a
competitive advantage. For a discussion of the possible adverse
effects on AIGs competitive position as a result of a
ratings downgrade, see Item 1A. Risk
Factors AIGs Credit Ratings.
Directors and Executive Officers of
AIG
Set forth below is information concerning the directors and
executive officers of AIG. All directors are elected for
one-year terms at the annual meeting of shareholders. All
executive officers are elected to one-year terms, but serve at
the pleasure of the Board of Directors.
Except as hereinafter noted, each of the executive officers has,
for more than five years, occupied an executive position with
AIG or companies that are now its subsidiaries. Other than the
employment contracts between AIG and Messrs. Sullivan and
Bensinger, there are no other arrangements or understandings
between any executive officer and any other person pursuant to
which the executive officer was elected to such position. From
January 2000 until joining AIG in May 2004, Dr. Frenkel
served as Chairman of Merrill Lynch International, Inc. Prior to
joining AIG in September 2002, Mr. Bensinger was Executive
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Combined Specialty
Group, Inc. (a division of Aon Corporation) commencing in March
2002, and served as Executive Vice President of Trenwick Group,
Ltd. from October 1999 through December 2001. Prior to joining
AIG in September 2006, Ms. Kelly served as Executive Vice
President and General Counsel of MCI/WorldCom. Previously, she
was Senior Vice President and General Counsel of Sears, Roebuck
and Co. from 1999 to 2003.
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Served as |
|
|
Director or |
Name |
|
Title |
|
Age |
|
Officer Since |
|
Marshall A. Cohen
|
|
Director |
|
71 |
|
1992 |
Martin S. Feldstein
|
|
Director |
|
67 |
|
1987 |
Ellen V. Futter
|
|
Director |
|
57 |
|
1999 |
Stephen L. Hammerman
|
|
Director |
|
68 |
|
2005 |
Richard C. Holbrooke
|
|
Director |
|
65 |
|
2001 |
Fred H. Langhammer
|
|
Director |
|
63 |
|
2006 |
George L. Miles, Jr.
|
|
Director |
|
65 |
|
2005 |
Morris W. Offit
|
|
Director |
|
70 |
|
2005 |
James F. Orr III
|
|
Director |
|
63 |
|
2006 |
Virginia M. Rometty
|
|
Director |
|
49 |
|
2006 |
Martin J. Sullivan
|
|
Director, President and Chief Executive Officer |
|
52 |
|
2002 |
Michael H. Sutton
|
|
Director |
|
66 |
|
2005 |
Edmund S. W. Tse
|
|
Director, Senior Vice Chairman Life Insurance |
|
69 |
|
1996 |
Robert B. Willumstad
|
|
Director and Chairman |
|
61 |
|
2006 |
Frank G. Zarb
|
|
Director |
|
72 |
|
2001 |
Jacob A. Frenkel
|
|
Vice Chairman Global Economic Strategies |
|
63 |
|
2004 |
Frank G. Wisner
|
|
Vice Chairman External Affairs |
|
68 |
|
1997 |
Steven J. Bensinger
|
|
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
|
52 |
|
2002 |
Anastasia D. Kelly
|
|
Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Senior
Regulatory
and Compliance Officer |
|
57 |
|
2006 |
Rodney O. Martin, Jr.
|
|
Executive Vice President Life Insurance |
|
54 |
|
2002 |
Kristian P. Moor
|
|
Executive Vice President Domestic General Insurance |
|
47 |
|
1998 |
Win J. Neuger
|
|
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer |
|
57 |
|
1995 |
Robert M. Sandler
|
|
Executive Vice President Domestic Personal Lines |
|
64 |
|
1980 |
Nicholas C. Walsh
|
|
Executive Vice President Foreign General Insurance |
|
56 |
|
2005 |
Jay S. Wintrob
|
|
Executive Vice President Retirement Services |
|
49 |
|
1999 |
William N. Dooley
|
|
Senior Vice President Financial Services |
|
54 |
|
1992 |
David L. Herzog
|
|
Senior Vice President and Comptroller |
|
47 |
|
2005 |
Robert E. Lewis
|
|
Senior Vice President and Chief Risk Officer |
|
55 |
|
1993 |
Brian T. Schreiber
|
|
Senior Vice President Strategic Planning |
|
41 |
|
2002 |
|
14 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Item 1A.
Risk Factors
Casualty Insurance Underwriting and
Reserves
Casualty insurance liabilities are difficult to predict and
may exceed the related reserves for losses and loss
expenses. Although AIG annually reviews the adequacy of the
established reserve for losses and loss expenses, there can be
no assurance that AIGs ultimate loss reserves will not
develop adversely and materially exceed AIGs current loss
reserves. Estimation of ultimate net losses, loss expenses and
loss reserves is a complex process for long-tail casualty lines
of business, which include excess and umbrella liability,
D&O, professional liability, medical malpractice, workers
compensation, general liability, products liability and related
classes, as well as for asbestos and environmental exposures.
Generally, actual historical loss development factors are used
to project future loss development. However, there can be no
assurance that future loss development patterns will be the same
as in the past. Moreover, any deviation in loss cost trends or
in loss development factors might not be discernible for an
extended period of time subsequent to the recording of the
initial loss reserve estimates for any accident year. Thus,
there is the potential for reserves with respect to a number of
years to be significantly affected by changes in loss cost
trends or loss development factors that were relied upon in
setting the reserves. These changes in loss cost trends or loss
development factors could be attributable to changes in
inflation or in the judicial environment, or in other social or
economic phenomena affecting claims. See also Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Operating Review General
Insurance Operations Reserve for Losses and Loss
Expenses.
Adjustments to Life Insurance &
Retirement Services Deferred Policy
Acquisition Costs
Interest rate fluctuations and other events may require AIG
subsidiaries to accelerate the amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs (DAC) which could adversely affect AIGs
consolidated financial condition or results of operations.
DAC represents the costs that vary with and are related
primarily to the acquisition of new and renewal insurance and
annuity contracts. When interest rates rise, policy loans and
surrenders and withdrawals of life insurance policies and
annuity contracts may increase as policyholders seek to buy
products with perceived higher returns, requiring AIG
subsidiaries to accelerate the amortization of DAC. To the
extent such amortization exceeds surrender or other charges
earned upon surrender and withdrawals of certain life insurance
policies and annuity contracts, AIGs results of operations
could be negatively affected.
DAC for both insurance-oriented and investment-oriented products
as well as retirement services products is reviewed for
recoverability, which involves estimating the future
profitability of current business. This review involves
significant management judgment. If the actual emergence of
future profitability were to be substantially lower than
estimated, AIG could be required to accelerate its DAC
amortization and such acceleration could adversely affect
AIGs results of operations. See also Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Critical Accounting Estimates and
Notes 1 and 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Reinsurance
Reinsurance may not be available or affordable. AIG
subsidiaries are major purchasers of reinsurance and utilize
reinsurance as part of AIGs overall risk management
strategy. Reinsurance is an important risk management tool to
manage transaction and insurance line risk retention, and to
mitigate losses that may arise from catastrophes. Market
conditions beyond AIGs control determine the availability
and cost of the reinsurance purchased by AIG subsidiaries. For
example, reinsurance may be more difficult to obtain after a
year with a large number of major catastrophes. Accordingly, AIG
may be forced to incur additional expenses for reinsurance or
may be unable to obtain sufficient reinsurance on acceptable
terms, in which case AIG would have to accept an increase in
exposure risk, reduce the amount of business written by its
subsidiaries or seek alternatives.
Reinsurance subjects AIG to the credit risk of its reinsurers
and may not be adequate to protect AIG against losses.
Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to the AIG
subsidiary to the extent the risk is ceded, it does not relieve
the AIG subsidiary of the primary liability to its
policyholders. Accordingly, AIG bears credit risk with respect
to its subsidiaries reinsurers. A reinsurers
insolvency or inability or refusal to make timely payments under
the terms of its agreements with the AIG subsidiaries could have
a material adverse effect on AIGs results of operations
and liquidity. See also Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Risk Management Reinsurance.
A Material Weakness
The remaining material weakness in AIGs internal
control over financial reporting relating to income tax
accounting could affect the accuracy or timing of future
regulatory filings. As of December 31, 2006, AIGs
management concluded that the material weakness relating to the
controls over income tax accounting was not fully remediated.
Remediation of this material weakness is ongoing. Until
remediated, this weakness could affect the accuracy or timing of
future filings with the SEC and other regulatory authorities.
See also Item 9A. Controls and Procedures
Managements Report on Internal Control Over Financial
Reporting.
Catastrophe Exposures
The occurrence of catastrophic events could adversely affect
AIGs consolidated financial condition or results of
operations. The occurrence of events such as hurricanes,
earthquakes, pandemic disease, acts of terrorism and other
catastrophes could adversely affect AIGs consolidated
financial condition or results of
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 15
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
operations, including by exposing AIGs businesses to the
following:
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widespread claim costs associated with property, workers
compensation, mortality and morbidity claims; |
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loss resulting from the cash flows from invested assets being
less than the cash flows required to meet the policy and
contract liabilities; or |
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loss resulting from the actual policy experience adversely
emerging in comparison to the assumptions made in the product
pricing associated with mortality, morbidity, termination and
expenses. |
Legal Proceedings
Significant legal proceedings adversely affected AIGs
results of operations in 2005. As a result of the
settlements discussed below under Item 3. Legal
Proceedings, AIG recorded an after-tax charge of approximately
$1.15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2005. AIG is party
to numerous other legal proceedings and regulatory
investigations. It is possible that the effect of the unresolved
matters could be material to AIGs consolidated results of
operations for an individual reporting period. For a discussion
of these unresolved matters, see Item 3. Legal Proceedings.
Regulation
AIG is subject to extensive regulation in the jurisdictions
in which it conducts its businesses. AIGs operations
around the world are subject to regulation by different types of
regulatory authorities, including insurance, securities,
investment advisory, banking and thrift regulators in the United
States and abroad. AIGs operations have become more
diverse and consumer-oriented, increasing the scope of
regulatory supervision and the possibility of intervention. In
particular, AIGs consumer lending business is subject to a
broad array of laws and regulations governing lending practices
and permissible loan terms, and AIG would expect increased
regulatory oversight relating to this business.
The regulatory environment could have a significant effect on
AIG and its businesses. Among other things, AIG could be fined,
prohibited from engaging in some of its business activities or
subject to limitations or conditions on its business activities.
Significant regulatory action against AIG could have material
adverse financial effects, cause significant reputational harm,
or harm business prospects. New laws or regulations or changes
in the enforcement of existing laws or regulations applicable to
clients may also adversely affect AIG and its businesses.
Foreign Operations
Foreign operations expose AIG to risks that may affect its
operations, liquidity and financial condition. AIG provides
insurance and investment products and services to both
businesses and individuals in more than 130 countries and
jurisdictions. A substantial portion of AIGs General
Insurance business and a majority of its Life
Insurance & Retirement Services businesses are
conducted outside the United States. Operations outside of the
United States may be affected by regional economic downturns,
changes in foreign currency exchange rates, political upheaval,
nationalization and other restrictive government actions, which
could also affect other AIG operations.
The degree of regulation and supervision in foreign
jurisdictions varies. Generally, AIG, as well as the
underwriting companies operating in such jurisdictions, must
satisfy local regulatory requirements. Licenses issued by
foreign authorities to AIG subsidiaries are subject to
modification and revocation. Thus, AIGs insurance
subsidiaries could be prevented from conducting future business
in certain of the jurisdictions where they currently operate.
AIGs international operations include operations in
various developing nations. Both current and future foreign
operations could be adversely affected by unfavorable political
developments including tax changes, regulatory restrictions and
nationalization of AIGs operations without compensation.
Adverse actions from any one country may adversely affect
AIGs results of operations, liquidity and financial
condition depending on the magnitude of the event and AIGs
net financial exposure at that time in that country.
Information Technology
A failure in AIGs operational systems or infrastructure
or those of third parties could disrupt business, damage
AIGs reputation and cause losses. AIGs
operations rely on the secure processing, storage and
transmission of confidential and other information in its
computer systems and networks. AIGs business depends on
effective information systems and the integrity and timeliness
of the data it uses to run its business. AIGs ability to
adequately price its products and services, establish reserves,
provide effective and efficient service to its customers, and to
timely and accurately report its financial results also depends
significantly on the integrity of the data in its information
systems. Although AIG takes protective measures and endeavors to
modify them as circumstances warrant, its computer systems,
software and networks may be vulnerable to unauthorized access,
computer viruses or other malicious code and other events that
could have security consequences. If one or more of such events
occur, this potentially could jeopardize AIGs or its
clients or counterparties confidential and other
information processed and stored in, and transmitted through,
its computer systems and networks, or otherwise cause
interruptions or malfunctions in AIGs, its clients,
its counterparties or third parties operations,
which could result in significant losses or reputational damage.
AIG may be required to expend significant additional resources
to modify its protective measures or to investigate and
remediate vulnerabilities or other exposures, and AIG may be
subject to litigation and financial losses that are either not
insured against or not fully covered by insurance maintained.
Despite the contingency plans and facilities AIG has in place,
its ability to conduct business may be adversely affected by a
disruption of the infrastructure that supports AIGs
business in the communities in which it is located. This may
include a disruption involving electrical, communications,
transportation or other services used by AIG. These disruptions
may occur, for example, as a result of events that affect only
the buildings occupied by AIG or as a result of events
16 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
with a broader effect on the cities where those buildings are
located. If a disruption occurs in one location and AIGs
employees in that location are unable to occupy its offices and
conduct business or communicate with or travel to other
locations, AIGs ability to service and interact with its
clients may suffer and it may not be able to successfully
implement contingency plans that depend on communication or
travel.
AIGs Credit Ratings
Financial strength and credit ratings by major ratings
agencies are an important factor in establishing the competitive
position of insurance companies and other financial institutions
and affect the availability and cost of borrowings. Any
ratings downgrade may lessen AIGs ability to compete in
certain businesses and may increase AIGs interest expense.
Financial strength ratings measure an insurance companys
ability to meet its obligations to contract holders and
policyholders, help to maintain public confidence in a
companys products, facilitate marketing of products and
enhance a companys competitive position. Credit ratings
measure a companys ability to repay its obligations and
directly affect the cost and availability to that company of
unsecured financing. Historically, AIGs credit and
financial strength ratings have provided AIG a competitive
advantage.
From March through June of 2005, the major rating agencies
downgraded the ratings of AIG and its insurance subsidiaries in
a series of actions. Many of the ratings were put on negative
watch or negative outlook, which indicates a potential
downgrade. Since then, however, the agencies have affirmed the
ratings of AIG and all of its subsidiaries with a stable
outlook, which indicates that the rating is not likely to change
in the near term, except that S&P maintains a negative
outlook on Transatlantic and on the senior long-term debt rating
of ILFC.
A downgrade of the credit or financial strength ratings of AIG
or its subsidiaries could adversely affect AIGs business
and its consolidated results of operations in a number of ways,
including:
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increasing AIGs interest expense; |
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reducing AIGFPs ability to compete in the structured
products and derivatives businesses; |
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reducing the competitive advantage of AIGs insurance
subsidiaries, which may result in reduced product sales and/or
lower prices; |
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adversely affecting relationships with agents and sales
representatives; and |
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in the case of a downgrade of AGF or ILFC, increasing their
interest expense and reducing their ability to compete in their
respective businesses. |
As a result of the downgrades in 2005 discussed above, AIG was
required to post approximately $1.16 billion of collateral
with counterparties to municipal guaranteed investment contracts
and financial derivatives transactions. In the event of a
further downgrade, AIG would be required to post additional
collateral. It is estimated that, as of the close of business on
February 15, 2007, based on AIGs outstanding
municipal GIAs and financial derivatives transactions as of such
date, a further downgrade of AIGs long-term senior debt
ratings to Aa3 by Moodys or AA- by S&P would permit
counterparties to call for approximately $864 million of
additional collateral. Further, additional downgrades could
result in requirements for substantial additional collateral,
which could have a material effect on how AIG manages its
liquidity. For a further discussion of AIGs credit ratings
and the potential effect of posting collateral on AIGs
liquidity, see Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Capital Resources and Liquidity Credit Ratings
and Liquidity.
Liquidity
Liquidity risk represents the potential inability of AIG to
meet all payment obligations when they become due.
AIGs liquidity could be impaired by an inability to access
the capital markets or by unforeseen significant outflows of
cash. This situation may arise due to circumstances that AIG may
be unable to control, such as a general market disruption or an
operational problem that affects third parties or AIG. AIG
depends on dividends, distributions and other payments from its
subsidiaries to fund dividend payments and to fund payments on
AIGs obligations, including debt obligations. Regulatory
and other legal restrictions may limit AIGs ability to
transfer funds freely, either to or from its subsidiaries. In
particular, many of AIGs subsidiaries, including
AIGs insurance subsidiaries, are subject to laws and
regulations that authorize regulatory bodies to block or reduce
the flow of funds to the parent holding company, or that
prohibit such transfers altogether in certain circumstances.
These laws and regulations may hinder AIGs ability to
access funds that AIG may need to make payments on its
obligations. See also Item 1. Business
Regulation.
Some of AIGs investments are relatively illiquid.
AIGs investments in certain fixed income investments,
certain structured securities, direct private equities, limited
partnerships, hedge funds and real estate are relatively
illiquid. These asset classes represented nine percent of
the carrying value of AIGs total cash and invested assets
as of December 31, 2006. If AIG requires significant
amounts of cash on short notice in excess of normal cash
requirements, AIG may have difficulty selling these investments
in a timely manner or be forced to sell them for less than what
AIG might otherwise have been able to, or both.
Concentration of AIGs investment portfolios in any
particular segment of the economy may have adverse effects.
The concentration of AIGs investment portfolios in any
particular industry, group of related industries or geographic
sector could have an adverse effect on the investment portfolios
and consequently on AIGs results of operations and
financial position. While AIG seeks to mitigate this risk by
having a broadly diversified portfolio, events or developments
that have a negative effect on any particular industry, group of
related industries or geographic region may have a greater
adverse effect on the investment portfolios to the extent that
the portfolios are concentrated rather than diversified.
Further, AIGs ability to sell assets relating to such
particular industry, group of related industries or geographic
region may be limited if other market participants are seeking
to sell at the same time.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 17
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
See also Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations Capital
Resources and Liquidity Liquidity.
The Relationships Between AIG and
the Starr Entities
The relationships between AIG and the Starr entities may take
an extended period of time to unwind and/or resolve, and the
consequences of such resolution are uncertain. During 2006,
AIG unwound and resolved its most significant relationships with
C.V. Starr & Co, Inc. (Starr) and began unwinding and
resolving various relationships with Starr International
Company, Inc. (SICO). AIG cannot predict what its future
relationship with Starr and SICO will be.
The agency relationships between AIG subsidiaries and Starr have
been terminated and litigation with Starr has been resolved, but
there can be no assurance that AIG will compete successfully for
the business previously produced by the Starr agencies. In
January 2006, Starr announced that it had completed its tender
offers to purchase interests in Starr and that all eligible
shareholders had tendered their shares. As a result of
completion of the tender offers, no AIG executive currently
holds any Starr interest.
AIG has entered into agreements pursuant to which AIG agrees,
subject to certain conditions, to assure AIGs current
employees that all payments are made under a series of two-year
Deferred Compensation Profit Participation Plans provided by
SICO (SICO Plans). For a further discussion of the SICO plans,
see Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Nevertheless, there can be no assurance that AIG will be able to
effectively address the consequences for its executives of the
unwinding of their participation in the SICO plans and programs.
Finally, litigation between AIG and SICO remains pending, and
the timing, terms and effect on AIG of any resolution cannot
currently be predicted. See also Item 3. Legal Proceedings.
Employee Error and Misconduct
Employee error and misconduct may be difficult to detect and
prevent and may result in significant losses. Losses may
result from, among other things, fraud, errors, failure to
document transactions properly or to obtain proper internal
authorization or failure to comply with regulatory requirements.
There have been a number of highly publicized cases involving
fraud or other misconduct by employees in the financial services
industry in recent years, and AIG runs the risk that employee
misconduct could occur. It is not always possible to deter or
prevent employee misconduct and the precautions AIG takes to
prevent and detect this activity may not be effective in all
cases.
Aircraft Suppliers
There are limited suppliers of aircraft and engines. The
supply of jet transport aircraft, which ILFC purchases and
leases, is dominated by two airframe manufacturers, Boeing and
Airbus, and a limited number of engine manufacturers. As a
result, ILFC is dependent on the manufacturers success in
remaining financially stable, producing aircraft and related
components which meet the airlines demands, both in type
and quantity, and fulfilling their contractual obligations to
ILFC. Competition between the manufacturers for market share is
intense and may lead to instances of deep discounting for
certain aircraft types and may negatively affect ILFCs
competitive pricing.
Item 1B.
Unresolved Staff Comments
There are no material unresolved written comments that were
received from the SEC staff 180 days or more before the end
of AIGs fiscal year relating to AIGs periodic or
current reports under the Exchange Act.
Item 2.
Properties
AIG and its subsidiaries operate from approximately 2,300
offices in the United States, 6 offices in Canada and numerous
offices in approximately 100 foreign countries. The offices in
Greensboro and Winston-Salem, North Carolina; Springfield,
Illinois; Amarillo, Ft. Worth and Houston, Texas;
Wilmington, Delaware; San Juan, Puerto Rico; Tampa, Florida;
Livingston, New Jersey; Evansville, Indiana; Nashville,
Tennessee; 70 Pine Street, 72 Wall Street and
175 Water Street in New York, New York; and offices in more
than 30 foreign countries and jurisdictions including Bermuda,
Chile, Hong Kong, the Philippines, Japan, United Kingdom,
Singapore, Malaysia, Switzerland, Taiwan and Thailand are
located in buildings owned by AIG and its subsidiaries. The
remainder of the office space utilized by AIG subsidiaries is
leased.
Item 3.
Legal Proceedings
General
AIG and its subsidiaries, in common with the insurance industry
in general, are subject to litigation, including claims for
punitive damages, in the normal course of their business. See
also Note 12(a) of Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements, as well as the discussion and analysis of
Consolidated Net Losses and Loss Expense Reserve Development and
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations herein.
2006 Regulatory Settlements
In February 2006, AIG reached a final settlement with the SEC,
the United States Department of Justice (DOJ), the Office of the
New York Attorney General (NYAG) and the New York State
Department of Insurance (DOI). The settlements resolved
investigations conducted by the SEC, NYAG and DOI in connection
with the accounting, financial reporting and insurance brokerage
practices of AIG and its subsidiaries, as well as claims
relating to the underpayment of certain workers compensation
premium taxes and other assessments. The 2005 financial
statements included in this Annual Report on
Form 10-K include
a fourth quarter after-tax charge of $1.15 billion relating
to the settlements.
18 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
As part of the settlement with the SEC, the SEC filed a civil
complaint, alleging that from 2000 until 2005, AIG materially
falsified its financial statements through a variety of
transactions and entities in order to strengthen the appearance
of its financial results to analysts and investors. AIG, without
admitting or denying the allegations in the SEC complaint,
consented to the issuance of a final judgment on
February 9, 2006: (a) permanently restraining and
enjoining AIG from violating Section 17(a) of the
Securities Act of 1933 (Securities Act) and Sections 10(b),
13(a), 13(b)(2) and 13(b)(5) and
Rules 10b-5,
12b-20,
13a-1,
13a-13 and 13b2-1 of
the Exchange Act; (b) ordering AIG to pay disgorgement in
the amount of $700 million; and (c) ordering AIG to
pay a civil penalty in the amount of $100 million. The
$800 million was deposited into a fund under the
supervision of the SEC to be available to resolve claims
asserted against AIG by investors, including the shareholder
lawsuits described below.
In February 2006, AIG and the DOJ entered into a letter
agreement whereby AIG agreed to cooperate with the DOJ in the
DOJs ongoing criminal investigation of violations of
federal criminal law in connection with misstatements in
periodic financial reports that AIG filed with the SEC between
2000 and 2004 relating to certain transactions, accepted
responsibility for certain of its actions and those of its
employees relating to these transactions, and paid
$25 million in penalties.
In February 2006, AIG entered into agreements with the NYAG and
the DOI, resolving claims under New Yorks Martin Act and
insurance laws. Under the agreements, $375 million was paid
into a fund under the supervision of the NYAG and the DOI to be
available principally to pay certain insureds who purchased AIG
excess casualty policies through Marsh & McLennan
Companies, Inc. or Marsh Inc. (Marsh). In addition, a fund of
approximately $343 million was created to pay obligations
resulting from the underpayment by AIG of its workers
compensation premium taxes and related fees and assessments. In
addition, AIG paid a $100 million fine to the State of New
York.
As part of these settlements, AIG has agreed to retain, for a
period of three years, an independent consultant who will
conduct a review that will include, among other things, the
adequacy of AIGs internal controls over financial
reporting, the policies, procedures and effectiveness of
AIGs regulatory, compliance and legal functions, and the
remediation plan that AIG has implemented as a result of its own
internal review.
PNC Settlement
In November 2004, AIG and AIGFP reached a final settlement with
the SEC, the Fraud Section of the DOJ and the United States
Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana with respect to
issues arising from certain structured transactions entered into
with Brightpoint, Inc. and The PNC Financial Services Group,
Inc. (PNC), the marketing of transactions similar to the PNC
transactions and related matters.
