What Happened?
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after the Nasdaq rebounded, up 1.8%, as Trump's Iran peace deal announcement released the rate pressure that weighed on the sector all week.
Semiconductor stocks trade at elevated multiples on future earnings, making them disproportionately sensitive to interest rates.
Oil falling more than 3% and the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.47% released the rate hike pressure that drove the sector's worst week since 2020. The structural AI demand story never broke: Intel's BofA double upgrade to $135 earlier in the day confirmed hyperscalers are placing real production orders at domestic foundries, and AI infrastructure capex commitments remained intact.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
- Analog Semiconductors company MACOM (NASDAQ: MTSI) jumped 3.9%. Is now the time to buy MACOM? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.
- Analog Semiconductors company Analog Devices (NASDAQ: ADI) jumped 4.3%. Is now the time to buy Analog Devices? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.
- Memory Semiconductors company Seagate (NASDAQ: STX) jumped 5.4%. Is now the time to buy Seagate? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.
Zooming In On Seagate (STX)
Seagate’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 48 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 1 day ago when the stock dropped 3.5% after the CPI print of 4.2% annual inflation (the hottest since 2023) revived the rate hike narrative.
Markets began to fully price a December Fed rate hike, and semiconductor stocks, which price on earnings years out, reprice faster than most sectors when discount rates move.
The SpaceX IPO added secondary pressure: the company closed investor orders ahead of its debut at a $1.77 trillion valuation, and MSC identified chip names among the holdings facing the largest forced outflows as investors reallocate to fund the listing. Trump's mid-session Iran escalation, pledging to "attack very hard", drove the Dow to session lows, sealing the risk-off tone.
Seagate is up 200% since the beginning of the year, and at $862.53 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $940.69 from June 2026. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Seagate’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $8,914.
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