Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on the stocks in this article, with price targets suggesting significant upside potential. However, it’s worth remembering that analysts rarely issue sell ratings, partly because their firms often seek other business from the same companies they cover.

Luckily for you, we at StockStory have no conflicts of interest - our sole job is to help you find genuinely promising companies. That said, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s estimates seem disconnected from reality and some better opportunities to consider.

Pegasystems (PEGA)

Consensus Price Target: $59.82 (40.3% implied return)

With a "Center-out Business Architecture" approach that transcends organizational silos, Pegasystems (NASDAQ: PEGA) develops software that helps organizations automate workflows and use artificial intelligence to improve customer experiences and business processes.

Why Is PEGA Not Exciting?

1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 11.4% annual growth was below the typical software company
2. Competitive market means the company must spend more on sales and marketing to stand out even if the return on investment is low
3. Operating margin expanded by 6.8 percentage points over the last year as it scaled and became more efficient

Pegasystems is trading at $42.63 per share, or 3.9x forward price-to-sales. If you’re considering PEGA for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Polaris (PII)

Consensus Price Target: $66.71 (23.5% implied return)

Founded in 1954, Polaris (NYSE: PII) designs and manufactures high-performance off-road vehicles, snowmobiles, and motorcycles.

Why Do We Avoid PII?

1. Flat sales over the last five years suggest it must innovate and find new ways to grow
2. Free cash flow margin is forecasted to shrink by 4.7 percentage points in the coming year, suggesting the company will consume more capital to keep up with its competitors
3. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results

At $54.03 per share, Polaris trades at 33x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why PII doesn’t pass our bar.

WillScot Mobile Mini (WSC)

Consensus Price Target: $24.95 (43.5% implied return)

Originally focusing on mobile offices for construction sites, WillScot (NASDAQ: WSC) provides ready-to-use temporary spaces, largely for longer-term lease.

Why Is WSC Risky?

1. Annual sales declines of 1.8% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last five years as its operating margin fell by 10.5 percentage points
3. Earnings per share fell by 1.6% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, partly because it diluted shareholders

WillScot Mobile Mini’s stock price of $17.39 implies a valuation ratio of 16.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with WSC, check out our full research report (it’s free).

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