As part of the settlement, the SEC filed against AIG a civil
complaint, based on the conduct of AIG primarily through AIGFP,
alleging violations of certain antifraud provisions of the
federal securities laws and aiding and abetting violations of
reporting and record keeping provisions of those laws. AIG,
without admitting or denying the allegations in the SEC
complaint, consented to the issuance of a final judgment
permanently enjoining it and its employees and related persons
from violating certain provisions of the Exchange Act, Exchange
Act rules and the Securities Act, ordering disgorgement of fees
it received in the PNC transactions and providing for AIG to
establish a transaction review committee to review the
appropriateness of certain future transactions and to retain an
independent consultant to examine certain transactions entered
into between 2000 and 2004 and review the policies and
procedures of the transaction review committee. AIG expects that
the review by the independent consultant of transactions entered
into by AIG during the 2000 to 2004 period will be completed
during 2007.
The settlement with the DOJ consists of separate agreements with
AIG and AIGFP and a criminal complaint alleging violations of
federal securities laws filed against, and deferred prosecution
agreement with, a wholly owned subsidiary of AIGFP. Under the
terms of the settlement, AIGFP paid a penalty of
$80 million. On January 17, 2006, the court approved
an order dismissing the complaint with prejudice.
Regulatory Investigations
Regulators from several states have commenced investigations
into insurance brokerage practices related to contingent
commissions and other industry-wide practices as well as other
broker-related conduct, such as alleged bid rigging.
In addition, various federal and state regulatory agencies are
reviewing certain other transactions and practices of AIG and
its subsidiaries in connection with industry-wide and other
inquiries. AIG has cooperated, and will continue to cooperate,
with all these investigations, including by producing documents
and other information in response to subpoenas.
Pending Private Litigation
Securities Actions. Beginning in October 2004, a number
of putative securities fraud class action suits were filed
against AIG and consolidated as In re American International
Group, Inc. Securities Litigation. Subsequently, a separate,
though similar, securities fraud action was also brought against
AIG by certain Florida pension funds. The lead plaintiff in the
class action is a group of public retirement systems and pension
funds benefiting Ohio state employees, suing on behalf of
themselves and all purchasers of AIGs publicly traded
securities between October 28, 1999 and April 1, 2005.
The named defendants are AIG and a number of present and former
AIG officers and directors, as well as Starr, SICO, General
Reinsurance Corporation and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (PwC),
among others. The lead plaintiff alleges, among other things,
that AIG: (1) concealed that it engaged in anti-competitive
conduct through alleged payment of contingent commissions to
brokers and participation in illegal bid-rigging;
(2) concealed that it used income smoothing
products and other techniques to inflate its earnings;
(3) concealed that it marketed and sold income
smoothing insurance products to other companies; and
(4) misled investors about the scope of
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 19
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
government investigations. In addition, the lead plaintiff
alleges that AIGs former Chief Executive Officer
manipulated AIGs stock price. The lead plaintiff asserts
claims for violations of Sections 11 and 15 of the
Securities Act, Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act, and
Rule 10b-5
promulgated thereunder, Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act,
and Section 20A of the Exchange Act. In April 2006, the
court denied the defendants motions to dismiss the second
amended class action complaint and the Florida complaint. In
December 2006, a third amended class action complaint was filed,
which does not differ substantially from the prior complaint.
Fact and class discovery is currently ongoing.
ERISA Action. Between November 30, 2004 and
July 1, 2005, several Employee Retirement Income Security
Act of 1974 (ERISA) actions were filed on behalf of a purported
class of participants and beneficiaries of three pension plans
sponsored by AIG or its subsidiaries. A consolidated complaint
filed on September 26, 2005 alleges a class period between
September 30, 2000 and May 31, 2005 and names as
defendants AIG, the members of AIGs Retirement Board and
the Administrative Boards of the plans at issue, and four
present or former members of AIGs Board of Directors. The
factual allegations in the complaint are essentially identical
to those in the securities actions described above. Plaintiffs
allege that defendants violated duties under ERISA by allowing
the plans to offer AIG stock as a permitted investment, when
defendants allegedly knew it was not a prudent investment, and
by failing to provide participants with accurate information
about AIG stock. AIGs motion to dismiss was denied on
December 12, 2006. Discovery will be consolidated with
proceedings in the securities actions.
Derivative Actions Southern District of New
York. Between October 25, 2004 and July 14, 2005, seven
separate derivative actions were filed in the Southern District
of New York, five of which were consolidated into a single
action. The New York derivative complaint contains nearly the
same types of allegations made in the securities fraud and ERISA
actions described above. The named defendants include current
and former officers and directors of AIG, as well as Marsh,
SICO, Starr, ACE Limited and subsidiaries (ACE), General
Reinsurance Corporation, PwC, and certain employees or officers
of these entity defendants. Plaintiffs assert claims for breach
of fiduciary duty, gross mismanagement, waste of corporate
assets, unjust enrichment, insider selling, auditor breach of
contract, auditor professional negligence and disgorgement from
AIGs former Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial
Officer of incentive-based compensation and AIG share proceeds
under Section 304 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, among others.
Plaintiffs seek, among other things, compensatory damages,
corporate governance reforms, and a voiding of the election of
certain AIG directors. AIGs Board of Directors has
appointed a special committee of independent directors (special
committee) to review the matters asserted in the operative
consolidated derivative complaint. The court has approved
agreements staying the derivative case pending in the Southern
District of New York while the special committee performs its
work. The current stay extends until March 14, 2007.
Derivative Actions Delaware Chancery Court.
From October 2004 to April 2005, AIG shareholders filed five
derivative complaints in the Delaware Chancery Court. All of
these derivative lawsuits have been consolidated into a single
action. The amended consolidated complaint names 43 defendants
(not including nominal defendant AIG) who, like the New York
consolidated derivative litigation, are current and former
officers and directors of AIG, as well as other entities and
certain of their current and former employees and directors. The
factual allegations, legal claims and relief sought in the
Delaware action are similar to those alleged in the New York
derivative actions, except that plaintiffs in the Delaware
derivative action assert claims only under state law. The court
has approved agreements staying the derivative case pending in
the Delaware Chancery Court while the special committee performs
its work. The current stay extends until March 14, 2007.
An additional derivative lawsuit, filed in the Delaware Chancery
Court in December 2002 against twenty directors and executives
of AIG as well as against AIG as a nominal defendant, alleges,
among other things, that the directors of AIG breached the
fiduciary duties of loyalty and care by approving the payment of
commissions to Starr and of rental and service fees to SICO and
the executives breached their duty of loyalty by causing AIG to
enter into contracts with Starr and SICO and their fiduciary
duties by usurping AIGs corporate opportunity. The
complaint further alleges that the Starr agencies did not
provide any services that AIG was not capable of providing
itself, and that the diversion of commissions to these entities
was solely for the benefit of Starrs owners. The complaint
also alleged that the service fees and rental payments made to
SICO and its subsidiaries were improper. Under the terms of a
stipulation approved by the Court on February 16, 2006, the
claims against the outside independent directors were dismissed
with prejudice, while the claims against the other directors
were dismissed without prejudice. On October 31, 2005,
Messrs. Greenberg, Matthews and Smith, SICO and Starr filed
motions to dismiss the amended complaint. In an opinion dated
June 21, 2006, the Court denied defendants motion to
dismiss, except with respect to plaintiffs challenge to
payments made to Starr before January 1, 2000. On
July 21, 2006, plaintiff filed its second amended
complaint, which alleges that, between January 1, 2000 and
May 31, 2005, individual defendants breached their duty of
loyalty by causing AIG to enter into contracts with Starr and
SICO and breached their fiduciary duties by usurping AIGs
corporate opportunity. Starr is charged with aiding and abetting
breaches of fiduciary duty and unjust enrichment for its
acceptance of the fees. SICO is no longer named as a defendant.
Discovery is currently ongoing.
Policyholder Actions. After the NYAG filed its complaint
against insurance broker Marsh, policyholders brought multiple
federal antitrust and the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt
Organizations Act (RICO) class actions in jurisdictions across
the nation against insurers and brokers, including AIG and a
number of its subsidiaries, alleging that the insurers and
brokers engaged in a broad conspiracy to allocate customers,
steer business, and rig bids. These actions, including 18
complaints filed in different federal courts naming AIG or an
AIG subsidiary as a defendant, were
20 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
consolidated by the judicial panel on multi-district litigation
and transferred to the United States District Court for the
District of New Jersey for coordinated pretrial proceedings. The
consolidated actions have proceeded in that court in two
parallel actions, In re Insurance Brokerage Antitrust
Litigation (the Commercial Complaint) and In re
Employee Benefit Insurance Brokerage Antitrust Litigation
(the Employee Benefits Complaint, and together with
the Commercial Complaint, the multi-district litigation).
The plaintiffs in the Commercial Complaint are nineteen
corporations, individuals and public entities that contracted
with the broker defendants for the provision of insurance
brokerage services for a variety of insurance needs. The broker
defendants are alleged to have placed insurance coverage on the
plaintiffs behalf with a number of insurance companies
named as defendants, including AIG subsidiaries. The
Commercial Complaint also named ten brokers and fourteen
other insurers (one of which has since settled) as defendants.
The Commercial Complaint alleges that defendants engaged
in a widespread conspiracy to allocate customers through
bid-rigging and steering practices. The
Commercial Complaint also alleges that the insurer
defendants permitted brokers to place business with AIG
subsidiaries through wholesale intermediaries affiliated with or
owned by those same brokers rather than placing the business
with AIG subsidiaries directly. Finally, the Commercial
Complaint alleges that the insurer defendants entered into
agreements with broker defendants that tied insurance placements
to reinsurance placements in order to provide additional
compensation to each broker. Plaintiffs assert that the
defendants violated the Sherman Antitrust Act, RICO, the
antitrust laws of 48 states and the District of Columbia,
and are liable under common law breach of fiduciary duty and
unjust enrichment theories. Plaintiffs seek treble damages plus
interest and attorneys fees as a result of the alleged
RICO and Sherman Act violations.
The plaintiffs in the Employee Benefits Complaint are
nine individual employees and corporate and municipal employers
alleging claims on behalf of two separate nationwide purported
classes: an employee class and an employer class that acquired
insurance products from the defendants from August 26, 1994
to the date of any class certification. The Employee Benefits
Complaint names AIG, as well as eleven brokers and five
other insurers, as defendants. The activities alleged in the
Employee Benefits Complaint, with certain exceptions,
track the allegations of contingent commissions, bid-rigging and
tying made in the Commercial Complaint.
On October 3, 2006, Judge Hochberg of the District of New
Jersey reserved in part and denied in part motions filed by the
insurer defendants and broker defendants to dismiss the
multi-district litigation. The Court also ordered the plaintiffs
in both actions to file supplemental statements of particularity
to elaborate on the allegations in their complaints. Plaintiffs
filed their supplemental statements on October 25, 2006,
and the AIG defendants, along with other insurer and broker
defendants in the two consolidated actions, filed renewed
motions to dismiss on November 30, 2006. Briefing has been
completed on the renewed motions to dismiss, as well as
plaintiffs motion for class certification in both cases.
On February 16, 2007, Chief Judge Brown of the District of
New Jersey transferred the multi-district litigation to himself.
Oral argument on the renewed motions to dismiss has been
scheduled before Chief Judge Brown on March 1, 2007. Fact
discovery in the multi-district litigation is ongoing.
A number of complaints making allegations similar to those in
the Commercial Complaint have been filed against AIG and
other defendants in state and federal courts around the country.
The defendants have thus far been successful in having the
federal actions transferred to the District of New Jersey and
consolidated into the multi-district litigation. The defendants
have also sought to have state court actions making similar
allegations stayed pending resolution of the multi-district
litigation. In one state court action pending in Florida, the
trial court recently decided not to grant an additional stay,
but instead to allow the case to proceed.
Litigation Relating to 21st Century. Shortly after
the announcement in late January 2007 of AIGs offer to
acquire the outstanding shares of 21st Century not already
owned by AIG and its subsidiaries, two related class actions
were filed in the Superior Court of California, Los Angeles
County against AIG, 21st Century and the individual members
of 21st Centurys Board of Directors, two of whom are
current executive officers of AIG. The actions were filed
purportedly on behalf of the minority shareholders of
21st Century and assert breaches of fiduciary duty in
connection with the AIG proposal. The complaints allege that the
proposed per share price is unfair and seek preliminary and
permanent injunctive relief to enjoin the consummation of the
proposed transaction.
SICO. In July, 2005, SICO filed a complaint against AIG
in the Southern District of New York, claiming that AIG had
refused to provide SICO access to certain artwork and asked the
court to order AIG immediately to release the property to SICO.
AIG filed an answer denying SICOs allegations and setting
forth defenses to SICOs claims. In addition, AIG filed
counterclaims asserting breach of contract, unjust enrichment,
conversion, breach of fiduciary duty, a constructive trust and
declaratory judgment, relating to SICOs breach of its
commitment to use its AIG shares only for the benefit of AIG and
AIG employees. Fact and expert discovery has been substantially
concluded and briefing on SICOs motion for summary
judgment is underway.
Effect on AIG
In the opinion of AIG management, AIGs ultimate liability
for the unresolved matters referred to above is not likely to
have a material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated
financial condition, although it is possible that the effect
would be material to AIGs consolidated results of
operations for an individual reporting period.
Item 4.
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
There were no matters submitted to a vote of security holders
during the fourth quarter of 2006.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 21
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Part II
Item 5.
Market for the Registrants Common Equity, Related
Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
AIGs common stock is listed on the New York Stock
Exchange, as well as on the stock exchanges in London, Paris,
Switzerland and Tokyo.
The following table presents the high
and low closing sales prices and the dividends paid per share of
AIGs common stock on the New York Stock Exchange
Composite Tape, for each quarter of 2006 and 2005.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
Dividends | |
|
|
|
Dividends | |
|
|
High | |
|
Low | |
|
Paid | |
|
High | |
|
Low | |
|
Paid | |
| |
First quarter
|
|
$ |
70.83 |
|
|
$ |
65.35 |
|
|
$ |
0.150 |
|
|
$ |
73.46 |
|
|
$ |
54.18 |
|
|
$ |
0.125 |
|
Second quarter
|
|
|
66.54 |
|
|
|
58.67 |
|
|
|
0.150 |
|
|
|
58.94 |
|
|
|
49.91 |
|
|
|
0.125 |
|
Third quarter
|
|
|
66.48 |
|
|
|
57.76 |
|
|
|
0.165 |
|
|
|
63.73 |
|
|
|
56.00 |
|
|
|
0.150 |
|
Fourth quarter
|
|
|
72.81 |
|
|
|
66.30 |
|
|
|
0.165 |
|
|
|
64.40 |
|
|
|
60.43 |
|
|
|
0.150 |
|
|
The approximate number of holders of common stock as of
January 31, 2007, based upon the number of record holders,
was 58,000.
Subject to the dividend preference of any of AIGs serial
preferred stock that may be outstanding, the holders of shares
of common stock are entitled to receive such dividends as may be
declared by AIGs Board of Directors from funds legally
available therefor.
In February 2007, AIGs Board of Directors adopted a new
dividend policy, to take effect with the dividend to be declared
in the second quarter of 2007, providing that under ordinary
circumstances, AIGs plan will be to increase its common
stock dividend by approximately 20 percent annually. The payment
of any dividend, however, is at the discretion of AIGs
Board of Directors, and the future payment of dividends will
depend on various factors, including the performance of
AIGs businesses, AIGs consolidated financial
position, results of operations and liquidity and the existence
of investment opportunities.
For a discussion of certain restrictions on the payment of
dividends to AIG by some of its insurance subsidiaries, see
Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following table summarizes
AIGs stock repurchases for the three-month period ended
December 31, 2006:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Maximum | |
|
|
Number of | |
|
|
Total | |
|
Shares | |
|
|
Number of | |
|
that May | |
|
|
Shares | |
|
Yet Be | |
|
|
Purchased | |
|
Purchased | |
|
|
Average | |
|
as Part of | |
|
Under the | |
|
|
Price | |
|
Publicly | |
|
Plans or | |
|
|
Total Number | |
|
Paid | |
|
Announced | |
|
Programs | |
|
|
of Shares | |
|
per | |
|
Plans or | |
|
at End of | |
Period |
|
Purchased(a)(b) | |
|
Share | |
|
Programs | |
|
Month(b) | |
| |
October 1 - 31, 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36,542,700 |
|
November 1 - 30, 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36,542,700 |
|
December 1 - 31, 2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36,542,700 |
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Does not include 165,190 shares delivered or attested to
in satisfaction of the exercise price by holders of AIG employee
stock options exercised during the three months ended
December 31, 2006 or 17,000 shares purchased by ILFC to
satisfy obligations under employee benefit plans. |
|
(b) |
On July 19, 2002, AIG announced that its Board of
Directors had authorized the open market purchase of up to
10 million shares of common stock. On February 13,
2003, AIG announced that its Board of Directors had expanded the
existing program through the authorization of an additional
50 million shares. The purchase program has no set
expiration or termination date. In February 2007, AIGs
Board of Directors increased the repurchase program by
authorizing the repurchase of shares with an aggregate purchase
price of $8 billion. |
AIGs table of equity compensation plans previously
approved by security holders and equity compensation plans not
previously approved by security holders will be included in
AIGs Definitive Proxy Statement in connection with its
2007 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, which will be filed with
the SEC within 120 days of AIGs fiscal year end.
22 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Performance Graph
The following Performance Graph compares the cumulative total
shareholder return on AIG common stock for a five-year period
(December 31, 2001 to December 31, 2006) with the
cumulative total return of the Standard & Poors
500 stock index (which includes AIG) and a peer group of
companies (the New Peer Group) consisting of nine insurance
companies to which AIG compares its business and operations: ACE
Limited, Aflac Incorporated, The Chubb Corporation, The Hartford
Financial Services Group, Inc., Lincoln National Corporation,
MetLife, Inc., Prudential Financial, Inc., The Travelers
Companies, Inc. (formerly The St. Paul Travelers Companies,
Inc.) and XL Capital Ltd. The Performance Graph also compares
the cumulative total shareholder return on AIG common stock to
the return of a group of companies comprised of The Allstate
Corporation, The Chubb Corporation, CNA Financial Corporation,
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., Lincoln National
Corporation, MetLife, Inc., Prudential Financial, Inc. and The
Travelers Companies, Inc. (the Old Peer Group), to which AIG
compared itself in the Performance Graph included in its
Definitive Proxy Statement in connection with AIGs 2006
Annual Meeting of Shareholders. ACE Limited, Aflac Incorporated,
and XL Capital Ltd have been added to the New Peer Group to
reflect their status as significant competitors of AIGs
business. The Allstate Corporation and CNA Financial Corporation
have been excluded because AIG no longer believes these
companies to be comparable to AIG in its overall business and
operations. Dividend reinvestment has been assumed and returns
have been weighted to reflect relative stock market
capitalization.
FIVE-YEAR CUMULATIVE TOTAL SHAREHOLDER
RETURNS
Value of $100 Invested on
December 31, 2001
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2001 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2006 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
AIG
|
|
$ |
100.00 |
|
|
$ |
73.07 |
|
|
$ |
84.04 |
|
|
$ |
83.61 |
|
|
$ |
87.67 |
|
|
$ |
92.97 |
|
S&P 500
|
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
77.90 |
|
|
|
100.25 |
|
|
|
111.15 |
|
|
|
116.61 |
|
|
|
135.03 |
|
New Peer Group
|
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
86.49 |
|
|
|
109.07 |
|
|
|
126.05 |
|
|
|
155.01 |
|
|
|
179.36 |
|
Old Peer Group
|
|
|
100.00 |
|
|
|
88.84 |
|
|
|
111.14 |
|
|
|
134.80 |
|
|
|
164.51 |
|
|
|
196.58 |
|
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 23
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Item 6.
Selected Financial Data
American International Group, Inc. and
Subsidiaries
Selected Consolidated Financial
Data
The Selected Consolidated Financial
Data should be read in conjunction with Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations and the consolidated financial statements and
accompanying notes included elsewhere herein.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Years Ended December 31, |
(in millions, except per share data) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
| |
Revenues(a)(b)(c):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums and other considerations
|
|
$ |
74,083 |
|
|
$ |
70,209 |
|
|
$ |
66,625 |
|
|
$ |
54,802 |
|
|
$ |
44,289 |
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
25,292 |
|
|
|
22,165 |
|
|
|
18,465 |
|
|
|
15,508 |
|
|
|
13,593 |
|
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
|
|
106 |
|
|
|
341 |
|
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
(442 |
) |
|
|
(1,653 |
) |
|
Other income
|
|
|
13,713 |
|
|
|
16,190 |
|
|
|
12,532 |
|
|
|
9,553 |
|
|
|
9,942 |
|
Total revenues
|
|
|
113,194 |
|
|
|
108,905 |
|
|
|
97,666 |
|
|
|
79,421 |
|
|
|
66,171 |
|
Benefits and expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Incurred policy losses and benefits
|
|
|
59,706 |
|
|
|
63,558 |
|
|
|
58,212 |
|
|
|
46,034 |
|
|
|
40,005 |
|
|
Insurance acquisition and other operating expenses
|
|
|
31,801 |
|
|
|
30,134 |
|
|
|
24,609 |
|
|
|
21,480 |
|
|
|
18,358 |
|
Total benefits and expenses
|
|
|
91,507 |
|
|
|
93,692 |
|
|
|
82,821 |
|
|
|
67,514 |
|
|
|
58,363 |
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative
effect of accounting changes
(b)(c)(d)(e)
|
|
|
21,687 |
|
|
|
15,213 |
|
|
|
14,845 |
|
|
|
11,907 |
|
|
|
7,808 |
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
6,537 |
|
|
|
4,258 |
|
|
|
4,407 |
|
|
|
3,556 |
|
|
|
1,919 |
|
Income before minority interest and cumulative effect of
accounting changes
|
|
|
15,150 |
|
|
|
10,955 |
|
|
|
10,438 |
|
|
|
8,351 |
|
|
|
5,889 |
|
Minority interest
|
|
|
(1,136 |
) |
|
|
(478 |
) |
|
|
(455 |
) |
|
|
(252 |
) |
|
|
(160 |
) |
Income before cumulative effect of accounting changes
|
|
|
14,014 |
|
|
|
10,477 |
|
|
|
9,983 |
|
|
|
8,099 |
|
|
|
5,729 |
|
Cumulative effect of accounting changes, net of tax
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(144 |
) |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
14,048 |
|
|
|
10,477 |
|
|
|
9,839 |
|
|
|
8,108 |
|
|
|
5,729 |
|
|
Earnings per common share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before cumulative effect of accounting changes
|
|
|
5.38 |
|
|
|
4.03 |
|
|
|
3.83 |
|
|
|
3.10 |
|
|
|
2.20 |
|
|
|
Cumulative effect of accounting changes, net of tax
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
5.39 |
|
|
|
4.03 |
|
|
|
3.77 |
|
|
|
3.10 |
|
|
|
2.20 |
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before cumulative effect of accounting changes
|
|
|
5.35 |
|
|
|
3.99 |
|
|
|
3.79 |
|
|
|
3.07 |
|
|
|
2.17 |
|
|
|
Cumulative effect of accounting changes, net of tax
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
5.36 |
|
|
|
3.99 |
|
|
|
3.73 |
|
|
|
3.07 |
|
|
|
2.17 |
|
|
Dividends declared per common share
|
|
|
0.65 |
|
|
|
0.63 |
|
|
|
0.29 |
|
|
|
0.24 |
|
|
|
0.18 |
|
Total assets
|
|
|
979,414 |
|
|
|
853,051 |
|
|
|
801,007 |
|
|
|
675,602 |
|
|
|
561,131 |
|
Long-term debt and commercial
paper(f)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guaranteed by AIG
|
|
|
17,126 |
|
|
|
10,425 |
|
|
|
8,498 |
|
|
|
7,469 |
|
|
|
7,144 |
|
|
Liabilities connected to trust preferred stock
|
|
|
1,440 |
|
|
|
1,391 |
|
|
|
1,489 |
|
|
|
1,682 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matched/not guaranteed by AIG
|
|
|
130,113 |
|
|
|
98,033 |
|
|
|
86,912 |
|
|
|
71,198 |
|
|
|
63,866 |
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
877,546 |
|
|
|
766,548 |
|
|
|
721,135 |
|
|
|
606,180 |
|
|
|
500,696 |
|
Shareholders equity
|
|
$ |
101,677 |
|
|
$ |
86,317 |
|
|
$ |
79,673 |
|
|
$ |
69,230 |
|
|
$ |
58,303 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned,
Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums and net
investment income, Financial Services interest, lease and
finance charges, Asset Management net investment income from
spread-based products and advisory and management fees, and
realized capital gains (losses). |
|
(b) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133,
including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For
2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively, the effect was
$(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion, $385 million,
$(1.50) billion and $(216) million in revenues and
$(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion, $671 million,
$(1.22) billion and $(58) million in operating income.
These amounts result primarily from interest rate and foreign
currency derivatives that are economically hedging available for
sale securities and borrowings. |
|
(c) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts.
For 2006 the effect was an increase of $490 million in both
revenues and operating income for General Insurance and an
increase of $240 million and $169 million in revenues
and operating income, respectively, for Life
Insurance & Retirement Services. |
|
|
(d) |
Includes current year catastrophe-related losses of
$3.28 billion in 2005 and $1.16 billion in 2004. There
were no significant catastrophe-related losses in 2006. |
|
|
(e) |
Operating income was reduced by fourth quarter charges of
$1.8 billion, $850 million and $2.1 billion for
2005, 2004 and 2002, respectively, related to the annual review
of General Insurance loss and loss adjustment reserves. In 2006,
2005 and 2004, changes in estimates for asbestos and
environmental reserves were $198 million, $873 million
and $850 million, respectively. |
|
|
(f) |
Including that portion of long-term debt maturing in less
than one year. See also Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements. |
24 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Item 7.
