Healthcare companies are pushing the status quo by innovating in areas like drug development and digital health. Despite the rosy long-term prospects, short-term headwinds such as COVID inventory destocking have harmed the industry’s returns - over the past six months, healthcare stocks have collectively shed 3.5%. This drawdown was discouraging since the S&P 500 returned 4.5%.
Only some companies are subject to these dynamics, however, and a handful of high-quality businesses can deliver earnings growth in any environment. Taking that into account, here is one healthcare stock boasting a durable advantage and two that may face trouble.
Two HealthcareStocks to Sell:
Pediatrix Medical Group (MD)
Market Cap: $1.18 billion
With a network of approximately 2,620 affiliated physicians caring for some of the most vulnerable patients, Pediatrix Medical Group (NYSE: MD) provides specialized physician services focused on neonatal, maternal-fetal, pediatric cardiology and other pediatric subspecialty care across 37 states.
Why Do We Think MD Will Underperform?
- Weak comparable store sales trends over the past two years suggest there may be few opportunities in its core markets to open new facilities
- Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 1.8% annually
- Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value
Pediatrix Medical Group is trading at $14.03 per share, or 9x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including MD in your portfolio.
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH)
Market Cap: $1.09 billion
Founded in 1996 and known for its expertise in complex drug formulations, Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AMPH) develops and manufactures technically challenging injectable and inhalation medications, including both generic and proprietary pharmaceutical products.
Why Does AMPH Worry Us?
- Modest revenue base of $730.7 million gives it less fixed cost leverage and fewer distribution channels than larger companies
- Projected sales are flat for the next 12 months, implying demand will slow from its two-year trend
At $23.38 per share, Amphastar Pharmaceuticals trades at 7x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than AMPH.
One Healthcare Stock to Watch:
The Ensign Group (ENSG)
Market Cap: $8.75 billion
Founded in 1999 and named after a naval term for a flag-bearing ship, The Ensign Group (NASDAQ: ENSG) operates skilled nursing facilities, senior living communities, and rehabilitation services across 15 states, primarily serving high-acuity patients recovering from various medical conditions.
Why Do We Like ENSG?
- Products are reaching more customers as its unit sales averaged 13.2% growth over the past two years
- Sales outlook for the upcoming 12 months implies the business will stay on its desirable two-year growth trajectory
- Earnings per share grew by 18.4% annually over the last five years, massively outpacing its peers
The Ensign Group’s stock price of $153.35 implies a valuation ratio of 23.8x forward P/E. Is now a good time to buy? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.
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