3 Reasons to Sell NWBI and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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NWBI Cover Image

Over the past six months, Northwest Bancshares has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 7%. Its stock price has climbed to $14.56, representing a healthy 13.9% increase. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is there a buying opportunity in Northwest Bancshares, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Northwest Bancshares Will Underperform?

We’re happy investors have made money, but we’re swiping left on Northwest Bancshares for now. Here are three reasons why NWBI doesn’t excite us, plus one stock we’d rather own.

1. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand

Markets consistently prioritize net interest income over non-recurring fees, recognizing its superior quality compared to the more unpredictable revenue streams.

Northwest Bancshares’s net interest income has grown at a 5.9% annualized rate over the last five years, worse than the broader banking industry. Its growth was driven by both an increase in its outstanding loans and net interest margin, which represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loan book.

Northwest Bancshares Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Income

2. EPS Barely Growing

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Northwest Bancshares’s EPS grew at a weak 1.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, lower than its 4.3% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Northwest Bancshares Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Substandard TBVPS Growth Indicates Limited Asset Expansion

For banks, tangible book value per share (TBVPS) is a crucial metric that measures the actual value of shareholders’ equity, stripping out goodwill and other intangible assets that may not be recoverable in a worst-case scenario.

Disappointingly for investors, Northwest Bancshares’s TBVPS grew at a sluggish 3% annual clip over the last two years.

Northwest Bancshares Quarterly Tangible Book Value per Share

Final Judgment

Northwest Bancshares doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares outperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 1.1× forward P/B (or $14.56 per share). While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t see a big opportunity at the moment. There are better stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.

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