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIG presents its
operations in the way it believes will be most meaningful.
Statutory underwriting profit (loss) and combined ratios
are presented in accordance with accounting principles
prescribed by insurance regulatory authorities because these are
standard measures of performance used in the insurance industry
and thus allow more meaningful comparisons with AIGs
insurance competitors. AIG has also incorporated into this
discussion a number of cross-references to additional
information included throughout this Annual Report on Form
10-K to assist readers
seeking additional information related to a particular subject.
Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is
designed to provide the reader a narrative explanation of
AIGs operations, financial condition and liquidity and
certain other significant matters.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Index |
|
Page | |
| |
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Projections and Other Information About Future Events
|
|
|
25 |
|
Overview of Operations and Business Results
|
|
|
26 |
|
Outlook
|
|
|
26 |
|
Consolidated Results
|
|
|
27 |
|
Segment Results
|
|
|
29 |
|
Capital Resources
|
|
|
30 |
|
Liquidity
|
|
|
30 |
|
Critical Accounting Estimates
|
|
|
30 |
|
Operating Review
|
|
|
31 |
|
General Insurance Operations
|
|
|
31 |
|
|
General Insurance Results
|
|
|
32 |
|
|
Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
|
|
|
37 |
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations
|
|
|
51 |
|
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Results
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
|
|
|
|
|
Financial Services Operations
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
Financial Services Results
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
Aircraft Leasing
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
Capital Markets
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
Consumer Finance
|
|
|
65 |
|
Asset Management Operations
|
|
|
67 |
|
Other Operations
|
|
|
68 |
|
Capital Resources and Liquidity
|
|
|
69 |
|
Borrowings
|
|
|
69 |
|
Shareholders Equity
|
|
|
76 |
|
Liquidity
|
|
|
77 |
|
Invested Assets
|
|
|
79 |
|
Risk Management
|
|
|
86 |
|
Overview
|
|
|
86 |
|
Corporate Risk Management
|
|
|
86 |
|
|
Credit Risk Management
|
|
|
87 |
|
|
Market Risk Management
|
|
|
88 |
|
|
Operational Risk Management
|
|
|
89 |
|
|
Insurance Risk Management
|
|
|
90 |
|
Segment Risk Management
|
|
|
91 |
|
|
Insurance Operations
|
|
|
91 |
|
|
Financial Services
|
|
|
94 |
|
|
Asset Management
|
|
|
97 |
|
Economic Capital
|
|
|
97 |
|
Recent Accounting Standards
|
|
|
98 |
|
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Projections and Other Information About Future Events
This Annual Report on
Form 10-K and
other publicly available documents may include, and AIGs
officers and representatives may from time to time make,
projections concerning financial information and statements
concerning future economic performance and events, plans and
objectives relating to management, operations, products and
services, and assumptions underlying these projections and
statements. These projections and statements are not historical
facts but instead represent only AIGs belief regarding
future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently
uncertain and outside AIGs control. These projections and
statements may address, among other things, the status and
potential future outcome of the current regulatory and civil
proceedings against AIG and their potential effect on AIGs
businesses, financial position, results of operations, cash
flows and liquidity, the effect of credit rating changes on
AIGs businesses and competitive position, the unwinding
and resolving of various relationships between AIG and SICO and
AIGs strategy for growth, product development, market
position, financial results and reserves. It is possible that
AIGs actual results and financial condition may differ,
possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial
condition indicated in these projections and statements. Factors
that could cause AIGs actual results to differ, possibly
materially, from those in the specific projections and
statements are discussed throughout this Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations and in Item 1A. Risk Factors of this Annual
Report on
Form 10-K. AIG is
not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any such
obligations) to update or alter any projection or other
statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time
to time, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 25
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
Overview of Operations and Business
Results
AIG identifies its reportable segments by product or service
line, consistent with its management structure. AIGs major
product and service groupings are General Insurance, Life
Insurance & Retirement Services, Financial Services and
Asset Management. AIGs operations in 2006 were conducted
by its subsidiaries through these segments. Through these
segments, AIG provides insurance, financial and investment
products and services to both businesses and individuals in more
than 130 countries and jurisdictions. This geographic,
product and service diversification is one of AIGs major
strengths and sets it apart from its competitors. AIGs
Other category consists of items not allocated to AIGs
operating segments.
AIGs subsidiaries serve commercial, institutional and
individual customers through an extensive
property-casualty and
life insurance and retirement services network. In the United
States, AIG companies are the largest underwriters of commercial
and industrial insurance and are among the largest life
insurance and retirement services operations as well. AIGs
Financial Services businesses include commercial aircraft and
equipment leasing, capital markets operations and consumer
finance, both in the United States and abroad. AIG also provides
asset management services to institutions and individuals. As
part of its spread-based business activities, AIG issues various
debt instruments in the public and private markets.
AIGs operating performance reflects implementation of
various long-term strategies and defined goals in its various
operating segments. A primary goal of AIG in managing its
General Insurance operations is to achieve an underwriting
profit. To achieve this goal, AIG must be disciplined in its
risk selection, and premiums must be adequate and terms and
conditions appropriate to cover the risks accepted and expenses
incurred. Expense efficiency is also a primary goal of AIG.
A central focus of AIG operations in recent years has been the
development and expansion of distribution channels. In 2006, AIG
continued to expand its distribution channels, which now include
banks, credit card companies, television-media home shopping,
affinity groups, direct response, worksite marketing and
e-commerce.
AIG patiently builds relationships in markets around the world
where it sees long-term growth opportunities. For example, the
fact that AIG has the only wholly owned foreign life insurance
operations in eleven cities in China is the result of
relationships developed over nearly 30 years. AIGs more
recent extensions of operations into India, Vietnam, Russia and
other emerging markets reflect the same growth strategy.
Moreover, AIG believes in investing in the economies and
infrastructures of these countries and growing with them. When
AIG companies enter a new jurisdiction, they typically offer
both basic protection and savings products. As the economies
evolve, AIGs products evolve with them, to more
sophisticated and investment-oriented models.
Growth for AIG may be generated internally as well as through
acquisitions which both fulfill strategic goals and offer
adequate return on capital. During 2006, AIG acquired Travel
Guard International, one of the nations leading providers
of travel insurance programs and emergency travel assistance,
and acquired Central Insurance Co., Ltd., a leading general
insurance company in Taiwan.
Outlook
The commercial property and casualty insurance industry has
historically experienced cycles of price erosion followed by
rate strengthening as a result of catastrophe or other
significant losses that affect the overall capacity of the
industry to provide coverage. Despite industry price erosion in
commercial lines, AIG expects to continue to identify profitable
opportunities and build attractive new general insurance
businesses as a result of AIGs broad product line and
extensive distribution networks in the U.S. and abroad. Workers
compensation remains under considerable pricing pressure, as
statutory rates continue to decline. Rates for D&O insurance
also continue to decline due to competitive pressures. There can
be no assurance that price erosion will not become more
widespread or that AIGs profitability will not deteriorate
from current levels in major commercial lines, as well as in
personal lines and specialty coverages, such as mortgage
guaranty, where the loss ratio has increased due to softening in
the U.S. housing market and the weakening performance of
non-traditional mortgage products. In Foreign General,
opportunities for growth exist in the consumer lines due to
increased demand in emerging markets and the trend toward
privatization of health insurance. Growth in the Personal Lines
marketplace remains challenged from flat renewal pricing,
consumer price shopping and increased advertising spending by
market leaders. However, the high net worth market continues to
provide opportunities for growth as a result of AIGs
innovative products and services specifically designed for that
market. AIG expects that the acquisition of the remaining
interest in 21st Century will enhance AIGs ability to
grow the Personal Lines business while gaining efficiencies of
scale.
Losses caused by catastrophes can fluctuate widely from year to
year, making comparisons of results more difficult. With respect
to catastrophe losses, AIG believes that it has taken
appropriate steps, such as careful exposure selection and
adequate reinsurance coverage, to reduce the effect of possible
future losses. The occurrence of one or more catastrophic events
of unanticipated frequency or severity, such as a terrorist
attack, earthquake or hurricane, that causes insured losses,
however, could have a material adverse effect on AIGs
results of operations, liquidity or financial condition.
AIGs operations in China continue to expand, but AIG
expects competition in China to remain strong and AIGs
success in China will depend on its ability to execute its
growth strategy.
In India, AIG expects to grow all segments, both organically and
through acquisitions and joint ventures.
In Japan, AIG expects its Life Insurance & Retirement
Services earnings growth may be challenged by increased
competition in light of a new industry-wide mortality table, the
continued runoff of the older, higher-margin in-force business
of AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life and lower consumer demand
for certain accident and health products in light of tax law
changes. The flat yield curve and declining Yen foreign exchange
environment may continue to constrain certain fixed annuity
production. To leverage
26 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
AIGs leadership position in the distribution of annuities
through banks in Japan, ALICO launched new life products in this
distribution channel. Although ALICOs direct marketing
activities in Japan could experience a contraction while it
re-positions its brand and products in a very competitive
market, AIG expects that further deregulation will provide
additional growth opportunities. In addition, AIG expects that
the planned integration of AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life
will provide enhanced distribution opportunities and scale
economies with an anticipated completion date of 2009.
AIG is a leader in direct marketing through sponsors and in the
broad market in Japan and Korea, and AIG is investing in
expanding distribution channels in India, Korea and Vietnam.
Through new operations in Bahrain designed to comply with
Islamic law, AIG is tapping into a growing market. Islamic
insurance, called Takaful, is an alternative to conventional
insurance based on the concept of mutual assistance through
pooling of resources.
Domestically, AIG plans to continue expansion of its Life
Insurance & Retirement Services businesses through
direct marketing and independent agent distribution channels.
The aging population in the U.S. provides a growth opportunity
for a variety of products, including longevity, guaranteed
income and supplemental accident and health products. Certain
other demographic groups that have traditionally been
underserved provide additional growth opportunities. The home
service operation, a slow growth business, has not met business
objectives, although its cash flow has been steady. Domestic
group life/health operations continue to face competitors with
greater scale in group benefits. At the end of 2006, AIG exited
the financial institutions credit life business in the U.S. as a
result of competition from bank products and low profit margins.
The individual fixed annuities business will continue to be
challenged due to the interest rate environment and increased
competition from bank products, while lower margin variable
annuity products with living benefits will continue to be the
product of consumer choice in the individual variable annuity
markets. The group annuity market is undergoing a transition
from group annuities to mutual fund products that have lower
profit margins.
Globally, heightened regulatory scrutiny of financial services
companies in many jurisdictions has the potential to affect
future financial results through higher compliance costs. This
is particularly true in Japan and Southeast Asia where financial
institutions have received remediation orders affecting consumer
and policyholder rights.
Within Financial Services, demand for ILFCs modern, fuel
efficient aircraft remains strong, and ILFC plans to increase
its fleet by purchasing 83 aircraft in 2007. However,
ILFCs margins may be adversely affected by further
increases in interest rates. AIGFP expects opportunities for
growth across its product segments, but AIGFP is a
transaction-oriented business, and its operating results will
depend to a significant extent on actual transaction flow, which
can be affected by market conditions and other variables outside
its control. AIG continues to explore opportunities to expand
its Consumer Finance operations into new foreign markets.
Consumer Finance operations overseas were negatively affected in
2006 by industry-wide credit deterioration in the Taiwan credit
card market, however, and operating results in the
U.S. could be affected by the residential housing market,
interest rates and unemployment.
The GIC portfolio, which is reported within the Asset Management
segment, continues to run off and the MIP has replaced the GIC
program as AIGs principal institutional spread-based
investment activity. The MIP program is expected to continue to
grow in 2007. Because the asset mix under the MIP does not
include the alternative investments utilized in the GIC program,
however, AIG does not expect that the income growth in the MIP
will offset the runoff in the GIC portfolio for the foreseeable
future.
For a description of important factors that may affect the
operations and initiatives described above, see Item 1A.
Risk Factors.
Consolidated Results
The following table summarizes
AIGs consolidated revenues, income before income taxes,
minority interest and cumulative effect of accounting changes
and net income for the years ended December 31, 2006, 2005
and 2004:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Years Ended December 31, |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Total revenues
|
|
$ |
113,194 |
|
|
$ |
108,905 |
|
|
$ |
97,666 |
|
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative
effect of accounting changes
|
|
|
21,687 |
|
|
|
15,213 |
|
|
|
14,845 |
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
14,048 |
|
|
$ |
10,477 |
|
|
$ |
9,839 |
|
|
2006 and 2005 Comparison
The 4 percent growth in revenues in 2006 was primarily
attributable to the growth in net premiums earned and net
investment income from General Insurance operations and growth
in Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums
and net investment income. Revenues in the Financial Services
segment declined as a result of the effect of hedging activities
for AIGFP that did not qualify for hedge accounting treatment
under FAS 133, decreasing revenues by $1.8 billion in
2006 and increasing revenues by $2.01 billion in 2005.
Income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative
effect of accounting changes increased 43 percent in 2006
compared to 2005, reflecting higher General Insurance and Life
Insurance & Retirement Services operating income. These
increases were partially offset by lower Financial Services
operating income reflecting the effects of hedging activities
that did not qualify for hedge accounting treatment under
FAS 133. Results in
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 27
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
2005 reflected the negative effect of $3.28 billion
(pre-tax) in catastrophe-related losses incurred that year. Net
income in 2005 also reflected the charges related to regulatory
settlements, as described in Item 3. Legal Proceedings, and the
fourth quarter charge resulting from the annual review of
General Insurance loss and loss adjustment reserves.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
Revenues grew 12 percent in 2005 compared to 2004 primarily
due to the growth in net premiums earned from General Insurance
operations as well as growth in both General Insurance and Life
Insurance & Retirement Services net investment income
and Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums.
Hedging activities for AIGFP that did not qualify for hedge
accounting treatment under FAS 133 caused an increase in
Financial Services revenues of $2.01 billion in 2005 and a
decrease of $122 million in 2004.
AIGs income before income taxes, minority interest and
cumulative effect of accounting changes increased 2 percent
in 2005 compared to 2004. Life Insurance & Retirement
Services, Financial Services and Asset Management operating
income gains accounted for the increase over 2004 in both pretax
income and net income. Offsetting these gains was the effect of
the charges related to regulatory settlements.
Remediation and Other Items
Throughout 2006, as part of its continuing remediation efforts,
AIG recorded out of period adjustments. The net effect of out of
period adjustments relating to prior years increased 2006 net
income by $65 million. The more significant adjustments
included increases in unit investment trust income of
$773 million ($428 million after tax) (more fully
described below) and other expenses of $356 million
($231 million after tax), and a decrease in revenues for
certain derivative transactions of $300 million ($145
million after tax).
During the fourth quarter, as part of its ongoing remediation
efforts, AIG recorded out of period adjustments. These
adjustments collectively increased net income in the fourth
quarter by $56 million but were offset by fourth quarter
charges to expense within Domestic Life for the adverse ruling
in the Superior National arbitration of $125 million
($81 million after tax) and a charge of $66 million
($43 million after tax) in connection with the exit of the
financial institutions credit life business. The more
significant out of period adjustments included the following: a
decrease in income tax expense of $181 million relating to
AIGs ongoing remediation of internal controls over income
tax accounting, an increase in other expenses of
$167 million ($109 million after tax) relating to
AIGs remediation of internal controls over reconciliation
of certain balance sheet accounts, an increase in incurred
policy losses and benefits of $103 million ($67 million after
tax) in Domestic General Insurance for corrections of certain
reserves for losses and loss expenses, a reduction in incurred
policy benefits in the Foreign Life participating policyholder
fund stemming from deferred tax adjustments in Foreign Life of
$190 million ($124 million after tax), an increase in
insurance operating expenses of $61 million
($40 million after tax) within Foreign Life for corrections
of expense allocations to certain par fund accounts, and a
$79 million ($51 million after tax) charge related to
purchases of life insurance policies for AIGs life
settlements portfolio that were issued by AIG subsidiaries.
During 2006, AIG identified and recorded out of period
adjustments related to the accounting for certain interests in
unit investment trusts in accordance with FIN 46(R),
Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities and APB
Opinion No. 18, The Equity Method of Accounting for
Investments in Common Stock. These investments had
previously been accounted for as available for sale securities,
with changes in market values being reflected in other
comprehensive income, net of deferred income taxes. Beginning
with the second quarter of 2006, the changes in market values
are included in net investment income. The adjustments decreased
unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of
investments net of reclassification adjustments, and
the related deferred income tax benefit (expense), in the
Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Loss) by
approximately $659 million and approximately
$231 million, respectively, and increased net investment
income by $844 million, increased Incurred policy losses
and benefits (related to certain participating policyholder
funds) by $71 million, increased Income taxes by
$231 million and increased minority interest expense by
$114 million in the Consolidated Statement of Income. There was
no effect on Total shareholders equity at
December 31, 2006 or December 31, 2005.
Results for 2006 were negatively affected by a one-time charge
relating to the Starr tender offer ($54 million before and
after tax) and an additional allowance for losses in AIG Credit
Card Company (Taiwan) ($94 million before and after tax).
The effective income tax rate increased from 28.0 percent
for 2005 to 30.1 percent for 2006, reflecting changes in the
sources of foreign taxable income, the effect of the phase out
of synfuel tax credits, the effect of consolidating certain
limited partnerships and a reduction in the proportion of total
income derived from tax exempt income, which was partially
offset by the aforementioned out of period income tax
adjustments.
There were no significant catastrophe-related losses for the
year ended December 31, 2006.
The following table summarizes the net
effect of catastrophe-related losses for the years ended
December 31, 2005 and 2004.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Pretax*
|
|
$ |
3,280 |
|
|
$ |
1,155 |
|
|
Net of tax and minority interest
|
|
|
2,109 |
|
|
|
729 |
|
|
|
|
* |
Includes $312 million and $96 million in
catastrophe-related losses from partially owned companies in
2005 and 2004, respectively. |
28 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Results
The following table summarizes the
operations of each principal segment for the years ended
December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004. See also Note 2 of
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Revenues(a):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
General
Insurance(b)(c)
|
|
$ |
49,206 |
|
|
$ |
45,174 |
|
|
$ |
41,961 |
|
|
Life Insurance &
Retirement Services(c)(d)
|
|
|
50,163 |
|
|
|
47,376 |
|
|
|
43,402 |
|
|
Financial
Services(e)(f)
|
|
|
8,010 |
|
|
|
10,525 |
|
|
|
7,495 |
|
|
Asset
Management(g)
|
|
|
5,814 |
|
|
|
5,325 |
|
|
|
4,714 |
|
|
Other(h)
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
505 |
|
|
|
94 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
113,194 |
|
|
$ |
108,905 |
|
|
$ |
97,666 |
|
|
Operating
Income(a)(i)(j):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
General
Insurance(c)
|
|
$ |
10,412 |
|
|
$ |
2,315 |
|
|
$ |
3,177 |
|
|
Life Insurance &
Retirement Services(c)
|
|
|
10,032 |
|
|
|
8,904 |
|
|
|
7,925 |
|
|
Financial
Services(f)
|
|
|
524 |
|
|
|
4,276 |
|
|
|
2,180 |
|
|
Asset Management
|
|
|
2,346 |
|
|
|
2,253 |
|
|
|
2,125 |
|
|
Other(h)(k)
|
|
|
(1,627 |
) |
|
|
(2,535 |
) |
|
|
(562 |
) |
|
Total
|
|
$ |
21,687 |
|
|
$ |
15,213 |
|
|
$ |
14,845 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133,
including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For
2006, 2005 and 2004, respectively, the effect was
$(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion and $385 million
in revenues and $(1.86) billion, $2.02 billion and
$671 million in operating income. These amounts result
primarily from interest rate and foreign currency derivatives
that are hedging available for sale securities and
borrowings. |
|
|
(b) |
Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned,
net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
|
(c) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts.
For 2006, the effect was an increase of $490 million in
both revenues and operating income for General Insurance and an
increase of $240 million and $169 million in revenues
and operating income, respectively, for Life
Insurance & Retirement Services. |
|
(d) |
Represents the sum of Life Insurance & Retirement
Services GAAP premiums, net investment income and realized
capital gains (losses). Included in realized capital gains
(losses) and operating income is the effect of hedging
activities that did not qualify for hedge accounting treatment
under FAS 133 and the application of FAS 52, of
$355 million, $(495) million and $(140) million
for 2006, 2005 and 2004, respectively. |
|
(e) |
Represents interest, lease and finance charges. |
|
(f) |
Includes the effect of hedging activities that did not
qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133,
including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For
2006, 2005 and 2004, respectively, the effect was
$(1.82) billion, $2.01 billion, and
$(122) million in both revenues and operating income for
Capital Markets. These amounts result primarily from interest
rate and foreign currency derivatives that are economically
hedging available for sale securities and borrowings. For 2004,
the effect was $(27) million in operating income for
Aircraft Leasing. During 2006 and 2005, Aircraft Leasing
derivative gains and losses were reported as part of AIGs
Other category, and were not reported in Aircraft Leasing
operating income. |
|
(g) |
Represents net investment income with respect to spread-based
products and management and advisory fees. |
|
|
(h) |
Includes consolidation and elimination adjustments which
increased revenues and operating income by $296 million and
$74 million, respectively, in 2006. |
|
|
(i) |
Represents income before income taxes, minority interest, and
cumulative effect of accounting changes. |
|
(j) |
Includes current year catastrophe-related losses of
$3.28 billion and $1.16 billion in 2005 and 2004,
respectively. There were no significant catastrophe-related
losses in 2006. Includes additional losses incurred and net
reinstatement premiums related to prior year catastrophes of
$165 million and $292 million in 2006 and 2005,
respectively. |
|
(k) |
Includes current year catastrophe-related losses from
unconsolidated subsidiaries of $312 million and
$96 million in 2005 and 2004. There were no significant
catastrophe-related losses in 2006. |
General Insurance
AIGs General Insurance operations provide property and
casualty products and services throughout the world. The
increase in General Insurance operating income in 2006 compared
to 2005 was primarily attributable to an improvement in
underwriting results for DBG, including the absence of
catastrophe-related losses, which amounted to $2.89 billion
in 2005. Operating income for 2006 also reflected higher net
investment income, including the effect of the out of period
adjustments related to the accounting for certain interests in
unit investment trusts.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services
operations provide insurance, financial and investment products
throughout the world. Foreign operations contributed
approximately 68 percent, 59 percent and
61 percent of AIGs Life Insurance &
Retirement Services operating income in 2006, 2005 and 2004,
respectively.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income
increased 13 percent in 2006 compared to 2005 on higher
GAAP premiums and an increase in net investment income. Net
investment income in 2006 included the effect of an out of
period adjustment related to the accounting for certain
interests in unit investment trusts. Realized capital gains
included in revenues and operating income were $88 million
in 2006 compared to realized capital losses of $158 million
in 2005. Results for 2006 were particularly strong in the
Foreign Life operations that were helped by increased net
investment income, higher realized gains and lower acquisition
costs. Domestic Life Insurance & Retirement Services
operating income declined from the prior year on lower realized
gains, the charge discussed above relating to the Superior
National arbitration and the exiting of the financial
institutions credit insurance business.
Financial Services
AIGs Financial Services subsidiaries engage in diversified
activities including aircraft and equipment leasing, capital
markets, consumer finance and insurance premium finance.
Financial Services operating income decreased in 2006 compared
to 2005 primarily due to the effects of hedging activities that
did not qualify for hedge accounting treatment under
FAS 133. AIG is reinstituting hedge accounting in the first
quarter of 2007 for AIGFP. In addition to the effects of
FAS 133, fluctuations in revenues and operating income from
period to
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 29
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
period are not unusual because of the transaction-oriented
nature of Capital Markets operations.
Asset Management
AIGs Asset Management operations include institutional and
retail asset management, broker-dealer services and
institutional spread-based investment businesses. The MIP has
replaced the GIC program as AIGs principal spread-based
investment activity.
Asset Management operating income increased 4 percent in
2006 compared to 2005 due primarily to growth in asset
management fees within Institutional Asset Management and income
from the MIP. These increases were partially offset by the
continued runoff of GIC balances, spread compression in the
remaining GIC portfolio as well as decreased performance-based
fees. Gains and losses arising from the consolidation of certain
variable interest entities (VIEs) and partnerships are included
in operating income, but are offset in minority interest
expense, which is not a component of operating income.
Capital Resources
At December 31, 2006, AIG had total consolidated
shareholders equity of $101.68 billion and total
consolidated borrowings of $148.68 billion. At that date,
$131.55 billion of such borrowings were not guaranteed by
AIG, were matched borrowings by AIG or AIGFP, or represented
liabilities connected to trust preferred stock.
AIG did not purchase shares of its common stock under its common
stock repurchase authorization during 2006. In February 2007,
AIGs Board of Directors increased the repurchase program
by authorizing the repurchase of shares with an aggregate
purchase price of $8 billion.
In 2007, AIG expects to issue capital securities in one or more
series. The proceeds will be used to repurchase shares of common
stock or to otherwise improve the efficiency of AIGs
capital structure.
Liquidity
AIG manages liquidity at both the subsidiary and parent company
levels. At December 31, 2006, AIGs consolidated
invested assets, primarily held by its subsidiaries, included
$26.8 billion in cash and short-term investments.
Consolidated net cash provided from operating activities in 2006
amounted to $6.8 billion. At the parent company level,
liquidity management activities are conducted in a manner to
preserve and enhance funding stability, flexibility, and
diversity through the full range of potential operating
environments and market conditions. AIGs primary sources
of cash flow are dividends and other payments from its regulated
and unregulated subsidiaries, as well as issuances of debt
securities. Primary uses of cash flow are for debt service,
subsidiary funding and shareholder dividend payments. Management
believes that AIGs liquid assets, cash provided by
operations and access to the capital markets will enable it to
meet its anticipated cash requirements, including the funding of
increased dividends under AIGs new dividend policy and
repurchases of common stock.
Critical Accounting Estimates
AIG considers its most critical accounting estimates to be those
relating to reserves for losses and loss expenses, future policy
benefits for life and accident and health contracts,
recoverability of DAC, estimated gross profits for
investment-oriented products, fair value determinations for
certain Capital Markets assets and liabilities,
other-than-temporary declines in the value of investments and
flight equipment recoverability. These accounting estimates
require the use of assumptions about matters, some of which are
highly uncertain at the time of estimation. To the extent actual
experience differs from the assumptions used, AIGs results
of operations would be directly affected.
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIGs
critical accounting estimates are discussed in detail. The major
categories for which assumptions are developed and used to
establish each critical accounting estimate are highlighted
below. For a discussion regarding the significant accounting
policies relating to these estimates, see Note 1 of Notes
to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses
(General Insurance):
|
|
|
Loss trend factors: used to establish expected loss
ratios for subsequent accident years based on premium rate
adequacy and the projected loss ratio with respect to prior
accident years. |
|
Expected loss ratios for the latest accident
year: in this case, accident year 2006 for the year end
2006 loss reserve analysis. For low-frequency, high-severity
classes such as excess casualty, expected loss ratios generally
are utilized for at least the three most recent accident years. |
|
Loss development factors: used to project the
reported losses for each accident year to an ultimate amount. |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses: the
expected recoveries from reinsurers on losses that have not yet
been reported and/or settled. |
Future Policy Benefits for Life and
Accident and Health Contracts (Life Insurance &
Retirement Services):
|
|
|
Interest rates: which vary by geographical region,
year of issuance and products. |
|
Mortality, morbidity and surrender rates: based upon
actual experience by geographical region modified to allow for
variation in policy form, risk classification and distribution
channel. |
Estimated Gross Profits (Life
Insurance & Retirement Services):
|
|
|
Estimated gross profits: to be realized over the
estimated duration of the contracts (investment-oriented
products) affect the carrying value of DAC, unearned revenue
liability and associated amortization patterns under FAS 97
and Sales Inducement Assets under
SOP 03-1.
Estimated gross profits include investment income and gains and
losses on investments less required interest, actual mortality
and other expenses. |
30 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs (Life
Insurance & Retirement Services):
|
|
|
Recoverability: based on current and future expected
profitability, which is affected by interest rates, foreign
exchange rates, mortality experience, and policy persistency. |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
(General Insurance):
|
|
|
Recoverability and eligibility: based upon the
current terms and profitability of the underlying insurance
contracts. |
Fair Value Determinations Of Certain
Assets And Liabilities (Financial Services):
|
|
|
SD Valuation models: utilizing factors, such as market
liquidity and current interest, foreign exchange and volatility
rates. |
|
Market price data: AIG attempts to secure reliable
and independent current market price data, such as published
exchange rates from external subscription services such as
Bloomberg or Reuters or third-party broker quotes for use in its
models. When such data is not available, AIG uses an internal
methodology, which includes interpolation and extrapolation from
verifiable prices from trades occurring on dates nearest to the
dates of the transactions. |
Other-Than-Temporary Declines In The Value
Of Investments:
A security is considered a candidate for other-than-temporary
impairment if it meets any of the following criteria:
|
|
|
Trading at a significant (25 percent or more) discount to
par or amortized cost (if lower) for an extended period of time
(nine months or longer); |
|
The occurrence of a discrete credit event resulting in the
debtor defaulting or seeking bankruptcy or insolvency protection
or voluntary reorganization; or |
|
The probability of non-realization of a full recovery on its
investment, irrespective of the occurrence of one of the
foregoing events. |
At each balance sheet date, AIG evaluates its securities
holdings in an unrealized loss position. Where AIG does not
intend to hold such securities until they have fully recovered
their carrying value, based on the circumstances present at the
date of evaluation, AIG records the unrealized loss in income.
If events or circumstances change, such as unexpected changes in
the creditworthiness of the obligor, unanticipated changes in
interest rates, tax laws, statutory capital positions and
unforeseen liquidity events, among others, AIG revisits its
intent. Further, if a loss is recognized from a sale subsequent
to a balance sheet date pursuant to these unexpected changes in
circumstances, the loss is recognized in the period in which the
intent to hold the securities to recovery no longer existed.
In periods subsequent to the recognition of an
other-than-temporary impairment loss for debt securities, AIG
amortizes the discount or reduced premium over the remaining
life of the security in a prospective manner based on the amount
and timing of estimated future cash flows.
Flight Equipment
Recoverability (Financial Services):
|
|
|
Expected undiscounted future net cash flows: based
upon current lease rates, projected future lease rates and
estimated terminal values of each aircraft based on third party
information. |
Operating Review
General Insurance Operations
AIGs General Insurance subsidiaries are multiple line
companies writing substantially all lines of commercial property
and casualty insurance and various personal lines both
domestically and abroad.
As previously noted, AIG believes it should present and discuss
its financial information in a manner most meaningful to its
financial statement users. Accordingly, in its General Insurance
business, AIG uses certain regulatory measures, where AIG has
determined these measurements to be useful and meaningful.
A critical discipline of a successful general insurance business
is the objective to produce profit from underwriting activities
exclusive of investment-related income. When underwriting is not
profitable, premiums are inadequate to pay for insured losses
and underwriting related expenses. In these situations, the
addition of general insurance related investment income and
realized capital gains may, however, enable a general insurance
business to produce operating income. For these reasons, AIG
views underwriting results to be critical in the overall
evaluation of performance. See also Liquidity herein.
Statutory underwriting profit is derived by reducing net
premiums earned by net losses and loss expenses incurred and net
expenses incurred. Statutory accounting generally requires
immediate expense recognition and ignores the matching of
revenues and expenses as required by GAAP. That is, for
statutory purposes, expenses (including acquisition costs) are
recognized immediately, not over the same period that the
revenues are earned. Thus, statutory expenses exclude changes in
DAC.
GAAP provides for the recognition of expenses at the same time
revenues are earned, the accounting principle of matching.
Therefore, acquisition expenses are deferred and amortized over
the period the related net premiums written are earned. DAC is
reviewed for recoverability, and such review requires management
judgment. The most comparable GAAP measure to statutory
underwriting profit is income before income taxes, minority
interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change. A table
reconciling statutory underwriting profit to income before
income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an
accounting change is contained in footnote (g) to the
following table. See also Critical Accounting Estimates herein
and Notes 1 and 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements.
AIG, along with most general insurance companies, uses the loss
ratio, the expense ratio and the combined ratio as measures of
underwriting performance. The loss ratio is the sum of losses
and loss expenses incurred divided by net premiums earned. The
expense ratio is statutory underwriting expenses divided by net
premiums written. These ratios are relative measurements that
describe, for every $100 of net premiums earned or written, the
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 31
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
cost of losses and statutory expenses, respectively. The
combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense
ratio. The combined ratio presents the total cost per $100 of
premium production. A combined ratio below 100 demonstrates
underwriting profit; a combined ratio above 100 demonstrates
underwriting loss.
Net premiums written are initially deferred and earned based
upon the terms of the underlying policies. The net unearned
premium reserve constitutes deferred revenues which are
generally earned ratably over the policy period. Thus, the net
unearned premium reserve is not fully recognized in income as
net premiums earned until the end of the policy period.
The underwriting environment varies from country to country, as
does the degree of litigation activity. Regulation, product type
and competition have a direct effect on pricing and consequently
on profitability as reflected in underwriting profit and
statutory general insurance ratios.
General Insurance Results
General Insurance operating income is
comprised of statutory underwriting results, changes in DAC, net
investment income and realized capital gains and losses.
Operating income, as well as net premiums written, net premiums
earned, net investment income and realized capital gains
(losses) and statutory ratios for 2006, 2005 and 2004 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions, except ratios) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
|
Net premiums written:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic General
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
24,345 |
|
|
$ |
23,128 |
|
|
$ |
22,506 |
|
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
3,633 |
|
|
|
3,466 |
|
|
|
3,749 |
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
4,654 |
|
|
|
4,653 |
|
|
|
4,354 |
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
866 |
|
|
|
628 |
|
|
|
607 |
|
|
Foreign
General(a)
|
|
|
11,368 |
|
|
|
9,997 |
|
|
|
9,407 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
44,866 |
|
|
$ |
41,872 |
|
|
$ |
40,623 |
|
|
Net premiums earned:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic General
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
23,936 |
|
|
$ |
22,602 |
|
|
$ |
21,215 |
|
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
3,604 |
|
|
|
3,385 |
|
|
|
3,661 |
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
4,645 |
|
|
|
4,634 |
|
|
|
4,291 |
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
740 |
|
|
|
533 |
|
|
|
539 |
|
|
Foreign
General(a)
|
|
|
10,526 |
|
|
|
9,655 |
|
|
|
8,831 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
43,451 |
|
|
$ |
40,809 |
|
|
$ |
38,537 |
|
|
Net investment
income(b):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic General
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
3,411 |
|
|
$ |
2,403 |
|
|
$ |
1,965 |
|
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
435 |
|
|
|
343 |
|
|
|
307 |
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
225 |
|
|
|
217 |
|
|
|
186 |
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
140 |
|
|
|
123 |
|
|
|
120 |
|
|
|
Intercompany adjustments and eliminations net
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign General
|
|
|
1,484 |
|
|
|
944 |
|
|
|
618 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
5,696 |
|
|
$ |
4,031 |
|
|
$ |
3,196 |
|
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
|
$ |
59 |
|
|
$ |
334 |
|
|
$ |
228 |
|
|
Operating income
(loss)(b)(c)(d):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic General
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
5,985 |
|
|
$ |
(646 |
) |
|
$ |
777 |
|
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
589 |
|
|
|
(39 |
) |
|
|
282 |
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
432 |
|
|
|
195 |
|
|
|
357 |
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
363 |
|
|
|
399 |
|
|
Foreign
General(e)
|
|
|
3,088 |
|
|
|
2,427 |
|
|
|
1,344 |
|
Reclassifications and eliminations
|
|
|
(10 |
) |
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
18 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
10,412 |
|
|
$ |
2,315 |
|
|
$ |
3,177 |
|
|
Statutory underwriting profit
(loss)(c)(d)(g):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic General
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
2,450 |
|
|
$ |
(3,227 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,500 |
) |
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
129 |
|
|
|
(434 |
) |
|
|
(77 |
) |
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
204 |
|
|
|
(38 |
) |
|
|
136 |
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
188 |
|
|
|
249 |
|
|
|
234 |
|
|
Foreign
General(e)
|
|
|
1,437 |
|
|
|
1,285 |
|
|
|
643 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
4,408 |
|
|
$ |
(2,165 |
) |
|
$ |
(564 |
) |
|
32 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions, except ratios) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
|
Domestic
General(c)(d):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
69.1 |
|
|
|
89.6 |
|
|
|
83.9 |
|
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
21.5 |
|
|
|
21.0 |
|
|
|
19.2 |
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
90.6 |
|
|
|
110.6 |
|
|
|
103.1 |
|
|
Foreign
General(c)(d):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss
ratio(a)
|
|
|
50.5 |
|
|
|
53.7 |
|
|
|
61.6 |
|
|
Expense
ratio(e)(f)
|
|
|
33.2 |
|
|
|
31.9 |
|
|
|
29.2 |
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
83.7 |
|
|
|
85.6 |
|
|
|
90.8 |
|
|
Consolidated(c)(d):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
64.6 |
|
|
|
81.1 |
|
|
|
78.8 |
|
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
24.5 |
|
|
|
23.6 |
|
|
|
21.5 |
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
89.1 |
|
|
|
104.7 |
|
|
|
100.3 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Income statement accounts expressed in non-functional
currencies are translated into U.S. dollars using average
exchange rates. |
|
(b) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts
in 2006. For DBG, the effect was an increase of
$66 million, and for Foreign General, the effect was an
increase of $424 million. |
|
(c) |
Catastrophe-related losses increased the consolidated General
Insurance combined ratio for 2005 and 2004 by 7.06 points
and 2.74 points, respectively. There were no significant
catastrophe-related losses in 2006. Catastrophe-related losses
for 2005 and 2004 by reporting unit were as follows: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
Insurance | |
|
Net | |
|
Insurance | |
|
Net | |
|
|
Related | |
|
Reinstatement | |
|
Related | |
|
Reinstatement | |
(in millions) |
|
Losses | |
|
Premium Cost | |
|
Losses | |
|
Premium Cost | |
|
Reporting Unit:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
1,747 |
|
|
$ |
122 |
|
|
$ |
582 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
463 |
|
|
|
45 |
|
|
|
215 |
|
|
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign General
|
|
|
293 |
|
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
232 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
2,625 |
|
|
$ |
263 |
|
|
$ |
1,054 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
(d) |
Includes additional losses incurred and net reinstatement
premiums related to prior year catastrophes of $199 million
and $277 million, in 2006 and 2005, respectively. |
|
|
(e) |
Includes the results of wholly owned Foreign General
agencies. |
|
|
(f) |
Includes amortization of advertising costs. |
|
(g) |
Statutory underwriting profit (loss) is a measure that
U.S. domiciled insurance companies are required to report
to their regulatory authorities. The following table reconciles
statutory underwriting profit (loss) to operating income for
General Insurance for the years ended December 31, 2006,
2005 and 2004: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Domestic | |
|
|
|
|
Brokerage | |
|
|
|
Personal | |
|
Mortgage | |
|
Foreign | |
|
Reclassifications | |
|
|
(in millions) |
|
Group | |
|
Transatlantic | |
|
Lines | |
|
Guaranty | |
|
General | |
|
and Eliminations | |
|
Total | |
| |
2006:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
$ |
2,450 |
|
|
$ |
129 |
|
|
$ |
204 |
|
|
$ |
188 |
|
|
$ |
1,437 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
4,408 |
|
Increase (decrease) in DAC
|
|
|
26 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
204 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
249 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
3,411 |
|
|
|
435 |
|
|
|
225 |
|
|
|
140 |
|
|
|
1,484 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
5,696 |
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(37 |
) |
|
|
(11 |
) |
|
|
59 |
|
|
|
|
Operating income (loss)
|
|
$ |
5,985 |
|
|
$ |
589 |
|
|
$ |
432 |
|
|
$ |
328 |
|
|
$ |
3,088 |
|
|
$ |
(10 |
) |
|
$ |
10,412 |
|
|
2005:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
$ |
(3,227 |
) |
|
$ |
(434 |
) |
|
$ |
(38 |
) |
|
$ |
249 |
|
|
$ |
1,285 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(2,165 |
) |
Increase (decrease) in DAC
|
|
|
(23 |
) |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
(8 |
) |
|
|
113 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
115 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
2,403 |
|
|
|
343 |
|
|
|
217 |
|
|
|
123 |
|
|
|
944 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
4,031 |
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
|
|
201 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
85 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
334 |
|
|
|
|
Operating income (loss)
|
|
$ |
(646 |
) |
|
$ |
(39 |
) |
|
$ |
195 |
|
|
$ |
363 |
|
|
$ |
2,427 |
|
|
$ |
15 |
|
|
$ |
2,315 |
|
|
2004:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
$ |
(1,500 |
) |
|
$ |
(77 |
) |
|
$ |
136 |
|
|
$ |
234 |
|
|
$ |
643 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
(564 |
) |
Increase (decrease) in DAC
|
|
|
160 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
44 |
|
|
|
59 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
317 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
1,965 |
|
|
|
307 |
|
|
|
186 |
|
|
|
120 |
|
|
|
618 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,196 |
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
|
|
152 |
|
|
|
22 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
228 |
|
|
|
|
Operating income (loss)
|
|
$ |
777 |
|
|
$ |
282 |
|
|
$ |
357 |
|
|
$ |
399 |
|
|
$ |
1,344 |
|
|
$ |
18 |
|
|
$ |
3,177 |
|
|
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 33
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
AIG transacts business in most major
foreign currencies. The following table summarizes the effect of
changes in foreign currency exchange rates on the growth of
General Insurance net premiums written for the years ended
December 31, 2006 and 2005.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
Growth in original currency*
|
|
|
7.4 |
% |
|
|
2.6 |
% |
Foreign exchange effect
|
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
Growth as reported in U.S. dollars
|
|
|
7.2 |
% |
|
|
3.1 |
% |
|
* Computed using a constant exchange rate for each
period.
2006 and 2005 Comparison
General Insurance operating income increased in 2006 compared to
2005 due to growth in net premiums, a reduction in both
catastrophe losses and prior accident year development, and
growth in net investment income. The combined ratio improved to
89.1, a reduction of 15.6 points from 2005, including an
improvement in the loss ratio of 16.5 points. The reduction
in catastrophe losses represented 6.9 points and the
reduction in prior year adverse development represented
11.5 points of the overall reduction. Net premiums written
increased $3.0 billion or 7 percent in 2006 compared
to 2005. Domestic General accounted for $1.6 billion of the
increase as property rates improved and submission activity
increased due to the strength of AIGs capacity, commitment
to difficult markets and diverse product offerings. Foreign
General contributed $1.4 billion to the increase in net
premiums written. In 2005, Domestic General net premiums written
increased by $300 million and Foreign General net premiums
written decreased by the same amount as a result of the
commutation of the Richmond reinsurance contract. The
commutation partially offset the increase in Domestic General
net premiums written in 2006 compared to 2005 and increased
Foreign General net premiums written in 2006 compared to 2005.
In 2006, certain adjustments were made in conjunction with the
remediation of the material weakness relating to balance sheet
account reconciliations which increased earned premiums by
$189 million and increased other expenses by
$415 million. These adjustments reflect continuing progress
in AIGs ongoing remediation efforts. The combined effect
of these adjustments increased the expense ratio by
0.9 points and decreased the loss ratio by 0.3 points.
General Insurance net investment income increased
$1.67 billion in 2006 to $5.7 billion on higher levels
of invested assets, strong cash flows, slightly higher yields
and increased partnership income, and included increases from
out of period adjustments of $490 million related to the
accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts,
$43 million related to partnership income and
$85 million related to interest earned on a DBG deposit
contract. See also Capital Resources and Liquidity
Liquidity and Invested Assets herein.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
General Insurance operating income in 2005 decreased from 2004
due to higher catastrophe-related losses and the fourth quarter
2005 increase in reserves and changes in estimates related to
remediation of the material weakness in reconciliation of
balance sheet accounts. Catastrophe-related losses were
$2.89 billion and $1.05 billion in 2005 and 2004,
respectively. These decreases in operating income were partially
offset by strong growth in statutory underwriting profit and
increases in net investment income. General Insurance operating
income in 2004 also included a $232 million charge
reflecting a change in estimate for salvage and subrogation
recoveries.
General Insurance net investment income grew in 2005 compared to
2004 due to strong cash flows, higher interest rates and
increased partnership income. See also Capital Resources and
Liquidity Liquidity herein and Note 8 of Notes to
Consolidated Financial Statements.
DBG Results
2006 and 2005 Comparison
DBGs operating income increased to $5.99 billion in
2006 compared to a loss of $646 million in 2005, an
improvement of $6.63 billion. The improvement is also
reflected in the combined ratio, which declined to 89.4 in 2006
compared to 113.8 in 2005 primarily due to an improvement in the
loss ratio of 24.9 points. The reduction in prior year
adverse development and the reduction in catastrophe losses and
related reinstatement premiums accounted for 21.0 points
and 8.2 points, respectively, of the improvement.
DBGs net premiums written increased 5 percent in 2006
compared to 2005 as property rates improved and submission
activity increased due to the strength of AIGs capacity,
commitment to difficult markets and diverse product offerings.
Net premiums written in 2005 were reduced by $122 million
due to reinstatement premiums related to catastrophes, offset by
increases of $300 million for the Richmond commutation and
$147 million related to an accrual for workers compensation
premiums for payroll not yet reported by insured employers. The
combined effect of these items reduced the growth rate for net
premiums written by 1.5 percent.
The loss ratio for 2006 declined 24.9 points to 69.4. The
2005 loss ratio was negatively affected by catastrophe-related
losses of $1.7 billion and related reinstatement premiums
of $122 million. Adverse development on reserves for loss
and loss adjustment expenses declined to $110 million in
2006 compared to $4.9 billion in 2005, accounting for
21.0 points of the decrease in the loss ratio.
DBGs expense ratio increased to 20.0 in 2006 compared to
19.5 in 2005, primarily due to an increase in other expenses
that amounted to $498 million in 2006 (including out of
period charges of $356 million) compared to
$372 million in 2005. This increase added 0.4 points
to the expense ratio. Overall allowances decreased, however, due
to charge-offs against previously established allowances
resulting from AIGs remediation activities.
DBGs net investment income increased by $1.0 billion
in 2006 compared to 2005, as interest income increased
$482 million on growth in the bond portfolio resulting from
investment of operating cash flows and capital contributions.
Partnership income
34 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
increased from 2005 due to improved performance of the
underlying investments, including initial public offering
activity. Net investment income in 2006 included increases
relating to out of period adjustments of $109 million for
the accounting for certain investments in unit investment trusts
and partnerships and $85 million related to interest earned
on a deposit contract that did not exist in the prior year.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
DBGs net premiums written increased modestly in 2005
compared to 2004, reflecting generally improving renewal
retention rates and a modest change in the mix of business
towards smaller accounts for which DBG purchases less
reinsurance. DBG also continued to expand its relationships with
a larger number and broader range of brokers. DBG saw
improvement in domestic property rates as well as increases in
submission activity in the aftermath of the 2005 hurricanes. DBG
attributes the increase in submissions to its overall financial
strength in comparison to many insurers that experienced
significant losses and reductions of surplus as a result of the
hurricanes.
The DBG loss ratio increased in 2005 from 2004 principally as a
result of adverse loss development, higher catastrophe-related
losses and $197 million of losses incurred in 2005
resulting from the 2004 catastrophes.
The DBG expense ratio increased in 2005 from 2004, principally
due to an increase in net commissions resulting from the
replacement of certain ceded quota share reinsurance, for which
DBG earns a ceding commission, with
excess-of-loss
reinsurance, which generally does not include a ceding
commission. Increases in other underwriting expenses reflect a
change in estimates for salvage and subrogation recoveries.
DBGs net investment income increased in 2005 compared to
2004 due to strong cash flows, higher interest rates and
increased partnership income.
Transatlantic Results
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Transatlantics net premiums written and net premiums
earned increased in 2006 by 5 percent and 6 percent,
respectively, compared to 2005 due primarily to increased
writings in domestic operations. Operating income increased in
2006 compared to 2005 due largely to lower catastrophe losses
and net ceded reinstatement premiums, and increased net
investment income.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
Transatlantics net premiums written and net premiums
earned for 2005 decreased compared to 2004, principally due to
competitive market conditions and increased ceding company
retentions in certain classes of business, largely resulting
from Transatlantics domestic operations. Operating income
decreased principally as a result of the increased level of
catastrophe losses.
Personal Lines Results
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Personal Lines operating income increased $237 million in
2006 compared to 2005 reflecting a reduction in the loss ratio
of 5.8 points. Favorable development on prior accident
years reduced incurred losses by $111 million in 2006 compared
to an increase of $14 million in 2005, accounting for
2.7 points of the decrease in the loss ratio. The 2005
catastrophe-related losses of $112 million added
2.4 points to the loss ratio. The loss ratio for the 2006
accident year improved 0.7 points primarily due to the
termination of The Robert Plan relationship effective
December 31, 2005 and growth in the Private Client Group.
The improvement in the loss ratio was partially offset by an
increase in the expense ratio of 0.6 points primarily due
to investments in people and technology, national expansion
efforts and lower response rates. Net premiums written were flat
in 2006 compared to 2005, with growth in the Private Client
Group and Agency Auto divisions offset by termination of The
Robert Plan relationship. Growth in the Private Client Group
spans multiple products, with a continued penetration of the
high net worth market, strong brand promotion and innovative
loss prevention programs.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
Personal Lines net premiums written and net premiums earned for
2005 increased compared to 2004 as a result of strong growth in
the Private Client Group and Agency Auto divisions due to
increased agent/broker appointments, greater market penetration
and enhanced product offerings. AIG direct premiums in 2005 were
down slightly from 2004 due to aggressive re-underwriting of the
previously acquired GE business and the discontinuation of
underwriting homeowners business. Involuntary auto premiums were
down in 2005 due to the decline in the assigned risk
marketplace. Statutory underwriting profit declined in 2005 as a
result of hurricane losses and related expenses, reserve
strengthening, an increase in Agency Autos current
accident year physical damage loss ratio, and expenses incurred
related to terminating AIGs relationship with The Robert
Plan effective December 31, 2005.
Mortgage Guaranty Results
2006 and 2005 Comparison
UGCs operating income declined $35 million in 2006,
down 10 percent from 2005 due primarily to unfavorable loss
experience on third-party originated second lien business with a
credit quality lower than typical for UGC and a softening U.S.
housing market. This increased UGCs consolidated loss
ratio for 2006 to 47.2 compared to 26.0 in 2005. The writing of
this second lien coverage, which began in 2005, was discontinued
as of year end 2006. Losses in the second lien business have
been mitigated by a policy year aggregate limitation provision
that is typically established for each lender.
Net premiums written increased 38 percent from growth in
the domestic second lien and international businesses as well as
improved persistency in the domestic first lien business. The
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 35
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
expense ratio remained flat as premium growth covered increased
expenses related to expansion internationally and continued
investment in risk management resources. UGC had approximately
$27 billion of guaranty risk in force at December 31,
2006.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
UGCs net premiums written were up slightly for 2005
compared to 2004 as strong growth in the international and
domestic second lien businesses was mostly offset by lower
persistency in domestic first lien residential renewal premiums.
Statutory underwriting profit rose from 2004 due to lower
contract underwriting expenses and favorable loss development.
Foreign General Insurance
Results
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Foreign Generals operating income increased
$661 million or 27 percent in 2006 compared to 2005
due to out of period adjustments related to the accounting for
interests in unit investment trusts, the absence of significant
catastrophe-related losses in 2006, rate increases and lower
current accident year losses by the Lloyds syndicate Ascot
(Ascot) on its U.S. book of business and lower asbestos and
environmental reserve increases. Partially offsetting these
increases in operating income were lower favorable loss
development from prior accident years and adverse loss
development on the 2005 hurricanes. Statutory underwriting
profit increased $152 million in 2006 compared to 2005.
Catastrophes in 2005 resulted in losses of $293 million and
reinstatement premiums of $94 million.
Net premiums written increased $1.4 billion or
14 percent (15 percent in original currency) in 2006
compared to 2005, reflecting growth in both commercial and
consumer lines driven by new business from both established and
new distribution channels, including a wholly owned insurance
company in Vietnam and Central Insurance Co., Ltd. in Taiwan.
Ascot also contributed to the growth in net premiums written as
a result of rate increases on its U.S. business. Consumer
lines in Latin America and commercial lines in Europe, including
the U.K., also contributed to the increase. Net premiums written
for 2005 were reduced by reinstatement premiums related to
catastrophes and a portfolio transfer of unearned premium
reserves to DBG related to the Richmond commutation, accounting
for 3 percent of the increase in 2006 compared to 2005.
The 2006 combined ratio declined to 83.7, a decrease of
1.9 points from 2005. The 2005 catastrophes added
3.5 points to the 2005 loss ratio. The expense ratio in
2006 increased by 1.3 points as a result of increased
amortization of deferred advertising costs and a continued
change in the business mix towards products with higher
acquisition costs but historically lower loss ratios. The loss
ratio decreased 3.2 points in 2006 as the absence of
significant catastrophes in 2006 resulted in a decrease of
3.5 points, rate increases and lower current year losses by
Ascot on its U.S. book of business accounted for
1.3 points of the decrease and lower asbestos and
environmental reserve increases accounted for 1.2 points of
the decrease. These declines were partially offset by lower
favorable loss development from prior accident years and adverse
development on 2005 hurricanes.
The expense ratio increased 1.3 points in 2006 compared to
2005. Underwriting expenses for 2006 increased $59 million
due to an out of period adjustment for amortization of deferred
advertising costs and premiums were reduced by $61 million
due to reconciliation remediation activities, in aggregate
accounting for 0.7 points of the increase in the expense
ratio. The expense ratio also increased due to growth in
consumer business lines, which have higher acquisition expenses
but historically lower loss ratios. The expense ratio for 2005
increased by 1.2 points due to the decline in net premiums
written from reinstatement premiums related to catastrophes and
the portfolio transfer of the Richmond unearned premium
reserves. Due to the current mix of business, AIG expects the
expense ratio to continue to increase during 2007, principally
for classes of business with historically lower than average
loss ratios.
Net investment income increased $540 million or
57 percent in 2006 compared to 2005 primarily due to a
$424 million out of period adjustment related to the
accounting for interests in unit investment trusts.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
Foreign General operating income increased 81 percent in
2005 compared to 2004 due primarily to favorable loss
development from prior accident years and increased net
investment income.
Net premiums written increased 6 percent (4 percent in
original currency) in 2005 compared to 2004 as a result of new
business as well as new distribution channels such as the
February 2005 purchase of the insurance portfolio of the
Royal & Sun Alliance branch operations in Japan. The
personal accident business in the Far East and the personal
lines operations in Latin America also contributed to the
growth. Partially offsetting these increases was the portfolio
transfer of Richmonds unearned premium reserves to DBG,
which reduced net premiums in 2005 and reinstatement premiums
related to catastrophes.
The 2005 combined ratio of 85.6 decreased 5.3 points from 2004.
The loss ratio decreased 8.0 points in 2005 from 2004. The
loss ratio decreased 4.7 points due to favorable loss
development from prior accident years, excluding catastrophes,
and 2.3 points related to a 2004 loss reserve restatement
adjustment. The loss ratio increased 0.9 points due to
higher catastrophe losses in 2005 related to hurricanes. The
expense ratio increased 2.7 points in 2005 from 2004
principally due to the portfolio transfer of Richmonds
unearned premium reserves to DBG in 2005, loyalty business
initiatives in the consumer business lines, which have higher
acquisition costs, and also due to reinstatement premiums.
Foreign General net investment income increased
$326 million in 2005 compared to 2004 on increased
partnership income, reflecting increases in market valuations of
infrastructure fund investments in Africa, Asia, China, Eastern
Europe and India. Additionally, net investment income was
positively affected by positive cash flows, higher interest
rates and the compounding of previously earned and reinvested
net investment income. Cash flow was lower in 2005 compared to
2004 due to payments for
36 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
catastrophe-related losses incurred in 2005 and 2004 and for the
purchase of the Royal & Sun Alliance branch operations.
Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
The following table presents the
components of the General Insurance gross reserve for losses and
loss expenses (loss reserves) as of December 31, 2006 and
2005 by major lines of business on a statutory Annual Statement
basis*:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
| |
Other liability occurrence
|
|
$ |
19,156 |
|
|
$ |
18,116 |
|
Workers compensation
|
|
|
13,465 |
|
|
|
11,630 |
|
Other liability claims made
|
|
|
12,394 |
|
|
|
12,447 |
|
Property
|
|
|
6,663 |
|
|
|
7,217 |
|
Auto liability
|
|
|
5,931 |
|
|
|
6,569 |
|
International
|
|
|
5,810 |
|
|
|
4,939 |
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
2,960 |
|
|
|
2,886 |
|
Medical malpractice
|
|
|
2,308 |
|
|
|
2,363 |
|
Products liability
|
|
|
2,168 |
|
|
|
1,937 |
|
Accident and health
|
|
|
1,649 |
|
|
|
1,678 |
|
Commercial multiple peril
|
|
|
1,621 |
|
|
|
1,359 |
|
Aircraft
|
|
|
1,562 |
|
|
|
1,844 |
|
Fidelity/surety
|
|
|
1,127 |
|
|
|
1,072 |
|
Other
|
|
|
3,185 |
|
|
|
3,112 |
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
79,999 |
|
|
$ |
77,169 |
|
|
|
|
* |
Presented by lines of business pursuant to statutory
reporting requirements as prescribed by the National Association
of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). |
AIGs gross reserve for losses and loss expenses represents
the accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including IBNR
and loss expenses. The methods used to determine loss reserve
estimates and to establish the resulting reserves are
continually reviewed and updated by management. Any adjustments
resulting therefrom are reflected in operating income currently.
Because loss reserve estimates are subject to the outcome of
future events, changes in estimates are unavoidable given that
loss trends vary and time is often required for changes in
trends to be recognized and confirmed. Reserve changes that
increase previous estimates of ultimate cost are referred to as
unfavorable or adverse development or reserve strengthening.
Reserve changes that decrease previous estimates of ultimate
cost are referred to as favorable development.
At December 31, 2006, General Insurance net loss reserves
increased $5.15 billion from 2005 to $62.63 billion. The net
loss reserves represent loss reserves reduced by reinsurance
recoverables, net of an allowance for unrecoverable reinsurance
and applicable discount for future investment income.
The following table classifies the
components of the General Insurance net loss reserves by
business unit as of December 31, 2006 and 2005.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
| |
DBG(a)
|
|
$ |
43,998 |
|
|
$ |
40,782 |
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
6,207 |
|
|
|
5,690 |
|
Personal
Lines(b)
|
|
|
2,440 |
|
|
|
2,578 |
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
|
|
460 |
|
|
|
340 |
|
Foreign
General(c)
|
|
|
9,525 |
|
|
|
8,086 |
|
|
Total Net Loss Reserve
|
|
$ |
62,630 |
|
|
$ |
57,476 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
At December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively, DBG loss
reserves include approximately $3.33 billion and
$3.77 billion ($3.66 billion and $4.26 billion,
respectively, before discount), related to business written by
DBG but ceded to AIRCO and reported in AIRCOs statutory
filings. DBG loss reserves also include approximately $535
million and $407 million related to business included in
AIUOs statutory filings at December 31, 2006 and
2005, respectively. |
|
(b) |
At December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively, Personal
Lines loss reserves include $861 million and
$878 million related to business ceded to DBG and reported
in DBGs statutory filings. |
|
(c) |
At December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively, Foreign
General loss reserves include approximately $2.87 billion and
$2.15 billion related to business reported in DBGs
statutory filings. |
The DBG net loss reserve of $44.0 billion is comprised
principally of the business of AIG subsidiaries participating in
the American Home/ National Union pool (11 companies) and
the surplus lines pool (Lexington, Starr Excess Liability
Insurance Company and Landmark Insurance Company).
Beginning in 1998, DBG ceded a quota share percentage of its
other liability occurrence and products liability occurrence
business to AIRCO. The quota share percentage ceded was
40 percent in 1998, 65 percent in 1999,
75 percent in 2000 and 2001, 50 percent in 2002 and
2003, 40 percent in 2004, 35 percent in 2005 and
20 percent in 2006 and covered all business written in
these years for these lines by participants in the American
Home/ National Union pool. In 1998 the cession reflected only
the other liability occurrence business, but in 1999 and
subsequent years included products liability occurrence.
AIRCOs loss reserves relating to these quota share
cessions from DBG are recorded on a discounted basis. As of
year-end 2006, AIRCO carried a discount of approximately $330
million applicable to the $3.66 billion in undiscounted reserves
it assumed from the American Home/ National Union pool via this
quota share cession. AIRCO also carries approximately $467
million in net loss reserves relating to Foreign General
insurance business. These reserves are carried on an
undiscounted basis.
Beginning in 1997, the Personal Lines division ceded a
percentage of all business written by the companies
participating in the personal lines pool to the American Home/
National Union pool. As noted above, the total reserves carried
by participants in the American Home/ National Union pool
relating to this cession amounted to $861 million as of year-end
2006.
The companies participating in the American Home/ National Union
pool have maintained a participation in the business written by
AIU for decades. As of year-end 2006, these AIU reserves carried
by participants in the American Home/ National Union pool
amounted to approximately $2.87 billion. The remaining Foreign
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 37
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
General reserves are carried by AIUO, AIRCO, and other smaller
AIG subsidiaries domiciled outside the United States. Statutory
filings in the U.S. by AIG companies reflect all the
business written by U.S. domiciled entities only, and
therefore exclude business written by AIUO, AIRCO, and all other
internationally domiciled subsidiaries. The total reserves
carried at year-end 2006 by AIUO and AIRCO were approximately
$4.57 billion and $3.80 billion, respectively. AIRCOs
$3.80 billion in total general insurance reserves consists of
approximately $3.33 billion from business assumed from the
American Home/ National Union pool and an additional $467
million relating to Foreign General Insurance business.
Discounting of Reserves
At December 31, 2006, AIGs overall General Insurance
net loss reserves reflect a loss reserve discount of $2.26
billion, including tabular and non-tabular calculations. The
tabular workers compensation discount is calculated using a
3.5 percent interest rate and the 1979-81 Decennial
Mortality Table. The non-tabular workers compensation discount
is calculated separately for companies domiciled in New York and
Pennsylvania, and follows the statutory regulations for each
state. For New York companies, the discount is based on a five
percent interest rate and the companies own payout
patterns. For Pennsylvania companies, the statute has specified
discount factors for accident years 2001 and prior, which are
based on a six percent interest rate and an industry payout
pattern. For accident years 2002 and subsequent, the discount is
based on the yield of U.S. Treasury securities ranging from
one to twenty years and the companys own payout pattern,
with the future expected payment for each year using the
interest rate associated with the corresponding Treasury
security yield for that time period. The discount is comprised
of the following: $662 million tabular discount for
workers compensation in DBG; $1.27 billion
non-tabular discount for workers compensation in DBG; and, $330
million non-tabular discount for other liability
occurrence and products liability occurrence in AIRCO. The total
undiscounted workers compensation loss reserve carried by DBG is
approximately $11.5 billion as of year-end 2006. The other
liability occurrence and products liability occurrence business
in AIRCO that is assumed from DBG is discounted based on the
yield of U.S. Treasury securities ranging from one to
twenty years and the DBG payout pattern for this business. The
undiscounted reserves assumed by AIRCO from DBG totaled
approximately $3.66 billion at December 31, 2006.
Results of 2006 Reserving
Process
Management believes that the General Insurance net loss reserves
are adequate to cover General Insurance net losses and loss
expenses as of December 31, 2006. While AIG regularly
reviews the adequacy of established loss reserves, there can be
no assurance that AIGs ultimate loss reserves will not
develop adversely and materially exceed AIGs loss reserves
as of December 31, 2006. In the opinion of management, such
adverse development and resulting increase in reserves is not
likely to have a material adverse effect on AIGs
consolidated financial condition, although it could have a
material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated results of
operations for an individual reporting period. See also
Item 1A. Risk Factors Casualty Insurance and
Underwriting Reserves.
The following table presents the
reconciliation of net loss reserves for 2006, 2005 and 2004 as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Net reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning of year
|
|
$ |
57,476 |
|
|
$ |
47,254 |
|
|
$ |
36,228 |
|
Foreign exchange effect
|
|
|
741 |
|
|
|
(628 |
) |
|
|
524 |
|
Acquisition(a)
|
|
|
55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
27,805 |
|
|
|
28,426 |
|
|
|
26,793 |
|
Prior years, other than accretion of discount
|
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
4,680 |
(b) |
|
|
3,187 |
(c) |
Prior years, accretion of discount
|
|
|
300 |
|
|
|
(15 |
) |
|
|
377 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred
|
|
|
28,052 |
|
|
|
33,091 |
|
|
|
30,357 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses paid:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
8,368 |
|
|
|
7,331 |
|
|
|
7,692 |
|
|
Prior years
|
|
|
15,326 |
|
|
|
14,910 |
|
|
|
12,163 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses paid
|
|
|
23,694 |
|
|
|
22,241 |
|
|
|
19,855 |
|
|
Net reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of year
|
|
$ |
62,630 |
|
|
$ |
57,476 |
|
|
$ |
47,254 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Reflects the opening balance with respect to the acquisition
of the Central Insurance Co., Ltd. in the third quarter of
2006. |
|
(b) |
Includes fourth quarter charge of $1.8 billion. |
|
(c) |
Includes fourth quarter charge of $850 million
attributable to the change in estimate for asbestos and
environmental exposures. |
The following tables summarize
development, (favorable) or unfavorable, of incurred losses and
loss expenses for prior years (other than accretion of
discount):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Prior Accident Year Development by Reporting Unit:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DBG
|
|
$ |
110 |
|
|
$ |
4,871 |
|
|
$ |
2,857 |
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
(111 |
) |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
75 |
|
UGC
|
|
|
(115 |
) |
|
|
(103 |
) |
|
|
(102 |
) |
Foreign General
|
|
|
(118 |
) |
|
|
(371 |
) |
|
|
40 |
|
|
Sub total
|
|
|
(234 |
) |
|
|
4,411 |
|
|
|
2,870 |
|
Transatlantic
|
|
|
181 |
|
|
|
269 |
|
|
|
317 |
|
|
Prior years, other than accretion of discount
|
|
$ |
(53 |
) |
|
$ |
4,680 |
|
|
$ |
3,187 |
|
|
38 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Prior Accident Year Development by Major Class of Business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excess casualty (DBG)
|
|
$ |
102 |
|
|
$ |
1,191 |
|
|
$ |
1,240 |
|
D&O and related management liability (DBG)
|
|
|
(20 |
) |
|
|
1,627 |
|
|
|
930 |
|
Excess workers compensation (DBG)
|
|
|
74 |
|
|
|
983 |
|
|
|
279 |
|
Reinsurance (Transatlantic)
|
|
|
181 |
|
|
|
269 |
|
|
|
317 |
|
Asbestos and environmental (primarily DBG)
|
|
|
208 |
|
|
|
930 |
|
|
|
1,006 |
|
All other, net
|
|
|
(598 |
) |
|
|
(320 |
) |
|
|
(585 |
) |
|
Prior years, other than accretion of discount
|
|
$ |
(53 |
) |
|
$ |
4,680 |
|
|
$ |
3,187 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Calendar Year |
Accident Year |
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Prior Accident Year Development by Accident Year:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2005
|
|
$ |
(1,576 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004
|
|
|
(511 |
) |
|
$ |
(3,853 |
) |
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
|
(212 |
) |
|
|
(63 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,483 |
) |
2002
|
|
|
373 |
|
|
|
1,360 |
|
|
|
69 |
|
2001
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
1,749 |
|
|
|
1,123 |
|
2000
|
|
|
338 |
|
|
|
1,323 |
|
|
|
760 |
|
1999
|
|
|
382 |
|
|
|
944 |
|
|
|
693 |
|
1998
|
|
|
41 |
|
|
|
605 |
|
|
|
536 |
|
1997
|
|
|
197 |
|
|
|
281 |
|
|
|
174 |
|
1996 & Prior
|
|
|
886 |
|
|
|
2,334 |
|
|
|
1,315 |
|
|
Prior years, other than accretion of discount
|
|
$ |
(53 |
) |
|
$ |
4,680 |
|
|
$ |
3,187 |
|
|
The loss ratios recorded by AIG for 2006 took into account the
results of the comprehensive reserve reviews that were completed
in the fourth quarter of 2005. AIGs year-end 2005 reserve
review reflected careful consideration of the reserve analyses
prepared by AIGs internal actuarial staff with the
assistance of third party actuaries. In determining the
appropriate loss ratios for accident year 2006 for each class of
business, AIG gave consideration to the loss ratios resulting
from the 2005 reserve analyses as well as all other relevant
information including rate changes, expected changes in loss
costs, changes in coverage, reinsurance or mix of business, and
other factors that may affect the loss ratios.
In 2006, AIG enhanced its process of determining the quarterly
loss development from prior accident years. In the first quarter
of 2006, AIG began conducting additional analyses to determine
the change in estimated ultimate loss for each accident year for
each profit center. For example, if loss emergence for a profit
center is different than expected for certain accident years,
the actuaries now take additional steps to examine the indicated
effect such emergence would have on the reserves of that profit
center. In some cases, the higher or lower than expected
emergence may result in no clear change in the ultimate loss
estimate for the accident years in question, and no adjustment
would be made to the profit centers reserves for prior
accident years. In other cases, the higher or lower than
expected emergence may result in a larger change, either
favorable or unfavorable, than the difference between the actual
and expected loss emergence. Such additional analyses were
conducted for each profit center, as appropriate, in the first,
second and third quarters of 2006 to determine the loss
development from prior accident years for the first, second and
third quarters of 2006. As part of its quarterly reserving
process, AIG also considers notices of claims received with
respect to emerging issues, such as those related to stock
option backdating. In the fourth quarter of 2006, a
comprehensive loss reserve review was completed for each AIG
general insurance subsidiary. The prior accident year loss
reserve development shown in the tables above for 2006 reflects
the results of these comprehensive reviews, including the effect
of actual loss emergence in the fourth quarter of 2006.
In 2006, net loss development from prior accident years was
favorable by approximately $53 million, including
approximately $198 million in net adverse development from
asbestos and environmental reserves resulting from the updated
ground up analysis of these exposures in the fourth quarter of
2006; approximately $103 million of adverse development
pertaining to the major hurricanes in 2004 and 2005; and
$181 million of adverse development from the general
reinsurance operations of Transatlantic; and excluding
approximately $300 million from accretion of loss reserve
discount. Excluding the fourth quarter asbestos and
environmental reserve increase, catastrophes and Transatlantic,
as well as accretion of discount, net loss development in 2006
from prior accident years was favorable by approximately
$535 million. The overall favorable development of
$53 million consisted of approximately $2.30 billion
of favorable development from accident years 2003 through 2005,
partially offset by approximately $2.25 billion of adverse
development from accident years 2002 and prior. For 2006, most
classes of AIGs business continued to experience favorable
development for accident years 2003 through 2005. The adverse
development from accident years 2002 and prior reflected
development from excess casualty, workers compensation, excess
workers compensation, and post-1986 environmental liability
classes of business, all within DBG, from asbestos reserves
within DBG and Foreign General, and from Transatlantic.
For 2005, net loss development from prior accident years was
adverse by approximately $4.68 billion, including
approximately $269 million from the general reinsurance
operations of Transatlantic. This $4.68 billion adverse
development in 2005 was comprised of approximately
$8.60 billion for the 2002 and prior accident years,
partially offset by favorable development for accident years
2003 and 2004 for most classes of business, with the notable
exception of D&O. The adverse loss development for 2002 and
prior accident years was attributable to approximately
$4.0 billion of development from the D&O and related
management liability classes of business, excess casualty, and
excess workers compensation, and to approximately
$900 million of adverse development from asbestos and
environmental claims. The remaining portion of the adverse
development from 2002 and
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 39
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
prior accident years included approximately $520 million
related to Transatlantic with the balance spread across many
other classes of business. Most classes of business produced
favorable development for accident years 2003 and 2004, and
adverse development for accident years 2001 and prior.
For 2004, AIGs overall net loss reserve development from
prior accident years was an increase of approximately
$3.19 billion, including approximately $317 million
from the general reinsurance operations of Transatlantic and
excluding approximately $377 million from accretion of loss
reserve discount. This $3.19 billion adverse development in
2004 was comprised of approximately $4.67 billion of
adverse development for the 2002 and prior accident years,
partially offset by approximately $1.48 billion of
favorable development for accident year 2003. The adverse
development for the 2002 and prior accident years was primarily
attributable to excess casualty, D&O and related management
liability classes, and asbestos and environmental reserves, all
within DBG, and also to Transatlantic. Most classes of business
throughout AIG produced favorable development for accident year
2003.
The following is a discussion of the primary reasons for the
development in 2006, 2005 and 2004 for those classes of business
that experienced significant prior accident year developments
during the three-year period. See Asbestos and Environmental
Reserves below for a further discussion of asbestos and
environmental reserves and developments.
Excess Casualty: Excess Casualty reserves experienced
significant adverse loss development in 2004 and 2005, but in
2006 there was only a relatively minor amount of adverse
development. The adverse development for all periods shown
related principally to accident years 2000 and prior, and to a
lesser extent 2001, and resulted from significant loss cost
increases due to both frequency and severity of claims. The
increase in loss costs resulted primarily from medical
inflation, which increased the economic loss component of tort
claims, advances in medical care, which extended the life span
of severely injured claimants, and larger jury verdicts, which
increased the value of severe tort claims. An additional factor
affecting AIGs excess casualty experience in recent years
has been the accelerated exhaustion of underlying primary
policies for homebuilders. This has led to increased
construction defect-related claims activity on AIGs excess
policies. Many excess casualty policies were written on a
multi-year basis in the late 1990s, which limited AIGs
ability to respond to emerging market trends as rapidly as would
otherwise be the case. In subsequent years, AIG responded to
these emerging trends by increasing rates and implementing
numerous policy form and coverage changes. This led to a
significant improvement in experience beginning with accident
year 2001.
In the year-end 2004 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
responded to the adverse development for excess casualty by
increasing the loss development factor assumptions. In the
year-end 2004 reserve study, the development factors applicable
to accident years 1998 and subsequent were increased by
approximately 12 percent. In addition, the expected loss
ratios for accident years 2002 and subsequent were increased to
take into account the higher ultimate loss ratios for accident
years 2001 and prior.
For the year-end 2005 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
responded to the continuing adverse development by further
increasing the loss development factors applicable to accident
years 1999 and subsequent by approximately 5 percent. In
addition, to more accurately estimate losses for construction
defect-related claims, a separate review was performed by AIG
claims staff for accounts with significant exposure to these
claims.
For the year-end 2006 loss reserve review, AIG claims staff
updated the separate review for accounts with significant
exposure to construction defect-related claims in order to
assist the actuaries in determining the proper reserve for this
exposure. AIGs actuaries determined that no significant
changes in the assumptions were required. Prior accident year
loss development in 2006 was adverse by approximately
$100 million, a relatively minor amount for this class of
business. However, AIG continues to experience adverse
development for this class for accident years prior to 2003.
Loss reserves pertaining to the excess casualty class of
business are generally included in the Other liability
occurrence line of business, with a small portion of the excess
casualty reserves included in the Other liability claims made
line of business, as presented in the table on page 37.
D&O and Related Management Liability Classes of
Business: These classes of business experienced significant
adverse development in 2004 and 2005, but experienced slightly
favorable development in 2006. The adverse development in 2004
and 2005 related principally to accident years 2002 and prior.
This adverse development resulted from significant loss cost
escalation due to a variety of factors, including the following:
the increase in frequency and severity of corporate
bankruptcies; the increase in frequency of financial statement
restatements; the sharp rise in market capitalization of
publicly traded companies; and the increase in the number of
initial public offerings, which led to an unprecedented number
of IPO allocation/laddering suits in 2001. In addition,
extensive utilization of multi-year policies during this period
limited AIGs ability to respond to emerging trends as
rapidly as would otherwise be the case. AIG experienced
significant adverse loss development since 2002 as a result of
these issues. AIG responded to this development with rate
increases and policy form and coverage changes to better contain
future loss costs in this class of business.
In the year-end 2004 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
responded to the adverse development for D&O and related
management liability classes by increasing the loss development
factor assumptions. The development factors applicable to
accident years 1997 and subsequent were increased by
approximately 5 percent in the year-end 2004 reserve study.
In addition, the expected loss ratios for accident years 2002
and subsequent were increased to take into account the higher
ultimate loss ratios for accident years 2001 and prior. The loss
ratios for the older accident years increased due to the
combination of higher than expected loss development in the year
and the increase in the loss development factor assumptions.
40 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
For the year-end 2005 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
responded to the continuing adverse development by further
increasing the loss development factor assumptions. The loss
development factors applicable to 1997 and subsequent accident
years were increased by approximately 4 percent. In
addition, AIGs actuaries began to give greater weight to
loss development methods for accident years 2002 and 2003, in
order to more fully respond to the recent loss experience.
AIGs claims staff also conducted a series of
ground-up claim
projections covering all open claims for this business through
accident year 2004. AIGs actuaries benchmarked the loss
reserve indications for all accident years through 2004 to these
claim projections.
For the year-end 2006 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
determined that no significant changes in the assumptions were
required. Prior accident year loss development in 2006 was
favorable by approximately $20 million, an insignificant
amount for these classes. AIGs actuaries continued to
benchmark the loss reserve indications to the ground up claim
projections provided by AIG claims staff for this class of
business. For the year-end 2006 loss reserve review, the ground
up claim projections included all accident years through 2005.
Loss reserves pertaining to D&O and related management
liability classes of business are included in the Other
liability claims made line of business, as presented in the
table on page 37.
Excess Workers Compensation: This class of business
experienced significant adverse development in 2005, and a
relatively minor amount of adverse development in 2006. The
adverse development in 2005 related to 2002 and prior accident
years. This adverse development resulted primarily from
significant loss cost increases, primarily attributable to
rapidly increasing medical inflation and advances in medical
care, which increased the cost of covered medical care and
extended the life span of severely injured workers. The effect
of these factors on excess workers compensation claims
experience is leveraged, as frequency is increased by the rising
number of claims that reach the excess layers.
In response to the significantly adverse loss development in
2005, an additional study was conducted for the
2005 year-end actuarial reserve analysis for DBG pertaining
to the selection of loss development factors for this class of
business. Claims for excess workers compensation exhibit an
exceptionally long-tail of loss development, running for decades
from the date the loss is incurred. Thus, the adequacy of loss
reserves for this class is sensitive to the estimated loss
development factors, as such factors may be applied to many
years of loss experience. In order to better estimate the tail
development for this class, AIG claims staff conducted a
claim-by-claim projection of the expected ultimate paid loss for
each open claim for 1998 and prior accident years as these are
the primary years from which the tail factors are derived. The
objective of the study was to provide a benchmark against which
loss development factors in the tail could be evaluated. The
resulting loss development factors utilized by the actuaries in
the year-end 2005 study reflected an increase of approximately
18 percent from the factors used in the prior year study
without the benefit of the claims benchmark. In addition, the
loss cost trend assumption for excess workers compensation was
increased from approximately 2.5 percent to 6 percent
for the 2005 study.
For the year-end 2006 loss reserve review, AIG claims staff
updated the claim-by-claim projection for each open claim for
accident years 1999 and prior. These updated claims projections
were utilized by the actuaries as a benchmark for loss
development factors in the year-end 2006 study. AIGs
actuaries determined that no significant changes in the
assumptions were required. Prior accident year development in
2006 was adverse by approximately $70 million, a relatively
minor amount for this class.
Overview of Loss Reserving
Process
The General Insurance loss reserves can generally be categorized
into two distinct groups. One group is short-tail classes of
business consisting principally of property, personal lines and
certain casualty classes. The other group is long-tail casualty
classes of business which includes excess and umbrella
liability, D&O, professional liability, medical malpractice,
workers compensation, general liability, products liability, and
related classes.
Short-Tail Reserves
For operations writing short-tail coverages, such as property
coverages, the process of recording quarterly loss reserves is
generally geared toward maintaining an appropriate reserve for
the outstanding exposure, rather than determining an expected
loss ratio for current business. For example, the IBNR reserve
required for a class of property business might be expected to
approximate 20 percent of the latest years earned
premiums, and this level of reserve would generally be
maintained regardless of the loss ratio emerging in the current
quarter. The 20 percent factor would be adjusted to reflect
changes in rate levels, loss reporting patterns, known exposure
to unreported losses, or other factors affecting the particular
class of business.
Long-Tail Reserves
Estimation of ultimate net losses and loss expenses (net losses)
for long-tail casualty classes of business is a complex process
and depends on a number of factors, including the class and
volume of business involved. Experience in the more recent
accident years of long-tail casualty classes of business shows
limited statistical credibility in reported net losses because a
relatively low proportion of net losses would be reported claims
and expenses and an even smaller percentage would be net losses
paid. Therefore, IBNR would constitute a relatively high
proportion of net losses.
AIGs carried net long-tail loss reserves are tested using
loss trend factors that AIG considers appropriate for each class
of business. A variety of actuarial methods and assumptions is
normally employed to estimate net losses for long-tail casualty
classes of businesses. These methods ordinarily involve the use
of loss trend factors intended to reflect the annual growth in
loss costs from one accident year to the next. For the majority
of long-tail casualty classes of business, net loss trend
factors approximated five percent. Loss trend factors reflect
many items
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 41
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
including changes in claims handling, exposure and policy forms,
current and future estimates of monetary inflation and social
inflation and increases in litigation and awards. These factors
are periodically reviewed and adjusted, as appropriate, to
reflect emerging trends which are based upon past loss
experience. Thus, many factors are implicitly considered in
estimating the year to year growth in loss costs.
A number of actuarial assumptions are generally made in the
review of reserves for each class of business. For longer tail
classes of business, actuarial assumptions generally are made
with respect to the following:
|
|
|
Loss trend factors which are used to establish expected loss
ratios for subsequent accident years based on the projected loss
ratio for prior accident years. |
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Expected loss ratios for the latest accident year (i.e.,
accident year 2006 for the year-end 2006 loss reserve analysis)
and, in some cases for accident years prior to the latest
accident year. The expected loss ratio generally reflects the
projected loss ratio from prior accident years, adjusted for the
loss trend (see above) and the effect of rate changes and other
quantifiable factors on the loss ratio. For low-frequency,
high-severity classes such as excess casualty, expected loss
ratios generally are used for at least the three most recent
accident years. |
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Loss development factors which are used to project the reported
losses for each accident year to an ultimate basis. Generally,
the actual loss development factors observed from prior accident
years would be used as a basis to determine the loss development
factors for the subsequent accident years. |
AIG records quarterly changes in loss reserves for each of its
many General Insurance classes of business. The overall change
in AIGs loss reserves is based on the sum of these classes
of business changes. For most long-tail classes of business, the
process of recording quarterly loss reserve changes involves
determining the estimated current loss ratio for each class of
coverage. This loss ratio is multiplied by the current
quarters net earned premium for that class of coverage to
determine the current accident quarters total estimated
net incurred loss and loss expense. The change in loss reserves
for the quarter for each class is thus the difference between
the net incurred loss and loss expense, estimated as described
above, and the net paid losses and loss expenses in the quarter.
Also any change in estimated ultimate losses from prior accident
years, either positive or negative, is reflected in the loss
reserve for the current quarter.
Details of the Loss Reserving
Process
The process of determining the current loss ratio for each class
of business is based on a variety of factors. These include, but
are not limited to, the following considerations: prior accident
year and policy year loss ratios; rate changes; changes in
coverage, reinsurance, or mix of business; and actual and
anticipated changes in external factors affecting results, such
as trends in loss costs or in the legal and claims environment.
The current loss ratio for each class of business reflects input
from actuarial, underwriting and claims staff and is intended to
represent managements best estimate of the current loss
ratio after reflecting all of the factors described above. At
the close of each quarter, the assumptions underlying the loss
ratios are reviewed to determine if the loss ratios based
thereon remain appropriate. This process includes a review of
the actual claims experience in the quarter, actual rate changes
achieved, actual changes in coverage, reinsurance or mix of
business, and changes in certain other factors that may affect
the loss ratio. When this review suggests that the initially
determined loss ratio is no longer appropriate, the loss ratio
for current business is changed to reflect the revised
assumptions.
A comprehensive annual loss reserve review is completed in the
fourth quarter of each year for each AIG general insurance
subsidiary. These reviews are conducted in full detail for each
class of business for each subsidiary, and thus consist of
hundreds of individual analyses. The purpose of these reviews is
to confirm the appropriateness of the reserves carried by each
of the individual subsidiaries, and therefore of AIGs
overall carried reserves. The reserve analysis for each class of
business is performed by the actuarial personnel who are most
familiar with that class of business. In completing these
detailed actuarial reserve analyses, the actuaries are required
to make numerous assumptions, including the selection of loss
development factors and loss cost trend factors. They are also
required to determine and select the most appropriate actuarial
methods to employ for each business class. Additionally, they
must determine the appropriate segmentation of data from which
the adequacy of the reserves can be most accurately tested. In
the course of these detailed reserve reviews a point estimate of
the loss reserve is determined. The sum of these point estimates
for each class of business for each subsidiary provides an
overall actuarial point estimate of the loss reserve for that
subsidiary. The ultimate process by which the actual carried
reserves are determined considers both the actuarial point
estimate and numerous other internal and external factors
including a qualitative assessment of inflation and other
economic conditions in the United States and abroad, changes in
the legal, regulatory, judicial and social environment,
underlying policy pricing, terms and conditions, and claims
handling. Loss reserve development can also be affected by
commutations of assumed and ceded reinsurance agreements.
Actuarial Methods for Major Classes of Business
In testing the reserves for each class of business, a
determination is made by AIGs actuaries as to the most
appropriate actuarial methods. This determination is based on a
variety of factors including the nature of the claims associated
with the class of business, such as frequency or severity. Other
factors considered include the loss development characteristics
associated with the claims, the volume of claim data available
for the applicable class, and the applicability of various
actuarial methods to the class. In addition to determining the
actuarial methods, the actuaries determine the appropriate loss
reserve groupings of data. For example, AIG writes a great
number of unique subclasses of professional liability. For
pricing or other purposes, it is appropriate to evaluate the
profitability of each subclass individually. However, for
purposes of estimating the loss reserves for professional
liability, it is appropriate to combine the subclasses
42 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
into larger groups. The greater degree of credibility in the
claims experience of the larger groups may outweigh the greater
degree of homogeneity of the individual subclasses. This
determination of data segmentation and actuarial methods is
carefully considered for each class of business. The
segmentation and actuarial methods chosen are those which
together are expected to produce the most accurate estimate of
the loss reserves.
Actuarial methods used by AIG for most long-tail casualty
classes of business include loss development methods and
expected loss ratio methods, including Bornhuetter
Ferguson methods described below. Other methods considered
include frequency/severity methods, although these are generally
used by AIG more for pricing analysis than for loss reserve
analysis. Loss development methods utilize the actual loss
development patterns from prior accident years to project the
reported losses to an ultimate basis for subsequent accident
years. Loss development methods generally are most appropriate
for classes of business which exhibit a stable pattern of loss
development from one accident year to the next, and for which
the components of the classes have similar development
characteristics. For example, property exposures would generally
not be combined into the same class as casualty exposures, and
primary casualty exposures would generally not be combined into
the same class as excess casualty exposures. Expected loss ratio
methods are generally utilized by AIG where the reported loss
data lacks sufficient credibility to utilize loss development
methods, such as for new classes of business or for long-tail
classes at early stages of loss development.
Expected loss ratio methods rely on the application of an
expected loss ratio to the earned premium for the class of
business to determine the loss reserves. For example, an
expected loss ratio of 70 percent applied to an earned
premium base of $10 million for a class of business would
generate an ultimate loss estimate of $7 million.
Subtracting any reported paid losses and loss expense would
result in the indicated loss reserve for this class.
Bornhuetter Ferguson methods are expected loss ratio
methods for which the expected loss ratio is applied only to the
expected unreported portion of the losses. For example, for a
long-tail class of business for which only 10 percent of
the losses are expected to be reported at the end of the
accident year, the expected loss ratio would be applied to the
90 percent of the losses still unreported. The actual
reported losses at the end of the accident year would be added
to determine the total ultimate loss estimate for the accident
year. Subtracting the reported paid losses and loss expenses
would result in the indicated loss reserve. In the example
above, the expected loss ratio of 70 percent would be
multiplied by 90 percent. The result of 63 percent
would be applied to the earned premium of $10 million
resulting in an estimated unreported loss of $6.3 million.
Actual reported losses would be added to arrive at the total
ultimate losses. If the reported losses were $1 million,
the ultimate loss estimate under the Bornhuetter
Ferguson method would be $7.3 million versus the
$7 million amount under the expected loss ratio method
described above. Thus, the Bornhuetter Ferguson
method gives partial credibility to the actual loss experience
to date for the class of business. Loss development methods
generally give full credibility to the reported loss experience
to date. In the example above, loss development methods would
typically indicate an ultimate loss estimate of
$10 million, as the reported losses of $1 million
would be estimated to reflect only 10 percent of the
ultimate losses.
A key advantage of loss development methods is that they respond
quickly to any actual changes in loss costs for the class of
business. Therefore, if loss experience is unexpectedly
deteriorating or improving, the loss development method gives
full credibility to the changing experience. Expected loss ratio
methods would be slower to respond to the change, as they would
continue to give more weight to the expected loss ratio, until
enough evidence emerged for the expected loss ratio to be
modified to reflect the changing loss experience. On the other
hand, loss development methods have the disadvantage of
overreacting to changes in reported losses if in fact the loss
experience is not credible. For example, the presence or absence
of large losses at the early stages of loss development could
cause the loss development method to overreact to the favorable
or unfavorable experience by assuming it will continue at later
stages of development. In these instances, expected loss ratio
methods such as Bornhuetter Ferguson have the
advantage of properly recognizing large losses without
extrapolating unusual large loss activity onto the unreported
portion of the losses for the accident year. AIGs loss
reserve reviews for long-tail classes typically utilize a
combination of both loss development and expected loss ratio
methods. Loss development methods are generally given more
weight for accident years and classes of business where the loss
experience is highly credible. Expected loss ratio methods are
given more weight where the reported loss experience is less
credible, or is driven more by large losses. Expected loss ratio
methods require sufficient information to determine the
appropriate expected loss ratio. This information generally
includes the actual loss ratios for prior accident years, and
rate changes as well as underwriting or other changes which
would affect the loss ratio. Further, an estimate of the loss
cost trend or loss ratio trend is required in order to allow for
the effect of inflation and other factors which may increase or
otherwise change the loss costs from one accident year to the
next.
Frequency/severity methods generally rely on the determination
of an ultimate number of claims and an average severity for each
claim for each accident year. Multiplying the estimated ultimate
number of claims for each accident year by the expected average
severity of each claim produces the estimated ultimate loss for
the accident year. Frequency/severity methods generally require
a sufficient volume of claims in order for the average severity
to be predictable. Average severity for subsequent accident
years is generally determined by applying an estimated annual
loss cost trend to the estimated average claim severity from
prior accident years. Frequency/severity methods have the
advantage that ultimate claim counts can generally be estimated
more quickly and accurately than can ultimate losses. Thus, if
the average claim severity can be accurately estimated, these
methods can more quickly respond to changes in loss experience
than other methods. However, for average severity to be
predictable, the
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 43
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
class of business must consist of homogeneous types of claims
for which loss severity trends from one year to the next are
reasonably consistent. Generally these methods work best for
high frequency, low severity classes of business such as
personal auto. AIG utilizes these methods in pricing subclasses
of professional liability. However, AIG does not generally
utilize frequency/severity methods to test loss reserves, due to
the general nature of AIGs reserves being applicable to
lower frequency, higher severity commercial classes of business
where average claim severity is volatile.
Excess Casualty: AIG generally uses a combination of loss
development methods and expected loss ratio methods for excess
casualty classes. Expected loss ratio methods are generally
utilized for at least the three latest accident years, due to
the relatively low credibility of the reported losses. The loss
experience is generally reviewed separately for lead umbrella
classes and for other excess classes, due to the relatively
shorter tail for lead umbrella business. Automobile-related
claims are generally reviewed separately from non-auto claims,
due to the shorter tail nature of the automobile related claims.
The expected loss ratios utilized for recent accident years are
based on the projected ultimate loss ratios of prior years,
adjusted for rate changes, estimated loss cost trends and all
other changes that can be quantified. The estimated loss cost
trend utilized in the year-end 2006 reviews averaged
approximately 6 percent for excess casualty classes.
Frequency/severity methods are generally not utilized as the
vast majority of reported claims do not result in a claim
payment. In addition, the average severity varies significantly
from accident year to accident year due to large losses which
characterize this class of business, as well as changing
proportions of claims which do not result in a claim payment.
D&O: AIG generally utilizes a combination of loss
development methods and expected loss ratio methods for D&O
and related management liability classes of business. Expected
loss ratio methods are given more weight in the two most recent
accident years, whereas loss development methods are given more
weight in more mature accident years. Beginning with the
year-end 2005 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries began to
utilize claim projections provided by AIG claims staff as a
benchmark for determining the indicated ultimate losses for
accident years 2004 and prior. For the year end 2006 loss
reserve review, claims projections for accident years 2005 and
prior were utilized. In prior years, AIGs actuaries had
utilized these claims projections as a benchmark for
profitability studies for major classes of D&O and related
management liability business. The track record of these claims
projections has indicated a very low margin of error, thus
providing support for their usage as a benchmark in determining
the estimated loss reserve. These classes of business reflect
claims made coverage, and losses are characterized by low
frequency and high severity. Thus, the claim projections can
produce an accurate overall indicator of the ultimate loss
exposure for these classes by identifying and estimating all
large losses. Frequency/severity methods are generally not
utilized for these classes as the overall losses are driven by
large losses more than by claim frequency. Severity trends have
varied significantly from accident year to accident year.
Workers Compensation: AIG generally utilizes loss
development methods for all but the most recent accident year.
Expected loss ratio methods generally are given significant
weight only in the most recent accident year. Workers
compensation claims are generally characterized by high
frequency, low severity, and relatively consistent loss
development from one accident year to the next. AIG is a leading
writer of workers compensation, and thus has sufficient volume
of claims experience to utilize development methods. AIG does
not believe frequency/severity methods are as appropriate, due
to significant growth and changes in AIGs workers
compensation business over the years. AIG generally segregates
California business from other business in evaluating workers
compensation reserves. Certain classes of workers compensation,
such as construction, are also evaluated separately.
Additionally, AIG writes a number of very large accounts which
include workers compensation coverage. These accounts are
generally priced by AIG actuaries, and to the extent
appropriate, the indicated losses based on the pricing analysis
may be utilized to record the initial estimated loss reserves
for these accounts.
Excess Workers Compensation: AIG generally utilizes a
combination of loss development methods and expected loss ratio
methods. Loss development methods are given the greater weight
for mature accident years such as 2000 and prior. Expected loss
ratio methods are given the greater weight for the more recent
accident years. Excess workers compensation is an extremely
long-tail class of business, with loss emergence extending for
decades. Therefore there is limited credibility in the reported
losses for many of the more recent accident years. Beginning
with the year-end 2005 loss reserve review, AIGs actuaries
began to utilize claims projections provided by AIG claims staff
to help determine the loss development factors for this class of
business.
General Liability: AIG generally uses a combination of
loss development methods and expected loss ratio methods for
primary general liability or products liability classes. For
certain classes of business with sufficient loss volume, loss
development methods may be given significant weight for all but
the most recent one or two accident years, whereas for smaller
or more volatile classes of business, loss development methods
may be given limited weight for the five or more most recent
accident years. Expected loss ratio methods would be utilized
for the more recent accident years for these classes. The loss
experience for primary general liability business is generally
reviewed at a level that is believed to provide the most
appropriate data for reserve analysis. For example, primary
claims made business is generally segregated from business
written on an occurrence policy form. Additionally, certain
subclasses, such as construction, are generally reviewed
separately from business in other subclasses. Due to the fairly
long-tail nature of general liability business, and the many
subclasses that are reviewed individually, there is less
credibility in the reported losses and increased reliance on
expected loss ratio methods. AIGs actuaries generally do
not
44 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
utilize frequency/severity methods to test reserves for this
business, due to significant changes and growth in AIGs
general liability and products liability business over the years.
Commercial Automobile Liability: AIG generally utilizes
loss development methods for all but the most recent accident
year for commercial automobile classes of business. Expected
loss ratio methods are generally given significant weight only
in the most recent accident year. Frequency/severity methods are
generally not utilized due to significant changes and growth in
this business over the years.
Healthcare: AIG generally uses a combination of loss
development methods and expected loss ratio methods for
healthcare classes of business. The largest component of the
healthcare business consists of coverage written for hospitals
and other healthcare facilities. Reserves for excess coverage
are tested separately from those for primary coverage. For
primary coverages, loss development methods are generally given
the majority of the weight for all but the latest three accident
years, and are given some weight for all years other than the
latest accident year. For excess coverages, expected loss
methods are generally given all the weight for the latest three
accident years, and are also given considerable weight for
accident years prior to the latest three years. For other
classes of healthcare coverage, an analogous weighting between
loss development and expected loss ratio methods is utilized.
The weights assigned to each method are those which are believed
to result in the best combination of responsiveness and
stability. Frequency/severity methods are sometimes utilized for
pricing certain healthcare accounts or business. However, in
testing loss reserves the business is generally combined into
larger groupings to enhance the credibility of the loss
experience. The frequency/severity methods that are applicable
in pricing may not be appropriate for reserve testing and thus
frequency/severity methods are not generally employed in
AIGs healthcare reserve analyses.
Professional Liability: AIG generally uses a combination
of loss development methods and expected loss ratio methods for
professional liability classes of business. Loss development
methods are used for the more mature accident years. Greater
weight is given to expected loss ratio methods in the more
recent accident years. Reserves are tested separately for claims
made classes and classes written on occurrence policy forms.
Further segmentations are made in a manner believed to provide
the most appropriate balance between credibility and homogeneity
of the data. Frequency/severity methods are used in pricing and
profitability analyses for some classes of professional
liability; however, for loss reserve testing, the need to
enhance credibility generally results in classes that are not
sufficiently homogenous to utilize frequency/severity methods.
Aviation: AIG generally uses a combination of loss
development methods and expected loss ratio methods for aviation
exposures. Aviation claims are not very long-tail in nature;
however, they are driven by claim severity. Thus a combination
of both development and expected loss ratio methods are used for
all but the latest accident year to determine the loss reserves.
Expected loss ratio methods are used to determine the loss
reserves for the latest accident year. Frequency/severity
methods are not employed due to the high severity nature of the
claims and different mix of claims from year to year.
Personal Auto (Domestic): AIG generally utilizes
frequency/severity methods and loss development methods for
domestic personal auto classes. For many classes of business,
greater reliance is placed on frequency/severity methods as
claim counts emerge quickly for personal auto and allow for more
immediate analysis of resulting loss trends and comparisons to
industry and other diagnostic metrics.
Fidelity/Surety: AIG generally uses loss development
methods for fidelity exposures for all but the latest accident
year. Expected loss ratio methods are also given weight for the
more recent accident years, and for the latest accident year
they may be given 100 percent weight. For surety exposures,
AIG generally uses the same method as for short-tail classes.
Mortgage Guaranty: AIG tests mortgage guaranty reserves
using loss development methods, supplemented by an internal
claim analysis by actuaries and staff who specialize in the
mortgage guaranty business. The claim analysis projects ultimate
losses for claims within each of several categories of default
based on actual historical experience and is essentially a
frequency/severity analysis for each category of default.
Short-Tail Classes: AIG generally uses either loss
development methods or IBNR factor methods to set reserves for
short-tail classes such as property coverages. Where a factor is
used, it generally represents a percent of earned premium or
other exposure measure. The factor is determined based on prior
accident year experience. For example, the IBNR for a class of
property coverage might be expected to approximate
20 percent of the latest years earned premium. The
factor is continually reevaluated in light of emerging claim
experience as well as rate changes or other factors that could
affect the adequacy of the IBNR factor being employed.
International: Business written by AIGs Foreign
General Insurance sub-segment includes both long-tail and
short-tail classes of business. For long-tail classes of
business, the actuarial methods utilized would be analogous to
those described above. However, the majority of business written
by Foreign General Insurance is short-tail, high frequency and
low severity in nature. For this business, loss development
methods are generally employed to test the loss reserves. AIG
maintains a data base of detailed historical premium and loss
transactions in original currency for business written by
Foreign General Insurance, thereby allowing AIG actuaries to
determine the current reserves without any distortion from
changes in exchange rates over time. In testing the Foreign
General Insurance reserves, AIGs actuaries segment the
data by region, country or class of business as appropriate to
determine the optimal balance between homogeneity and
credibility.
Loss Adjustment Expenses: AIG determines reserves for
legal defense and cost containment loss adjustment expenses for
each
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 45
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
class of business by one or more actuarial methods. The methods
generally include development methods analogous to those
described for loss development methods. The developments could
be based on either the paid loss adjustment expenses or the
ratio of paid loss adjustment expenses to paid losses, or both.
Other methods include the utilization of expected ultimate
ratios of paid loss expense to paid losses, based on actual
experience from prior accident years or from similar classes of
business. AIG generally determines reserves for adjuster loss
adjustment expenses based on calendar year ratios of adjuster
expenses paid to losses paid for the particular class of
business. AIG generally determines reserves for other
unallocated loss adjustment expenses based on the ratio of the
calendar year expenses paid to overall losses paid. This
determination is generally done for all classes of business
combined, and reflects costs of home office claim overhead as a
percent of losses paid.
Catastrophes: Special analyses are conducted by AIG in
response to major catastrophes in order to estimate AIGs
gross and net loss and loss expense liability from the event.
These analyses may include a combination of approaches,
including modeling estimates, ground up claim analysis, loss
evaluation reports from
on-site field
adjusters, and market share estimates.
AIGs loss reserve analyses do not calculate a range of
loss reserve estimates. Because a large portion of the loss
reserves from AIGs General Insurance business relates to
longer-tail casualty classes of business driven by severity
rather than frequency of claims, such as excess casualty and
D&O, developing a range around loss reserve estimates would
not be meaningful. Using the reserving methodologies described
above, AIGs actuaries determine their best estimate of the
required reserve and advise Management of that amount. AIG then
adjusts its aggregate carried reserves as necessary so that the
actual carried reserves as of December 31 reflect this best
estimate.
Volatility of Reserve Estimates and Sensitivity Analyses
As described above, AIG uses numerous assumptions in determining
its best estimate of reserves for each class of business. The
importance of any specific assumption can vary by both class of
business and accident year. If actual experience differs from
key assumptions used in establishing reserves, there is
potential for significant variation in the development of loss
reserves, particularly for long-tail casualty classes of
business such as excess casualty, D&O or workers
compensation. Set forth below is a sensitivity analysis that
estimates the effect on the loss reserve position of using
alternative loss trend or loss development factor assumptions
rather than those actually used in determining AIGs best
estimates in the year-end loss reserve analyses for 2006. The
analysis addresses each major class of business for which a
material deviation to AIGs overall reserve position is
believed reasonably possible, and uses what AIG believes is a
reasonably likely range of potential deviation for each class.
There can be no assurance, however, that actual reserve
development will be consistent with either the original or the
adjusted loss trend or loss development factor assumptions, or
that other assumptions made in the reserving process will not
materially affect reserve development for a particular class of
business.
Excess Casualty: For the excess casualty class of
business, the assumed loss cost trend was approximately
six percent. After evaluating the historical loss cost
trends from prior accident years since the early 1990s, in
AIGs judgment, it is reasonably likely that actual loss
cost trends applicable to the year-end 2006 loss reserve review
for excess casualty will range from negative four percent to
positive 16 percent, or approximately ten percent lower or
higher than the assumption actually utilized in the year-end
2006 reserve review. A ten percent change in the assumed loss
cost trend for excess casualty would cause approximately a
$1.7 billion increase or a $1.2 billion decrease in
the net loss and loss expense reserve for this class of
business. It should be emphasized that the ten percent
deviations are not considered the highest possible deviations
that might be expected, but rather what is considered by AIG to
reflect a reasonably likely range of potential deviation. Actual
loss cost trends in the early 1990s were negative for several
years, including amounts below the negative four percent cited
above, whereas actual loss cost trends in the late 1990s ran
well into the double digits for several years, including amounts
greater than the 16 percent cited above. Thus, there can be
no assurance that loss trends will not deviate by more than ten
percent. The loss cost trend assumption is critical for the
excess casualty class of business due the long-tail nature of
the claims and therefore is applied across many accident years.
For the excess casualty class of business, the assumed loss
development factors are also a key assumption. After evaluating
the historical loss development factors from prior accident
years since the early 1990s, in AIGs judgment, it is
reasonably likely that actual loss development factors will
range from approximately 3.25 percent below those actually
utilized in the year-end 2006 reserve review to approximately
ten percent above those factors actually utilized. If the
loss development factor assumptions were changed by
3.25 percent and ten percent, respectively, the net
loss reserves for the excess casualty class would decrease by
approximately $450 million under the lower assumptions or
increase by approximately $1.25 billion under the higher
assumptions. Generally, actual historical loss development
factors are used to project future loss development. However
there can be no assurance that future loss development patterns
will be the same as in the past, or that they will not deviate
by more than the amounts illustrated above. Moreover, as excess
casualty is a long-tail class of business, any deviation in loss
cost trends or in loss development factors might not be
discernible for an extended period of time subsequent to the
recording of the initial loss reserve estimates for any accident
year. Thus, there is the potential for the reserves with respect
to a number of accident years to be significantly affected by
changes in the loss cost trends or loss development factors that
were initially relied upon in setting the reserves. These
changes in loss trends or loss development factors could be
attributable to changes in inflation or in the judicial
environment, or in other social or economic conditions affecting
claims. Thus, there is the potential for
46 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
variations greater than the amounts cited above, either
positively or negatively.
D&O and Related Management Liability Classes of
Business: For D&O and related management liability
classes of business, the assumed loss cost trend was
approximately four percent. After evaluating the historical
loss cost trends from prior accident years since the early
1990s, in AIGs judgment, it is reasonably likely that
actual loss cost trends applicable to the year-end 2006 loss
reserve review for these classes will range from negative
11 percent to positive 19 percent, or approximately 15
percent lower or higher than the assumption actually utilized in
the year-end 2006 reserve review. A 15 percent change in the
assumed loss cost trend for these classes would cause
approximately a $625 million increase or a
$550 million decrease in the net loss and loss expense
reserves for these classes of business. It should be emphasized
that the 15 percent deviations are not considered the highest
possible deviations that might be expected, but rather what is
considered by AIG to reflect a reasonably likely range of
potential deviation. Actual loss cost trends for these classes
in the early 1990s were negative for several years, including
amounts below the negative 11 percent cited above, whereas
actual loss cost trends in the late 1990s ran at nearly
50 percent per year for several years, vastly exceeding the
19 percent figure cited above. Because the D&O class of
business has exhibited highly volatile loss trends from one
accident year to the next, there is the possibility of an
exceptionally high deviation.
For D&O and related management liability classes of
business, the assumed loss development factors are also an
important assumption but less critical than for excess casualty.
Because these classes are written on a claims made basis, the
loss reporting and development tail is much shorter than for
excess casualty. However, the high severity nature of the claims
does create the potential for significant deviations in loss
development patterns from one year to the next. After evaluating
the historical loss development factors for these classes of
business for accident years since the early 1990s, in AIGs
judgment, it is reasonably likely that actual loss development
factors will range approximately five percent lower or
higher than those factors actually utilized in the year-end 2006
loss reserve review for these classes. If the loss development
factor assumptions were changed by five percent, the net
loss reserves for these classes would be estimated to increase
or decrease by approximately $200 million. As noted above
for excess casualty, actual historical loss development factors
are generally used to project future loss development. However,
there can be no assurance that future loss development patterns
will be the same as in the past, or that they will not deviate
by more than the five percent.
Excess Workers Compensation: For excess workers
compensation business, loss costs were trended at
six percent per annum. After reviewing actual industry loss
trends for the past ten years, in AIGs judgment, it is
reasonably likely that actual loss cost trends applicable to the
year-end 2006 loss reserve review for excess workers
compensation will range five percent lower or higher than
this estimated loss trend. A five percent change in the
assumed loss cost trend would cause approximately a $350 million
increase or a $225 million decrease in the net loss
reserves for this business. It should be emphasized that the
actual loss cost trend could vary significantly from this
assumption, and there can be no assurance that actual loss costs
will not deviate, perhaps materially, by greater than
five percent.
For excess workers compensation business, the assumed loss
development factors are a critical assumption. Excess workers
compensation is an extremely long-tail class of business, with a
much greater than normal uncertainty as to the appropriate loss
development factors for the tail of the loss development. After
evaluating the historical loss development factors for prior
accident years since the 1980s, in AIGs judgment, it is
reasonably likely that actual loss development factors will
range approximately 15 percent lower or higher than those
factors actually utilized in the year-end 2006 loss reserve
review for excess workers compensation. If the loss development
factor assumptions were changed by 15 percent, the net loss
reserves for excess workers compensation would increase or
decrease by approximately $600 million. Given the exceptionally
long-tail for this class of business, there is the potential for
actual deviations in the loss development tail to exceed the
deviations assumed, perhaps materially.
Primary Workers Compensation: For primary workers
compensation, the loss cost trend assumption is not believed to
be material with respect to AIGs loss reserves. This is
primarily because AIGs actuaries are generally able to use
loss development projections for all but the most recent
accident years reserves, so there is limited need to rely
on loss cost trend assumptions for primary workers compensation
business.
However, for primary workers compensation business the loss
development factor assumptions are important. Generally,
AIGs actual historical workers compensation loss
development factors would be expected to provide a reasonably
accurate predictor of future loss development. However, workers
compensation is a long-tail class of business, and AIGs
business reflects a very significant volume of losses
particularly in recent accident years due to growth of the
business. After evaluating the actual historical loss
developments since the 1980s for this business, in AIGs
judgment, it is reasonably likely that actual loss development
factors will fall within the range of approximately
2.75 percent below to 7.5 percent above those actually
utilized in the year-end 2006 loss reserve review. If the loss
development factor assumptions were changed by 2.75 percent
and 7.5 percent, respectively, the net loss reserves for
workers compensation would decrease or increase by approximately
$525 million and $1.5 billion, respectively. It should be noted
that loss emergence in 2006 for this class was higher than
historical averages, resulting in an increase in loss reserves
for prior accident years. However, it is too soon to ascertain
if this increased emergence represents a new trend in the
pattern of loss development. For this class of business, there
can be no assurance that actual deviations from the expected
loss development factors will not exceed the deviations assumed,
perhaps materially.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 47
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
Other Casualty Classes of Business: For casualty business
other than the classes discussed above, there is generally some
potential for deviation in both the loss cost trend and loss
development factor assumptions. However, the effect of such
deviations is expected to be less material when compared to the
effect on the classes cited above.
Asbestos and Environmental
Reserves
The estimation of loss reserves relating to asbestos and
environmental claims on insurance policies written many years
ago is subject to greater uncertainty than other types of claims
due to inconsistent court decisions as well as judicial
interpretations and legislative actions that in some cases have
tended to broaden coverage beyond the original intent of such
policies and in others have expanded theories of liability. The
insurance industry as a whole is engaged in extensive litigation
over these coverage and liability issues and is thus confronted
with a continuing uncertainty in its efforts to quantify these
exposures.
AIG continues to receive claims asserting injuries and damages
from toxic waste, hazardous substances, and other environmental
pollutants and alleged claims to cover the cleanup costs of
hazardous waste dump sites, referred to collectively as
environmental claims, and indemnity claims asserting injuries
from asbestos.
The vast majority of these asbestos and environmental claims
emanate from policies written in 1984 and prior years.
Commencing in 1985, standard policies contained an absolute
exclusion for pollution-related damage and an absolute asbestos
exclusion was also implemented. The current environmental
policies that AIG underwrites on a claims-made basis have been
excluded from the analysis herein.
The majority of AIGs exposures for asbestos and
environmental claims are excess casualty coverages, not primary
coverages. Thus, the litigation costs are treated in the same
manner as indemnity amounts. That is, litigation expenses are
included within the limits of the liability AIG incurs.
Individual significant claim liabilities, where future
litigation costs are reasonably determinable, are established on
a case-by-case basis.
Estimation of asbestos and environmental claims loss reserves is
a subjective process and reserves for asbestos and environmental
claims cannot be estimated using conventional reserving
techniques such as those that rely on historical accident year
loss development factors. The methods used to determine asbestos
and environmental loss estimates and to establish the resulting
reserves are continually reviewed and updated by management.
Significant factors which affect the trends that influence the
asbestos and environmental claims estimation process are the
inconsistent court resolutions and judicial interpretations
which broaden the intent of the policies and scope of coverage.
The current case law can be characterized as still evolving, and
there is little likelihood that any firm direction will develop
in the near future. Additionally, the exposures for cleanup
costs of hazardous waste dump sites involve issues such as
allocation of responsibility among potentially responsible
parties and the governments refusal to release parties.
Due to this uncertainty, it is not possible to determine the
future development of asbestos and environmental claims with the
same degree of reliability as with other types of claims. Such
future development will be affected by the extent to which
courts continue to expand the intent of the policies and the
scope of the coverage, as they have in the past, as well as by
the changes in Superfund and waste dump site coverage and
liability issues. If the asbestos and environmental reserves
develop deficiently, such deficiency would have an adverse
effect on AIGs future results of operations.
With respect to known asbestos and environmental claims, AIG
established over a decade ago specialized toxic tort and
environmental claims units, which investigate and adjust all
such asbestos and environmental claims. These units evaluate
these asbestos and environmental claims utilizing a
claim-by-claim approach that involves a detailed review of
individual policy terms and exposures. Because each policyholder
presents different liability and coverage issues, AIG generally
evaluates exposure on a policy-by-policy basis, considering a
variety of factors such as known facts, current law,
jurisdiction, policy language and other factors that are unique
to each policy. Quantitative techniques have to be supplemented
by subjective considerations, including management judgment.
Each claim is reviewed at least semi-annually utilizing the
aforementioned approach and adjusted as necessary to reflect the
current information.
In both the specialized and dedicated asbestos and environmental
claims units, AIG actively manages and pursues early resolution
with respect to these claims in an attempt to mitigate its
exposure to the unpredictable development of these claims. AIG
attempts to mitigate its known long-tail environmental exposures
by utilizing a combination of proactive claim-resolution
techniques, including policy buybacks, complete environmental
releases, compromise settlements, and, where indicated,
litigation.
With respect to asbestos claims handling, AIGs specialized
claims staff operates to mitigate losses through proactive
handling, supervision and resolution of asbestos cases. Thus,
while AIG has resolved all claims with respect to miners and
major manufacturers (Tier One), its claims staff continues
to operate under the same proactive philosophy to resolve claims
involving accounts with products containing asbestos
(Tier Two), products containing small amounts of asbestos,
companies in the distribution process, and parties with remote,
ill-defined involvement in asbestos (Tiers Three and Four).
Through its commitment to appropriate staffing, training, and
management oversight of asbestos cases, AIG mitigates to the
extent possible its exposure to these claims.
To determine the appropriate loss reserve as of
December 31, 2006 for its asbestos and environmental
exposures, AIG performed a series of top-down and
ground-up reserve
analyses. In order to ensure it had the most comprehensive
analysis possible, AIG engaged a third-party actuary to assist
in a review of these exposures, including
ground-up estimates for
both asbestos reserves and environmental reserves consistent
with the 2005 review. Prior to 2005, AIGs reserve analyses
for asbestos and environmental exposures was focused around a
report year projection of aggregate losses for both asbestos and
environmental reserves. Additional tests such as market share
analyses were also performed.
Ground-up analyses take
into account policy-
48 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
holder-specific and claim-specific information that has been
gathered over many years from a variety of sources.
Ground-up studies can
thus more accurately assess the exposure to AIGs layers of
coverage for each policyholder, and hence for all policyholders
in the aggregate, provided a sufficient sample of the
policyholders can be modeled in this manner.
In order to ensure its
ground-up analyses were
comprehensive, AIG staff produced in the 2006 analyses the
information required at policy and claim level detail for over
1,000 asbestos defendants and nearly 1,000 environmental
defendants. This represented over 95 percent of all
accounts for which AIG had received any claim notice of any
amount pertaining to asbestos or environmental exposure. AIG did
not set any minimum thresholds, such as amount of case reserve
outstanding, or paid losses to date, that would have served to
reduce the sample size and hence the comprehensiveness of the
ground-up analysis. The
results of the
ground-up analysis for
each significant account were examined by AIGs claims
staff for reasonableness, for consistency with policy coverage
terms, and any claim settlement terms applicable. Adjustments
were incorporated accordingly. The results from the universe of
modeled accounts, which as noted above reflects the vast
majority of AIGs known exposures, were then utilized to
estimate the ultimate losses from accounts or exposures that
could not be modeled and to determine the appropriate provision
for all unreported claims.
AIG conducted a comprehensive analysis of reinsurance
recoverability to establish the appropriate asbestos and
environmental reserve net of reinsurance. AIG determined the
amount of reinsurance that would be ceded to insolvent
reinsurers or to commuted reinsurance contracts for both
reported claims and for IBNR. These amounts were then deducted
from the indicated amount of reinsurance recoverable. The
year-end 2006 analysis reflected an update to the comprehensive
analysis of reinsurance recoverability that was first completed
in 2005. All asbestos accounts for which there was a significant
change in estimated losses in the 2006 review were analyzed to
determine the appropriate reserve net of reinsurance.
AIG also completed a top-down report year projection of its
indicated asbestos and environmental loss reserves. These
projections consist of a series of tests performed separately
for asbestos and for environmental exposures.
For asbestos, these tests project the expected losses to be
reported over the next twenty years, i.e., from 2007 through
2026, based on the actual losses reported through 2006 and the
expected future loss emergence for these claims. Three scenarios
were tested, with a series of assumptions ranging from more
optimistic to more conservative. In the first scenario, all
carried asbestos case reserves are assumed to be within ten
percent of their ultimate settlement value. The second scenario
relies on an actuarial projection of report year development for
asbestos claims reported from 1993 to the present to estimate
case reserve adequacy as of year-end 2006. The third scenario
relies on an actuarial projection of report year claims for
asbestos but reflects claims reported from 1989 to the present
to estimate case reserve adequacy as of year-end 2006. Based on
the results of the prior report years for each of the three
scenarios described above, the report year approach then
projects forward to the year 2026 the expected future report
year losses, based on AIGs estimate of reasonable loss
trend assumptions. These calculations are performed on losses
gross of reinsurance. The IBNR (including a provision for
development of reported claims) on a net basis is based on
applying a factor reflecting the expected ratio of net losses to
gross losses for future loss emergence.
For environmental claims, an analogous series of frequency/
severity tests are produced. Environmental claims from future
report years, (i.e., IBNR) are projected out ten years, i.e.,
through the year 2016.
At year-end 2006, AIG considered a number of factors and recent
experience in addition to the results of the respective top-down
and ground-up analyses
performed for asbestos and environmental reserves. AIG
considered the significant uncertainty that remains as to
AIGs ultimate liability relating to asbestos and
environmental claims. This uncertainty is due to several factors
including:
|
|
|
The long latency period between asbestos exposure and disease
manifestation and the resulting potential for involvement of
multiple policy periods for individual claims; |
|
The increase in the volume of claims by currently unimpaired
plaintiffs; |
|
Claims filed under the non-aggregate premises or operations
section of general liability policies; |
|
The number of insureds seeking bankruptcy protection and the
effect of prepackaged bankruptcies; |
|
Diverging legal interpretations; and |
|
With respect to environmental claims, the difficulty in
estimating the allocation of remediation cost among various
parties. |
After carefully considering the results of the
ground-up analysis,
which AIG updates on an annual basis, as well as all of the
above factors, including the recent report year experience, AIG
determined its best estimate was to recognize an increase of
$256 million in its carried net asbestos reserves, and a
decrease of $58 million in its carried net environmental
reserves at December 31, 2006. The corresponding changes in
gross reserves were an increase of approximately $570 million
for asbestos and a decrease of approximately $230 million
for environmental, respectively. A minor amount of additional
incurred loss emergence pertaining to asbestos was reflected in
2006, primarily attributable to the general reinsurance
operations of Transatlantic. The majority of the increase in
asbestos reserves resulting from the 2006 review is attributable
to higher than expected emergence of claims pertaining to new
asbestos policy exposures. A significant portion of this
increase pertains to higher layers of excess coverage for
certain major asbestos defendants on business written by DBG.
Approximately $80 million of the overall $256 million
net asbestos reserve increase is attributable to business
written by Foreign General, approximately $30 million of
which is in turn ceded to DBG. In 2006, Foreign General enhanced
its capability to identify asbestos exposures, resulting in the
identification of additional asbestos defendants in 2006, as
well as higher layers of exposure for certain existing
defendants. As described above, the ground up analysis as of
2006 now models over 1,000 asbestos defendants and over 95
percent of all known reported asbestos claims.
The decrease in environmental reserves resulting from the 2006
review is primarily attributable to favorable loss trends in
recent report years. These favorable trends resulted in a
reduced expectation of unreported claims, i.e., IBNR, for future
report years.
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 49
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
A summary of reserve activity,
including estimates for applicable IBNR, relating to asbestos
and environmental claims separately and combined at
December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004 appears in the table
below. The vast majority of such claims arise from policies
written in 1984 and prior years. The current environmental
policies that AIG underwrites on a claims-made basis have been
excluded from the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
| |
Asbestos:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning of year
|
|
$ |
4,441 |
|
|
$ |
1,840 |
|
|
$ |
2,559 |
|
|
$ |
1,060 |
|
|
$ |
1,235 |
|
|
$ |
386 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
incurred(a)
|
|
|
571 |
|
|
|
267 |
|
|
|
2,207 |
(b) |
|
|
903 |
(b) |
|
|
1,595 |
(b) |
|
|
772 |
(b) |
|
Losses and loss expenses
paid(a)
|
|
|
(548 |
) |
|
|
(218 |
) |
|
|
(325 |
) |
|
|
(123 |
) |
|
|
(271 |
) |
|
|
(98 |
) |
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of year
|
|
$ |
4,464 |
|
|
$ |
1,889 |
|
|
$ |
4,441 |
|
|
$ |
1,840 |
|
|
$ |
2,559 |
|
|
$ |
1,060 |
|
|
Environmental:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning of year
|
|
$ |
926 |
|
|
$ |
410 |
|
|
$ |
974 |
|
|
$ |
451 |
|
|
$ |
789 |
|
|
$ |
283 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
incurred(a)
|
|
|
(232 |
) |
|
|
(59 |
) |
|
|
47 |
(c) |
|
|
27 |
(c) |
|
|
314 |
(c) |
|
|
234 |
(c) |
|
Losses and loss expenses
paid(a)
|
|
|
(106 |
) |
|
|
(61 |
) |
|
|
(95 |
) |
|
|
(68 |
) |
|
|
(129 |
) |
|
|
(66 |
) |
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of year
|
|
$ |
588 |
|
|
$ |
290 |
|
|
$ |
926 |
|
|
$ |
410 |
|
|
$ |
974 |
|
|
$ |
451 |
|
|
Combined:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning of year
|
|
$ |
5,367 |
|
|
$ |
2,250 |
|
|
$ |
3,533 |
|
|
$ |
1,511 |
|
|
$ |
2,024 |
|
|
$ |
669 |
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
incurred(a)
|
|
|
339 |
|
|
|
208 |
|
|
|
2,254 |
(d) |
|
|
930 |
(d) |
|
|
1,909 |
(d) |
|
|
1,006 |
(d) |
|
Losses and loss expenses
paid(a)
|
|
|
(654 |
) |
|
|
(279 |
) |
|
|
(420 |
) |
|
|
(191 |
) |
|
|
(400 |
) |
|
|
(164 |
) |
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of year
|
|
$ |
5,052 |
|
|
$ |
2,179 |
|
|
$ |
5,367 |
|
|
$ |
2,250 |
|
|
$ |
3,533 |
|
|
$ |
1,511 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
All amounts pertain to policies underwritten in prior years,
primarily to policies issued in 1984 and prior. |
|
(b) |
Includes increases to gross losses and loss expense reserves
of $2.0 billion and $1.2 billion in the fourth quarter
of 2005 and 2004, respectively, and increases to net losses and
loss expense reserves of $843 million and $650 million
for the fourth quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively. |
|
(c) |
Includes increases to gross losses and loss expense reserves
of $56 million and $250 million in the fourth quarter
of 2005 and 2004, respectively, and increases to net losses and
loss expense reserves of $30 million and $200 million
for the fourth quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively. |
|
(d) |
Includes increases to gross losses and loss expense reserves
of $2.0 billion and $1.5 billion in the fourth quarter
of 2005 and 2004, respectively, and increases to net losses and
loss expense reserves of $873 million and $850 million
for the fourth quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively. |
As indicated in the table above, asbestos loss payments
increased significantly in 2006 compared to the prior years,
primarily as a result of payments pertaining to settlements that
had been negotiated in earlier periods.
The gross and net IBNR included in the
reserve for losses and loss expenses, relating to asbestos and
environmental claims separately and combined, at
December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004 were estimated as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
| |
Asbestos
|
|
$ |
3,212 |
|
|
$ |
1,469 |
|
|
$ |
3,401 |
|
|
$ |
1,465 |
|
|
$ |
2,033 |
|
|
$ |
876 |
|
Environmental
|
|
|
340 |
|
|
|
173 |
|
|
|
586 |
|
|
|
266 |
|
|
|
606 |
|
|
|
284 |
|
|
Combined
|
|
$ |
3,552 |
|
|
$ |
1,642 |
|
|
$ |
3,987 |
|
|
$ |
1,731 |
|
|
$ |
2,639 |
|
|
$ |
1,160 |
|
|
A summary of asbestos and environmental
claims count activity for the years ended December 31,
2006, 2005 and 2004 was as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Asbestos | |
|
Environmental | |
|
Combined | |
|
Asbestos | |
|
Environmental | |
|
Combined | |
|
Asbestos | |
|
Environmental | |
|
Combined | |
| |
Claims at beginning of year
|
|
|
7,293 |
|
|
|
9,873 |
|
|
|
17,166 |
|
|
|
7,575 |
|
|
|
8,216 |
|
|
|
15,791 |
|
|
|
7,474 |
|
|
|
8,852 |
|
|
|
16,326 |
|
Claims during year:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Opened
|
|
|
643 |
|
|
|
1,383 |
|
|
|
2,026 |
|
|
|
854 |
|
|
|
5,253 |
* |
|
|
6,107 |
|
|
|
909 |
|
|
|
2,592 |
|
|
|
3,501 |
|
|
Settled
|
|
|
(150 |
) |
|
|
(155 |
) |
|
|
(305 |
) |
|
|
(67 |
) |
|
|
(219 |
) |
|
|
(286 |
) |
|
|
(100 |
) |
|
|
(279 |
) |
|
|
(379 |
) |
|
Dismissed or otherwise resolved
|
|
|
(908 |
) |
|
|
(1,659 |
) |
|
|
(2,567 |
) |
|
|
(1,069 |
) |
|
|
(3,377 |
) |
|
|
(4,446 |
) |
|
|
(708 |
) |
|
|
(2,949 |
) |
|
|
(3,657 |
) |
|
Claims at end of year
|
|
|
6,878 |
|
|
|
9,442 |
|
|
|
16,320 |
|
|
|
7,293 |
|
|
|
9,873 |
|
|
|
17,166 |
|
|
|
7,575 |
|
|
|
8,216 |
|
|
|
15,791 |
|
|
|
|
* |
The opened claims count increased substantially during 2005
compared to 2004 because a court ruling led AIG to report
separate opened claims for previously pending cases relating to
alleged MTBE exposures that AIG previously had counted in the
aggregate as only a single claim on the assumption that the
cases would be consolidated into a single federal court
proceeding. |
50 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Survival Ratios Asbestos and Environmental
The following table presents AIGs survival ratios for
asbestos and environmental claims for year-end 2006, 2005 and
2004. The survival ratio is derived by dividing the year end
carried loss reserve by the average payments for the three most
recent calendar years for these claims. Therefore, the survival
ratio is a simplistic measure estimating the number of years it
would be before the current ending loss reserves for these
claims would be paid off using recent year average payments. The
December 31, 2006 survival ratio is lower than the ratio at
December 31, 2005 because the more recent periods included
in the rolling average reflect higher claims payments. Many
factors, such as aggressive settlement procedures, mix of
business and level of coverage provided, have a significant
effect on the amount of asbestos and environmental reserves and
payments and the resultant survival ratio. Thus, caution should
be exercised in attempting to determine reserve adequacy for
these claims based simply on this survival ratio.
AIGs survival ratios for asbestos
and environmental claims, separately and combined were based
upon a three-year average payment. These ratios for the years
ended December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Gross | |
|
Net | |
| |
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Survival ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asbestos
|
|
|
11.7 |
|
|
|
12.9 |
|
|
Environmental
|
|
|
5.3 |
|
|
|
4.5 |
|
|
Combined
|
|
|
10.3 |
|
|
|
10.3 |
|
|
2005
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Survival ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asbestos
|
|
|
15.9 |
|
|
|
19.8 |
|
|
Environmental
|
|
|
6.9 |
|
|
|
6.2 |
|
|
Combined
|
|
|
13.0 |
|
|
|
14.2 |
|
|
2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Survival ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asbestos
|
|
|
10.7 |
|
|
|
13.5 |
|
|
Environmental
|
|
|
6.5 |
|
|
|
6.8 |
|
|
Combined
|
|
|
9.1 |
|
|
|
10.5 |
|
|
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services Operations
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services
subsidiaries offer a wide range of insurance and retirement
savings products both domestically and abroad.
Domestically, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement
Services operations offer a broad range of protection products,
such as life insurance and group life and health products,
including disability income products and payout annuities, which
include single premium immediate annuities, structured
settlements and terminal funding annuities. Home service
operations include an array of life insurance, accident and
health and annuity products sold primarily through career
agents. In addition, home service includes a small block of
runoff property and casualty coverage. Retirement services
include group retirement products, individual fixed and variable
annuities sold through banks, broker-dealers and exclusive sales
representatives, and annuity runoff operations, which include
previously acquired closed blocks and other fixed
and variable annuities largely sold through distribution
relationships that have been discontinued.
Overseas, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement
Services operations include insurance and investment-oriented
products such as whole and term life, investment linked,
universal life and endowments, personal accident and health
products, group products including pension, life and health, and
fixed and variable annuities.
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services
subsidiaries report their operations through the following major
internal reporting units and business units:
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
Japan and Other*
|
|
|
|
|
ALICO |
|
|
AIG Star Life |
|
|
AIG Edison Life |
Asia
|
|
|
|
|
AIA |
|
|
Nan Shan |
|
|
AIRCO |
|
|
Philamlife |
Domestic Life Insurance
|
|
|
AIG American General |
|
USLIFE |
|
AGLA |
Domestic Retirement Services
|
|
|
VALIC |
|
AIG Annuity |
|
AIG SunAmerica |
|
|
* |
Japan and Other consists of all operations in Japan and the
operations of ALICO and its subsidiaries worldwide. |
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 51
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Results
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services results for 2006, 2005 and 2004 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Net | |
|
Realized | |
|
|
|
|
GAAP | |
|
Investment | |
|
Capital Gains | |
|
Total | |
|
Operating | |
(in millions) |
|
Premiums | |
|
Income | |
|
(Losses) | |
|
Revenues | |
|
Income | |
| |
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
|
$ |
24,036 |
|
|
$ |
9,173 |
|
|
$ |
707 |
|
|
$ |
33,916 |
|
|
$ |
6,792 |
|
|
Domestic Life Insurance
|
|
|
5,543 |
|
|
|
3,778 |
|
|
|
(215 |
) |
|
|
9,106 |
|
|
|
917 |
|
|
Domestic Retirement Services
|
|
|
1,057 |
|
|
|
6,488 |
|
|
|
(404 |
) |
|
|
7,141 |
|
|
|
2,323 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
30,636 |
|
|
$ |
19,439 |
|
|
$ |
88 |
|
|
$ |
50,163 |
|
|
$ |
10,032 |
|
|
2005
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
|
$ |
23,016 |
|
|
$ |
8,175 |
|
|
$ |
84 |
|
|
$ |
31,275 |
|
|
$ |
5,245 |
|
|
Domestic Life Insurance
|
|
|
5,447 |
|
|
|
3,733 |
|
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
9,215 |
|
|
|
1,495 |
|
|
Domestic Retirement Services
|
|
|
937 |
|
|
|
6,226 |
|
|
|
(277 |
) |
|
|
6,886 |
|
|
|
2,164 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
29,400 |
|
|
$ |
18,134 |
|
|
$ |
(158 |
) |
|
$ |
47,376 |
|
|
$ |
8,904 |
|
|
2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
|
$ |
21,917 |
|
|
$ |
5,834 |
|
|
$ |
372 |
|
|
$ |
28,123 |
|
|
$ |
4,848 |
|
|
Domestic Life Insurance
|
|
|
5,376 |
|
|
|
3,459 |
|
|
|
(120 |
) |
|
|
8,715 |
|
|
|
1,023 |
|
|
Domestic Retirement Services
|
|
|
795 |
|
|
|
5,976 |
|
|
|
(207 |
) |
|
|
6,564 |
|
|
|
2,054 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
28,088 |
|
|
$ |
15,269 |
|
|
$ |
45 |
|
|
$ |
43,402 |
|
|
$ |
7,925 |
|
|
The following table presents the
Insurance In-force for Life Insurance & Retirement
Services for the years ended December 31, 2006, 2005 and
2004:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Years Ended December 31, |
|
|
| |
(in millions) |
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
|
2004 | |
| |
Foreign
|
|
$ |
1,162,699 |
|
|
$ |
1,027,682 |
|
|
$ |
1,085,843 |
|
Domestic*
|
|
|
907,901 |
|
|
|
825,151 |
|
|
|
772,251 |
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
2,070,600 |
|
|
$ |
1,852,833 |
|
|
$ |
1,858,094 |
|
|
|
|
* |
Domestic insurance in-force for 2005 includes the effect of
the non-renewal of a single large group life case of
$36 billion. |
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Life Insurance & Retirement Service revenues increased
$2.8 billion in 2006, to $50.2 billion. The increased
revenues reflect growth in the underlying global Life
Insurance & Retirement Services businesses. Revenues
include the positive effect of out of period adjustments related
to the accounting for certain interests in unit investment
trusts totaling $240 million in 2006. Operating income grew
by $1.1 billion from 2005, to $10.0 billion,
reflecting higher revenues and out of period reductions of
policy benefits expense of $163 million resulting from
corrections of par policyholder dividend reserves and
allocations between participating and non-participating
accounts, both of which were related to remediation efforts. Net
investment income increased $1.3 billion, reflecting growth
in the underlying global business and the related increased
level of invested assets. Realized capital gains increased
$246 million in 2006 compared to 2005. In addition,
operating income in 2006 includes charges of $125 million
for the adverse Superior National arbitration ruling (see Note
12(c) of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements) and
$66 million related to the exiting of the domestic
financial institutions credit life business.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
Life Insurance & Retirement Services revenues, including
realized capital losses of $158 million, grew
$4.0 billion to $47.4 billion. The increase in
revenues reflects growth in the underlying global Life
Insurance & Retirement Services businesses. Operating
income grew $979 million in 2005, reflecting growth in both
domestic and overseas operations. In 2005, the Domestic Life
Insurance reporting unit performed well in its life insurance
and payout annuities businesses, but results were offset by
restructuring efforts in both home services and group
life/health. The Domestic Retirement Services reporting unit
faced a challenging environment in 2005, resulting in lower
deposits and increased surrender rates. The Foreign Life
Insurance & Retirement Services reporting unit had
improved operating income in 2005 helped by higher net
investment income, lower acquisition and operating expenses in
life insurance and strong growth in annuities, partially offset
by lower realized capital gains and higher incurred policy
benefit costs.
52 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Foreign Life Insurance &
Retirement Services Results
Foreign Life Insurance &
Retirement Services results for 2006, 2005 and 2004 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Net | |
|
Realized | |
|
|
|
|
GAAP | |
|
Investment | |
|
Capital Gains | |
|
Total | |
|
Operating | |
(in millions) |
|
Premiums | |
|
Income | |
|
(Losses) | |
|
Revenues | |
|
Income | |
| |
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Japan and Other:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life
insurance(a)
|
|
$ |
4,769 |
|
|
$ |
1,696 |
|
|
$ |
316 |
|
|
$ |
6,781 |
|
|
$ |
1,725 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
3,957 |
|
|
|
162 |
|
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
4,168 |
|
|
|
1,122 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
1,740 |
|
|
|
541 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
2,294 |
|
|
|
272 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
337 |
|
|
|
1,930 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
2,295 |
|
|
|
553 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
173 |
|
|
|
325 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
498 |
|
|
|
60 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
10,976 |
|
|
$ |
4,654 |
|
|
$ |
406 |
|
|
$ |
16,036 |
|
|
$ |
3,732 |
|
|
Asia:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life
insurance(b)
|
|
$ |
10,949 |
|
|
$ |
4,188 |
|
|
$ |
258 |
|
|
$ |
15,395 |
|
|
$ |
2,516 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
1,561 |
|
|
|
123 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
1,690 |
|
|
|
337 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
486 |
|
|
|
107 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
627 |
|
|
|
178 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
97 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
163 |
|
|
|
27 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
13,060 |
|
|
$ |
4,519 |
|
|
$ |
301 |
|
|
$ |
17,880 |
|
|
$ |
3,060 |
|
|
Total Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life
insurance(a)(b)
|
|
$ |
15,718 |
|
|
$ |
5,884 |
|
|
$ |
574 |
|
|
$ |
22,176 |
|
|
$ |
4,241 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
5,518 |
|
|
|
285 |
|
|
|
55 |
|
|
|
5,858 |
|
|
|
1,459 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
2,226 |
|
|
|
648 |
|
|
|
47 |
|
|
|
2,921 |
|
|
|
450 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
400 |
|
|
|
2,027 |
|
|
|
31 |
|
|
|
2,458 |
|
|
|
580 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
174 |
|
|
|
329 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
503 |
|
|
|
62 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
24,036 |
|
|
$ |
9,173 |
|
|
$ |
707 |
|
|
$ |
33,916 |
|
|
$ |
6,792 |
|
|
2005
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Japan and Other:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
4,852 |
|
|
$ |
1,752 |
|
|
$ |
(52 |
) |
|
$ |
6,552 |
|
|
$ |
1,280 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
3,788 |
|
|
|
137 |
|
|
|
(15 |
) |
|
|
3,910 |
|
|
|
1,051 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
1,473 |
|
|
|
535 |
|
|
|
(34 |
) |
|
|
1,974 |
|
|
|
191 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
292 |
|
|
|
1,672 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
1,993 |
|
|
|
390 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
97 |
|
|
|
767 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
864 |
|
|
|
47 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
10,502 |
|
|
$ |
4,863 |
|
|
$ |
(72 |
) |
|
$ |
15,293 |
|
|
$ |
2,959 |
|
|
Asia:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
10,779 |
|
|
$ |
3,056 |
|
|
$ |
146 |
|
|
$ |
13,981 |
|
|
$ |
1,907 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
1,214 |
|
|
|
118 |
|
|
|
(15 |
) |
|
|
1,317 |
|
|
|
241 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
452 |
|
|
|
78 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
555 |
|
|
|
131 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
69 |
|
|
|
56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
125 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
12,514 |
|
|
$ |
3,312 |
|
|
$ |
156 |
|
|
$ |
15,982 |
|
|
$ |
2,286 |
|
|
Total Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
15,631 |
|
|
$ |
4,808 |
|
|
$ |
94 |
|
|
$ |
20,533 |
|
|
$ |
3,187 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
5,002 |
|
|
|
255 |
|
|
|
(30 |
) |
|
|
5,227 |
|
|
|
1,292 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
1,925 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
|
2,529 |
|
|
|
322 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
361 |
|
|
|
1,728 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
2,118 |
|
|
|
398 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
97 |
|
|
|
771 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
868 |
|
|
|
46 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
23,016 |
|
|
$ |
8,175 |
|
|
$ |
84 |
|
|
$ |
31,275 |
|
|
$ |
5,245 |
|
|
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 53
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net | |
|
Realized | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP | |
|
Investment | |
|
Capital Gains | |
|
Total | |
|
Operating | |
(in millions) |
|
Premiums | |
|
Income | |
|
(Losses) | |
|
Revenues | |
|
Income | |
| |
2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Japan and Other:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
4,469 |
|
|
$ |
1,371 |
|
|
$ |
(134 |
) |
|
$ |
5,706 |
|
|
$ |
1,079 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
3,307 |
|
|
|
96 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
3,419 |
|
|
|
932 |
|
|
Group products
|
|
|
1,229 |
|
|
|
378 |
|
|
|
(42 |
) |
|
|
1,565 |
|
|
|
133 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
312 |
|
|
|
1,011 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
1,327 |
|
|
|
236 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
68 |
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
210 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
9,385 |
|
|
$ |
2,998 |
|
|
$ |
(156 |
) |
|
$ |
12,227 |
|
|
$ |
2,393 |
|
|
Asia:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
10,469 |
|
|
$ |
2,676 |
|
|
$ |
497 |
|
|
$ |
13,642 |
|
|
$ |
2,098 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
994 |
|
|
|
83 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
1,094 |
|
|
|
260 |
|
|
Group
products(c)
|
|
|
986 |
|
|
|
53 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
1,053 |
|
|
|
90 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
83 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
106 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
12,532 |
|
|
$ |
2,836 |
|
|
$ |
528 |
|
|
$ |
15,896 |
|
|
$ |
2,455 |
|
|
Total Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life insurance
|
|
$ |
14,938 |
|
|
$ |
4,047 |
|
|
$ |
363 |
|
|
$ |
19,348 |
|
|
$ |
3,177 |
|
|
Personal accident
|
|
|
4,301 |
|
|
|
179 |
|
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
4,513 |
|
|
|
1,192 |
|
|
Group
products(c)
|
|
|
2,215 |
|
|
|
431 |
|
|
|
(28 |
) |
|
|
2,618 |
|
|
|
223 |
|
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
|
|
395 |
|
|
|
1,034 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
1,433 |
|
|
|
243 |
|
|
Individual variable annuities
|
|
|
68 |
|
|
|
143 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
21,917 |
|
|
$ |
5,834 |
|
|
$ |
372 |
|
|
$ |
28,123 |
|
|
$ |
4,848 |
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts.
For 2006, the effect was an increase of $32 million in both
net investment income and operating income. |
|
(b) |
Includes the effect of out of period adjustments related to
the accounting for certain interests in unit investment trusts.
For 2006, the effect was an increase of $208 million and
$137 million in net investment income and operating income,
respectively. Operating income also includes an out of period
reduction in participating policyholder dividend reserves of
$163 million, primarily as a result of tax remediation
adjustments. |
|
(c) |
Revenues include approximately $640 million of premiums
from a single reinsurance transaction involving terminal funding
business, which is offset by a similar increase of benefit
reserves. |
AIG transacts business in most major foreign currencies and
therefore premiums reported in U.S. dollars vary by volume
and from changes in foreign currency translation rates. The
following table summarizes the effect of changes in foreign
currency exchange rates on the growth of the Foreign Life
Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums for the
year ended December 31, 2006 and 2005:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
2006 | |
|
2005 | |
| |
Growth in original currency*
|
|
|
6.4 |
% |
|
|
2.5% |
|
Foreign exchange effect
|
|
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
Growth as reported in U.S. dollars
|
|
|
4.4 |
% |
|
|
5.0% |
|
|
|
|
* |
Computed using a constant exchange rate for each period. |
Japan and Other
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Total revenues for Japan and Other increased $743 million
in 2006, to $16.0 billion, compared to 2005. Operating
income grew $773 million, due to growth in the underlying
retirement services businesses and realized capital gains of
$406 million. The 2006 results for the reporting unit were
negatively affected by the weakening of the Japanese Yen against
the U.S. dollar during 2006. In addition, operating income
was negatively affected by the continued runoff of the older,
higher margin in-force business of AIG Star Life and AIG Edison
Life.
Life insurance GAAP premiums declined in 2006 compared to 2005
primarily due to the effect of foreign exchange. Foreign
exchange negatively affected GAAP premiums by approximately
$250 million, most notably as a result of the weakening in
the Japanese Yen. Life insurance operating income grew
$445 million, primarily due to an increase of
$368 million of realized capital gains. Life insurance
growth improved due to an increase in single premium life
insurance sales in Japan as a result of further bank
deregulation effective in December 2005. The expansion of the
bank distribution platform for single premium life insurance
products adds to the existing multiple distribution platforms in
Japan, where AIG remains the leading foreign insurance provider.
Personal accident revenues grew $258 million or
7 percent resulting in operating income growth of
$71 million or 7 percent. Personal accident operating
income includes the effect of higher terminations of certain
accident and health policies in Japan which increased expenses
by $54 million in 2006. The higher terminations are a
result of a change in the Japanese tax regulations that reduced
the tax deduction for premiums. AIGs Japanese operations
have experienced lower sales and higher terminations of these
contracts. DAC related to these accident
54 AIG 2006 Form 10-K
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
and health policies in force at December 31, 2006 totaled
$214 million. In response to the tax law change, AIG has
introduced new products, both life and health, to meet the needs
of clients in that market. AIG continues to believe that the
effect of future policy terminations will not be material to
AIGs consolidated financial condition or results of
operations.
Revenues from group products increased in 2006 by
$320 million, to $2.3 billion, resulting in an
increase in operating income of $81 million to
$272 million. Fixed annuity reserves continued to grow due
to positive net flows, but demand for U.S. dollar fixed
annuities has slowed due to a weaker Japanese Yen. The
individual fixed annuity revenues grew $302 million to
$2.3 billion resulting in an increase in operating income
of $163 million to $553 million. Growth in variable
annuity deposits has accelerated compared to 2005 due to new
product offerings and stronger equity markets, resulting in
higher fees and policy charges included in GAAP premiums.
Variable annuity revenues declined in 2006 compared to 2005 due
to lower policyholder trading gains which comprise the entirety
of variable annuity net investment income. Policyholder trading
gains are offset by an equal increase in policy benefits
expense, as all investment returns for these variable annuities
accrue to the benefit of the policyholder.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
In 2005, total revenues for the Japan and Other reporting unit
grew $3.1 billion to $15.3 billion, including
policyholder trading gains of $1.3 billion. Operating
income grew $566 million to $3.0 billion. Compared to
2004, results reported in U.S. dollars were negatively affected
by foreign exchange, particularly the weakening of the Japanese
Yen to the U.S. dollar. In addition, Japan and Other operating
income was negatively affected by the runoff of older higher
margin in-force business of AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life.
Life insurance operating income grew primarily due to lower
realized capital losses and higher GAAP premiums. Personal
accident operating income continued to report stable profit
margins and grew $119 million to $1.05 billion. Group
operating income grew to $191 million on strong growth in
ALICO operations outside of Japan. Individual fixed annuities
operating income grew to $390 million, primarily from
strong growth of net flows that increased underlying reserves in
Japan. Individual fixed annuity operating income for 2005
included a charge of $47 million related to the unwinding
of certain businesses in Chile that were sold in 2006.
Individual variable annuities operating income grew to
$47 million on higher average reserves. Net investment
income for individual variable annuities grew to
$767 million in 2005 and represents policyholder trading
gains (losses) that are offset by an equal amount in
incurred policy losses and benefits.
Asia
2006 and 2005 Comparison
Revenues for Asia grew $1.9 billion in 2006 to
$17.9 billion. Operating income grew $774 million, to
$3.1 billion, including realized capital gains of
$301 million. Revenues and operating income in 2006 include
$208 million and $137 million, respectively, from out
of period adjustments related to certain investments in unit
trusts. GAAP premiums grew 4 percent in 2006 compared to
2005. The GAAP premium growth rate was negatively affected by
the continuing trend towards investment-oriented products in
Asia as only a portion of policy charges collected from the
customers are reported as GAAP premiums. AIGs Life
Insurance operations in Asia have responded to this trend by
offering a wide array of investment linked products, with
multiple fund choices but with minimal investment guarantees.
Operating income benefited in 2006 from an out of period
reduction in participating policyholder dividend reserves of
$163 million, primarily as a result of tax remediation
adjustments and a correction to expense allocations between
participating and non-participating accounts. Certain
participating policyholder dividend reserves are determined on
an after tax basis and as a result any change in the local tax
provision will have a partially offsetting, but not equal,
effect on participating policyholder dividend reserves. The
amount of the offsetting effect depends on the level of
participation required by law or regulation in that specific
country or by the participation level provided for in the
underlying contracts. In 2005, operating income for Asia
included a charge of $137 million related to an increase in
participating policyholder dividends as a result of the
settlement of a tax dispute in Singapore. Life insurance
revenues grew $1.4 billion to $15.4 billion in 2006,
including realized capital gains of $258 million and
policyholder trading gains of $552 million, helped by
strong growth in investment linked products throughout Asia.
Operating income grew $609 million, including adjustments
in 2006 and 2005 for participating policyholder dividend
reserves mentioned above. Operating income includes the Life
Insurance & Retirement Services segments equal
share of the results of AIG Credit Card Company (Taiwan), which
amounted to a loss of $47 million in 2006 compared to a
gain of $26 million in 2005. Personal accident revenues
grew 28 percent to $1.7 billion, reflecting increased
focus on risk based accident and health products. The growth in
revenues resulted in operating income of $337 million for
the year, an increase of 40 percent over 2005. Group
products revenues increased $72 million from 2005, to
$627 million, resulting in operating income growth of
$47 million to $178 million.
2005 and 2004 Comparison
In 2005, revenues were essentially unchanged at
$16.0 billion on lower realized capital gains that declined
$372 million, due to lower gains on derivatives that did
not qualify for hedge accounting. Operating income declined in
2005 by $169 million due to the decrease in realized
capital gains and an increase in liabilities for participating
policyholder dividends of $137 million as a result of the
settlement of a tax dispute in Singapore. Life insurance GAAP
premiums grew $310 million to $10.8 billion. Life
insurance operating income did not grow in 2005 due to the
effect of the additional par policy dividend reserves previously
noted and
Form 10-K 2006 AIG 55
American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of
Operations Continued
lower realized capital gains. Personal accident operating income
declined primarily due to realized capital losses in 2005
compared to realized capital gains in 2004. Group products GAAP
premiums dropped in 2005 compared to 2004. 2004 GAAP premiums
included premiums of approximately $640 million from a
single reinsurance transaction involving terminal funding
business, which is offset by a similar increase in benefit
reserves.
Domestic Life Insurance
Results
Domestic Life Insurance results,
presented on a sub-product basis for 2006, 2005 and 2004 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
Net | |
|
Realized | |
|
|
|
Operating | |
|
|
GAAP | |
|
Investment | |
|
Capital Gains | |
|
Total | |
|
Income | |
(in millions) |
|
Premiums | |
|
Income | |
|
(Losses) | |
|
Revenues | |
|
(Loss) | |
| |
2006
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life
insurance(a)
|
|
$ |
2,127 |
|
|
$ |
1,377 |
|
|
$ |
(83 |
) |
|
$ |
3,421 |
|
|
$ |
654 |
|
|
Home service
|
|
|
790 |
|
|
|
630 |
|
|
|
(38 |
) |
|
|
1,382 |
|
|
|
282 |
|
|
Group life/health
|
|
|
995 |